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Newcastle Knights vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-20
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium

Game Overview

The upcoming match between Newcastle Knights and New Zealand Warriors is expected to be closely contested despite the Warriors being favored. Recent form and head-to-head statistics play crucial roles in assessing the teams' strengths and weaknesses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Zealand Warriors have shown stronger recent form, winning significant matches like against the Wests Tigers and South Sydney Rabbitohs. Newcastle Knights have been inconsistent, struggling against top-tier teams.
  • Historically, head-to-head matchups have favored the Warriors, though recent encounters have been competitive.
  • As of the latest updates, there are no significant injuries reported for either team that would drastically impact the outcome.
  • Weather conditions and home-field advantage could slightly favor the Knights, but not significantly enough to alter the odds dramatically.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure valuable points in the NRL standings, but the Warriors might have an edge in maintaining their stronger season trajectory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Newcastle Knights: 1.90, New Zealand Warriors: 1.57 (implied), Draw: 22.00 New Zealand Warriors ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread New Zealand Warriors: -7.5 at -115 Newcastle Knights +7.5 ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under Over: 43.5 at -115, Under: 43.5 at -115 Under 43.5 ★★★☆☆ 59%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 43.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 43.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Zealand Warriors to win with a close margin.

Predicted Score: New Zealand Warriors 22-20 Newcastle Knights


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Newcastle Knights vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction

Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-07-20 Time: 6:05 AM UTC Location: McDonald Jones Stadium Game Overview The upcoming match between Newcastle Knights and New Zealand Warriors is expected to be closely contested despite the Warriors being favored. Recent form and head-to-head statistics play crucial roles in assessing […]

July 20, 2025 New Zealand Warriors Newcastle Knights Rugbyleague

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Wests Tigers vs. Gold Coast Titans Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs Gold Coast Titans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-20
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Wests Tigers host Gold Coast Titans in an NRL matchup. The Wests Tigers are favored, reflecting their recent form and head-to-head performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Wests Tigers have shown a stronger recent performance compared to Gold Coast Titans.
  • Historically, Wests Tigers have a slight edge over Gold Coast Titans.
  • Current injury reports do not show significant players missing for either team.
  • No significant external factors are expected to impact the game.
  • Both teams are motivated, but Wests Tigers aim to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Wests Tigers: -176, Gold Coast Titans: 148, Draw: 2100 Wests Tigers ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Wests Tigers: -4.5 -120, Gold Coast Titans: 4.5 -110 Wests Tigers ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over: 46.5 -145, Under: 46.5 110 Over ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Wests Tigers -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Wests Tigers are expected to win and cover the spread, with a likelihood of the match going over the total points.

Predicted Score: Wests Tigers 28, Gold Coast Titans 20


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Melbourne Storm vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The Melbourne Storm, one of the top-tier teams in the NRL, face off against the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles, who have been struggling with consistency. Recent form and head-to-head matchups suggest a strong advantage for Melbourne.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm has shown superior performance in recent games, while Manly Warringah Sea Eagles have struggled with inconsistent results.
  • Melbourne Storm has historically dominated Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in recent encounters.
  • No significant injury updates are available for either team.
  • Recent weather conditions and travel fatigue might not significantly impact the match since both teams are accustomed to Australian conditions.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but Melbourne Storm's recent performances suggest a stronger desire to secure crucial points towards the top of the NRL standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm: -315, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: 255, Draw: 2300 Melbourne Storm ★★★★☆ 84%
Spread Melbourne Storm: -10.5 -115, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: 10.5 -115 Melbourne Storm -10.5 ★★★★☆ 81%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -115, Under: 47.5 -115 Over 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 69%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm is expected to dominate the match across various markets.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 28, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 18


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Canterbury Bulldogs vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canterbury Bulldogs vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Canterbury Bulldogs and St George Illawarra Dragons face off in a crucial NRL matchup, with the Bulldogs favored to win. Recent form and head-to-head statistics suggest a strong performance by the Bulldogs.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canterbury Bulldogs have shown stronger recent form compared to the Dragons.
  • The Bulldogs have a slight edge in head-to-head matches, winning more frequently.
  • Injury reports are not specified, but both teams are expected to field their best lineups.
  • Home advantage could slightly favor the Bulldogs.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure a win, but the Bulldogs' current form might give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs: -360, St George Illawarra Dragons: 290 Canterbury Bulldogs ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Canterbury Bulldogs: -10.5 -115, St George Illawarra Dragons: 10.5 -115 Canterbury Bulldogs -10.5 ★★★☆☆ 69%
Over/under Over: 44.5 -115, Under: 44.5 -115 Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Bulldogs are likely to win, given their recent performance and slight historical advantage.

