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NEC Nijmegen vs. Excelsior Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: De Goffert, Nijmegen

Game Overview

NEC Nijmegen hosts Excelsior in the Eredivisie season opener. NEC are favorites based on preseason form and home advantage, while Excelsior are seen as underdogs.

Key Factors to Consider

  • NEC Nijmegen showed strong preseason form with multiple wins and consistent scoring, whereas Excelsior have demonstrated attacking potential but less consistent results.
  • Recent matches slightly favor NEC Nijmegen, with them having a better record in prior Eredivisie encounters and stronger home performances against Excelsior.
  • No major injury concerns publicly indicated for either side at this time, suggesting both teams can field near-optimal lineups.
  • NEC Nijmegen enjoys home advantage at De Goffert, known for solid support and conditions favorable to the home team; no external disruptions noted.
  • Both teams motivated to start the season positively, but NEC Nijmegen likely has additional motivation as home favorites to assert dominance early.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen -136, Draw 285, Excelsior 340 NEC Nijmegen ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread NEC Nijmegen -0.75 (-105), Excelsior +75 (-115) NEC Nijmegen -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.75 -105, Under 2.75 -115 Over 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

NEC Nijmegen to win the match outright (moneyline), cover the -0.75 goal spread, and the match to go over 2.75 goals.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Stoke City vs. Derby County Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Stoke City vs Derby County – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: bet365 Stadium, Stoke, England

Game Overview

Stoke City hosts Derby County in a Championship match where Derby currently ranks 6th while Stoke City is 20th. Recent performances show Derby struggling to win recently but have better defensive stats compared to Stoke. Head-to-head records are quite balanced historically, but Derby has been slightly more effective overall.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Derby County has drawn twice and lost thrice in their last 5 matches, scoring 1.2 goals per game and conceding 0.8, showing defensive solidity but a poor attacking run. Stoke City has two wins, one draw and two losses with fewer goals scored (0.8) and weaker defense (1.8 conceded per match).
  • In 21 historical matches, Derby County has a slight edge with 9 wins vs. Stoke's 8. Recent matches have mostly ended in draws or narrow results, indicating closely matched teams.
  • No specific injury reports were available from recent sources, suggesting relatively stable squads for both teams.
  • Match played at Stoke’s home stadium bet365 Stadium, which may provide some advantage for the home team despite their lower league position.
  • Derby County in higher league standing and aiming for promotion likely have stronger motivation compared to struggling Stoke City, who will be eager to gain early points to avoid relegation battles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Derby County: 2.15, Stoke City: 1.29, Draw: 2 Stoke City ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Derby County +25: -1.2, Stoke City -0.25: 1 Stoke City -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: -1.18, Under 2: -1.02 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Stoke City 26%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Stoke City at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Derby County to draw or win with cautious defense; low scoring match anticipated.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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West Bromwich Albion vs. Blackburn Rovers Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: West Bromwich Albion vs Blackburn Rovers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The Hawthorns, West Bromwich

Game Overview

West Bromwich Albion host Blackburn Rovers in this early-season EFL Championship fixture at The Hawthorns. Both teams have not yet started the season, so form is based on pre-season and historical trends. West Bromwich are slight favorites at home while Blackburn enter as underdogs with longer odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Neither team has played competitive matches this season yet (0-0-0 record). Pre-season results suggest West Bromwich had a stronger build-up with better attacking cohesion.
  • Recent historical encounters indicate a balanced matchup with slight home advantage to West Bromwich. Past matches are generally close, with few decisive blowouts.
  • No significant injury news reported for either side, suggesting near full-strength squads available for selection.
  • The match is at West Brom’s home ground giving the home side an advantage. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be normal without disruptions.
  • Early in the season, both teams are motivated to start strongly. West Bromwich, aiming for promotion, may have a slight edge in motivation playing at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline West Bromwich Albion: -125, Draw: 240, Blackburn Rovers: 330 West Bromwich Albion ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread West Bromwich Albion (-0.5): -120, Blackburn Rovers (+50): 100 West Bromwich Albion -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: -108, Under 2.25: -112 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline West Bromwich Albion 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

West Bromwich Albion to win on the moneyline with margin on the spread and a moderately scoring game under 2.25 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Queens Park Rangers vs. Preston North End Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Queens Park Rangers Stadium (Loftus Road)

Game Overview

This EFL Championship season opener features Queens Park Rangers hosting Preston North End. Both teams have undergone offseason changes but QPR appears more settled with key players retained and strategic signings, while Preston is still integrating many new faces.

