The Brisbane Broncos enter as significant favorites hosting the South Sydney Rabbitohs, who have struggled on the road. Brisbane showcases superior recent form, a stronger attack and defense, and benefits from strong home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
Brisbane is in peak form, ranked 5th in power rankings versus South Sydney's 17th, with an attack advantage of 8.7 points per game and very solid defensive metrics. The Rabbitohs have continued to struggle away from home.
Historical data favors Brisbane strongly: out of 50 matches, Broncos won 33, including 19 at home. At Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane won 14 of 21 meetings against South Sydney with a 487–436 points edge.
No critical injuries reported for either side that would significantly change team strength; Broncos maintain a near full-strength squad boosting their dominance.
The hostile atmosphere at Suncorp Stadium and Friday night timing favors Brisbane, who historically thrive in this environment. South Sydney travel fatigue and poor away record create a challenging scenario for them.
Brisbane is motivated to secure a commanding win to consolidate playoff positioning, while South Sydney faces pressure to break a poor away streak and salvage confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Brisbane Broncos -675, South Sydney Rabbitohs +460, Draw +2800
Brisbane Broncos
★★★★☆ 74%
Spread
Brisbane Broncos -16.5 (-110), South Sydney Rabbitohs +16.5 (-120)
Brisbane Broncos -16.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 49.5 (-115), Under 49.5 (-115)
Under 49.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Brisbane Broncos -15%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 49.5 27%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Brisbane Broncos will win outright with a strong defensive performance keeping the total score under 49.5 points.
Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 24 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 14
The New Zealand Warriors host the Dolphins in a crucial NRL Round 22 clash where the Dolphins are slight favorites based on predictive analytics despite the Warriors holding home ground advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
The Dolphins have demonstrated superior recent form with several high-scoring wins, including 43-24 over Cowboys and 50-28 over Rabbitohs, while the Warriors have mixed results recently including a loss to Titans and narrow wins in some matches.
Limited history between the teams with no clear dominance; previous meetings have been close contests with recent matches evenly split.
No specific major injuries reported impacting starting lineups for either team in the available data, suggesting key players should be available for both sides.
Playing at Go Media Stadium benefits the Warriors due to strong home support, but Dolphins have shown resilience on the road and in challenging environments.
Both teams are motivated to secure finals positions; Warriors aiming to maintain a higher ladder position, Dolphins pushing hard to climb into the Top 8.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Dolphins: -138, Warriors: 120, Draw: 2000
Dolphins
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Dolphins -1.5: -135, Warriors +1.5: 105
Dolphins -1.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 45.5: -115, Under 45.5: -115
Over 45.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Dolphins 7%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 45.5 7%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Dolphins at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
For moneyline, bet on Dolphins to win given better form and statistical edge. For spread, Dolphins -1.5 is favored due to momentum and more reliable attack. For total points, expect over 45.5 as both teams possess firepower and history of high scoring.
The Calgary Stampeders enter as clear favorites given their strong 5-2 record against Ottawa Redblacks' struggling 1-6. Calgary’s offense ranks high in road passing and rushing, while Ottawa's scoring and defense are weaker overall. The Stampeders’ ability to control possession and defend first-half leads is notable.
Key Factors to Consider
Calgary boasts top-3 rankings in road passing (320 yds) and rushing (117 yds) with solid defense, whereas Ottawa ranks near bottom offensively and defensively, with only 21.14 points scored per game and 19.14 points allowed per game.
Recent H2H trends favor Calgary, who have covered spreads previously and controlled games with effective clock management. Ottawa has struggled to score consistently, especially in the first half.
No specific injury information available, but lack of key injuries to Calgary contributes to their offensive reliability; Ottawa's lineup status less certain, but form suggests weaknesses remain.
Game venue at Ottawa’s TD Place Stadium for home team advantage, but Calgary’s road performance remains superior. No weather or other external disruptions noted.
Calgary at 5-2 show strong playoff motivation; Ottawa at 1-6 struggling with morale and performance, lowering competitiveness.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Calgary -196, Ottawa +162
Calgary Stampeders
★★★★☆ 85%
Spread
Calgary -4.5 (-105), Ottawa +4.5 (-115)
Calgary -4.5
★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under
Over 52.5 (-110), Under 52.5 (-110)
Under 52.5
★★★★☆ 75%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Calgary Stampeders 6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 52.5 15%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Calgary Stampeders to win on the moneyline, cover the -4.5 spread, and the game to go under 52.5 total points.
The New York Yankees host the Tampa Bay Rays in a late July MLB matchup. The Yankees enter favored on the moneyline with solid home performance, while the Rays are slight favorites on the spread, sending Ryan Pepiot against Marcus Stroman in a crucial game with playoff implications.
Key Factors to Consider
Yankees have a 59-49 overall record and strong home record of 33-22, showing recent momentum by winning three of their last four games. Rays sit at 54-55 overall and 23-27 on the road, struggling with consistency and appearing as sellers at the deadline.
In the current series, Rays won the opener 4-2 but Yankees bounced back winning the next two games including an extra-innings victory. Historically, the Yankees generally perform better at home in this matchup.
No significant injury reports for key players impacting pitching or lineup depth for either team at this time.
Playing at Yankee Stadium favors the home team, with favorable weather conditions expected. The pitching matchup is critical with Stroman favored to keep runs low, while the Rays' Pepiot has had mixed recent outings.