Predicted Score: 24-14 Bulldogs


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Canberra Raiders vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium (NOTE: Venue not specified in search results)

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the Parramatta Eels in a crucial NRL matchup. The Raiders are favored significantly across all markets, reflecting their strong recent form and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders have been performing well in recent games, showcasing strong defensive and attacking capabilities. Parramatta Eels have struggled with consistency.
  • Historically, both teams have had their share of victories, but recent head-to-head matchups have seen the Raiders dominate.
  • No critical injuries reported for either team, but any unexpected absentees could impact team dynamics.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game, but overall, the Raiders' home advantage is significant.
  • Both teams are motivated for different reasons—Raiders for maintaining their winning streak and Eels for seeking a turnaround in their season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders: -460, Parramatta Eels: 345, Draw: 2500 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Canberra Raiders: -13.5 -120, Parramatta Eels: 13.5 -110 Canberra Raiders -13.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 46.5 -145, Under: 46.5 110 Over 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Canberra Raiders at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders are expected to win convincingly against the Parramatta Eels, given their recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28, Parramatta Eels 14


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Penrith Panthers vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Penrith Panthers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-18
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Stadium Australia, Sydney

Game Overview

The Penrith Panthers face the South Sydney Rabbitohs in a tightly contested NRL match where both teams have shown strong recent form. Penrith, the favorites with a moneyline around -250, have won the majority of recent head-to-head games but recently lost to South Sydney 18-28 on March 27, 2025. The matchup promises high intensity given their rivalry and previous matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith Panthers show consistent high-level performance with a majority of wins against South Sydney historically (20 wins to 14). Recent form favors Penrith but South Sydney pulled a notable upset in the last meeting.
  • Historically, Penrith leads with 59% win rate in 34 encounters, but South Sydney has won recently, indicating a competitive rivalry that could sway either way.
  • No significant injury reports affecting key players have been identified in available data, suggesting full-strength lineups likely for both teams.
  • The match is played at Stadium Australia, a neutral venue with no apparent external disadvantages for either team. Weather and pitch conditions are assumed normal.
  • South Sydney has extra motivation after their last victory over Penrith, aiming to maintain momentum. Penrith seeks to reassert dominance and avoid consecutive losses, raising competitive stakes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Penrith Panthers: -250, South Sydney Rabbitohs: +205, Draw: +2300 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Penrith Panthers -8.5: -110, South Sydney Rabbitohs +8.5: -120 Penrith Panthers -8.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115 Over 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers to win moneyline, cover the -8.5 spread, and the game to go over 46.5 points.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 28 – 18 South Sydney Rabbitohs


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-18
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Cronulla, New South Wales, Australia

Game Overview

The match between the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks and the Sydney Roosters is a key NRL fixture, with both teams looking to strengthen their standings mid-season. The Sharks play at home, giving them a slight edge, while the Roosters are coming off recent challenges related to player availability due to State of Origin commitments.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla Sharks have shown more consistent form recently, benefitting from fewer key player absences, whereas the Sydney Roosters have been impacted by State of Origin call-ups which have weakened their squad depth and performance.
  • Historically, matches between these two sides are tightly contested, but the Sharks have edged slightly ahead in recent encounters, including a home advantage that boosts their chances.
  • The Roosters are notably affected by several Origin call-ups, reducing their top-tier player availability and weakening key positions; the Sharks report a relatively healthy roster with no major absences.
  • Playing at home in favorable weather and venue conditions benefits the Sharks. The Roosters additionally face travel fatigue and team cohesion challenges following recent representative fixtures.
  • The Sharks are motivated to capitalize on their home advantage to secure a win and improve league position, while the Roosters aim to overcome adversity but are under increased pressure to regain form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -148, Sydney Roosters: 128, Draw: 2100 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -3.5: -115, Sydney Roosters +3.5: -115 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115 Over 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sharks to win outright, cover the -3.5 spread, and the total score to go over 46.5 points.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 26 – 18 Sydney Roosters


