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Joshua Van vs. Brandon Royval Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Joshua Van vs Brandon Royval – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-29
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

The UFC 317 flyweight title eliminator pits Joshua Van against Brandon Royval. Van, a rising star fighting frequently with high-level exposure, aims to continue his rapid ascent towards the flyweight title. Royval, a former title contender, brings experience and resilience despite recent opponent changes. Both fighters are highly motivated with little to lose, setting up a competitive and high-stakes matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Joshua Van has fought five times in nine months, showing activity and growing skill at top-tier events. Brandon Royval, although initially scheduled to fight a different opponent, adapted quickly to face Van and maintains confidence in his experience and style compatibility.
  • This fight marks a significant showdown between two top-ranked flyweights with no prior direct matchup history. Both fighters share wins over similar quality opponents, making this a pivotal and evenly matched contest.
  • No current injuries reported for either fighter affecting their preparation or performance.
  • The fight was promoted to the main card after opponent changes, increasing pressure and visibility. Both fighters are competing under the intense spotlight of UFC 317 in Las Vegas, with Van chasing a historic feat by fighting frequently and Royval motivated to stay close to title contention.
  • Joshua Van is highly motivated by the prospect of a flyweight title shot, seeing this fight as a critical step. Brandon Royval is motivated by maintaining his status as a top contender and views Van as a dangerous, hungry opponent with nothing to lose.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brandon Royval: -105, Joshua Van: -115 Joshua Van to win ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Brandon Royval: 3.5 -200, Joshua Van: -3.5 145 Joshua Van -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -230, Under: 2.5 175 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Joshua Van -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 65%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 65% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Van’s momentum, activity level, and hunger for the title contrasted with Royval’s experience and resilience, the fight is expected to be closely contested but Van’s slight edge in activity and adaptability makes him the favorite to win.

Predicted Score: Joshua Van wins by decision or late-round stoppage around round 3


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Payton Talbott vs. Felipe Lima Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Payton Talbott vs Felipe Lima – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-29
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas

Game Overview

The bout between Payton Talbott and Felipe Lima at UFC 317 is a featherweight matchup featuring two fighters who had difficulties securing opponents, leading to this pairing. Lima, a former Oktagon MMA champion with a 14-1 record, prefers this matchup over his original opponent Jonathan Martinez, aiming to capitalize on Talbott's current hype to boost his UFC standing. This fight is part of the main card during the International Fight Week in Las Vegas, which enhances exposure and stakes for both fighters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Felipe Lima has demonstrated strong performance with a 14-1 record and two UFC fights, showing resilience and skill transitioning from Oktagon MMA to UFC. Payton Talbott is a young bantamweight contender with hype behind him, likely bringing energy and momentum into the fight. Both fighters have been in training camps for several weeks, with Lima training for about five weeks since his original opponent withdrew.
  • There is no recorded previous fight or head-to-head history between Payton Talbott and Felipe Lima, making this their first encounter. This adds an element of unpredictability to the matchup.
  • No current injuries reported affecting either fighter. The only known injury impacted an original opponent (Jonathan Martinez) who withdrew before Lima was matched with Talbott.
  • The fight takes place at UFC 317 during International Fight Week at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The arena is expected to be full, creating a highly charged atmosphere. Both fighters have expressed excitement about performing in front of a large audience, which may influence their motivation and performance.
  • Felipe Lima is motivated to make a strong impression on the main card and leverage a win against a hyped prospect to elevate his UFC status. Talbott has hype behind him and is likely motivated to maintain his upward trajectory and validate expectations.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Felipe Lima: -180, Payton Talbott: 150 Felipe Lima to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Felipe Lima: -3.5 120, Payton Talbott: 3.5 -165 Felipe Lima -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -195, Under: 2.5 150 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Felipe Lima -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 50%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Lima's experience, strong record, and motivation to capitalize on Talbott's hype, coupled with Talbott's momentum as a young contender, the fight is expected to be competitive. Lima's technical skill and championship background in Oktagon MMA lend him a slight edge in the matchup, suggesting he is the likely winner by close decision or late finish.

