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Canberra Raiders vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the Newcastle Knights in NRL Round 21 at GIO Stadium. The Raiders, strong favourites, aim to solidify their position towards the minor premiership with recent strong form. The Knights, underdogs, face a challenging away fixture and must cover a significant spread for value.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Raiders exhibit significantly stronger recent form and overall season performance compared to the Knights, with machine learning models giving them an 81% win probability. The Knights have struggled in away fixtures and faced defensive challenges.
  • Historical matchups show Raiders dominance over Knights, especially at home ground GIO Stadium. Recent fixtures trend heavily towards Canberra winning comfortably.
  • No major injuries reported impacting key Raiders players; Knights have minor fitness concerns but no confirmed missing starters, slightly reducing their competitiveness.
  • Playing at home with strong crowd support benefits Canberra. Weather conditions expected favorable and should not impact game flow or scoring significantly.
  • Raiders motivated to maintain winning streak and improve ladder position with potential finals implications. Knights are motivated but less so given form and away challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -480, Newcastle Knights +375, Draw +2800 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread Canberra Raiders -14.5 -110, Newcastle Knights +14.5 -120 Canberra Raiders -14.5 ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under Over 44.5 -115, Under 44.5 -115 Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders to win outright, cover the -14.5 spread, and the total points to go over 44.5

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 30 – Newcastle Knights 14


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Canberra Raiders vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction

Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-07-27 Time: 4:00 AM UTC Location: GIO Stadium Canberra Game Overview The Canberra Raiders host the Newcastle Knights in NRL Round 21 at GIO Stadium. The Raiders, strong favourites, aim to solidify their position towards the minor premiership with recent strong form. The […]

Canberra Raiders July 27, 2025 Newcastle Knights Rugbyleague

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Canterbury Bulldogs vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canterbury Bulldogs vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Stadium Australia

Game Overview

The Canterbury Bulldogs host the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in a pivotal NRL Round 21 clash. The Bulldogs are slight favorites given their recent form and head-to-head dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Bulldogs have demonstrated stronger recent form and are projected with a 66% win probability by advanced simulations. Manly has struggled against them historically this season.
  • Canterbury leads the season series with 3 wins to Manly's 1. The Bulldogs won close encounters recently, showing competitive edge at home.
  • No significant injury reports currently affecting key players for either side, suggesting both teams at near full strength.
  • Playing at Stadium Australia favors Canterbury due to familiar conditions and crowd support; no notable weather issues expected.
  • Canterbury needs a win to consolidate playoff positioning, boosting motivation; Manly is fighting for points but has less favorable outlook given recent results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs: -162, Manly Sea Eagles: 143, Draw: 2200 Canterbury Bulldogs ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Canterbury Bulldogs -4.5: -105, Manly Sea Eagles +4.5: -125 Canterbury Bulldogs -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 43.5: -115, Under 43.5: -115 Under 43.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 43.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 43.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canterbury Bulldogs to win outright

Predicted Score: Canterbury Bulldogs 24 – 18 Manly Sea Eagles


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Industree Group Stadium, Gosford

Game Overview

The Rabbitohs, mired in a seven-game losing streak and struggling with injuries and defensive frailties, host the Sharks, who are pushing for a top-four finish and have rediscovered form with Nicho Hynes leading their charge. The neutral venue removes any home ground advantage, but Cronulla’s superior recent form, attacking output, and defensive solidity make them heavy favorites despite South Sydney’s desperation[1][3].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla’s attack is averaging almost 6 points more per game and their defense is significantly better, while South Sydney’s season has been derailed by injuries, especially in key spine positions, and defensive lapses[1][3].
  • Cronulla has dominated recent meetings and comes in with a stronger head-to-head record, both in terms of results and statistical matchups[1][3].
  • South Sydney’s roster has been ravaged by injuries, notably in their spine, which has compounded their on-field struggles[3].
  • Neutral venue (Gosford) and weather is not reported as a major factor; travel is not expected to impact either team significantly[1][3].
  • Cronulla is chasing a top-four finish and has clear motivation, while South Sydney is fighting for pride but lacks tangible upside in the standings[1][3].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla -435, Souths +350, Draw +2500 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread Cronulla -12.5 (-110), Souths +12.5 (-120) South Sydney Rabbitohs +12.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 47.5 (-125), Under 47.5 (-105) Under 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks are expected to win by a double-digit margin, but not in a blowout. Expect a lower-scoring, grinding game with Cronulla’s defense stifling South Sydney’s attack[1][3].