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Dolphins vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-17
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium

Game Overview

The Dolphins host the North Queensland Cowboys in round 20 of the 2025 NRL season at Suncorp Stadium. The Dolphins have established themselves as strong contenders this year with solid form at home, while the Cowboys have been inconsistent and face a tough away challenge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins show strong recent form and have a 69% simulated win probability against the Cowboys based on 10,000 simulations. The Cowboys' away performance and defensive lapses reduce their chances.
  • Historically, the Dolphins have had an edge in their recent encounters, especially at home, reinforcing the model's confidence in the home side's advantage.
  • No significant injury updates impacting starting lineups for either team have been reported, suggesting both sides will field near full-strength squads.
  • Playing at Suncorp Stadium confers a strong home-ground advantage to the Dolphins. Weather conditions are expected to be favourable, allowing for an open and high-scoring game.
  • The Dolphins are motivated to consolidate their ladder position to secure finals contention, while the Cowboys, lower on the table, are under pressure to gain points but may be more prone to errors under stress.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins -179, Cowboys +153, Draw 2200 Dolphins ★★★☆☆ 69%
Spread Dolphins -4.5 -115, Cowboys +4.5 -115 Dolphins -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under Over 48.5 -115, Under 48.5 -115 Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dolphins 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dolphins to win on the moneyline, cover the -4.5 spread, and the total points to go over 48.5

Predicted Score: Dolphins 26 – Cowboys 18


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Gold Coast Titans vs. Brisbane Broncos Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Gold Coast Titans vs Brisbane Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-13
  • Time: 8:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Undisclosed

Game Overview

The Brisbane Broncos are favored to win against the Gold Coast Titans, reflecting their recent form and historical dominance in head-to-head matchups.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brisbane Broncos have shown stronger recent form compared to the Gold Coast Titans.
  • Brisbane Broncos historically have a good record against the Gold Coast Titans.
  • No specific injury updates provided for this matchup.
  • No external factors mentioned that could significantly impact the game.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but Brisbane Broncos have more to gain in terms of standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos -335, Gold Coast Titans 270 Brisbane Broncos ★★★★☆ 84%
Spread Brisbane Broncos -10.5 -115 Brisbane Broncos -10.5 ★★★★☆ 76%
Over/under Over 49.5 -115, Under 49.5 -115 Under 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos 9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos to win outright.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 28, Gold Coast Titans 18


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Parramatta Eels vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-13
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

A high-stakes Western Sydney derby between Parramatta Eels and Penrith Panthers, featuring contrasting bookmaker and statistical model views. Panthers enter as strong favorites, but recent form, home advantage, and derby dynamics suggest a tighter contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith Panthers have been dominant recently, winning their last three matches against Parramatta by narrow margins (1-12 points). Parramatta have a solid home record with 4 wins in 8 games at CommBank Stadium this season, often keeping games close and low scoring.
  • Penrith has a clear edge with recent winning streaks over Parramatta, but margins have been slim. Derby games historically tend to defy form, with both sides capable of grinding out results.
  • No major injuries reported that drastically affect key players from either team, suggesting both sides can field near full-strength lineups.
  • Derby intensity and local rivalry increase unpredictability. Home crowd support for Parramatta is a significant factor, likely boosting their motivation and performance.
  • Parramatta eager to prove themselves against the top-ranked Panthers and capitalize on home advantage. Penrith motivated to maintain dominance and secure premiership points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Parramatta Eels: 2.4, Penrith Panthers: 1.33, Draw: 23 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Parramatta Eels +9.5: -110, Penrith Panthers -9.5: -120 Parramatta Eels +9.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 45.5: -115, Under 45.5: -115 Under 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 45.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers to narrowly win with a defensive, low-scoring game outcome, but Parramatta Eels represent strong value against the spread due to bookmaker overestimation of Panthers' margin.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 22 – Parramatta Eels 16


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