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Penrith Panthers vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Penrith Panthers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-18
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Stadium Australia, Sydney

Game Overview

The Penrith Panthers face the South Sydney Rabbitohs in a tightly contested NRL match where both teams have shown strong recent form. Penrith, the favorites with a moneyline around -250, have won the majority of recent head-to-head games but recently lost to South Sydney 18-28 on March 27, 2025. The matchup promises high intensity given their rivalry and previous matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith Panthers show consistent high-level performance with a majority of wins against South Sydney historically (20 wins to 14). Recent form favors Penrith but South Sydney pulled a notable upset in the last meeting.
  • Historically, Penrith leads with 59% win rate in 34 encounters, but South Sydney has won recently, indicating a competitive rivalry that could sway either way.
  • No significant injury reports affecting key players have been identified in available data, suggesting full-strength lineups likely for both teams.
  • The match is played at Stadium Australia, a neutral venue with no apparent external disadvantages for either team. Weather and pitch conditions are assumed normal.
  • South Sydney has extra motivation after their last victory over Penrith, aiming to maintain momentum. Penrith seeks to reassert dominance and avoid consecutive losses, raising competitive stakes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Penrith Panthers: -250, South Sydney Rabbitohs: +205, Draw: +2300 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Penrith Panthers -8.5: -110, South Sydney Rabbitohs +8.5: -120 Penrith Panthers -8.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115 Over 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers to win moneyline, cover the -8.5 spread, and the game to go over 46.5 points.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 28 – 18 South Sydney Rabbitohs


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Penrith Panthers vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction

Match Analysis: Penrith Panthers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-07-18 Time: 10:00 AM UTC Location: Stadium Australia, Sydney Game Overview The Penrith Panthers face the South Sydney Rabbitohs in a tightly contested NRL match where both teams have shown strong recent form. Penrith, the favorites with a moneyline around -250, have […]

July 18, 2025 Penrith Panthers Rugbyleague South Sydney Rabbitohs

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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-18
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Cronulla, New South Wales, Australia

Game Overview

The match between the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks and the Sydney Roosters is a key NRL fixture, with both teams looking to strengthen their standings mid-season. The Sharks play at home, giving them a slight edge, while the Roosters are coming off recent challenges related to player availability due to State of Origin commitments.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla Sharks have shown more consistent form recently, benefitting from fewer key player absences, whereas the Sydney Roosters have been impacted by State of Origin call-ups which have weakened their squad depth and performance.
  • Historically, matches between these two sides are tightly contested, but the Sharks have edged slightly ahead in recent encounters, including a home advantage that boosts their chances.
  • The Roosters are notably affected by several Origin call-ups, reducing their top-tier player availability and weakening key positions; the Sharks report a relatively healthy roster with no major absences.
  • Playing at home in favorable weather and venue conditions benefits the Sharks. The Roosters additionally face travel fatigue and team cohesion challenges following recent representative fixtures.
  • The Sharks are motivated to capitalize on their home advantage to secure a win and improve league position, while the Roosters aim to overcome adversity but are under increased pressure to regain form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -148, Sydney Roosters: 128, Draw: 2100 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -3.5: -115, Sydney Roosters +3.5: -115 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115 Over 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sharks to win outright, cover the -3.5 spread, and the total score to go over 46.5 points.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 26 – 18 Sydney Roosters


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Dolphins vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-17
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium

Game Overview

The Dolphins host the North Queensland Cowboys in round 20 of the 2025 NRL season at Suncorp Stadium. The Dolphins have established themselves as strong contenders this year with solid form at home, while the Cowboys have been inconsistent and face a tough away challenge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins show strong recent form and have a 69% simulated win probability against the Cowboys based on 10,000 simulations. The Cowboys' away performance and defensive lapses reduce their chances.
  • Historically, the Dolphins have had an edge in their recent encounters, especially at home, reinforcing the model's confidence in the home side's advantage.
  • No significant injury updates impacting starting lineups for either team have been reported, suggesting both sides will field near full-strength squads.
  • Playing at Suncorp Stadium confers a strong home-ground advantage to the Dolphins. Weather conditions are expected to be favourable, allowing for an open and high-scoring game.
  • The Dolphins are motivated to consolidate their ladder position to secure finals contention, while the Cowboys, lower on the table, are under pressure to gain points but may be more prone to errors under stress.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins -179, Cowboys +153, Draw 2200 Dolphins ★★★☆☆ 69%
Spread Dolphins -4.5 -115, Cowboys +4.5 -115 Dolphins -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under Over 48.5 -115, Under 48.5 -115 Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dolphins 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dolphins to win on the moneyline, cover the -4.5 spread, and the total points to go over 48.5

Predicted Score: Dolphins 26 – Cowboys 18


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Gold Coast Titans vs. Brisbane Broncos Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Gold Coast Titans vs Brisbane Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-13
  • Time: 8:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Undisclosed

