A tightly contested Serie A clash where Como is favored on the moneyline but Parma have shown resilience, notably at home. Both teams have displayed conservative styles recently, signifying a likely low-scoring match.
Key Factors to Consider
Parma struggles offensively, averaging around 0.5 goals per game recently with many draws and low-scoring matches. Como, while capable of impressive results like a 2-0 win over Juventus, tends to be more cautious away, especially against defensive teams.
The recent meeting ended 0-1 in favor of Como with similar probabilities (Parma ~30%, Draw ~29%, Como ~44%). Historically, matches between these sides have been closely fought with tight scorelines.
No significant injuries reported that drastically affect either side’s core lineup or tactical setup.
Match takes place at Parma’s home ground which traditionally provides some advantage, but tactical conservatism and defensive solidity are the main influencers here.
Como aims to consolidate their position as favorites and maintain momentum from key wins, whereas Parma seeks to capitalize on home advantage to secure at least a draw and stop recent offensive drought.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: +275, draw: +240, away: +101
Como
★★★☆☆ 63%
Spread
Como -0.5: +100, Parma +50: -120
Parma +0.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 2.25: -125, Under 2.25: +105
Under 2.5 Goals
★★★★☆ 75%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Como 15%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 37%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Udinese hosts Lecce in an Italian Serie A matchup featuring two mid-table teams with contrasting recent performances. Udinese has struggled at home recently without a win in eight matches, while Lecce is the underdog but capable of frustrating opponents.
Key Factors to Consider
Udinese has been steady but unable to convert home advantage into wins, recently drawing 1-1 in two consecutive matches. Lecce has a lower win probability but can exploit Udinese's defensive vulnerabilities.
Recent history shows a trend of low-scoring matches with under 2.5 goals in the last 7 encounters between these sides, indicating tight defensive battles.
No major injury news indicates any key player absences for either side, leaving both squads at near full strength.
Playing at home with home crowd support should help Udinese regain form, but pressure is high due to their winless streak; weather and pitch conditions are reported standard.
Udinese is motivated to end their home win drought, adding pressure; Lecce aims to capitalize on this by playing a disciplined and counterattacking style.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Udinese: -125, Draw: +245, Lecce: +380
Udinese
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
Udinese -0.5: -125, Lecce +50: +105
Udinese -0.5
★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under
Over 2.25: -108, Under 2.25: -112
Under 2.25
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Udinese 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 17%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Girona hosts Oviedo in a La Liga match where Girona is the clear favorite given recent form, stronger home performance, and Oviedo's struggles away. Odds imply Girona should control the match, but an upset is possible if Oviedo exploits counterattacks.
Key Factors to Consider
Girona has demonstrated consistent form at home, with a winning probability model around 52%. Oviedo have struggled on the road with under 25% win chances away in recent fixtures.
Recent H2H in La Liga between Girona and Oviedo shows Girona with a slight edge in wins and goals scored. Matches tend to be moderately low scoring.
No major injury concerns reported for either side at this time, with both teams likely fielding strong lineups.
Match is played at Girona's home stadium (Montilivi), providing them a distinct home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal with no disruptions.
Girona is highly motivated to capitalize on home advantage for league position improvement. Oviedo may struggle with motivation away from home, given their form.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-125 / +370 / +250
Girona
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
-0.5 -125 (Girona) / +50 +105 (Oviedo)
Girona -0.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 2.25 -122 / Under 2.25 +102
Under 2.25
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Girona 8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 13%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Coventry City and Watford are set to clash in a crucial Championship match. Coventry City have had a strong head-to-head record against Watford, winning five of their last encounters. Watford's recent form has been inconsistent, which could impact their performance.
Key Factors to Consider
Coventry City have been performing well, while Watford have shown inconsistency in recent matches.
Coventry City have a favorable head-to-head record against Watford, winning five of their last seven encounters.
No significant injuries have been reported for either team.
Home advantage could play a significant role for Coventry City, who have been strong at The Coventry Building Society Arena.
Both teams are motivated to secure a win as they seek to improve their position in the Championship.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-200, 525, 350
Coventry City
★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under
-175, 125
Over 2.5
★★★☆☆ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Coventry City -10%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 -17%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Coventry City at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Coventry City are likely to win, given their recent form and strong head-to-head performance against Watford.
This EFL Championship matchup features Portsmouth hosting Stoke City in a tightly contested fixture. Both teams show similar recent form and odds, indicating an evenly matched game that could hinge on key moments and tactical execution.
Key Factors to Consider
Both Portsmouth and Stoke City have demonstrated stable recent form with balanced home and away results. Portsmouth shows slight home advantage but lacks offensive explosiveness. Stoke City is resilient on the road with disciplined defense.