Yankees motivated by recent series win and stronger playoff positioning; Rays motivated but appear less consistent and have been sellers at trade deadline which may impact morale.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Yankees -116, Rays -102
Yankees
★★★★☆ 70%
Spread
Yankees +1.5 -184, Rays -1.5 +152
Yankees +1.5
★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -115, Under 8.5 -105
Under 8.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Yankees 12%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 17%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Yankees to win; Spread: Yankees +1.5; Over/Under: Under 8.5 runs
Melbourne Storm enter as heavy favorites against Parramatta Eels in this Round 22 NRL clash, with superior form, defense, and road performance giving them the edge. Parramatta's inconsistency at home and Melbourne's championship momentum are key elements.
Key Factors to Consider
Melbourne Storm rank #1 in power rankings with dominant recent form and are averaging a 12.9 point advantage per game over Parramatta, who rank 14th and have struggled for consistent home form.
Recent head-to-head results strongly favor Melbourne Storm, who typically control the match tempo and defensive battles against the Eels.
No critically impactful injuries reported for either side affecting primary starters, maintaining Melbourne's strong lineup.
Match played at Parramatta's home ground, which has been a weak fortress this season, limiting effective home advantage; weather and other external conditions are neutral.
Melbourne Storm are motivated to maintain top premiership momentum going into September finals push; Parramatta seek upset but motivation is offset by form gap.
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Melbourne Storm 6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 48.5 31%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Melbourne Storm to win comfortably, covering the -10.5 spread, with total points likely under the 48.5 line due to Storm's defensive control and moderate scoring pace.
The Seattle Mariners (57-51) visit the Oakland Athletics (47-63) for the final game of their series. Mariners are favored after a mixed recent form but hold an overall superior record and a solid pitching staff led by Bryan Woo. Athletics have shown signs of life at home but remain inconsistent overall.
Key Factors to Consider
The Mariners hold a better overall record with a strong pitching ERA of 2.91 from Bryan Woo and a team average of 4.55 runs per game. The Athletics are improving slightly with a recent 6-1 victory but have a negative run differential, averaging 4.39 runs scored vs 5.38 allowed.
In the last matchup on July 30, Oakland won decisively 6-1 at home. Historically, Mariners lead overall head-to-head with 122 wins including 53 away victories. Both teams score similarly, though Mariners have a slightly higher run average.
No significant injuries reported for either team affecting starting pitchers or key hitters.
The game is played at Oakland Coliseum, potentially favoring Athletics marginally due to home advantage. Weather conditions and ballpark effects favor moderate run scoring.
Mariners are motivated to maintain a push for a higher divisional place, while Athletics aim to build momentum post-winning streak and improve season record.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Oakland +126, Seattle -148
Seattle Mariners
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Oakland +1.5 -130, Seattle -1.5 +108
Seattle Mariners -1.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 9.5 -115, Under 9.5 -105
Over 9.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners -8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9.5 12%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 run spread, with the game total going over 9.5 runs.
The Los Angeles Angels are hosting the Texas Rangers in a critical MLB matchup with both teams striving to improve their standings. The Rangers hold a slightly better season record, but the Angels have recent momentum with consecutive wins, including a narrow series advantage at home.
Key Factors to Consider
The Rangers boast a 56-52 record with strong recent form and an effective starting pitcher in Nathan Eovaldi (8-3, 1.50 ERA). The Angels hold a 53-55 record with inconsistent performance recently, averaging lower offensive output and a vulnerable bullpen.
Angels have a historical edge with 126 wins overall and 92 at home. They won the most recent matchup 8-5 on July 30. Rangers have 109 wins overall and 63 away. Both teams average close to 4.4 runs per game.
No major injury updates available; both teams appear near full strength.
Home-field advantage for the Angels at Angel Stadium could influence performance. Weather and travel impact appear minimal.
The Rangers are motivated by a stronger season push and a successful record with Eovaldi pitching. The Angels are motivated to defend home turf and extend their winning streak against the Rangers.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
LAA +110, TEX -130
Texas Rangers
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
LAA +1.5 (-150), TEX -1.5 (125)
Texas Rangers -1.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 8 (-122), Under 8 (100)
Over 8
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Texas Rangers -8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8 9%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Texas Rangers moneyline, Texas Rangers -1.5 spread, Over 8 runs
Predicted Score: Texas Rangers 6 – Los Angeles Angels 4
The St. Louis Cardinals host the Miami Marlins with the Cardinals slight favorites in a close MLB matchup. Both teams have similar records just above and below .500, meeting under neutral conditions with starting pitchers Miles Mikolas for the Cardinals and Cal Quantrill for the Marlins, both showing above 4.9 ERA this season, indicating potential offensive opportunities.
Key Factors to Consider
The Cardinals hold a slight edge with a 55-54 record compared to the Marlins at 51-55. St. Louis performs well at home (32-23) while Miami struggles just below .500 overall.
Recent head-to-head trends marginally favor the Cardinals, with implied odds reflecting around 59.7% chance to win for St. Louis based on moneyline odds.
No major injuries flagged impacting starting pitchers or key position players for either team, supporting expected typical performance levels.
Game is at Busch Stadium, a hitter-friendly park in late July weather conditions. No notable external disruptions.
Both teams are near the middle of the standings with the Cardinals likely motivated to strengthen playoff contention and Marlins aiming to stabilize season performance.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Miami Marlins: +120, St. Louis Cardinals: -142
St. Louis Cardinals
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Miami Marlins +1.5: -170, St. Louis Cardinals -1.5: +140
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 8.5: -115, Under 8.5: -105
Over 8.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
St. Louis Cardinals 2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8.5 3%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
St. Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 run line, and the game to go over 8.5 total runs
Predicted Score: St. Louis Cardinals 6, Miami Marlins 4