Predicted Score: Felipe Lima wins via decision or late-round TKO within 3 rounds


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Niklas Stolze vs. Jessin Ayari Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Niklas Stolze vs Jessin Ayari – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-29
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Barclays Arena, Hamburg

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA bout between Niklas Stolze and Jessin Ayari at OKTAGON 73 is set in the welterweight division (170 lbs). Stolze, fighting out of Germany with a professional record around 13-6, is favored on the moneyline with odds of -240 against Ayari's +165. Both fighters have experience competing in the European MMA circuit, with Stolze known for a balanced finishing ability including 38.5% KO and submission wins. The event will take place at the Barclays Arena in Hamburg on June 29, 2025, with both fighters looking to solidify their status within the promotion.[1][4][5]

Key Factors to Consider

  • Niklas Stolze trains with La Onda Fight Club under coach Sascha Poppendieck, showing a well-rounded skill set with KO, submission, and decision victories. Jessin Ayari's recent fight history indicates competitive form, though detailed stats are less accessible. Stolze's recent KO win in November 2023 highlights current striking sharpness.[5][2]
  • There is no recorded prior head-to-head encounter between Niklas Stolze and Jessin Ayari, making this matchup an initial test for both fighters against each other's styles.[3]
  • No publicly available injury reports or recent fight cancellations suggest either fighter is entering the bout with known physical setbacks. Both appear prepared to compete at full capacity.[1][2]
  • The fight taking place at Barclays Arena in Hamburg may offer a slight home advantage for Stolze, who is German-born and fights out of Germany, potentially boosting local fan support and comfort.[4][5]
  • Niklas Stolze aims to rebound strongly in the welterweight division with a decisive win to enhance his ranking and career trajectory. Jessin Ayari seeks a significant upset to gain momentum and recognition, providing high motivation for a competitive fight.[2][5]

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Niklas Stolze: -240, Jessin Ayari: 165 Niklas Stolze to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Niklas Stolze: -1.5, Jessin Ayari: +1.5 Niklas Stolze by more than 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over_1.5_rounds: +110, under_1.5_rounds: -130 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Niklas Stolze -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Niklas Stolze at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Niklas Stolze is favored to win due to a superior recent form, home advantage, and a more versatile finishing ability. The fight is expected to be competitive but Stolze's striking edge and well-rounded skills should secure a decision or possible finish victory.

Predicted Score: Niklas Stolze wins by decision or TKO in round 3


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Jake Paul vs. Julio César Chávez Jr. Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jake Paul vs Julio César Chávez Jr. – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-29
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Honda Center, Anaheim, CA

Game Overview

Jake Paul and Julio César Chávez Jr. face off in a highly anticipated boxing match at the Honda Center. Jake Paul, the younger and currently favored fighter with an 11-1 record, takes on former middleweight champion Julio César Chávez Jr., who brings vast professional experience but is stepping up to cruiserweight. The fight is set for 10 rounds and represents a significant test for Paul against a seasoned ex-champion.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jake Paul has momentum coming off a five-fight winning streak since a close loss to Tommy Fury, including a notable victory by decision over Mike Tyson. Julio César Chávez Jr. has recent wins in his last two bouts but has aged and moved up in weight class, which may impact his performance against the younger Paul.
  • This is their first meeting in the ring, so there is no head-to-head record. However, the difference in style and experience will play a crucial role in how the fight unfolds.
  • No reported significant injuries for either fighter leading up to the match, allowing both to compete at full strength.
  • The fight is taking place in California, a neutral venue with large support for Paul due to his popularity as a YouTuber-turned-boxer. Chavez Jr. may face pressure adapting to the weight class and environment.
  • Jake Paul is motivated to continue establishing his legitimacy as a boxer by defeating a former world champion. Chávez Jr. aims to reclaim relevance and demonstrate he can compete at higher weight classes despite his advancing age.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jake Paul: -600, Julio César Chávez Jr.: 391 Jake Paul ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Jake Paul -2.5 rounds: -150, Julio César Chávez Jr. +2.5 rounds: +130 Jake Paul -2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over 8.5 rounds: -240, Under 8.5 rounds: 185 Under 8.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jake Paul -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 85%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 85% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jake Paul is predicted to win by decision or late-round stoppage given his youth, recent form, and home crowd advantage. Chávez Jr. will challenge but may tire as the fight progresses due to the step up in weight and age difference.

