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Melbourne Storm vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Melbourne Rectangular Stadium, Melbourne, Australia

Game Overview

The Melbourne Storm are set to host the Wests Tigers in Round 10 of the 2025 NRL season. The Storm enter as heavy favorites, both according to recent form and predictive models, which give them an 83% chance of winning. The Tigers, while capable of upsets, have struggled against Melbourne historically and in recent fixtures.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have been dominant in recent seasons and are currently performing well above league average, particularly at home. The Wests Tigers have been inconsistent, with notable roster and performance issues.
  • Melbourne Storm have a strong recent head-to-head record against the Wests Tigers, winning most of their recent encounters. Last five meetings show Storm favored in both home and away fixtures.
  • No major injuries reported for either side as of now, but always check team lineups on game day for last-minute changes.
  • The match is played at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium, where the Storm have a formidable home record. Weather is not expected to be a factor.
  • Melbourne are motivated to maintain their top-four push, while the Tigers are seeking to upset the odds and gain some momentum in their campaign.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline {Melbourne Storm: -575, Wests Tigers: 395, Draw: 2800} Melbourne Storm High (83%)
Spread {Melbourne Storm: -14.5 -115, Wests Tigers: +14.5 -115} Melbourne Storm covers -14.5 Moderate-High (70%)
Over/under {Over 50.5: -115, Under 50.5: -115} Under 50.5 Moderate (55%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 50.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm are predicted to win by a comfortable margin, likely covering the -14.5 spread. The total is expected to be close to the set line, with a slight lean towards the under due to Melbourne’s strong defense.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 26 – Wests Tigers 10


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Melbourne Storm vs. Wests Tigers Prediction

Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Wests Tigers – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-05-11 Time: 4:00 AM UTC Location: Melbourne Rectangular Stadium, Melbourne, Australia Game Overview The Melbourne Storm are set to host the Wests Tigers in Round 10 of the 2025 NRL season. The Storm enter as heavy favorites, both according to recent form and […]

May 11, 2025 Melbourne Storm Rugbyleague Wests Tigers

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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Sharks Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks are set to face the Melbourne Storm in Round 11 of the 2025 NRL season. The Storm, currently ranked third, enter this match with momentum, having recently defeated the Wests Tigers 64-0. The Sharks, positioned fifth, look to capitalize on recent wins but face a tough challenge against a strong Storm side.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Melbourne Storm have been performing well, maintaining their starting lineup from their previous dominant win. The Sharks have shown resilience but face a tough test against a consistent Storm team.
  • Historically, the Storm have a strong head-to-head record against the Sharks, though recent performances can vary. This history may influence the Storm's confidence going into the match.
  • Key Storm players like Harry Grant are returning from injuries, which could impact their performance. The Sharks have Thomas Hazelton unavailable.
  • External factors such as home advantage may play a role for the Sharks, but the Storm's form suggests they are well-prepared for away games.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points, with the Storm seeking to maintain their high league position and the Sharks aiming to climb the ladder.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sharks: 151, Storm: -179, Draw: 2000 Melbourne Storm ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Sharks: 4.5 -120, Storm: -4.5 -110 Melbourne Storm ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 46.5 -106, Under: 46.5 -118 Over ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm 17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Melbourne Storm at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on recent form and historical data, the Storm are favorites to win this match.

Predicted Score: Storm 28, Sharks 18


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North Queensland Cowboys vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium, Townsville

Game Overview

The Round 11 NRL clash between the North Queensland Cowboys and Manly Warringah Sea Eagles will be a tightly contested battle at Queensland Country Bank Stadium. The Cowboys, positioned 6th on the ladder, host the 8th placed Sea Eagles. Both teams come with some squad changes, with the Cowboys key player Jason Taumalolo sidelined due to a calf injury, while Manly has shuffled some forwards but retained their backline. This match is crucial for both teams to maintain or improve their standing in the mid-table battle of the NRL.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Cowboys have maintained solid home form and sit 6th, while Manly occupies 8th position, reflecting a similar level of competition. Cowboys have introduced fresh talent like Jaxon Purdue and Zac Laybutt returning after injury. Manly has made positional changes in the forwards, with Jake Trbojevic moving to lock and Jazz Tevaga returning to hooker, signaling tactical adjustments after a recent loss to the Sharks.
  • Historically, matches between these two teams are competitive with no significant dominance. Both sides have had mixed results when meeting recently, indicating the upcoming match could be closely fought. The even nature of the rivalry adds to the unpredictability of the game.
  • Jason Taumalolo remains out for the Cowboys with a calf injury, weakening their front row strength. Manly has no major injury concerns but has made strategic forward changes. The return of key players like Zac Laybutt for the Cowboys is a positive sign.
  • The game is played in Townsville at the Cowboys' home stadium, which usually gives the home side a slight advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be typical for the region and season, with no notable external disruptions reported.
  • Both teams have strong motivation to secure a win to consolidate their mid-table status and push towards finals contention. The Cowboys, playing at home and with some new players eager to impress, may have a slight edge in motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: 118, North Queensland Cowboys: -132, Draw: 1800 North Queensland Cowboys win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Manly Warringah Sea Eagles +1.5: -105, North Queensland Cowboys -1.5: -125 Cowboys to cover -1.5 spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 51.5: -115, Under 51.5: -115 Under 51.5 points total ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Queensland Cowboys -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 51.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A narrow home win for the North Queensland Cowboys is predicted due to home advantage, recent squad improvements, and the slight edge in motivation. Expect a tightly contested match with a close scoreline.

