The upcoming match between Newcastle Knights and New Zealand Warriors is expected to be closely contested despite the Warriors being favored. Recent form and head-to-head statistics play crucial roles in assessing the teams' strengths and weaknesses.
Key Factors to Consider
New Zealand Warriors have shown stronger recent form, winning significant matches like against the Wests Tigers and South Sydney Rabbitohs. Newcastle Knights have been inconsistent, struggling against top-tier teams.
Historically, head-to-head matchups have favored the Warriors, though recent encounters have been competitive.
As of the latest updates, there are no significant injuries reported for either team that would drastically impact the outcome.
Weather conditions and home-field advantage could slightly favor the Knights, but not significantly enough to alter the odds dramatically.
Both teams are motivated to secure valuable points in the NRL standings, but the Warriors might have an edge in maintaining their stronger season trajectory.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Newcastle Knights: 1.90, New Zealand Warriors: 1.57 (implied), Draw: 22.00
New Zealand Warriors
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
New Zealand Warriors: -7.5 at -115
Newcastle Knights +7.5
★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under
Over: 43.5 at -115, Under: 43.5 at -115
Under 43.5
★★★☆☆ 59%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New Zealand Warriors -7%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 43.5 10%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 43.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New Zealand Warriors to win with a close margin.
Predicted Score: New Zealand Warriors 22-20 Newcastle Knights
This matchup between Paulo Henrique Costa and Roman Kopylov promises intense action in the UFC. Costa is the underdog, while Kopylov is favored. The odds suggest a close contest, with Kopylov's versatility and recent form giving him an edge.
Key Factors to Consider
Roman Kopylov's recent performances have shown consistency, while Paulo Henrique Costa has been inconsistent.
There is no recorded head-to-head matchup between these fighters.
No significant injury updates are available for either fighter.
The fight's venue and any crowd factors could influence the fighters' performance, but specific details are not available.
Both fighters are motivated, but Kopylov might have more to prove as the favorite.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Paulo Henrique Costa: 185, Roman Kopylov: -225
Roman Kopylov
Not available
Spread
Paulo Henrique Costa: -150 for +3.5, Roman Kopylov: 110 for -3.5
Roman Kopylov
Not available
Over/under
over: -230 for 2.5 rounds, under: 175 for 2.5 rounds
Over
Not available
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Roman Kopylov -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 -14%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Roman Kopylov at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Roman Kopylov to win by decision or late stoppage.
Predicted Score: No specific score prediction available for MMA fights.
Jesse "Bam" Rodriguez will face Phumelela Cafu in a junior bantamweight unification bout. Rodriguez is highly favored due to his impressive undefeated record and recent title defenses. Cafu, however, has shown his ability by winning the WBO title against Kosei Tanaka.
Key Factors to Consider
Rodriguez is ranked No. 7 on ESPN's pound-for-pound list, with notable wins over Sunny Edwards and Juan Francisco Estrada. Cafu recently upset Kosei Tanaka to win the WBO title.
There is no prior H2H matchup between the two fighters.
No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter.
Rodriguez is fighting closer to home, but both fighters are well-prepared for the bout.
Both fighters are highly motivated, with Rodriguez seeking to unify titles and Cafu aiming to prove himself against a top-ranked opponent.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-4000 for Rodriguez, +1100 for Cafu
Rodriguez
★★★★★ 92%
Over/under
Over 7.5 -125, Under 7.5 -105
Over 7.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Jesse Rodriguez -8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 7.5 8%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 7.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, Louisiana
Game Overview
This highly anticipated third meeting between Dustin Poirier and Max Holloway heads the UFC 318 main event, featuring the BMF title on the line. Poirier is set to retire after this bout, adding finality and heightened stakes to his performance. Holloway seeks redemption to avenge his previous losses against Poirier and defend his belt.
Key Factors to Consider
Poirier is coming off a submission loss to Islam Makhachev but holds a strong legacy and motivation to retire as BMF champion. Holloway suffered a knockout loss to Ilia Topuiria recently but boasts an active 22-8 UFC record with aggressive striking and volume.
Poirier holds a 2-0 advantage in their head-to-head history, including early career bouts where he won by submission and decision. Holloway aims to reverse this but has yet to secure a win against Poirier.
No significant injuries reported for either fighter that could impact performance notably at fight time.
The bout location favors Poirier slightly due to his fanbase, and the retirement narrative adds pressure and edge to his preparation. Holloway's public declarations of a historic fight indicate strong motivation.
Poirier’s motivation to retire on a high with the BMF title favors him psychologically. Holloway is motivated to prove himself and redeem past losses but faces added pressure to defend his legacy.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Dustin Poirier: +124, Max Holloway: -148
Max Holloway
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Poirier +5.5 -195, Holloway -5.5 +140
Max Holloway -5.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 4.5 rounds -160, Under 4.5 rounds +124
Under 4.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Max Holloway -11%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 4.5 23%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 4.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Max Holloway to win by decision
Predicted Score: Max Holloway wins via unanimous decision after 5 rounds
Elite featherweight showdown between UFC veteran Dan Ige and former Bellator champion Patricio Pitbull, marking Pitbull's second high-profile UFC bout. Ige enters as a sizable favorite, with questions about Pitbull's ability to compete at the elite UFC level at age 38.
Key Factors to Consider
Ige is coming off a bounce-back win and has consistently faced UFC-level competition; Pitbull, while a decorated champion in Bellator, looked outmatched in his UFC debut against a younger, faster opponent[1]. Ige's youth, speed, and well-roundedness are considered advantages[1]. Pitbull has made significant changes to his preparation, including isolating from distractions, which could signal heightened focus[3][4].
No prior fights between the two.
No major injuries reported pre-fight for either fighter.
Pitbull's transition from Bellator to UFC later in his career may limit his ability to adapt to the higher level of competition; Ige's experience in the UFC and comfort in the spotlight are advantages. Pitbull's isolation from family and distractions could sharpen his focus, but also may indicate stress or pressure[3][4].
Ige is motivated to climb the UFC rankings and prove he belongs among the elite. Pitbull is eager to validate his legacy in the UFC, though there are questions about his age and adaptability[1].
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Dan Ige -218, Patricio Pitbull +180
Dan Ige
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
Dan Ige -3.5 +110, Patricio Pitbull +3.5 -150
Dan Ige -3.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.5 Rounds -270, Under 2.5 Rounds +200
Over 2.5 Rounds
★★★★☆ 80%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Dan Ige -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 16%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 44.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Dan Ige to win by outworking and outlasting Pitbull, leveraging superior speed, combinations, and UFC-level experience.
Predicted Score: Dan Ige by Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)