Predicted Score: Jake Paul wins by 9th round TKO or unanimous decision


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Jack Hermansson vs. Gregory Rodrigues Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jack Hermansson vs Gregory Rodrigues – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-29
  • Time: 1:30 AM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

The middleweight bout between Jack Hermansson and Gregory Rodrigues is a key preliminary matchup on the UFC 317 card. Hermansson, a veteran gatekeeper to the middleweight elite with a solid striking and grappling pedigree, faces Rodrigues, a younger, more active fighter known for his pressure striking and improving grappling game. Rodrigues enters as the favorite due to his recent activity and three consecutive wins, but Hermansson’s experience and ability to withstand tough opposition make this a compelling contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rodrigues has fought more frequently in the last few years, averaging a fight every 5 months and 25 days with shorter bouts averaging 2.4 rounds. Hermansson has been less active, fighting roughly every 9 months and 25 days with longer fights averaging 3.6 rounds. Rodrigues’ recent form includes a rebound showing more well-rounded skills despite occasional striking vulnerabilities, while Hermansson has remained a reliable, durable competitor despite prolonged inactivity.
  • This is their first meeting; thus, no direct head-to-head history exists between Hermansson and Rodrigues.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of this bout, but Hermansson’s extended inactivity could suggest minor wear or ring rust compared to Rodrigues’ recent fight cadence.
  • The fight takes place at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, a familiar venue for both fighters. Rodrigues benefits from momentum and recent ring activity, while Hermansson’s veteran experience might offset any external pressure. The fight is streamed on ESPN+ PPV, heightening stakes with potential broader audience exposure.
  • Rodrigues is motivated to capitalize on his upward trajectory after recent wins and to solidify his status as a middleweight contender. Hermansson aims to use his experience to halt Rodrigues’ rise and reestablish himself among the top middleweights.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gregory Rodrigues: -218, Jack Hermansson: 180 Gregory Rodrigues ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Gregory Rodrigues -3.5: -125, Jack Hermansson +3.5: -105 Gregory Rodrigues -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -145, Under 2.5 rounds: 114 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gregory Rodrigues -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gregory Rodrigues is predicted to win by a method that leverages his pressure striking and improved grappling, likely via decision or late stoppage. Hermansson's resilience suggests it will be competitive, but Rodrigues’ activity and momentum give him the edge.

Predicted Score: Gregory Rodrigues wins by decision or TKO in round 3 or 4


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Victor Morales Jr vs. Rene Alvarado Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Victor Morales Jr vs Rene Alvarado – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-29
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Honda Center, Anaheim, California

Game Overview

Victor Morales Jr, an undefeated young prospect with a 20-0-1 record and orthodox stance, faces the experienced Rene Alvarado, who holds a 34-16-0 record. This 10-round super featherweight clash features Morales Jr leveraging youth and an unblemished career against Alvarado's experience and resilience. The fight is scheduled at the Honda Center as part of a larger boxing event.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Victor Morales Jr has maintained an undefeated streak against moderately experienced opponents, showing rapid growth but lacking high-ranked adversaries. Rene Alvarado has faced tougher competition but with a mixed record, demonstrating durability yet also showing vulnerabilities that Morales can exploit.
  • There is no record of previous head-to-head matches between Victor Morales Jr and Rene Alvarado, making this their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the match, with both expected to compete at full fitness.
  • The venue is the Honda Center in Anaheim, a familiar location for Morales Jr who fights on home soil (USA) compared to Alvarado from Nicaragua. The fight is part of a major card broadcast on DAZN, likely increasing motivation and pressure.
  • Morales Jr aims to solidify his rising star status by defeating a seasoned former world champion, while Alvarado seeks to leverage his experience and upset an undefeated prospect to revive his career momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Victor Morales Jr: -1667, Rene Alvarado: 817 Victor Morales Jr to win ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 8.5 rounds: -250, Under 8.5 rounds: 200 Over 8.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Victor Morales Jr -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Victor Morales Jr is the strong favorite to win due to his undefeated record, youth advantage, and the bookmaker's odds heavily favoring him. However, Alvarado's experience could pose challenges if he capitalizes on opportunities. The fight is expected to be competitive but likely to go the distance with Morales Jr edging a decision or possibly a late stoppage.