Predicted Score: North Queensland Cowboys 26 – 22 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles


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Dolphins vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Karren Brady Stadium (Home advantage for Dolphins)

Game Overview

The Dolphins and New Zealand Warriors face off in Round 11 of the 2025 NRL season. Both teams come off narrow victories; the Dolphins won 20-16 against the Eels, while the Warriors edged out the Dragons 15-14. The Warriors have a superior season record and current form compared to the Dolphins, and they sit 2nd on the ladder with a 7-2 record, while the Dolphins are 12th with 4 wins and 6 losses. Previous head-to-head encounters this season have been very close, with each team winning one game by small margins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Warriors have been dominant with a 78% win rate this season and a strong recent form (LWWWW), while the Dolphins have struggled for consistency and sit lower in the standings with a 40% win rate (WWLLW). Both teams have shown resilience in close games recently.
  • Two meetings so far in 2025 have resulted in one win each, with close scorelines: 34-32 and 24-20. This suggests a very competitive and tightly matched rivalry.
  • No major injury updates available from current public data, so both teams are likely near full strength.
  • The match is played at the Dolphins' home ground, possibly providing a slight home advantage. No adverse weather or other external conditions have been reported to affect the game.
  • The Warriors are motivated to maintain their high ladder position among title contenders. The Dolphins aim to improve their standing and prove their home strength, making this a high-intensity matchup.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins: 108, New Zealand Warriors: -121, Draw: 1800 New Zealand Warriors win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Dolphins -1.5: 100, New Zealand Warriors +1.5: -130 New Zealand Warriors +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 47.5: -120, Under 47.5: -110 Under 47.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the Warriors' superior form, standings, and slightly better odds, they are favoured to win a close contest, but the Dolphins' home advantage and resilience make an upset possible.

Predicted Score: Dolphins 22 – 24 New Zealand Warriors


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Canterbury Bulldogs vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canterbury Bulldogs vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-16
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Accor Stadium, Sydney Olympic Park, NSW

Game Overview

The Canterbury Bulldogs face the Sydney Roosters in Round 11 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership. The Bulldogs are strong contenders, leading the league with an impressive win-loss record. The Roosters, while having a mixed season, are known for their resilience and ability to turn games around. The match is expected to be intense, with both teams seeking crucial points in the competition.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Bulldogs have been outstanding, with a strong 8-1 record, while the Roosters have struggled with a 4-5 record. The Bulldogs' consistent performance makes them favorites, but the Roosters' ability to stage comebacks, as seen in their recent NSW Cup match, cannot be underestimated.
  • The Bulldogs have won 4 out of the last 14 matches, with the Roosters winning 10. This historical data suggests the Roosters have a slight edge in past encounters.
  • No significant injury reports have been highlighted for either team, but this could impact the game if any last-minute changes occur.
  • The match is at Accor Stadium, which could favor the Bulldogs due to home support. However, the Roosters have experience playing at this venue.
  • Both teams are motivated, with the Bulldogs seeking to maintain their top spot and the Roosters aiming to improve their standing in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs: -260, Sydney Roosters: 210, Draw: 2200 Canterbury Bulldogs ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Canterbury Bulldogs: -8.5 -105, Sydney Roosters: 8.5 -125 Canterbury Bulldogs ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 44.5 -115, Under: 44.5 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Canterbury Bulldogs at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bulldogs are favored to win based on their recent performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Bulldogs 24, Roosters 16