Key Factors to Consider

  • QPR comes in with relatively stable squad and positive pre-season momentum, whereas Preston North End has restructured heavily and showed inconsistency last season.
  • Historically balanced matchups but recent trends favor QPR slightly at home. AI models and expert analyses give a slight edge to QPR for this fixture.
  • No major injuries reported for either side ahead of this match, both teams expected to field near full-strength squads.
  • Home advantage for QPR is a factor; Preston’s squad cohesion might take time to gel which is critical early in the season.
  • QPR aims to start strongly under new management to build early momentum; Preston’s motivation is tempered by squad rebuilding challenges.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Queens Park Rangers: 1.28, Preston North End: 2.2, Draw: 2 Queens Park Rangers ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Queens Park Rangers -0.25: 1.98, Preston North End +25: 1.85 Queens Park Rangers -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.25: 1.95, Under 2.25: 1.87 Over 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Queens Park Rangers 25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Queens Park Rangers at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Queens Park Rangers win

Predicted Score: 2-1 Queens Park Rangers


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Middlesbrough vs. Swansea City Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Middlesbrough vs Swansea City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Riverside Stadium

Game Overview

Middlesbrough hosts Swansea City in the opening game of the EFL Championship season. Middlesbrough is favored due to strong past home form despite a winless pre-season, while Swansea struggles with form and defensive issues.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Middlesbrough have won 5 of their last 6 home league matches last season but failed to win in their last 4 pre-season games. Swansea has been without a win in 4 games across all competitions including pre-season losses, showing poor recent form.
  • Recent results show close matches: Swansea won 1-0 at home in March 2025, and Middlesbrough won 1-0 at home in August 2024, indicating a competitive matchup without clear dominance.
  • No significant injury reports found impacting key players from either side, suggesting near-full strength squads.
  • Middlesbrough will benefit from home crowd support at Riverside Stadium. No notable external disruptions reported.
  • Both teams eager to start the season strongly but Middlesbrough’s desire to leverage their home advantage and defend their strong home record suggests higher motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Middlesbrough 100, Swansea City 250, Draw 235 Middlesbrough ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Middlesbrough -0.5 @ 105, Swansea +50 @ -125 Middlesbrough -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 -108, Under 2.5 -112 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Middlesbrough 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Middlesbrough at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Middlesbrough to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, with a moderately low scoring game under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Oxford United vs. Portsmouth Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Oxford United vs Portsmouth – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Kassam Stadium, Oxford, England

Game Overview

Oxford United host Portsmouth in an EFL Championship fixture with both sides recently reshaped and looking to establish early season form in a competitive mid-table clash.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Oxford United finished 17th last season with a newly appointed manager Gary Rowett focusing on squad improvement. Portsmouth show similar mid-table characteristics but recent transfer activity and form appear less promising.
  • Historically tightly contested matchups with balanced results; recent meetings suggest a propensity for low scoring matches.
  • No significant injury reports available, suggesting mostly full-strength squads expected for kickoff.
  • Match played at Oxford's home stadium, potentially favoring the home team. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be normal with no extraordinary external impact.
  • Both teams start the season aiming to improve their positions; Oxford's managerial continuity and summer squad strengthening may provide slight motivational edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Oxford United: +155, Portsmouth: +171, Draw: +210 Oxford United ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Oxford United 0: -118, Portsmouth 0: -102 Oxford United 0 ★★★☆☆ 57%
Over/under Over 2.25: -125, Under 2.25: 105 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oxford United 15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oxford United to win the match

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Norwich City vs. Millwall Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Norwich City vs Millwall – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Carrow Road, Norwich

Game Overview

A competitive EFL Championship matchup where historically Norwich City has dominated Millwall in both results and goals scored. Norwich looks to maintain home advantage against a Millwall side that has shown mixed recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Norwich City has won 3 of their last 5 matches with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, showing a potent offense but some defensive vulnerabilities. Millwall has a solid recent record with 4 wins out of 5 but lower goal scoring (1.0/game) and conceding 1.2/game, playing a more defensive style.
  • In the last 15 meetings, Norwich won 9, Millwall 3, and 3 drawn. Norwich averages 2.1 goals per game against Millwall’s 1.3. The teams have seen a relatively high goal average (~3.5 goals per game) historically, but recent seasons lean towards Norwich dominance, especially at home.
  • No publicly reported major injuries impacting starting XI or key players for either team at this time.
  • Home advantage at Carrow Road favors Norwich. Weather and pitch conditions expected normal for early August; no major disruptions expected.
  • Both teams are motivated early in the season; Norwich aims to establish top-table credentials after recent Championship finishes, while Millwall looks for an upset to gain points away from home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Norwich City: -102, Millwall: 270, Draw: 220 Norwich City ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Norwich City -0.5: 102, Millwall +50: -122 Norwich City -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Norwich City 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Norwich City to win on the moneyline with a small but clear advantage given home form, superior recent record against Millwall, and better goal-scoring stats.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 9, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 9, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Sheffield United vs. Bristol City Prediction Sheffield United -141 167%
Fortaleza vs. Botafogo Prediction Botafogo 180 40%
New England Revolution vs. D.C. United Prediction Under 2.5 112 38%

Combined Odds: +915 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $202.92

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Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – August 9, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – August 9, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Christian Rodriguez vs. Andre Fili Prediction Under 2.5 175 73%
Iasmin Lucindo vs. Angela Hill Prediction Over 2.5 -720 65%
Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Eryk Anders Prediction Under 2.5 145 59%

Combined Odds: +667 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $153.47

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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 9, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 9, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction Under 8.5 -110 18%
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction Under 8 -112 17%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Prediction Over 8.5 -105 17%

Combined Odds: +606 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $141.1

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