The Cronulla Sutherland Sharks host the North Queensland Cowboys in an important Round 22 NRL clash. The Sharks are strong favourites, aiming for a fourth straight win and solidifying their top-eight position, while the Cowboys are desperate to keep their faint finals hopes alive with a favourable run home.
Key Factors to Consider
Cronulla Sharks have been showing consistent form recently, with three consecutive wins including a narrow 14-12 victory over the Rabbitohs. The Cowboys managed a high-scoring 38-32 win over the Dragons but continue to suffer from the league's worst defense.
The Sharks have a strong historical advantage and recent dominance against the Cowboys, including a comprehensive 36-12 win earlier in 2025. Simulations predict an 80% chance of Sharks winning this match.
The Cowboys are missing key five-eighth Tom Duffy due to injury, replaced by Jake Clifford. Suspended forward Karl Lawton is also out; Emarly Bitungane debuts. Sharks have key players Briton Nikora and Siosifa Talakai returning, strengthening their pack.
The match is at Shark Park, giving the Sharks home-ground advantage. The Sharks are motivated to maintain top-eight positioning; the Cowboys are motivated to spark a late-season finals charge.
Cronulla is motivated to continue their winning streak for finals security; the Cowboys must win to keep playoff hopes alive, adding urgency to their play.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -240, away: 205, draw: 2500
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks
★★★★☆ 80%
Spread
home: -110, away: -120
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -8.5
★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under
over: -115, under: -115
Over 48.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 13%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 48.5 22%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks to win straight up, cover the -8.5 spread, and the total points to go over 48.5
The Wests Tigers face the Canterbury Bulldogs in NRL Round 22 with the Bulldogs heavily favored to continue their winning form and secure a finals berth, while the Tigers struggle for form but have some key players returning.
Key Factors to Consider
The Bulldogs have won back-to-back matches convincingly, including a dominant 44-12 win over Manly, propelled by the dynamic halfback Lachlan Galvin. The Tigers were recently humbled 36-2 by Penrith and have struggled to gain momentum this season.
Recent simulations assign the Bulldogs an 81% chance to win against the Tigers, signaling clear dominance in this matchup historically and currently.
The Tigers welcome back star fullback Jahream Bula and add Samuela Fainu to bolster their pack, while the Bulldogs will replace injured Connor Tracey with Jacob Kiraz at fullback but have Jethro Rinakama returning on the wing.
The match is played at CommBank Stadium, which is neutral but closer to Bulldogs territory; weather and other external conditions are not expected to adversely affect either side.
With finals contention on the line, the Bulldogs are highly motivated to maintain form and secure a win. The Tigers, while struggling, have motivation from returning players and will look to spoil the Bulldogs’ campaign.
Oscar Duarte Jurado faces Kenneth Sims Jr in a Super Lightweight boxing match where Duarte Jurado is the favorite according to bookmaker odds. Duarte Jurado is known for his aggressive style which contrasts with Sims Jr's more technical approach.
Key Factors to Consider
Oscar Duarte Jurado has shown strong recent performances, applying pressure with aggression which has resulted in higher win rates. Kenneth Sims Jr relies on technical skills but has struggled against aggressive fighters in recent bouts.
No current direct H2H data indicates previous fights between these two, but Duarte Jurado is favored and odds imply a probable edge.
No significant injury reports for either fighter ahead of the match.
Fight held at a neutral location with no reported environmental or external distractions affecting either fighter.
Both fighters are motivated but Duarte Jurado has more to prove coming in as the favorite and potentially unifying titles or improving rankings.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Oscar Duarte Jurado -150, Kenneth Sims Jr +117
Oscar Duarte Jurado
★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under
Over 10.5 rounds -260, Under 10.5 rounds +195
Over 10.5 rounds
★★★★☆ 72%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Oscar Duarte Jurado -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 10.5 -6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Oscar Duarte Jurado at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oscar Duarte Jurado to win on the moneyline, covering the spread, with the fight going over 10.5 rounds
Predicted Score: Oscar Duarte Jurado wins by decision after 11 rounds
Joshua Edwards faces Cayman Audie in a 6-round heavyweight boxing bout with no titles at stake. Edwards is a rising American prospect with a flawless 3-0 record and a perfect knockout rate, while Audie, also American, is less experienced with a 1-0 record and no knockouts.
