Match Analysis: Estoril vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: António Coimbra da Mota Stadium
Game Overview
Sporting Lisbon, sitting 2nd in the Primeira Liga with 15 points, faces struggling Estoril, 12th with 5 points after 6 matches. Sporting shows strong form with 5 wins in 6 and flawless away record, while Estoril has defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistent performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sporting Lisbon boasts 5 wins, 1 defeat, scoring 18 and conceding 4 goals; Estoril managed 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 10, highlighting a marked gap in quality and consistency.
- Sporting Lisbon has won all last five encounters against Estoril, including a 3-1 win in their most recent meeting, indicating historical dominance.
- No significant injury reports for key players on either side detected, implying lineups expected to be close to full strength.
- Match played at Estoril’s home ground may provide some home advantage, but Sporting’s proven away strength mitigates this factor.
- Sporting seeks to consolidate their high league position and continue strong form; Estoril aims to improve from a poor start but faces a tough challenge against a motivated top contender.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: +675, away: -310, draw: +450 | Sporting Lisbon | ★★★★☆ 79% |
Spread | home: -115, away: -109 | Sporting Lisbon -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Over/under | over: -113, under: -115 | Under 3 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Sporting Lisbon -7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3 16% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sporting Lisbon moneyline win; Sporting -1.5 spreads; Under 3 goals
Predicted Score: 0-2