Match Analysis: Santa Clara vs AVS Futebol SAD – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada, Portugal
Game Overview
Santa Clara (13th, 8 points in 8 games) hosts AVS Futebol SAD (18th, 1 point in 8 games) in a match with clear relegation implications. Santa Clara is favored, having a significantly superior league position and stronger recent form, while AVS has struggled for results all season, especially in attack.
Key Factors to Consider
- Santa Clara has 8 points from 8 matches, showing moderate resilience but with 4 losses. AVS has just 1 point, the league's worst record, with major struggles in both scoring and defense. Santa Clara's home performances have been relatively stable, while AVS's away form is dismal.
- H2H data is limited (AVS promoted this season), but Santa Clara's higher league stature and current form give them the edge.
- No major injury news reported in the data provided.
- No significant external factors reported. Weather is not expected to play a decisive role.
- Santa Clara needs a win to pull away from the relegation zone; AVS is desperate for any points but badly out of form.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Santa Clara -186, AVS +550, Draw +280 | Santa Clara | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Santa Clara -1 -102, AVS +1 -118 | Santa Clara -1 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25 +108, Under 2.25 -128 | Under 2.25 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Santa Clara 5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Santa Clara to win without conceding, likely in a low-scoring game.
Predicted Score: Santa Clara 2-0 AVS