Match Analysis: Werder Bremen vs VfL Wolfsburg – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Weserstadion, Bremen, Germany
Game Overview
Werder Bremen and VfL Wolfsburg face off in the Bundesliga with Bremen showing solid recent form and Wolfsburg struggling significantly, especially in away matches and recent losses.
Key Factors to Consider
- Werder Bremen is undefeated in their last four league games, conceding only three goals; Wolfsburg has lost six of their last seven matches and scored just four goals in that span.
- Wolfsburg won the last meeting at Weserstadion 2-1, but historically Bremen and Wolfsburg have a balanced record with Bremen holding a slight edge. Both teams often score, but recent trends favor Bremen defensively.
- Werder Bremen miss Agu, Deman, Weiser, and Wober due to injury but have no suspensions. Wolfsburg has no noted key absences.
- The match is played at Bremen's home ground where they have stronger form; Wolfsburg's coach may be under pressure due to poor results, possibly affecting team morale.
- Bremen is motivated by a four-match undefeated streak and a desire to avenge their last home defeat to Wolfsburg; Wolfsburg is under pressure with six losses in seven games, possibly impacting confidence negatively.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 119, away: 205, draw: 270 | Home | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | home: -0.25 -110, away: +25 -110 | Home -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | over: -108, under: -112 | Under 3 goals | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Werder Bremen 96% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3 14% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Werder Bremen at 96% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Werder Bremen to win
Predicted Score: 1-0