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New Zealand Warriors vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Go Media Stadium, Auckland

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL match between New Zealand Warriors and St George Illawarra Dragons is expected to be a closely contested game, characterized by a defensive struggle and limited scoring opportunities, with the Warriors as slight favorites playing at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Warriors have shown moderately stronger form overall, with a home advantage at Go Media Stadium. The Dragons exhibit resilient defensive performances and tend to perform well as underdogs on the road. Both teams' attacks have faced inconsistency recently.
  • Recent encounters have been tight with minimal margins separating winners. Power rankings slightly favor the Warriors (7.83) over the Dragons (12.67), but defensive abilities keep games close.
  • No critical injury reports were available from current data, suggesting broadly full-strength squads with no significant absences impacting the starting lineups.
  • The atmosphere created by the Auckland crowd typically boosts Warriors performances, yet the Dragons’ strong away resilience and motivation to upset the home favorites are notable.
  • The Warriors are motivated to leverage home advantage and maintain their winning momentum, while the Dragons are driven by being underdogs and their consistent defensive mindset, seeking an upset victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Warriors -186, Dragons 157, Draw 2100 New Zealand Warriors ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Warriors -4.5 -115, Dragons +4.5 -115 New Zealand Warriors -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 42.5 -115, Under 42.5 -115 Under 42.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 42.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 42.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Zealand Warriors to win on the moneyline, cover the -4.5 spread, and the total score to go under 42.5 points.

Predicted Score: Warriors 22 – Dragons 18


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New Zealand Warriors vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction

Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-15 Time: 8:00 AM UTC Location: Go Media Stadium, Auckland Game Overview The upcoming NRL match between New Zealand Warriors and St George Illawarra Dragons is expected to be a closely contested game, characterized by a defensive struggle and limited […]

August 15, 2025 New Zealand Warriors Rugbyleague St George Illawarra Dragons

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Sydney Roosters vs. Canterbury Bulldogs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs Canterbury Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium

Game Overview

The Sydney Roosters host the Canterbury Bulldogs in Round 24 of the 2025 NRL season at Allianz Stadium. The Bulldogs are slight favorites based on current form and recent analytics.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Bulldogs have shown stronger recent performance than the Roosters, with predictive models giving them a 59% chance of winning. The Roosters have struggled slightly in form and consistency.
  • Historical H2H data suggests a competitive match-up, but recent simulations favor the Bulldogs with a slight edge at this venue.
  • No significant injury concerns reported for either side impacting key positions at this time.
  • The game is played at the Roosters' home ground, Allianz Stadium, which may provide a home advantage, but does not appear to outweigh form and momentum factors.
  • Both teams are highly motivated at this late stage in the season, but the Bulldogs appear driven by playoff contention urgency, while the Roosters are fighting for form recovery.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -136, Sydney Roosters 116, Draw 2000 Canterbury Bulldogs ★★★★☆ 73%
Spread Canterbury Bulldogs -1.5 -120, Sydney Roosters +1.5 -110 Canterbury Bulldogs -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 41.5 -115, Under 41.5 -115 Over 41.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 41.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Canterbury Bulldogs at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline win for Canterbury Bulldogs, spread cover for Canterbury Bulldogs -1.5, and the game total over 41.5 points

Predicted Score: Canterbury Bulldogs 24 – Sydney Roosters 18


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Penrith Panthers vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-14
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Bankwest Stadium

Game Overview

An evenly matched NRL Round 24 clash between the Penrith Panthers and Melbourne Storm at Bankwest Stadium, with both teams exhibiting strong recent form and playoff motivation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith holds a 5-game winning streak and sits 6th on the table with 9-7 record, while Melbourne is 3rd with 12-5 and 7 wins in 10 recent games, showing consistent high-level performance.
  • Historically balanced with 9 wins each out of 18 encounters; recent form shows Panthers favored at home supported by a 63% predicted win probability.
  • No significant injury disruptions reported for either side, both squads appear near full strength.
  • Match played at Penrith's home ground, Bankwest Stadium, providing Panthers with a home advantage; weather and pitch conditions expected to be neutral.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure position and momentum ahead of finals, Panthers aiming to strengthen playoff access, Storm pushing top 4 placement.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Penrith -120, Melbourne +108, Draw +1900 Penrith Panthers ★★★☆☆ 63%
Spread Penrith -1.5 (-125), Melbourne +1.5 (-105) Penrith Panthers -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 41.5 (-115), Under 41.5 (-115) Under 41.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 41.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Penrith Panthers at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers to win outright based on home advantage, recent form, and stronger predicted win probability.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 22 – Melbourne Storm 18