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Newcastle Knights vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-16
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL Round 11 match between Newcastle Knights and Parramatta Eels is a highly anticipated clash. Newcastle, the home team, aims to leverage home-ground advantage and recent squad enhancements, while Parramatta seeks to maintain its competitive edge after a strong pre-season performance. Both teams have demonstrated offensive capabilities with the Eels having won their recent pre-season encounter decisively. This match will also have an emotional undertone due to Dylan Brown’s impending transfer from Parramatta to Newcastle next season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Parramatta Eels showed strong form in pre-season, defeating Newcastle Knights 44-18, indicating offensive prowess and defensive solidity. Newcastle has been reinforcing their squad with high-profile signings such as Dylan Brown, who brings experience and playmaking ability, potentially elevating their performance this season.
  • Recent encounters favor Parramatta, including a convincing 44-18 win in the 2025 pre-season trial. Historical data shows competitive matches with Parramatta frequently holding a slight edge both offensively and defensively.
  • No major injuries have been reported for either team as of the current date, allowing both sides to field strong lineups.
  • The match is at Newcastle’s home ground, McDonald Jones Stadium, where they have crowd support and favorable conditions. The psychological impact of Dylan Brown’s announced move to Newcastle could motivate both teams differently, with Newcastle eager to prove their investment and Parramatta looking to maintain dominance.
  • High for both teams. Newcastle is motivated by recent squad investments and home advantage, seeking redemption from the pre-season loss. Parramatta is motivated to consolidate their superiority and disrupt Newcastle’s momentum ahead of Brown’s transfer.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Newcastle Knights: -132, Parramatta Eels: 112, Draw: 1900 Newcastle Knights win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Newcastle Knights (-2.5): -110, Parramatta Eels (+2.5): -120 Newcastle Knights to cover -2.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 48.5: 110, Under 48.5: -145 Under 48.5 points ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle Knights 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Newcastle Knights at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Parramatta's recent dominant pre-season form and current stronger momentum, combined with Newcastle’s home advantage and high-profile signings, the match is expected to be closely contested. Parramatta holds a slight edge yet Newcastle’s motivation and home crowd support could keep it tight.

Predicted Score: Newcastle Knights 24 – 20 Parramatta Eels


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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: 4 Pines Park, Brookvale / Cammeraygal

Game Overview

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles will host the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks in a crucial NRL Round 10 match at 4 Pines Park in Brookvale. This top 8 contest features two closely matched teams with the Sea Eagles holding a slight edge in recent form and simulations. The Sea Eagles have shown resilience despite recent injuries, particularly integrating their replacement fullback Lehi Hopoate effectively, while the Sharks look to improve execution after some lapses in their spine, led by Nicho Hynes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly has demonstrated a strong edge-running game, with key players like Tolutau Koula and Reuben Garrick making significant metres. Their back rowers maintain high work rates. Despite the loss of fullback Tom Trbojevic to injury, the team’s depth has been showcased by good performances of replacements. The Sharks have notable players like Briton Nikora and Addin Fonua-Blake who bring physicality and experience, yet have struggled with execution in key moments, as noted in recent matches.
  • The last meeting in Round 27 2024 was a convincing 40-20 win for the Sharks. However, simulations for this match give the Sea Eagles a 58% chance to win, indicating a competitive balance and possible home advantage for Manly.
  • Manly is still managing the absence of star fullback Tom Trbojevic, though replacement Lehi Hopoate has performed well. No major injury concerns have been reported for the Sharks’ spine, but their recent performance suggests they are working on improving coordination.
  • The match is part of the Women in League Round, adding emotional significance. The venue, 4 Pines Park in Brookvale, is the Sea Eagles’ home ground, granting them a key home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are not reported to be a concern.
  • Both teams are highly motivated; the Sharks aim to correct recent execution errors and bounce back from a narrow loss, while the Sea Eagles seek to capitalize on home advantage and maintain upper hand in the top 8 race.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: -139, Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: 125, Draw: 2000 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: -2.5 (-115), Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: +2.5 (-115) Manly Warringah Sea Eagles to cover -2.5 points ★★★☆☆ 54%
Over/under Over: 48.5 (-115), Under: 48.5 (-115) Over 48.5 points ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles are predicted to win, leveraging home ground advantage, deeper squad resilience, and more consistent recent form against the Sharks’ execution challenges. The simulation model supports a Sea Eagles victory with moderate confidence.

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 26 – 20 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks


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North Queensland Cowboys vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium, Townsville, Australia

Game Overview

The North Queensland Cowboys face off against the Penrith Panthers in Round 10 of the 2025 NRL season. The Panthers are considered favorites, given their recent form and historical dominance over the Cowboys. However, the Cowboys will look to capitalize on home-ground advantage and recent improvements in their performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Penrith Panthers have shown strong defensive capabilities and consistency throughout the season. The North Queensland Cowboys have struggled with inconsistency but have shown glimpses of brilliance.
  • Historically, Penrith Panthers have maintained an upper hand in head-to-head encounters against the Cowboys.
  • As of now, there is no significant injury news that could impact the matchup significantly.
  • Weather conditions and home-field advantage could slightly favor the Cowboys.
  • Both teams will be highly motivated; the Cowboys to break their inconsistent streak, and the Panthers to solidify their position in the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline North Queensland Cowboys: 143, Penrith Panthers: -164 Penrith Panthers ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread North Queensland Cowboys: 4.5 -115, Penrith Panthers: -4.5 -115 Penrith Panthers to cover ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 48.5 -110, Under: 48.5 -120 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Penrith Panthers at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers to win the match, with a close margin expected.

