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New Zealand Warriors vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 25 April 2025
  • Time: 8:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Apollo Projects Stadium, Christchurch, NZ

Game Overview

The match between the New Zealand Warriors and Newcastle Knights is scheduled for Round 8 of the NRL Premiership, with the Warriors currently positioned higher in the standings. The Warriors have a strong home advantage playing in New Zealand.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Warriors are currently 4th in the standings, while the Knights are 14th. The Warriors have shown more consistent team performance in recent matches.
  • Historically, the Warriors have had mixed results against the Knights, but their recent form suggests an advantage.
  • There is limited information available about current injuries affecting the match outcome.
  • Playing in Christchurch provides the Warriors with a home advantage and potentially supportive crowd.
  • Both teams are motivated, but the Warriors face greater pressure to maintain their position in the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -295, away: 225 Warriors ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: -112 (44.5), under: -112 (44.5) Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: New Zealand Warriors at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Warriors are likely to dominate this match due to their current form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Warriors 26 – Knights 16


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New Zealand Warriors vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction

Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction Match Details Date: 25 April 2025 Time: 8:05 AM UTC Location: Apollo Projects Stadium, Christchurch, NZ Game Overview The match between the New Zealand Warriors and Newcastle Knights is scheduled for Round 8 of the NRL Premiership, with the Warriors currently positioned higher in the […]

April 25, 2025 New Zealand Warriors Newcastle Knights Rugbyleague

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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-21
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Stadium Australia

Game Overview

The match features the South Sydney Rabbitohs hosting the St George Illawarra Dragons in Round 25 of the NRL season, with the Dragons currently favored to win based on recent analytics and form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dragons have shown stronger recent form statistically, with a predictive model assigning them a 63% chance to win. The Rabbitohs have struggled against them historically and in recent matches.
  • The Dragons hold a dominant head-to-head record recently, winning 68% of the last 34 encounters. Notably, the Dragons took the previous close match 25-24 in March 2025.
  • No major injury updates reported for either side that would significantly alter lineup strength or tactics.
  • The game is at Stadium Australia, which slightly favors the home Rabbitohs but their home advantage is not enough to overcome Dragons' current momentum.
  • Both teams are motivated for late-season wins; however, the Dragons appear more driven to secure a playoff position, impacting their likely intensity and discipline.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline South Sydney Rabbitohs +104, St George Illawarra Dragons -120, Draw +2000 St George Illawarra Dragons ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread South Sydney Rabbitohs +1.5 -115, St George Illawarra Dragons -1.5 -115 St George Illawarra Dragons -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 44.5 -110, Under 44.5 -120 Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons 36%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: St George Illawarra Dragons at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

St George Illawarra Dragons to win (moneyline), cover -1.5 spread, and over 44.5 total points

Predicted Score: Dragons 26 – Rabbitohs 20


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North Queensland Cowboys vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium

Game Overview

The North Queensland Cowboys host the Newcastle Knights in Round 24 of the 2025 NRL season. Both teams are out of finals contention, playing mainly for pride and to avoid wooden spoon status. The Cowboys enter as strong favorites with superior recent H2H records and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Cowboys have shown defensive improvements and have won 4 straight matches over the Knights, although their overall season form has been poor with 8 losses in 10 games. The Knights remain the league’s lowest-scoring side and have dropped 5 consecutive matches, struggling offensively.
  • The Cowboys boast a dominant recent H2H record with 4 straight victories against the Knights, including last year’s elimination final. They have a 9-game winning streak at home versus Newcastle.
  • The Cowboys have several players returning from injury (McLean, Lawton, Mikaele, Edwards) but are missing Coen Hess due to suspension. Knights are without Phoenix Crossland (head knock) and make debut with rookie Connor Votano. Dane Gagai returns from injury.
  • Playing at home in Townsville gives the Cowboys a strong advantage, amplified by the Knights’ ongoing offensive struggles and recent heavy defeats.
  • Both teams have limited motivation due to eliminated finals hopes, but the Cowboys’ recent defensive improvements and home dominance provide more incentive to maintain pride and momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cowboys -225, Knights 185, Draw 2200 North Queensland Cowboys ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Cowboys -7.5 (-115), Knights +7.5 (-115) North Queensland Cowboys -7.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 47.5 (-115), Under 47.5 (-115) Over 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Queensland Cowboys -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

North Queensland Cowboys to win outright with a cover on the -7.5 spread and the game total going over 47.5 points.

