The Gold Coast Titans, positioned last on the NRL ladder with only four wins this season, face the North Queensland Cowboys who sit 12th. Both teams come into Round 17 struggling with form and recent heavy losses – the Titans lost 36-20 to the Eels while the Cowboys suffered a 42-8 defeat to the Roosters. The Titans will be looking to recover from inconsistency, while the Cowboys must respond after multiple recent heavy defeats. This Queensland derby is crucial for both sides aiming to arrest their downward trajectories.
Key Factors to Consider
The Titans have demonstrated fluctuating performances this season, with moments of promise overshadowed by poor results such as the recent loss to the Eels where they also lost Jayden Campbell mid-match due to a head knock. The Cowboys have been struggling defensively, conceding over 30 points in three consecutive matches, including two losses with over 40 points conceded. Both teams face form uncertainties but the Cowboys have a slightly better recent run in terms of standings.
Historically, these Queensland rivals have had competitive encounters; however, current season form heavily favors the Cowboys who are higher on the ladder and arguably more stable despite their recent defensive lapses. The Titans have underperformed against top and mid-table teams this season and are seeking to capitalize on home advantage.
Key injury impacting the Titans is Jayden Campbell, ruled out mid-game last week with a Category 1 head knock. This forced the inclusion of Tom Weaver into the halves. The Cowboys do not have any notable injury news mentioned but are returning Origin players Tino Fa'asuamaleaui and Mo Fotuaika to the Titans bench, which may boost Titans' physicality and morale.
The match is at the Titans’ home ground, Cbus Super Stadium, potentially providing a home crowd advantage. Both teams are under pressure due to recent heavy defeats which may affect confidence and motivation. Weather conditions or other external factors have not been specified.
Both teams are motivated to reverse poor runs: the Titans to lift themselves off last place and avoid further slide, and the Cowboys to halt defensive collapses and regain competitiveness. The Cowboys coach has publicly demanded improved effort and execution, which suggests strong motivation to respond positively.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Gold Coast Titans: 128, North Queensland Cowboys: -143, Draw: 1900
North Queensland Cowboys
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Gold Coast Titans: -4.5 -130, North Queensland Cowboys: +4.5 100
North Queensland Cowboys +4.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 51.5: -115, Under 51.5: -115
Over 51.5 points
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
North Queensland Cowboys -13%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 51.5 22%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Despite the Titans' home advantage, the North Queensland Cowboys are predicted to win due to their stronger ladder position, recent form signals, and the Titans’ key injury and inconsistency issues. The Cowboys' defensive struggles may make it a high-scoring game, but their overall quality should prevail.
This highly anticipated lightweight title bout at UFC 317 features Ilia Topuria, the former UFC featherweight champion with an undefeated record and recent knockout streak, against Charles Oliveira, the experienced former lightweight champion ranked No. 2. Both fighters bring contrasting styles: Topuria with his explosive striking and perfect record, Oliveira with his seasoned grappling and resilience. The bout is set for June 28, 2025, live from T-Mobile Arena.
Key Factors to Consider
Topuria enters with a perfect MMA record and consecutive knockout wins, showcasing powerful and precise striking. Oliveira, despite recent setbacks, has vast experience in the lightweight division, known for his dynamic grappling and submission skills.
This is their first direct matchup. Analytical insight from past opponents suggests Oliveira's success may hinge on neutralizing Topuria's aggressive striking early and leveraging ground game opportunities.
No reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into the bout. Both appear fully fit and ready to compete.
The fight takes place at T-Mobile Arena, a major venue that can influence fighter motivation and performance due to high stakes and large audience pressure. Both fighters have expressed strong intent, with Oliveira promising to aggressively push forward.
