Como host Cagliari in a Serie A clash where Como are clear favorites, sitting 7th with 17 points and just one loss all season. Cagliari are struggling, having lost their last two matches and showing defensive frailties, especially in the second half. The match is expected to be a test of Como's consistency against a fading away side.
Key Factors to Consider
Como are in excellent form, undefeated since round two and recently held Napoli to a 0-0 draw. They have a solid defensive record and have scored in every home game this season. Cagliari have lost their last two, including a 2-0 defeat at Lazio, and have conceded in the second half in six consecutive Serie A matches.
Como won the last meeting 3-1, and have generally dominated recent encounters. Cagliari have not won at Como in their last five visits.
No major injuries reported for either side. Both teams are expected to field their strongest available lineups.
Como have a strong home record and are playing in front of a supportive crowd. Cagliari have struggled for consistency on the road and lack the stamina to maintain defensive discipline in the second half.
Como are aiming to break into the top six and are in a strong position to do so. Cagliari are fighting to avoid relegation and are under pressure after a poor run of results.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -204, draw: 345, away: 525
Como
★★★★☆ 74%
Spread
home: -1 -120, away: 1 100
Como -1
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
over: 2.5 -112, under: 2.5 -108
Under 2.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Como 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 35%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Como are the clear favorites and should win this match. Their superior form, defensive organization, and Cagliari's second-half defensive lapses point to a home victory. The game is likely to be low-scoring, with Como controlling possession and Cagliari struggling to create clear chances.
Lecce hosts Hellas Verona in a Serie A clash between two struggling sides. Lecce sits 15th, while Hellas Verona is 19th, both fighting to avoid relegation. Recent form is poor for both, with Lecce winless in five home matches and Verona winless in five away. The H2H record is tight, with Verona edging recent meetings, but Lecce won the last encounter at home. Both teams are low-scoring and defensively vulnerable, setting up a tense, low-event contest.
Key Factors to Consider
Lecce averages 0.50 goals per home game and 1.30 conceded, with only one win in their last 10 home matches. Verona averages 0.60 goals per away game and 1.40 conceded, with two wins in their last 10 away. Both teams have struggled to score and keep clean sheets, with Verona failing to win any of their last five away matches.
Verona leads the H2H with 5 wins in the last 10 meetings, Lecce has 3 wins, and 2 draws. Verona has won 5 of the last 8 H2Hs, but Lecce won the last meeting at home 1-0. At Via del Mare, Verona has won 3 of the last 5 H2Hs, Lecce 2.
No major injuries reported for either side; both teams are at full strength.
Lecce’s home form is abysmal, with only one win in 10 home games. Verona’s away form is also poor, but they have a slight edge in H2H at this venue. The match is played in November, with no weather concerns. Both teams are under pressure to avoid relegation.
Both teams are fighting for survival, but Lecce’s home struggles and Verona’s recent H2H edge at this venue give Verona a slight psychological advantage. Lecce’s motivation is high to end their home win drought, but their form suggests they may struggle.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: 174, away: 195, draw: 188
Draw
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
home: -118, away: -102
Lecce 0
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
over: -112, under: -108
Under 2
★★★★☆ 74%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Draw 9%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 43%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hellas Verona to win or draw (Double Chance) offers the highest EV, but for single-outcome markets, the safest high-EV play is Under 2.5 goals. Both teams are low-scoring, defensively leaky, and recent H2Hs have seen few goals. The odds on Under 2.5 are attractive given the statistical profile.
Girona hosts Deportivo Alavés in a closely matched La Liga contest where both teams have shown inconsistency but Alavés display better tactical organization. Girona are fighting to avoid relegation, while Alavés have demonstrated resilience away from home.
Key Factors to Consider
Girona have a 1-3 record in their last five games, struggling for form, while Alavés have mixed results but show tactical coherence despite back-to-back away defeats recently. Girona's home form offers a slight advantage.
In eight top-flight encounters, Girona and Alavés are evenly matched with three wins each and two draws. Both teams won away fixtures last season, and their matches tend to be low scoring with an average below 2.75 goals per game.
No critical injury information has been reported to significantly impact either side for this fixture.
Home advantage favors Girona moderately given the venue and fan support. There are no notable adverse weather or scheduling issues.