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Parramatta Eels vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Parramatta Eels host the North Queensland Cowboys in a crucial Round 23 NRL matchup. Parramatta enter as favorites based on recent form and home advantage, but Cowboys show improving momentum and possess the potential to upset, especially given Parramatta's recent vulnerability against physical sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Parramatta have shown a resurgence late season with renewed grit and key playmaker form, whereas North Queensland have defensive struggles conceding 32+ points in many recent games but are regaining key players and building confidence on the road.
  • Historically balanced with Parramatta winning five of the last seven clashes, but no recent decisive dominance. Both teams have similar metrics across attack and defense in recent clashes.
  • North Queensland welcoming back key figures like Jason Taumalolo and Jake Clifford, improving their cohesion. Parramatta appear relatively stable with Mitch Moses influential.
  • CommBank Stadium is a traditionally strong home ground for Parramatta, but recent cracks have appeared making home advantage less secure. The match has high stakes in avoiding the wooden spoon, motivating both teams.
  • Both teams are motivated by ladder pressure and late-season survival stakes, with Parramatta aiming to maintain momentum and Cowboys to capitalize on psychological edge as underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Parramatta Eels -164, North Queensland Cowboys +142, Draw +2100 Parramatta Eels ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Parramatta Eels -4.5 (-110), North Queensland Cowboys +4.5 (-120) Parramatta Eels -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 47.5 (-115), Under 47.5 (-115) Under 47.5 points ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Parramatta Eels 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 35%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Parramatta Eels to win on the moneyline, cover the -4.5 point spread, and the total score to go under 47.5 points.

Predicted Score: Parramatta Eels 22 – North Queensland Cowboys 14


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Gold Coast Titans vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Gold Coast Titans vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast

Game Overview

The Gold Coast Titans host the South Sydney Rabbitohs in a pivotal NRL clash. South Sydney has dominated recent head-to-head meetings with a 74% win rate over the last several matchups. The Titans are slight favorites based on current moneyline odds but face a tough challenge given Rabbitohs' recent form and historical dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • South Sydney Rabbitohs have shown consistent strong performance in the 2025 season with a solid winning streak and high-scoring games. Gold Coast Titans have struggled against top-tier teams but have home advantage and a motivated squad.
  • Rabbitohs lead the last 23 meetings with 17 wins to Titans' 6, including several decisive wins by large margins, making them historically dominant in this matchup.
  • No major injuries reported for either team that significantly impact the starting lineup or key playmakers.
  • Game being played at the Titans' home ground offers a slight edge in conditions and crowd support. No weather or external conditions expected to negatively affect play.
  • Rabbitohs are likely motivated to maintain their dominance and secure finals positioning, while Titans seek to leverage home conditions to upset the favored Rabbitohs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gold Coast Titans: -168, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 144, Draw: 2000 Gold Coast Titans ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Gold Coast Titans -4.5: -105, South Sydney Rabbitohs +4.5: -125 Gold Coast Titans -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 53.5: -115, Under 53.5: -115 Under 53.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gold Coast Titans -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 53.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gold Coast Titans to win on moneyline and cover the spread with the total points going under 53.5

Predicted Score: Gold Coast Titans 26 – 22 South Sydney Rabbitohs


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Canterbury Bulldogs vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canterbury Bulldogs vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Stadium Australia, Sydney

Game Overview

The Canterbury Bulldogs host the New Zealand Warriors in a closely matched NRL Round 23 game at Stadium Australia. The Bulldogs are favourites but the Warriors have shown resilience and possess upset potential. This contest is expected to be tight with strong defensive efforts from both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canterbury Bulldogs have built impressive late-season momentum with solid home performances, whereas the New Zealand Warriors struggle with inconsistency, especially on the road but have shown the capability to compete fiercely.
  • Recent history between the teams is balanced with no clear dominant side. Both teams have similar defensive strength and moderate scoring, projecting a close contest.
  • No major injury updates altering team strengths significantly for either side have been reported in the data.
  • Playing at home gives the Bulldogs a tangible advantage given the momentum they have at Stadium Australia, whereas the Warriors face the challenge of travel and away form.
  • The Bulldogs are positioned to secure a crucial late-season victory with playoff implications, while the Warriors seek to salvage pride toward the end of their campaign, adding competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -275, New Zealand Warriors +225, Draw +2200 Canterbury Bulldogs ★★★★☆ 77%
Spread Bulldogs -8.5 (-115), Warriors +8.5 (-115) Canterbury Bulldogs to cover -8.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 42.5 (-105), Under 42.5 (-125) Under 42.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 42.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 42.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canterbury Bulldogs to win moneyline; Bulldogs to cover the -8.5 spread; Under 42.5 total points

Predicted Score: Canterbury Bulldogs 22 – New Zealand Warriors 16


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Dolphins vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Game Overview