Topuria is motivated by his undefeated streak and desire to claim the lightweight title. Oliveira seeks redemption and to reclaim his status as champion, motivated to overcome a favored opponent and demonstrate his grit.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Ilia Topuria: -455, Charles Oliveira: 350
Ilia Topuria
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Ilia Topuria: -5.5 -370, Charles Oliveira: 5.5 250
Ilia Topuria by more than 5.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 1.5: -145, Under 1.5: 114
Over 1.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Ilia Topuria -15%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 1.5 -2%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Topuria's dominant striking and momentum, combined with Oliveira's experience and grappling threat, the fight is expected to be competitive but with Topuria favored to win by decision or late stoppage. Oliveira's ability to impose a grappling-heavy strategy could extend the fight, but Topuria's power and precision present a significant challenge.
Predicted Score: Ilia Topuria wins via late 3rd round TKO or unanimous decision
The upcoming NRL match between Melbourne Storm and Cronulla Sutherland Sharks is a high-stakes fixture at AAMI Park, with Melbourne as the home team. Historically, Melbourne Storm have dominated this matchup, holding a significant advantage in wins and points scored, especially at home venues like AAMI Park. Cronulla Sharks have been competitive but have fewer victories on Melbourne soil. The match promises intense competition with both teams aiming to assert dominance in the league standings.
Key Factors to Consider
Melbourne Storm have a strong home record, winning 19 of 26 matches against Cronulla on home grounds and holding a robust overall head-to-head lead (30 wins to Cronulla's 17). Recent form favors Melbourne with commanding performances at AAMI Park, outscoring Cronulla significantly (467 points to 193) in past home games. Cronulla show resilience and have managed crucial wins but typically struggle away from their home stadium.
Overall, Melbourne Storm leads the rivalry with 30 wins from 48 matches since 1998, showcasing dominance especially in home fixtures. Cronulla have 17 wins overall, with a better showing at their home venue but less success when away, particularly at AAMI Park. The Storm have longer winning streaks and higher point tallies in recent history, reinforcing Melbourne as favorites.
No specific injury updates are provided from the current data, but the fitness of key players for both sides should be monitored closer to match day for more accurate assessment.
Playing at AAMI Park gives Melbourne Storm a significant home advantage including crowd support and familiarity with the venue. Weather conditions and pitch state are not indicated but should be considered as they can affect game tempo and scoring.
Melbourne Storm, aiming to maintain their home dominance and climb the league table, likely have strong motivation. Cronulla Sharks, seeking to upset the home favorites and improve their away record, will be highly motivated as well. Historical rivalry adds extra competitive edge to the contest.
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Melbourne Storm -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 46.5 16%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Melbourne Storm are favored to win by a clear margin given their dominant home record and historical superiority over Cronulla Sutherland Sharks. Expect a competitive, physical game but with Melbourne controlling the match tempo and scoreboard.
The UFC 317 co-main event features Alexandre Pantoja defending his flyweight title against Kai Kara-France. This is a highly anticipated matchup with a history dating back to their TUF 24 quarterfinal meeting in 2016 where Pantoja won by decision. Pantoja is the reigning champion riding a seven-fight win streak, known for his elite grappling and submission skills. Kara-France is a powerful striker with notable knockout wins, posing a puncher's threat. The fight is expected to extend into later rounds due to the durability and experience of both fighters.
Key Factors to Consider
Pantoja has been dominant in the flyweight division with multiple title defenses and victories over top contenders like Brandon Moreno and Kai Asakura. Kara-France has shown striking power with knockouts over respected opponents but has lost two of his last five fights, indicating some inconsistency.
The two first faced each other in 2016 during The Ultimate Fighter 24, where Pantoja won by unanimous decision in a closely contested bout. They have not fought since, making this effectively a rematch with a nearly decade-long gap.
No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading up to the fight, indicating both athletes should be at full capacity.
The bout is held at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, a major venue known for hosting UFC events, providing a high-profile stage. No adverse external factors such as travel or altitude concerns have been reported.