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 20 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 10


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Penrith Panthers vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Penrith Panthers vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

Penrith Panthers enter as strong favorites against Wests Tigers, with bookmakers heavily pricing a Panthers win. However, statistical models and recent form suggest a closer contest with a likely low scoring, defensive game given wet conditions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Panthers exhibit strong home performance with structured, clinical play, but Tigers have shown improving form and possess attacking unpredictability. Panthers average a slight edge in attack and defense but the margin is narrower than expected.
  • Panthers have dominated recent meetings, yet the Tigers remain competitive with power rankings close (Panthers 8.83 vs Tigers 10.67) and Tigers capable of challenging defensively.
  • No significant injury news reported that materially impacts either team's core lineup.
  • Match played at CommBank Stadium, a familiar venue to Panthers who treat it as a second home; weather conditions expected wet, favoring a defensive style and potentially lowering scoring.
  • Panthers aim to maintain premiership form while Tigers are motivated to upset a top-tier team and continue demonstrating improvement against strong opponents.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Penrith -420, Wests Tigers 335, Draw 2500 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Penrith -13.5 (-120), Wests Tigers +13.5 (-110) Penrith Panthers -13.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 46.5 (-125), Under 46.5 (-105) Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers to win outright, cover the -13.5 spread, and the match to total under 46.5 points.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 22 – Wests Tigers 18


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New Zealand Warriors vs. Gold Coast Titans Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Gold Coast Titans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Go Media Stadium

Game Overview

The New Zealand Warriors, back in top-four contention with recent gritty wins, host a Gold Coast Titans side struggling with form, injuries, and off-field issues. The Warriors are strong favorites, but the Titans have a history of troubling them. Key matchup at Go Media Stadium, with both motivation and roster disruptions shaping the contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Warriors are in strong recent form, winning their last two matches, including a tight victory over the Knights. Titans have struggled defensively and are missing several key forwards, which hurts their pack strength[2]. Warriors' attack is bolstered by returning stars and try-scoring momentum.
  • Titans have historically troubled the Warriors, but recent form and venue favor the home side significantly this time[2]. Warriors have the edge in current momentum and roster consistency.
  • Titans are missing key forwards Tino Fa’asuamaleaui and David Fifita, severely weakening their forward pack[2]. Warriors are close to full strength, with Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad returning to boost their backline[2].
  • Game is at Go Media Stadium, a strong home ground for the Warriors. No major external disruptions reported.
  • Warriors are pushing for a top-four spot and have high motivation to secure a big win at home. Titans are outside finals contention and struggling with coaching unrest, which may affect morale[2].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Warriors -375 / Titans +275 / Draw +2400 Warriors win ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Warriors -10.5 (-120) / Titans +10.5 (-110) Warriors cover (-10.5) ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 48.5 (-115) / Under 48.5 (-115) Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors 1850%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: New Zealand Warriors at 1850% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 77.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Warriors to win comfortably, covering the spread, in a higher-scoring game than the bookmaker total, driven by their superior form, home advantage, and Titans' weakened pack.

Predicted Score: Warriors 32 – Titans 18


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Brisbane Broncos vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Brisbane Broncos vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-25
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium

Game Overview

Round 21 NRL clash between Brisbane Broncos and Parramatta Eels at Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane Broncos are strong favorites with significant home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Broncos demonstrated dominant form recently and hold an 81% win probability over Eels per simulation models, while Eels have struggled against top teams.
  • Broncos have historically had a strong record against the Eels, frequently winning by comfortable margins especially at home.
  • No major injury news impacting key players from either side was reported; squads expected near full strength.
  • Home field advantage for Broncos at Suncorp Stadium combined with supportive crowd enhances their chances.
  • Broncos motivated to solidify playoff positioning; Eels need a upset to stay competitive, but recent form discounts their chances as strong underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos -480, Parramatta Eels +350, Draw +2800 Brisbane Broncos ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread Brisbane Broncos -13.5 (-115), Parramatta Eels +13.5 (-115) Brisbane Broncos -13.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 48.5 (-115), Under 48.5 (-115) Over 48.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos to win straight up and cover the spread; match total to go over 48.5 points.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 28 – Parramatta Eels 16


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North Queensland Cowboys vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-25
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium, Townsville