Game Overview

The Brisbane Broncos are favored to win against the Gold Coast Titans, reflecting their recent form and historical dominance in head-to-head matchups.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brisbane Broncos have shown stronger recent form compared to the Gold Coast Titans.
  • Brisbane Broncos historically have a good record against the Gold Coast Titans.
  • No specific injury updates provided for this matchup.
  • No external factors mentioned that could significantly impact the game.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but Brisbane Broncos have more to gain in terms of standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos -335, Gold Coast Titans 270 Brisbane Broncos ★★★★☆ 84%
Spread Brisbane Broncos -10.5 -115 Brisbane Broncos -10.5 ★★★★☆ 76%
Over/under Over 49.5 -115, Under 49.5 -115 Under 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos 9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos to win outright.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 28, Gold Coast Titans 18


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Parramatta Eels vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-13
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

A high-stakes Western Sydney derby between Parramatta Eels and Penrith Panthers, featuring contrasting bookmaker and statistical model views. Panthers enter as strong favorites, but recent form, home advantage, and derby dynamics suggest a tighter contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith Panthers have been dominant recently, winning their last three matches against Parramatta by narrow margins (1-12 points). Parramatta have a solid home record with 4 wins in 8 games at CommBank Stadium this season, often keeping games close and low scoring.
  • Penrith has a clear edge with recent winning streaks over Parramatta, but margins have been slim. Derby games historically tend to defy form, with both sides capable of grinding out results.
  • No major injuries reported that drastically affect key players from either team, suggesting both sides can field near full-strength lineups.
  • Derby intensity and local rivalry increase unpredictability. Home crowd support for Parramatta is a significant factor, likely boosting their motivation and performance.
  • Parramatta eager to prove themselves against the top-ranked Panthers and capitalize on home advantage. Penrith motivated to maintain dominance and secure premiership points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Parramatta Eels: 2.4, Penrith Panthers: 1.33, Draw: 23 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Parramatta Eels +9.5: -110, Penrith Panthers -9.5: -120 Parramatta Eels +9.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 45.5: -115, Under 45.5: -115 Under 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 45.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers to narrowly win with a defensive, low-scoring game outcome, but Parramatta Eels represent strong value against the spread due to bookmaker overestimation of Panthers' margin.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 22 – Parramatta Eels 16


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New Zealand Warriors vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 13, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GO Media Stadium, Auckland

Game Overview

This match pits two teams fighting for momentum in the NRL season. The Warriors have home advantage, but both teams have shown inconsistent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Warriors have a marginal edge in attack at home, while both teams struggle defensively under pressure.
  • Historically, the Warriors have a slight advantage, but recent form suggests a close contest.
  • No significant injury updates that would drastically influence the outcome.
  • The Warriors' home crowd could provide a decisive advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their season standings, but the Tigers have less to lose.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors: -235, Wests Tigers: 195, Draw: 2300 New Zealand Warriors ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread New Zealand Warriors: -7.5 -115, Wests Tigers: 7.5 -115 Wests Tigers +7.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115 Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Warriors are likely to win, but the game could be close. The spread and over/under markets offer more value.

Predicted Score: New Zealand Warriors 20, Wests Tigers 16


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North Queensland Cowboys vs. Canterbury Bulldogs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs Canterbury Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium, Townsville

Game Overview

The North Queensland Cowboys are facing a tough challenge as they host the Canterbury Bulldogs, who are favored to win. The Bulldogs have been performing well, but the Cowboys' home advantage could be a significant factor in this match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Canterbury Bulldogs have superior recent form, but the Cowboys are known for their resilience at home.
  • No recent head-to-head data suggests a significant advantage for either team.
  • The Cowboys have notable absences with Sam McIntyre and John Bateman sidelined, while Murray Taulagi may return.
  • The tropical conditions in Townsville could favor the Cowboys.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with the Cowboys needing a win to stay in contention and the Bulldogs seeking to solidify their position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs: -225, North Queensland Cowboys: 185 Canterbury Bulldogs Medium
Spread Canterbury Bulldogs: -7.5 -120, North Queensland Cowboys: 7.5 -110 North Queensland Cowboys +7.5 High
Over/under Over: 48.5 -115, Under: 48.5 -115 Under 48.5 Medium

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Canterbury Bulldogs are favored, but the Cowboys' home advantage and recent return of key players could make this a tighter contest than expected.

