Match Analysis: DePaul Blue Demons vs Stonehill Skyhawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago, IL
Game Overview
This season opener features DePaul, a Big East program, hosting Stonehill, a recent D1 upstart. DePaul is heavily favored, reflecting both talent disparity and program pedigree. Both teams are undefeated (1-0), but DePaul’s victory over Chicago State and Stonehill’s over Thomas College suggest a major gap in competition faced. Odds reflect DePaul’s expected dominance, with a 21.5-point spread and a total near 146.
Key Factors to Consider
- DePaul is far more battle-tested, playing in a major conference, while Stonehill is adjusting to top-tier competition after a blowout win over a low-level opponent[3]. DePaul’s offense ranks 218th nationally (72.4 PPG), while Stonehill is 307th (68.7 PPG)—both mediocre, but DePaul’s defensive pedigree (251st, 74.5 PPG allowed) is marginally worse than Stonehill’s (116th, 70.1 PPG allowed)[6].
- No recent H2H record; these programs are meeting for the first time.
- No injuries reported for either team[4].
- DePaul is at home, with a likely crowd backing them. No external factors (weather, travel, etc.) stand out as impactful.
- DePaul is highly motivated to avoid any slip-ups against lower-tier programs; Stonehill is looking for a major upset but likely sees this as a learning experience.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | DePaul -20000, Stonehill +2800 | DePaul wins | ★★★★★ 99% |
| Spread | DePaul -22.5 (-102), Stonehill +22.5 (-118) | DePaul covers -22.5 | ★★★★☆ 81% |
| Over/under | Over 145.5 (-115), Under 145.5 (-105) | Under 145.5 | ★★★☆☆ 57% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 145.5 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 145.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
DePaul’s superior talent, experience, and home court should equal a comfortable double-digit win. Stonehill’s offense will struggle against Big East athletes, and DePaul’s defense, while not elite, is strong enough to contain a lower-tier D1 attack. Expect a modest-paced game with DePaul pulling away after halftime.
Predicted Score: DePaul 80, Stonehill 57