Recent head-to-head meetings between Portsmouth and Stoke have been very close, with a mix of draws and narrow wins for each side, underscoring the evenly matched nature of this rivalry.
No significant injury concerns reported for either team, allowing both squads to field their strongest lineups and maintain tactical consistency.
No apparent external disruptions such as weather or travel issues; the match being at Portsmouth provides nominal home support advantage.
Both teams are motivated to secure points for better league positioning; Portsmouth may have marginally higher incentive to capitalize at home, while Stoke aims to maintain away resilience.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Portsmouth: +166, Stoke City: +169, Draw: +195
Draw
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Portsmouth 0: -112, Stoke City 0: -108
Portsmouth 0 (Draw No Bet)
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 2.25: -102, Under 2.25: -118
Under 2.25
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Draw 15%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 2%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Ipswich Town hosts West Bromwich Albion in a crucial EFL Championship match. Ipswich is favored to win, according to current odds, reflecting their strong recent form and historical performance against West Brom at home.
Key Factors to Consider
Ipswich Town has been performing well recently, showing consistency in their league matches. West Brom, though traditionally strong, has seen mixed results.
Recent head-to-head matches show a mixed bag, but Ipswich has generally held its ground against West Brom in home fixtures.
There's no significant injury news that could drastically impact the match outcome based on available data.
Motivation to win is high for both teams, given the stakes in the Championship.
Both teams are motivated to secure points, especially Ipswich, which is favored to win and has high promotion hopes.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-130 Ipswich Town, 350 West Bromwich Albion, 270 Draw
Ipswich Town
★★★★☆ 74%
Spread
Not explicitly provided, but typically ranges from -0.5 to +50 for favorites and underdogs in soccer.
Ipswich Town -0.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.5 -120, Under 2.5 -118
Under 2.5
★★★☆☆ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Ipswich Town 6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 11%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ipswich Town is the favored outcome, with potential for a low-scoring match given the defensive styles of both teams.
Abbotsford Canucks face Ontario Reign in an AHL matchup where both teams have shown strong early season form, but Abbotsford holds a slight home advantage and better recent defensive stats.
Key Factors to Consider
Abbotsford Canucks have a solid start to the season with a strong defensive record, whereas Ontario Reign have been competitive but with slightly less consistency, particularly on the road.
Recent head-to-head matchups indicate a balanced competition with evenly split wins but Abbotsford has a marginally better goal differential in these encounters.
No significant injuries reported for either team impacting key players.
No unusual external factors such as travel fatigue or weather impacts; game played at Abbotsford's home venue.
Abbotsford aims to consolidate their strong position at home early in the season, while Ontario Reign seek to establish road dominance; both teams highly motivated.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Home: -120, Away: -110
Home win (Abbotsford Canucks)
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Abbotsford -1.5: +220, Ontario +1.5: -300
Abbotsford Canucks -1.5 goals
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
Over 5.5: +105, Under 5.5: -135
Under 5.5 goals
★★★☆☆ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Abbotsford Canucks -3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 5.5 -4%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Abbotsford Canucks at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Boise State Broncos, with a 5-2 overall record and undefeated 3-0 Mountain West conference record, face a struggling Nevada Wolf Pack, who are 1-6 overall and 0-3 in conference. Boise State is heavily favored by bookmakers and recent form, dominating on both offense and defense.
Key Factors to Consider
Boise State is on a strong run with 17 wins in their last 20 regular season games, notably 4-0 against the spread as a double-digit favorite this season, winning by an average of nearly 28 points. Nevada has struggled with a 1-6 record and has not shown competitiveness in the conference this season.
Boise State has consistently dominated this matchup, and recent meeting trends strongly favor Boise State, especially at Nevada’s Mackay Stadium.
No significant injuries reported for Boise State affecting key players such as quarterback Maddux Madsen or leading defensive contributors. Nevada's injury impact appears minimal but their performance is weak regardless.
The game is at Nevada’s home, but Boise State’s dominant recent road performances and Nevada’s poor home record mitigate home-field advantage. Weather and other factors appear neutral.
Boise State aims to maintain Mountain West dominance and build momentum for the postseason. Nevada’s low motivation is evident from their poor season and no conference wins.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boise State Broncos: -1800, Nevada Wolf Pack: 1000
Boise State Broncos
★★★★★ 92%
Spread
Boise State Broncos -21.5: -105, Nevada Wolf Pack +21.5: -115
Boise State Broncos -21.5
★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under
Over 50.5: -112, Under 50.5: -108
Under 50.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boise State Broncos -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 50.5 16%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boise State Broncos to win both moneyline and cover the spread; expect under on total points due to Boise State controlling tempo and defense limiting Nevada’s scoring.
Predicted Score: Boise State Broncos 38 – Nevada Wolf Pack 14