Pantoja aims to extend his reign as flyweight champion and maintain his dominant streak. Kara-France is motivated by the chance to claim the title and prove his growth since their last encounter, looking to potentially keep the fight standing to use his striking advantage.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Alexandre Pantoja: -230, Kai Kara-France: 190
Alexandre Pantoja to win
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
Alexandre Pantoja: -5.5 -125, Kai Kara-France: +5.5 -105
Pantoja covers -5.5 spread
★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under
Over: 3.5 -166, Under: 3.5 130
Over 3.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Alexandre Pantoja -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 3.5 -4%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Alexandre Pantoja at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Alexandre Pantoja is favored to win, most likely by submission due to his superior grappling skills and Brazilian jiu-jitsu pedigree. While Kara-France poses a knockout threat with his striking, the probability leans towards Pantoja controlling the fight on the ground and securing a finish in the later rounds.
Predicted Score: Alexandre Pantoja wins by submission in Round 4
This UFC 317 featherweight bout features Beneil Dariush vs. Renato Moicano. Originally scheduled for UFC 311 but postponed, both fighters come in with motivations linked to climbing rankings and future title contention. Dariush aims to rebound after recent losses, leveraging his submission expertise and tactical preparation. Moicano comes off a setback in a title fight and is determined to avenge past results and regain momentum with improved training and focus.
Key Factors to Consider
Beneil Dariush has shown resilience with a 3-2 record in his last five, possessing 5 KO/TKO and 8 submission wins, indicating a well-rounded finishing ability. Renato Moicano, with a record of 20-6-1, emphasizes improved conditioning and training this camp, confident in his ability to overcome Dariush based on enhanced diet and preparation.
The fighters have not faced each other before. Their originally scheduled match in January was delayed due to Moicano getting a title shot. Their styles and recent performances suggest a close contest, with Dariush banking on his grappling and Moicano on his striking and conditioning.
No reported injuries affecting either fighter for this bout.
The fight is part of a major UFC event, UFC 317, adding significant exposure and pressure. Moicano's previous rapid call-up to a title fight and Dariush's strategic planning time provide contrasting preparation backgrounds.
Moicano is motivated by the goal to climb rankings and secure another title shot, focusing on improved training and fan support. Dariush is motivated by a desire to decisively beat Moicano following prior cancellations and losses, aiming to prove he remains a top contender.
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Beneil Dariush 2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 16%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Beneil Dariush is slightly favored based on his well-rounded skills, strategic camp, and fighting style suited to counter Moicano, whose motivation and conditioning improvements make this a competitive matchup. Expect a tightly contested fight with Dariush edging out a decision or submission victory.
Predicted Score: Beneil Dariush wins by decision or submission in a competitive 3-round fight
The match between San Jose Earthquakes and LA Galaxy is a significant MLS Western Conference clash. San Jose currently ranks 8th in the conference and is vying for a playoff spot with 19 points, tied with Austin FC. LA Galaxy are struggling severely, positioned 15th, enduring a 16-game winless streak with little chance to reach playoffs this season. This fixture is a continuation of the historic California Clásico rivalry, with LA Galaxy historically dominant but recent form favoring San Jose.
Key Factors to Consider
San Jose has performed better this season, maintaining playoff contention and recently shutting out LA Galaxy 1-0 in their last meeting. LA Galaxy have struggled with defensive errors and poor results, including heavy losses and shutouts.
LA Galaxy lead the overall California Clásico series with 50 wins, 34 losses, and 19 draws. However, LA Galaxy's eight-game unbeaten streak against San Jose was broken in their last encounter, with San Jose winning 1-0 in May 2025. Historically, LA Galaxy have dominated home matches, but recent form slightly favors San Jose.
Specific current injury reports not detailed in sources. However, previous matches showed LA Galaxy affected by veteran defender errors.
The match is played at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, giving San Jose a home advantage. LA Galaxy players may be pressured by their ongoing winless streak and playoff elimination.
San Jose is highly motivated to secure a win to boost their playoff chances. LA Galaxy have little to lose but are desperate to break their long winless streak and improve morale.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
San Jose Earthquakes: 100, LA Galaxy: 235, Draw: 290
San Jose Earthquakes win
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
San Jose Earthquakes -0.5: 102, LA Galaxy +50: -122
San Jose -0.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 3.25: -122, Under 3.25: 102
Over 3.25 goals
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Jose Earthquakes 10%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 3.25 6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: San Jose Earthquakes at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Jose Earthquakes are favored due to better form, home advantage, and motivation. Expect a close match but with San Jose edging out LA Galaxy, potentially scoring multiple goals given LA’s defensive vulnerabilities.