Girona faces pressure to secure points to avoid relegation battles, increasing their motivation. Alavés looks to maintain their league status with pragmatic play, likely prioritizing defensive solidity.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: +146, away: +205, draw: +212
Draw
★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread
Alavés +25: -130, Girona -0.25: +110
Alavés +0.25
★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under
over 2.25: +105, under 2.25: -125
Under 2.25 Goals
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Draw 25%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 26%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Blackburn Rovers host Derby County in this Championship fixture, with both teams in strong recent form and a history favoring Blackburn. Derby has an excellent away record but faces a resilient and motivated Blackburn side at home.
Key Factors to Consider
Blackburn Rovers have won 3 of their last 5 matches, showing good defensive solidity and an improving attack. Derby County is in even better form with 4 wins in their last 5, but tend to be less sharp on the road.
In their H2H history, Blackburn leads with 13 wins, 5 draws, and Derby only 5 wins out of 23 encounters, indicating a strong historical advantage for Blackburn.
There are no major injury concerns reported for either side, allowing both to field near full-strength squads.
The match is played at Blackburn's home stadium which typically favors the home team statistically and psychologically in close contests.
Blackburn needs points to climb the league table and secure better positioning, while Derby aims to maintain top form and continue their winning streak, making this a tightly contested and high-stakes game.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-105
Blackburn Rovers Win
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
-102
Blackburn Rovers -0.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
108
Over 2.25 Goals
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Blackburn Rovers 13%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.25 25%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)
Millwall hosts Preston North End in a Championship clash at The Den. Millwall has shown strong recent form, while Preston North End has struggled for consistency away from home. The head-to-head record favors Millwall, who have dominated the series in recent years.
Key Factors to Consider
Millwall has won 5 of their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals per game and conceding 1.6. Preston North End has won 2, drawn 1, and lost 2 in their last 5, scoring 1.2 goals per game but conceding 2.0. Millwall’s home form is solid, while Preston’s away record is mediocre.
Millwall leads the all-time H2H with 11 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses in 24 meetings. In the last 6 encounters, Millwall has won 3, drawn 2, and lost 1. Preston has scored in 6 of the last 8 H2H league matches but has not won any of those games.
No major injuries reported for either side. Both teams are at full strength, with Millwall’s key attackers and defenders available.
The match is being played at The Den, where Millwall has a strong home advantage. Weather is expected to be mild with no significant impact on play.
Millwall is pushing for a playoff spot, while Preston North End is fighting to avoid relegation. Millwall’s motivation is higher given their position in the table.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: 120, away: 215, draw: 225
Millwall
★★★★☆ 74%
Spread
home: -0.25 -113, away: 25 -107
Millwall -0.25
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
over: 2.25 103, under: 2.25 -123
Over 2.25
★★★☆☆ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Millwall 32%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.25 32%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Millwall at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Millwall to win outright. Millwall’s superior form, home advantage, and H2H dominance make them the clear favorite. Preston North End has struggled away and has not beaten Millwall in recent H2H meetings.
Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England
Game Overview
A tightly contested EPL match between Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester United, with both teams level on points (17) and similar mid-table form, although United shows a sharper attacking edge and better recent consistency.
Key Factors to Consider
Manchester United has been scoring at least two goals in each of their last four matches, showcasing strong offensive form and no significant injuries, while Tottenham experience inconsistent home performance and recent lackluster attacking displays.
Historically, Tottenham have a strong record against Manchester United at home but recent trends show Manchester United improving to break this streak, increasing the competitiveness of this matchup.
Manchester United reportedly has virtually no injury concerns, having benefited from a full week of preparation. Tottenham faces multiple injuries limiting lineup flexibility, hindering tactical adjustments.
The match is played at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium with usual fan support for the home side; however, external factors such as a full week of rest favor Manchester United.
Both teams are motivated as they are level on points, but Manchester United’s recent sharp form in attack and Tottenham’s struggles to create chances may give United a psychological edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: +172, away: +149, draw: +250
Manchester United
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
Manchester United 0: -120, Tottenham 0: +100
Manchester United 0 spread
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
over 3 goals: +105, under 3 goals: -125
Over 3 goals
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Manchester United 12%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 3 13%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Hull City hosts Portsmouth in an English Championship fixture with Hull City aiming to bounce back from a recent loss and continuing their solid home form, while Portsmouth struggles with scoring droughts and numerous injuries.
Key Factors to Consider
Hull City has been strong at home lately, undefeated in last five home games but coming off a narrow 2-1 loss to Derby. Portsmouth is in poor form, failing to score in the last three league matches and sitting near the relegation zone.