Predicted Score: North Queensland Cowboys 28 – 18 Newcastle Knights


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Wests Tigers vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

A closely matched clash between Wests Tigers and Manly Warringah Sea Eagles with both teams showing strong defensive efforts but inconsistent attack. The Sea Eagles come in as favourites but recent form and motivation suggest a tight, low-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly Sea Eagles hold steadier form but have lost their last three matches including to tough teams. Wests Tigers are improving and coming off a strong win, showing resilience and fight.
  • Historically close contests; recent meetings have been tight with minor margins. Defensive battles dominate with scoring opportunities limited.
  • No major injuries reported that significantly impact starting lineups; teams expected to be near full strength.
  • Playing at Allianz Stadium in Sydney benefits Wests Tigers who typically perform better at home. Weather and conditions expected to be neutral to slightly favor defensive play.
  • Sea Eagles' recent losing streak and playoff uncertainty may reduce intensity, while Tigers are motivated by pride and a chance to upset a favoured opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly -148, Wests Tigers 128, Draw 2000 Wests Tigers ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Manly -2.5 -120, Wests Tigers +2.5 -110 Wests Tigers +2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 48.5 -115, Under 48.5 -115 Under 48.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Wests Tigers to cover the +2.5 spread and keep the game close, with a possible upset win based on value and motivation disparities.

Predicted Score: Manly Sea Eagles 22 – Wests Tigers 20


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

A tightly contested and low-scoring NRL Round 24 match between two closely matched teams fighting for crucial ladder positions. Expect strong defensive performances and a close scoreline, with Parramatta Eels as slight favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have inconsistent attacks but strong defensive structures. Recent form shows both sides are desperate for momentum late in the season.
  • Recent clashes have been decided by narrow margins, showing parity. Historical matchups favor a defensive, grind-style game.
  • No significant injury reports available that drastically affect either starting lineup or key defensive players.
  • Home advantage for South Sydney Rabbitohs at Allianz Stadium, but Parramatta Eels are motivated to secure their finals push.
  • High stakes for both teams with finals implications, leading to intense physical contests and minimal scoring separation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline South Sydney Rabbitohs 1.37, Parramatta Eels -1.57, Draw 20.00 Parramatta Eels ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Parramatta Eels -3.5 (-120), South Sydney Rabbitohs +3.5 (-110) South Sydney Rabbitohs +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 47.5 (-115), Under 47.5 (-115) Under 47.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Parramatta Eels 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Parramatta Eels moneyline win; South Sydney Rabbitohs +3.5 points on spread; Under 47.5 points total

Predicted Score: Parramatta Eels 22 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 20


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Brisbane Broncos vs. Dolphins Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Brisbane Broncos vs Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium

Game Overview

Queensland derby between Brisbane Broncos and Dolphins at Suncorp Stadium, featuring two closely matched sides battling for finals positioning in Round 24 of the 2025 NRL season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Broncos are 6th with patchy recent form, hit by key injuries to Adam Reynolds, Ezra Mam, and Selwyn Cobbo; Dolphins sit 8th, also reeling from a heavy loss but motivated to bounce back.
  • Broncos lead head-to-head 4-1 including a 20-12 win in Round 4; Dolphins had a dominant 40-6 win late last year.
  • Broncos missing key halves Reynolds and Mam (likely season-ending), Cobbo also injured; Dolphins missing Herbie Farnworth but have Kenny Bromwich returning.
  • Both teams share Suncorp Stadium as home ground, neutralizing home advantage; electric stadium atmosphere expected with split crowd support.
  • Broncos aiming to salvage top-four hopes despite injuries; Dolphins seek immediate rebound from recent heavy defeat amid strong coach motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos: -141, Dolphins: 126, Draw: 2000 Brisbane Broncos ★★★☆☆ 66%
Spread Broncos -2.5 -115, Dolphins +2.5 -115 Broncos -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 49.5 -115, Under 49.5 -115 Under 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Brisbane Broncos at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite the Broncos' injury setbacks, their defensive discipline and home familiarity give them a slight edge in a tightly contested match. Expect a close, low-scoring game with Broncos narrowly prevailing.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 24 – 20 Dolphins


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Gold Coast Titans Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Gold Coast Titans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Shark Park, Sydney

Game Overview

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks host the Gold Coast Titans in an NRL Round 24 match at Shark Park. The Sharks enter as favorites with better form and a stronger head-to-head record, but the Titans are capable of causing an upset given their motivation and potential for explosive play.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sharks sit 8th in the NRL with 10 wins and decent home form; Titans are 17th with only 4 wins and poor recent form. Sharks have been consistent but not dominant, Titans have had several close contests despite losing.
  • Historically, Sharks dominate with 11 wins to Titans’ 3 in 15 meetings. Recent matches have been closer than expected, with Titans showing competitive potential.
  • No major injury news significantly impacting either side has been reported, allowing both teams to field near full-strength lineups.
  • Home advantage for Sharks at Shark Park is significant. Weather and field conditions expected to be standard; no disruptions forecasted.
  • Sharks motivated to secure finals positioning; Titans fighting to avoid the wooden spoon and playing with less pressure, which could fuel an inspired performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -290, away: 220, draw: 2500 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 79%
Spread home: -110, away: -120, line: 10.5 Gold Coast Titans +10.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: -115, under: -115, line: 51.5 Under 51.5 points ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 51.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks to win on the moneyline, but the 11+ point spread is too steep given the Titans’ competitiveness; expect a close game with a combined score under the high total line.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 24 – Gold Coast Titans 16