Game Overview

The North Queensland Cowboys host the St George Illawarra Dragons at home, where the Cowboys traditionally perform well. Both teams are contending for a position in the finals, but despite similar recent defensive records, the Cowboys have a slight power ranking edge and the added advantage of home ground, while the Dragons have shown resilience and upside as underdogs, especially in tight contests. Tropical conditions and humidity could play a role in fatigue and error rates.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have been conceding heavily in recent weeks, but the Dragons have a slight edge in points scored per game. The Cowboys have an impressive home record, but their recent defense is a concern. Dragons are on a resurgent run and have been competitive on the road.
  • Cowboys traditionally dominate at home. Their power ranking is marginally better (12.33 vs 13.67), but statistical analysis reveals minimal separation between the sides[1]. This is a near coin-flip match by most metrics.
  • No significant recent injury reports for either side (as of current data), but always check closer to kickoff for late changes.
  • Tropical heat and humidity in Townsville may affect conditioning, favoring teams with superior fitness and discipline. The Cowboys’ home fortress effect is notable[1].
  • Both teams are highly motivated for a crucial finals push, elevating the stakes and likely resulting in a tightly contested match.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cowboys -174 / Dragons 148 / Draw 2100 St George Illawarra Dragons ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Cowboys -4.5 (-115) / Dragons +4.5 (-115) Dragons +4.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 46.5 (-145) / Under 46.5 (110) Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons 26%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: St George Illawarra Dragons at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This is one of the closest fixtures of the round, with the Cowboys’ home record counterbalanced by the Dragons’ recent form. Despite bookmakers favoring the Cowboys, the Dragons offer significant value as underdogs. Expect a low-scoring, defensive battle due to humid conditions and high stakes[1].

Predicted Score: St George Illawarra Dragons 20 – North Queensland Cowboys 19


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Sydney Roosters vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-24
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The Sydney Roosters are set to face off against the Melbourne Storm in what promises to be a highly competitive NRL matchup. The Storm are favored to win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Recent form shows the Storm have been consistently strong, while the Roosters have experienced fluctuations. The Storm have historically performed well against the Roosters.
  • Historical matchups favor the Storm, who have a higher win percentage against the Roosters.
  • No significant injury reports have been highlighted for this matchup.
  • External factors such as weather and crowd support may influence the game's tempo but are not expected to significantly impact the outcome.
  • Both teams are motivated, but the Storm's desire to solidify their position at the top of the league may provide an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -210 (Storm), 178 (Roosters), 2100 (Draw) Storm ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread -5.5 points (Storm -115, Roosters -115) Storm -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over/Under 46.5 points (-115 each) Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Melbourne Storm at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm to win

Predicted Score: Storm 24, Roosters 18


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Newcastle Knights vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-20
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium

Game Overview

The upcoming match between Newcastle Knights and New Zealand Warriors is expected to be closely contested despite the Warriors being favored. Recent form and head-to-head statistics play crucial roles in assessing the teams' strengths and weaknesses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Zealand Warriors have shown stronger recent form, winning significant matches like against the Wests Tigers and South Sydney Rabbitohs. Newcastle Knights have been inconsistent, struggling against top-tier teams.
  • Historically, head-to-head matchups have favored the Warriors, though recent encounters have been competitive.
  • As of the latest updates, there are no significant injuries reported for either team that would drastically impact the outcome.
  • Weather conditions and home-field advantage could slightly favor the Knights, but not significantly enough to alter the odds dramatically.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure valuable points in the NRL standings, but the Warriors might have an edge in maintaining their stronger season trajectory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Newcastle Knights: 1.90, New Zealand Warriors: 1.57 (implied), Draw: 22.00 New Zealand Warriors ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread New Zealand Warriors: -7.5 at -115 Newcastle Knights +7.5 ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under Over: 43.5 at -115, Under: 43.5 at -115 Under 43.5 ★★★☆☆ 59%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 43.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 43.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Zealand Warriors to win with a close margin.

Predicted Score: New Zealand Warriors 22-20 Newcastle Knights


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Wests Tigers vs. Gold Coast Titans Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs Gold Coast Titans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-20
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Wests Tigers host Gold Coast Titans in an NRL matchup. The Wests Tigers are favored, reflecting their recent form and head-to-head performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Wests Tigers have shown a stronger recent performance compared to Gold Coast Titans.
  • Historically, Wests Tigers have a slight edge over Gold Coast Titans.
  • Current injury reports do not show significant players missing for either team.
  • No significant external factors are expected to impact the game.
  • Both teams are motivated, but Wests Tigers aim to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Wests Tigers: -176, Gold Coast Titans: 148, Draw: 2100 Wests Tigers ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Wests Tigers: -4.5 -120, Gold Coast Titans: 4.5 -110 Wests Tigers ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over: 46.5 -145, Under: 46.5 110 Over ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Wests Tigers -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Wests Tigers are expected to win and cover the spread, with a likelihood of the match going over the total points.

Predicted Score: Wests Tigers 28, Gold Coast Titans 20


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