The most recent second-tier meeting ended in a 1-1 draw, with overall competitive but tight matches expected between these sides.
Hull City has several key players injured (Belloumi, Lundstream, Matazo, Millar, Palmer), but no new injury concerns. Portsmouth faces a long injury list including Blair, Farrell, Lang, Schmid, Segecic, Shaughnessy, Umeh, and Waddingham, severely impacting their lineup.
The match is at Hull’s MKM Stadium where they have strong home support and good recent results, increasing their confidence advantage.
Hull City are motivated to recover from recent defeat and capitalize on home advantage, while Portsmouth aims to break their goal drought and improve standing but face tough odds with their weakened squad.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: +109, away: +215, draw: +250
Hull City
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
Hull City: -0.25 -120, Portsmouth: +25 100
Hull City -0.25
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
over_2.5: -111, under_2.5: -109
Under 2.5 goals
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Hull City 21%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 21%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Hull City at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hull City to win on the moneyline, with a narrow 1-0 victory likely, and an overall low-scoring game under 2.5 goals.
Location: University Credit Union Pavilion, Moraga, CA
Game Overview
Saint Mary's Gaels host the Chattanooga Mocs in an early season college basketball matchup featuring two unbeaten teams. Saint Mary's is heavily favored given their defense and home advantage despite Chattanooga's high scoring efficiency.
Key Factors to Consider
Saint Mary's boasts one of the best defenses in the nation, allowing just 61.1 points per game (5th nationally), while Chattanooga scores more points per game at 79.7 but allows 72.9 points (207th nationally). Saint Mary's tends to control games defensively and has a solid turnover margin (12th-ranked).
Recent direct matchups favor Saint Mary's with consistent defensive dominance. Although limited current H2H data, Saint Mary's past success against similar up-tempo teams gives them an edge.
No significant injuries reported for either team going into the game, maintaining full rosters of their starting lineups.
Playing home at University Credit Union Pavilion offers Saint Mary's a strong crowd and venue familiarity. Weather or travel issues for Chattanooga are minimal given proximity.
Both teams start 1-0 and motivated, but Saint Mary's motivation is amplified as a top WCC contender aiming to establish dominance early. Chattanooga seeks an upset but faces a steep challenge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Home: -1450, Away: +810
Saint Mary's Gaels
★★★★☆ 85%
Spread
Home -13.5: -120, Away +13.5: -102
Saint Mary's Gaels -13.5
★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under
Over 144.5: -110, Under 144.5: -110
Under 144.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Saint Mary's Gaels -7%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 144.5 15%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 144.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Saint Mary's Gaels to win outright with coverage of the spread, and the game to go under the total points line based on strong defensive metrics and pace control.
Predicted Score: Saint Mary's Gaels 75 – Chattanooga Mocs 62
Location: Pauley Pavilion, Los Angeles, California
Game Overview
The No. 12 UCLA Bruins (1-0) host the Pepperdine Waves (1-0) in a highly lopsided matchup with UCLA favored by 27.5 points in a non-conference game at Pauley Pavilion. Both teams started the season with wins, but UCLA has shown far superior defensive capabilities, while Pepperdine's defense has been notably weaker. The total points line is set near 152.5.
Key Factors to Consider
UCLA ranks 22nd nationally in defense last season, allowing 65.2 PPG, while Pepperdine struggled defensively, conceding about 76.6 PPG. Offensively both teams score around the low 70s. UCLA’s stronger defense and deeper roster indicate control of pace and scoring.
UCLA has dominated the recent series with Pepperdine, winning the last seven meetings, including a 100-53 blowout in their last meeting in 2022. Pepperdine has covered the spread only once in these matchups.
No significant injuries reported for either side affecting key players relevant to this game.
Playing at home in Pauley Pavilion gives UCLA a strong advantage with home crowd support. No notable travel or scheduling disadvantages for UCLA.
UCLA, ranked and seeking to assert dominance early in the season, is motivated to start strong to build momentum. Pepperdine aims to avoid a blowout but faces uphill battle.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -30000, away: 4000
UCLA Bruins
★★★★★ 95%
Spread
home: -115, away: -105
UCLA Bruins -27.5
★★★★☆ 88%
Over/under
over: -110, under: -110
Under 152.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
UCLA Bruins -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 152.5 34%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 152.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UCLA to win outright and cover the spread; total points to go under 152.5