Predicted Score: Victor Morales Jr wins by unanimous decision after 10 rounds


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Avious Griffin vs. Julian Rodriguez Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Avious Griffin vs Julian Rodriguez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Honda Center, Anaheim, California, USA

Game Overview

Avious Griffin and Julian Rodriguez face off in a 10-round welterweight bout at the Honda Center in Anaheim, California. Griffin enters the match undefeated at 17-0 with a high knockout rate, while Rodriguez holds a strong 23-1 record with respectable power and resilience. The fight is on the undercard of the high-profile Jake Paul vs Julio César Chávez Jr. event, with significant attention from fans and strong online betting interest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Griffin is undefeated with a 94% KO rate over 17 fights, showing dominance and finishing ability. Rodriguez has more fights (24 total) with a 58% KO rate and only one loss, showing experience and toughness but less knockout power comparatively.
  • There is no prior head-to-head meeting between Avious Griffin and Julian Rodriguez, making this their first encounter. Griffin’s undefeated status and higher KO percentage give him an edge in power and performance metrics.
  • No reported injuries or health issues have been noted for either fighter leading into this match.
  • The match takes place in Anaheim with both fighters preparing in their respective camps in Las Vegas and New Jersey/Chattanooga. The event’s large scale and PPV coverage through DAZN provides motivation and exposure for both fighters.
  • Griffin is looking to maintain his perfect record and continue his rise in the welterweight division, while Rodriguez aims to prove his resilience and challenge an undefeated rising star, making this a highly motivated and competitive fight.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Avious Griffin: -1000, Julian Rodriguez: 600 Avious Griffin to win ★★★★★ 90%
Over/under Over: -115, Under: -115 Under 6.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Avious Griffin -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 6.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 6.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Avious Griffin is the strong favorite to win this match by knockout, based on his undefeated record, superior KO percentage, and physical advantages in height and reach. Julian Rodriguez’s experience and durability will make it competitive, but Griffin’s power and momentum should secure him a decisive victory.

Predicted Score: Avious Griffin wins by KO in round 5


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Holly Holm vs. Yolanda Vega Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Holly Holm vs Yolanda Vega – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-29
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Honda Center, Anaheim, California

Game Overview

Holly Holm, a legendary boxer and former UFC champion, returns to the boxing ring after a long MMA career and a 12-year absence from professional boxing. She faces undefeated Mexican boxer Yolanda Vega, who has a 10-0 record but limited knockout power. The matchup is highly anticipated as Holm seeks to reclaim boxing glory late in her career, while Vega aims to upset a boxing Hall of Famer and advance her path to a world title.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Holm has a seasoned boxing record of 33-2-3 and is recognized for her technical skill and power, though concerns exist about rust and age (43 years old). Vega is undefeated (10-0) but has faced lower-level competition and possesses only one knockout, suggesting limited finishing ability.
  • This is their first encounter with no prior head-to-head history. However, Holm's vast experience and ring IQ give her a significant tactical edge over Vega, who is still an emerging prospect.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Holm’s induction into the International Boxing Hall of Fame in 2022 and her motivation to end her career as a champion could boost her performance. Vega’s recent activity, including four fights in the last year, suggests good ring conditioning but less exposure to elite opposition.
  • Holm is highly motivated to secure another belt and cement her legacy before retirement. Vega is driven by the chance to defeat a legend and move closer to becoming a world champion herself, adding high stakes on both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Holly Holm: -800, Yolanda Vega: 475 Holly Holm ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Holly Holm -1.5: -250, Yolanda Vega +1.5: +180 Holly Holm to cover -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 7.5 rounds: +120, Under 7.5 rounds: -150 Under 7.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Holly Holm -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Holly Holm at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Holly Holm is predicted to win by decision, using her experience and technical superiority to outbox Yolanda Vega over the distance.