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Sydney Roosters vs. Canterbury Bulldogs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs Canterbury Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium

Game Overview

The Sydney Roosters host the Canterbury Bulldogs in Round 24 of the 2025 NRL season at Allianz Stadium. The Bulldogs are slight favorites based on current form and recent analytics.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Bulldogs have shown stronger recent performance than the Roosters, with predictive models giving them a 59% chance of winning. The Roosters have struggled slightly in form and consistency.
  • Historical H2H data suggests a competitive match-up, but recent simulations favor the Bulldogs with a slight edge at this venue.
  • No significant injury concerns reported for either side impacting key positions at this time.
  • The game is played at the Roosters' home ground, Allianz Stadium, which may provide a home advantage, but does not appear to outweigh form and momentum factors.
  • Both teams are highly motivated at this late stage in the season, but the Bulldogs appear driven by playoff contention urgency, while the Roosters are fighting for form recovery.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -136, Sydney Roosters 116, Draw 2000 Canterbury Bulldogs ★★★★☆ 73%
Spread Canterbury Bulldogs -1.5 -120, Sydney Roosters +1.5 -110 Canterbury Bulldogs -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 41.5 -115, Under 41.5 -115 Over 41.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 41.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Canterbury Bulldogs at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline win for Canterbury Bulldogs, spread cover for Canterbury Bulldogs -1.5, and the game total over 41.5 points

Predicted Score: Canterbury Bulldogs 24 – Sydney Roosters 18


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New Zealand Warriors vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Go Media Stadium, Auckland

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL match between New Zealand Warriors and St George Illawarra Dragons is expected to be a closely contested game, characterized by a defensive struggle and limited scoring opportunities, with the Warriors as slight favorites playing at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Warriors have shown moderately stronger form overall, with a home advantage at Go Media Stadium. The Dragons exhibit resilient defensive performances and tend to perform well as underdogs on the road. Both teams' attacks have faced inconsistency recently.
  • Recent encounters have been tight with minimal margins separating winners. Power rankings slightly favor the Warriors (7.83) over the Dragons (12.67), but defensive abilities keep games close.
  • No critical injury reports were available from current data, suggesting broadly full-strength squads with no significant absences impacting the starting lineups.
  • The atmosphere created by the Auckland crowd typically boosts Warriors performances, yet the Dragons’ strong away resilience and motivation to upset the home favorites are notable.
  • The Warriors are motivated to leverage home advantage and maintain their winning momentum, while the Dragons are driven by being underdogs and their consistent defensive mindset, seeking an upset victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Warriors -186, Dragons 157, Draw 2100 New Zealand Warriors ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Warriors -4.5 -115, Dragons +4.5 -115 New Zealand Warriors -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 42.5 -115, Under 42.5 -115 Under 42.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 42.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 42.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Zealand Warriors to win on the moneyline, cover the -4.5 spread, and the total score to go under 42.5 points.

Predicted Score: Warriors 22 – Dragons 18


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Penrith Panthers vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-14
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Bankwest Stadium

Game Overview

An evenly matched NRL Round 24 clash between the Penrith Panthers and Melbourne Storm at Bankwest Stadium, with both teams exhibiting strong recent form and playoff motivation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith holds a 5-game winning streak and sits 6th on the table with 9-7 record, while Melbourne is 3rd with 12-5 and 7 wins in 10 recent games, showing consistent high-level performance.
  • Historically balanced with 9 wins each out of 18 encounters; recent form shows Panthers favored at home supported by a 63% predicted win probability.
  • No significant injury disruptions reported for either side, both squads appear near full strength.
  • Match played at Penrith's home ground, Bankwest Stadium, providing Panthers with a home advantage; weather and pitch conditions expected to be neutral.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure position and momentum ahead of finals, Panthers aiming to strengthen playoff access, Storm pushing top 4 placement.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Penrith -120, Melbourne +108, Draw +1900 Penrith Panthers ★★★☆☆ 63%
Spread Penrith -1.5 (-125), Melbourne +1.5 (-105) Penrith Panthers -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 41.5 (-115), Under 41.5 (-115) Under 41.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 41.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Penrith Panthers at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers to win outright based on home advantage, recent form, and stronger predicted win probability.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 22 – Melbourne Storm 18


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