Predicted Score: San Jose Earthquakes 2 – 1 LA Galaxy
Seattle Sounders FC hosts Austin FC in an MLS matchup at Lumen Field. Seattle, currently ranked 6th in the league, seeks to rebound after a recent 3-goal loss, while Austin FC, 7th in standings, aims to capitalize on their recent form and possibly inflict another heavy defeat. Both teams have similar standings, making this a closely contested encounter expected to be decided by fine margins.
Key Factors to Consider
Seattle Sounders FC have a recent record of 1-3-3, with 6 points in the season, scoring 25 goals but conceding heavily in certain matches. Austin FC is similarly ranked close behind Seattle and have shown resilience, with top scorers like A. Rusnak contributing 7 goals and 3 assists, while Seattle’s leading scorer B. Vazquez has 5 goals. Seattle’s home form at Lumen Field is a critical advantage.
The historical data between Seattle Sounders FC and Austin FC shows closely matched encounters. Recent meetings have seen both teams winning and losing, highlighting a competitive rivalry. Austin inflicted a recent 3-goal loss on Seattle, indicating potential psychological edge going into this game.
No specific injury reports are provided in the current data, implying both teams are likely near full strength, which will contribute to a highly competitive match.
Playing at home in the iconic Lumen Field, Seattle will benefit from strong home crowd support which can boost team morale and performance. Weather conditions are typical for Seattle in late June, likely mild and favorable for soccer.
Seattle Sounders FC will be motivated to avoid back-to-back heavy defeats and secure crucial home points to improve their standing. Austin FC, having recently defeated Seattle comprehensively, will be motivated to replicate that success and solidify their position above Seattle.
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Seattle Sounders FC -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 8%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Seattle's home advantage and motivation to bounce back, alongside Austin's recent strong showing against Seattle, the match is predicted to be closely contested with Seattle narrowly edging a win.
Jake Paul and Julio César Chávez Jr. face off in a highly anticipated boxing match at the Honda Center. Jake Paul, the younger and currently favored fighter with an 11-1 record, takes on former middleweight champion Julio César Chávez Jr., who brings vast professional experience but is stepping up to cruiserweight. The fight is set for 10 rounds and represents a significant test for Paul against a seasoned ex-champion.
Key Factors to Consider
Jake Paul has momentum coming off a five-fight winning streak since a close loss to Tommy Fury, including a notable victory by decision over Mike Tyson. Julio César Chávez Jr. has recent wins in his last two bouts but has aged and moved up in weight class, which may impact his performance against the younger Paul.
This is their first meeting in the ring, so there is no head-to-head record. However, the difference in style and experience will play a crucial role in how the fight unfolds.
No reported significant injuries for either fighter leading up to the match, allowing both to compete at full strength.
The fight is taking place in California, a neutral venue with large support for Paul due to his popularity as a YouTuber-turned-boxer. Chavez Jr. may face pressure adapting to the weight class and environment.
Jake Paul is motivated to continue establishing his legitimacy as a boxer by defeating a former world champion. Chávez Jr. aims to reclaim relevance and demonstrate he can compete at higher weight classes despite his advancing age.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Jake Paul: -600, Julio César Chávez Jr.: 391
Jake Paul
★★★★☆ 85%
Spread
Jake Paul -2.5 rounds: -150, Julio César Chávez Jr. +2.5 rounds: +130
Jake Paul -2.5 rounds
★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under
Over 8.5 rounds: -240, Under 8.5 rounds: 185
Under 8.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Jake Paul -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 85%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 85% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jake Paul is predicted to win by decision or late-round stoppage given his youth, recent form, and home crowd advantage. Chávez Jr. will challenge but may tire as the fight progresses due to the step up in weight and age difference.
Predicted Score: Jake Paul wins by 9th round TKO or unanimous decision