Predicted Score: Bulldogs 24, Cowboys 21


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Not explicitly provided, likely St George Illawarra home ground

Game Overview

The match is a key NRL clash between St George Illawarra Dragons and Sydney Roosters, two fierce rivals. The Roosters have dominated this fixture recently, winning 12 of the last 14 encounters, including the last four straight matches. The Roosters come off a shock loss and are motivated to assert dominance, while the Dragons are fighting to keep their season alive amid inconsistency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sydney Roosters have shown strong form and resilience, buoyed by the return of key playmaker Sam Walker. The Dragons have struggled with consistency and are relying on veterans like Damien Cook to lead defensively. Recent matches saw the Roosters thrash the Dragons 46-18 in Round 8, underlining their superiority.
  • Sydney Roosters have a significant edge in head-to-head matchups, winning 12 out of the last 14 games against the Dragons, including four consecutive wins.
  • Dragons have some players returning from injury including Luciano Leilua and Hamish Stewart, but have dropped Viliami Fifita and Loko Pasifiki Tonga. Roosters have Nat Butcher out but are boosted by the return of Sam Walker and additions like Billy Smith and Angus Crichton.
  • The match is being played in a high-pressure environment for both teams. The Roosters are eager to recover from their upset loss and solidify finals credentials. Broadcast access is broad, with coverage in major rugby league markets, increasing exposure and pressure.
  • Roosters are highly motivated to rebound from a recent upset and maintain their dominance in this rivalry. Dragons are motivated by the need to stay in finals contention, but their inconsistency could be a limiting factor.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons: 161, Sydney Roosters: -182, Draw: 2000 Sydney Roosters High
Spread Dragons +5.5: -110, Roosters -5.5: -120 Sydney Roosters -5.5 High
Over/under Over 47.5: -117, Under 47.5: -109 Over 47.5 Moderate

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sydney Roosters at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters to win straight up, continuing their strong recent dominance over the Dragons.

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 28 – St George Illawarra Dragons 18


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Newcastle Knights vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle

Game Overview

The Melbourne Storm travel to face the Newcastle Knights in a significant NRL match. The Storm are currently in second place, while the Knights are struggling in 13th. The Storm are favored to win, given their strong recent form and the return of key players from Origin duties.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Storm have been consistent, winning 12 of their last 14 against the Knights. However, the Knights have won their last two home games against the Storm. The Knights lack consistency, having lost six of their last seven home games.
  • The Storm have a dominant head-to-head record against the Knights, winning 12 of the past 14 matches. However, the Knights' recent home victories against the Storm are noteworthy.
  • Kalyn Ponga remains sidelined for the Knights, while the Storm welcome back their Origin players. The Knights have made some adjustments, including Fletcher Hunt starting at fullback.
  • The Storm's motivation to secure the minor premiership could influence their performance.
  • The Storm's drive for the minor premiership and the Knights' desire to stay in contention for the finals could impact team motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -375 for Storm, 300 for Knights, 2400 for Draw Storm to win High
Spread -10.5 for Storm, +10.5 for Knights Storm to cover Medium-High
Over/under 46.5 Over Medium

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -81%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm to win, given their recent form and the return of key players. The Knights' inconsistent performance and injury issues make a Storm victory likely.

Predicted Score: Storm 26 – Knights 16


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Dolphins Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-11
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Shark Park (Sharks Stadium), Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The Cronulla Sutherland Sharks face the Dolphins in Round 19 of the NRL at Shark Park, Sydney. Both teams come off a bye week, expected to be well-rested for a crucial contest. The Sharks are currently 10th on the ladder, seeking to halt a two-game losing streak and improve their form at home where they traditionally perform well. The Dolphins sit 7th, aiming to consolidate a top-eight finals position after a strong recent win over South Sydney. The Dolphins have the psychological edge, leading the head-to-head with two wins from two meetings, including a close 30-28 away victory earlier in the season. This match is critical for both teams’ finals ambitions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins have been scoring prolifically, with 184 points in their last four games and strong individual performances like Herbie Farnworth's nine tries in 10 games. The Sharks have struggled, winning only one of their last five games, but have a strong home advantage and key players such as Ronaldo Mulitalo who has an impressive try rate at Shark Park.
  • The Dolphins are undefeated against the Sharks, having won both previous encounters including a decisive 36-16 win at Suncorp and a narrow 30-28 win at Sharks Stadium.
  • The Dolphins lost Kodi Nikorima to a hamstring injury, with Isaiya Katoa stepping into a greater playmaking role bolstered by confidence from recent NSW Blues camp involvement. The Sharks have named a stable squad including utility Daniel Atkinson returning on the bench, maintaining good squad continuity.
  • Both teams enjoying a week off prior to the match should negate fatigue factors. The Sharks benefit from home conditions at Shark Park. Broadcast coverage on major networks suggests a high-profile and closely followed game.
  • The Dolphins are motivated to cement their top-eight spot with a win, while the Sharks look to arrest a poor run and build momentum for a strong season finish. The Sharks' home crowd and history of tough home performances provide motivational leverage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -152, Dolphins: 132, Draw: 2100 Dolphins ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -3.5 -115, Dolphins: +3.5 -115 Dolphins +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 46.5 -115, Under: 46.5 -115 Over 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 40%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the Dolphins' strong recent form, undefeated record vs. Sharks, and scoring prowess, they are favored to win narrowly but the Sharks' home toughness and need for form recovery make it a close contest. The predicted outcome is a Dolphins win by a small margin.

Predicted Score: Dolphins 28 – 24 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks


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