The Dolphins host the Sydney Roosters in a highly anticipated NRL Round 23 clash at Suncorp Stadium. Both teams show strong attacking capabilities, with the Dolphins enjoying home advantage and recent momentum, while the Roosters remain battle-tested and favored by bookmakers. The match is expected to be closely contested with a relatively high scoring outcome.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins are currently in strong form, playing well at home with attacking momentum, whereas the Roosters exhibit solid but inconsistent away performances. Recent data suggest a tight match with both teams capable of scoring heavily.
  • Limited history between the two franchises, but recent matches indicate tight contests. The Dolphins won a high-scoring meeting earlier this season at Suncorp Stadium 36-26. Both teams have roughly equal power rankings around 5.5 and 5.8, signaling balanced competition.
  • No significant injury reports impacting starting lineups have been noted for either side, suggesting strongest teams available.
  • Home crowd support strongly favors the Dolphins at Suncorp Stadium. The Roosters face the challenge of travel and playing away, which has historically affected their performance.
  • Dolphins are motivated by continuing their winning streak and maintaining home dominance late in the season. The Roosters seek consistency and value this game as pivotal to sustaining finals aspirations.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins +102, Sydney Roosters -121, Draw +2000 Sydney Roosters ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Dolphins +1.5 (-115), Sydney Roosters -1.5 (-115) Sydney Roosters -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 48.5 (-115), Under 48.5 (-115) Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters moneyline win

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 28, Dolphins 24


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Netstrata Jubilee Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

A tight NRL derby between southern Sydney rivals with near parity in recent form and performance metrics, expected to be a close, low-scoring contest reflective of derby intensity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams exhibit strong defense and balanced attack; Sharks have marginally better recent form with a 70-77% win probability in modeling but Dragons build momentum approaching this match.
  • Virtually even split in recent derby matchups; no dominant side with equal power rankings and similar scoring and defensive statistics.
  • No major injury news publicly available indicating significant absences for either side; squads appear near full-strength.
  • Dragons at home in an intense derby atmosphere at Jubilee Stadium which may slightly enhance their performance; Sharks have strong away record but face hostile environment.
  • Sharks highly motivated aiming for finals push; Dragons motivated by home ground pride and derby rivalry making this a high-intensity matchup.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sharks: -205, St George Illawarra Dragons: 172, Draw: 2200 Cronulla Sharks ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Cronulla Sharks -7.5: -115, St George Illawarra Dragons +7.5: -115 Cronulla Sharks -7.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115 Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 1096%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at 1096% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 49.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline prediction favors Cronulla Sharks to win, but the market undervalues Dragons' chance suggesting potential value on Dragons for spread and moneyline. Spread predicted to favor Sharks covering -7.5 given their superior form with moderate confidence. Total points expected under 46.5 due to derby intensity limiting scoring.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sharks 22 – St George Illawarra Dragons 15


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Canberra Raiders vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-08
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in this NRL Round 23 matchup, with the Raiders currently top of the standings and in strong form, while the Sea Eagles sit mid-table with inconsistent recent results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders hold a strong 11-3 win-loss record (79% win rate), showing excellent form recently with 4 wins in their last 5 games. Manly Sea Eagles are 6-8 (43%) and have struggled with a 1-3 win-loss in their last 4 matches.
  • Historically, Canberra leads with 11 wins to Manly's 6 from 17 encounters. Recent predictive analytics give the Raiders a 67% chance to win this fixture at home.
  • No critical injury updates specified, indicating key players are likely available for Canberra, which supports their strong expected performance.
  • Home advantage at GIO Stadium Canberra and stable conditions favor the Raiders. There are no major external disruptions impacting this game.
  • Canberra Raiders appear motivated to consolidate their top table position and secure finals advantages, whereas Manly's motivation is dampened by recent inconsistent results and lower ladder standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -230, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles +188, Draw +2200 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Canberra Raiders -8.5 -105, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles +8.5 -125 Canberra Raiders -8.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 45.5 -115, Under 45.5 -115 Over 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 45.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 45.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders to win outright and cover the line, with total points likely to exceed 45.5.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28 – 16 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles


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Newcastle Knights vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-08
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium

Game Overview

The Newcastle Knights host the Penrith Panthers in a Round 23 NRL match. Panthers enter as strong favourites based on recent form, head-to-head dominance, and superior squad depth.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith Panthers display strong recent form with consistent wins, superior fitness, and tactical execution. Newcastle Knights have been competitive but generally fall short against top-tier teams like the Panthers.
  • Historical data and simulations give Panthers around 80% chance to beat the Knights, usually by a moderate margin. Panthers have held dominance in recent matchups, especially at Newcastle's home ground.
  • No critical injury updates indicate significant absences impacting either side, suggesting both squads likely near full strength.
  • Match played at McDonald Jones Stadium favors Knights slightly due to home advantage, but Panthers’ mental and tactical edge likely neutralizes this factor.
  • Panthers motivated to maintain top-tier momentum heading into finals, while Knights aim to challenge but face a tough test against a dominant side.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Newcastle Knights: 305, Penrith Panthers: -400, Draw: 2400 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Newcastle Knights +12.5: -120, Penrith Panthers -12.5: -110 Newcastle Knights +12.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115 Under 44.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 44.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers to win by a margin within 1-12 points, in a controlled, tactical match likely scoring below or near total set line.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 24 – Newcastle Knights 18


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