Predicted Score: North Queensland Cowboys 18, Penrith Panthers 22


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Netstrata Jubilee Stadium / WIN Stadium (Note: Some sources report venue as WIN Stadium, Wollongong. Please verify closer to matchday as venue may be subject to change or discrepancy in reporting.)

Game Overview

The St George Illawarra Dragons host the New Zealand Warriors in Round 10 of the 2025 NRL season. The Warriors are favored in both statistical models and bookmaker odds, but the Dragons remain competitive with recent form and home advantage potentially playing a role. The clash is projected as a tight contest, with bookmakers and predictive models split on the margin and likelihood of an upset.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Warriors have shown superior recent form, with predictive models giving them a clear edge. The Dragons, while underdogs, are performing closely and could benefit from playing at home.
  • Historical matchups between these teams have varied, but recent trends slightly favor the Warriors.
  • No specific injury updates provided in available data. Recommend checking NRL official injury list closer to matchday for updates as this is a key factor.
  • Potential venue discrepancy exists; some sources list Netstrata Jubilee Stadium, others WIN Stadium. Weather and crowd support may also impact.
  • Both teams are motivated for a crucial mid-season win. The Warriors are pushing for a top-four spot, while the Dragons are aiming to build momentum and climb the ladder.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 113, away: -130, draw: 2000 New Zealand Warriors High (61% predictive model; 51-56% other models)
Spread home: 1.5 -115, away: -1.5 -115 New Zealand Warriors -1.5 Moderate (slight favorite, line close to pick'em; Warriors favored to cover by 1-3 points)
Over/under over: 47.5 -115, under: 47.5 -115 Under 47.5 Moderate (total line is above average, but game expected to be tight and potentially defensive)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

The New Zealand Warriors are slight to moderate favorites. Predictive models assign a 61% chance of a Warriors win (per Stats Insider), while other sources have the margin much tighter, with the Warriors at 51-56% likelihood. The Dragons offer value at their current odds, but the Warriors are the safer pick for victory, with a predicted winning margin of 2-4 points. The total points market suggests a moderate-scoring game, possibly just under the line given the defensive tendencies and stakes involved.

Predicted Score: New Zealand Warriors 22-18 St George Illawarra Dragons


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Canberra Raiders vs. Canterbury Bulldogs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Canterbury Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium Canberra

Game Overview

This is a top-of-the-table clash in NRL Round 10, featuring the Canberra Raiders (2nd) hosting the Canterbury Bulldogs (1st) during Women in League Round. Both teams are in strong form, with significant motivation as the Bulldogs aim to maintain their lead and the Raiders look to overtake them at home. The game is expected to be closely contested, with advanced analytics giving the Raiders a slight edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams are performing at elite levels, with the Bulldogs leading the table and the Raiders in second. Recent form and predictive models suggest both are highly competitive, but the Raiders are considered slightly stronger on their home ground.
  • Head-to-head matchups have historically been tight, with Canberra enjoying a home advantage. Data from Stats Insider gives the Raiders a 59% chance of victory in simulations.
  • Canberra: Corey Horsburgh (head, TBA), Jordan Martin (broken hand, Round 10-11), Ethan Sanders (eye socket, Round 11-12), Albert Hopoate (ACL, 2026), Corey Harawira-Naera (seizure, indefinite). Canterbury: Matt Burton (suspension, Round 10), Josh Curran (suspension, Round 12), Enari Tuala (foot, Round 12), Sam Hughes (ankle, Round 12), Jacob Preston (possible suspension, Round 14), Sitili Tupouniua (suspension, Round 15), Jack Todd (arm, Round 16-17).
  • Women in League Round brings extra motivation and support for both teams. The game is part of a broader campaign for ovarian cancer awareness. No notable weather disruptions expected for GIO Stadium.
  • High stakes with both teams aiming to solidify their positions at the top of the ladder. The Raiders are playing at home, which adds extra motivation. Both sides are expected to field near full-strength teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Raiders -132, Bulldogs 114, Draw 2000 Canberra Raiders High
Spread Raiders -2.5 (-105), Bulldogs +2.5 (-125) Raiders -2.5 Medium
Over/under Over 44.5 (-115), Under 44.5 (-115) Over 44.5 Medium

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Canberra Raiders at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Canberra Raiders are slight favorites at home with a 59% win probability in predictive models. The Bulldogs' absences, including key players through suspension, slightly tip the balance towards the Raiders. Expect a closely fought contest with the Raiders likely to edge it by a narrow margin.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 24 – Canterbury Bulldogs 20


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