Predicted Score: Holm wins by decision after 8 rounds


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Joel Iriarte vs. Yusuph Metu Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Joel Iriarte vs Yusuph Metu – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Honda Center, Anaheim, California

Game Overview

Joel Iriarte, an undefeated American prospect known for his power and sharp skill set, faces Tanzanian fighter Yusuph Metu at the Honda Center in Anaheim, California, on June 28, 2025. This bout is part of the undercard for the Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. event. Iriarte is hunting for his eighth knockout victory, whereas Metu is considered the underdog in this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Joel Iriarte has maintained an undefeated record with multiple knockouts, showing dominance in his last fights. Yusuph Metu, while skilled, has not matched Iriarte's knockout power and recent winning streak.
  • There is no prior head-to-head matchup between Joel Iriarte and Yusuph Metu, making this their first encounter.
  • No current injury reports or concerns have been noted for either fighter going into this match.
  • The fight takes place in Anaheim, California, which may favor Joel Iriarte due to his American prospect status and possible local support. The event’s high-profile undercard status elevates the fighters' motivation levels.
  • Joel Iriarte is motivated to maintain his undefeated streak and extend his knockout record, while Yusuph Metu aims to upset a highly regarded prospect and advance his career.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Joel Iriarte: -8000, Yusuph Metu: 1600 Joel Iriarte to win ★★★★★ 95%
Spread Joel Iriarte -4.5 rounds: -120, Yusuph Metu +4.5 rounds: +100 Joel Iriarte to win by more than 4.5 rounds ★★★★★ 90%
Over/under Over 5.5 rounds: +150, Under 5.5 rounds: -180 Under 5.5 rounds – likely a shorter fight with Iriarte finishing early ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Joel Iriarte -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Joel Iriarte at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Joel Iriarte is highly favored to win by knockout given his undefeated record, power, and favorable odds. Yusuph Metu faces an uphill battle, but could capitalize on any mistakes. Overall, Iriarte’s recent form and power make him the strong favorite.

Predicted Score: Joel Iriarte wins by KO in round 4


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Raul Curiel vs. Victor Rodriguez Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Raul Curiel vs Victor Rodriguez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Honda Center, Anaheim, California

Game Overview

The boxing match between Raul Curiel and Victor Rodriguez is a highly anticipated welterweight bout set for 10 rounds. Both fighters come into the fight undefeated, with Curiel holding a record of 15-0-1 and Rodriguez at 16-0-1. Curiel's aggressive style and home crowd support contrast with Rodriguez's precise striking and high pace, making this a compelling contest for a WBA title eliminator.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Raul Curiel has shown consistent dominance with an aggressive approach, capitalizing on his opponents' defensive lapses. Victor Rodriguez balances this with precision and stamina, maintaining an undefeated record by outpacing and outstriking his foes.
  • This is the first meeting between Curiel and Rodriguez, so no direct head-to-head data is available, increasing the emphasis on their style contrasts and recent performances.
  • No reported injuries or fitness concerns have been disclosed for either fighter leading up to the bout, suggesting both are in peak condition.
  • The fight takes place at Honda Center in Anaheim, giving Curiel a quasi-home advantage. The event is part of a high-profile card including Jake Paul vs. Julio César Chávez Jr., increasing the stakes and visibility.
  • Both fighters are motivated by the opportunity to become a WBA title contender, with Rodriguez aiming to leverage his 16 victories and Curiel defending his undefeated status in front of a supportive crowd.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Raul Curiel: -1400, Victor Rodriguez: 700 Raul Curiel ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Raul Curiel: -1.5, Victor Rodriguez: +1.5 Raul Curiel -1.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 7.5: -115, Under 7.5: -115 Under 7.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Raul Curiel -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Raul Curiel is favored to win due to his slight edge in home advantage, more aggressive style, and bookmaker odds, but Victor Rodriguez’s precision and undefeated momentum make an upset plausible. The predicted outcome is a Curiel victory by decision or late-round stoppage.

Predicted Score: Curiel wins by unanimous decision after 10 rounds


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