Key Factors to Consider
Edwards has dominated all his professional fights this year with quick knockouts, demonstrating superior power and technique. Audie, with only one professional fight, lacks the experience and proven finishing ability to match Edwards.
This is their first meeting with no prior head-to-head bouts to analyze, but Edwards’ higher activity and dominant results suggest a performance edge.
No reported injuries for either fighter, both are expected to be in peak condition.
The bout is held in Honda Center, California, in front of a crowd potentially favorable to Edwards, who trains and fights regularly in the US.
Edwards aims to continue his knockout streak and build momentum under Golden Boy Promotions, pushing him to deliver a decisive win. Audie seeks to prove himself but is likely the underdog with less at stake.
Yair Gallardo, an undefeated light heavyweight with a high knockout ratio (9-0, 8 KOs), faces off against Quinton Rankin (21-9-2), a more experienced but less dominant boxer known for strategic footwork. The bout is scheduled for 8 rounds and is part of a stacked undercard event in Chicago.
Key Factors to Consider
Gallardo has shown dominant recent form with an aggressive style leading to 8 KOs in 9 fights, suggesting strong finishing ability. Rankin has more experience but a mixed record and fewer knockouts, indicating more strategic but less explosive performances.
No previous head-to-head encounters are recorded between Gallardo and Rankin, making direct matchup history unavailable.
No injury reports or concerns have surfaced for either fighter in the lead-up to the bout, indicating both are in full health and prepared.
Fighting in Chicago's Credit Union 1 Arena likely favors Rankin slightly due to proximity (Gastonia is closer than Mexico City), but the event is billed as neutral ground with both fighters having regional followings. Broadcast on DAZN offers high exposure, boosting motivation.
Gallardo is motivated to maintain his perfect record and extend his knockout streak, aiming to cement himself among rising light heavyweight stars. Rankin, a veteran, looks to disrupt the unbeaten run and reestablish himself as a contender.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Yair Gallardo: -2500, Quinton Rankin: 950
Yair Gallardo
★★★★☆ 85%
Spread
Gallardo -4.5: -110, Rankin +4.5: -110
Gallardo -4.5
★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under
Over 6.5 Rounds: -125, Under 6.5 Rounds: +105
Under 6.5 Rounds
★★★★☆ 75%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Yair Gallardo -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Yair Gallardo at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Yair Gallardo to win by knockout
Predicted Score: Yair Gallardo wins by KO in round 5
This cruiserweight boxing match between Tristan Kalkreuth and Kareem Hackett on August 3, 2025, features Kalkreuth as a strong favorite given his recent performances and betting market consensus. Hackett, while a capable fighter, enters as the underdog with longer odds.
Key Factors to Consider
Tristan Kalkreuth has maintained a strong form with consistent wins and solid defense, while Kareem Hackett has shown variable results with fewer significant victories in recent bouts.
There are no recorded head-to-head matches between Kalkreuth and Hackett to analyze for direct comparative performance.
No reported injuries impacting either fighter ahead of the match, suggesting both are at full health.
The fight being a cruiserweight bout favors Kalkreuth given his power and technical style; no travel or other logistical disadvantages reported for either fighter.
Kalkreuth is motivated to defend his rising reputation and continue building momentum, while Hackett aims to upset a favored opponent to boost his career, though the psychological edge leans towards Kalkreuth.
The super lightweight bout features Regis Prograis, a powerful southpaw with a 29-3 record and 83% knockout rate, against Joseph 'Jo Jo' Diaz, also a southpaw with a 34-7-1 record and a lower knockout rate of 44%. Prograis holds physical advantages in height and reach and enters with a strong recent form and high odds favoring him.
Key Factors to Consider
Prograis comes with 29 wins and 24 KOs and has demonstrated consistent finishing power. Diaz’s 34 wins and 15 KOs show less knockout capacity but more experience with 332 rounds versus Prograis’s 172.
No direct recent head-to-head bouts, but comparative style and records favor Prograis given power and physical advantages.
No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the match.
Fight scheduled for 12 rounds at super lightweight (140 lbs). Both fighters are southpaws, which may increase tactical complexity. Venue and broadcast set; no notable disruptions expected.
Prograis is motivated to uphold his dominant form and reinforce top ranking. Diaz seeks to overcome underdog status and leverage experience, but must overcome Prograis’s physical and power edges.