This match is round 18 of the Brazilian Serie A with Santos hosting Juventude. Santos have a better historical head-to-head record and home advantage but have been inconsistent recently, facing a motivated Juventude side seeking points away.
Key Factors to Consider
Santos average 1.18 goals per match at home this season, but have lost their last 3 matches with only 2 goals scored in last 5. Juventude average 1.04 goals per match away this season and have won 3 of last 5 overall.
In 16 meetings, Santos lead with 7 wins, Juventude 4 wins, 5 draws. Last 4 matches are evenly contested. Previous season showed over 2.5 goals in 37.5% of matches, with an average 2.81 goals per game.
No specific injury data available from the search, but Santos goalkeeper Gabriel Brazao is ranked 3rd in saves per match, suggesting dependable goalkeeping.
Match played at Santos’ home venue, with an 85.71% rate of home games going over 1.5 goals, indicating home scoring potential.
Santos fighting to improve form after losses. Juventude motivated to gain points away to climb table, having better recent form in away matches.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Santos -235, Draw 360, Juventude 650
Santos
★★★★☆ 70%
Spread
Santos -1.25 -102, Juventude +1.25 -118
Santos -1.25
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.5 -108, Under 2.5 -112
Over 2.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Santos -12%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Santos to win the moneyline, Santos -1.25 on spread, Over 2.5 goals
A tight Brasileirão Serie A matchup where Internacional hosts Sao Paulo, both teams closely matched in league standing and recent performance.
Key Factors to Consider
Internacional has a slight edge with 21 points from 16 games, showing moderate home strength; Sao Paulo has 22 points from 17 games but with a slightly negative goal difference, reflecting some inconsistency.
Historically balanced but with small recent advantage to Internacional; probabilities show Internacional win around 49%, draw near 24%, Sao Paulo win about 27%.
No major injury news reported to significantly impact starting lineups for either side.
Match played at Internacional's home ground provides slight advantage; no extreme weather or travel factors indicated.
Mid-table positioning for both teams implies moderate motivation to secure points to climb standings; Internacional's home advantage slightly boosts urgency.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Internacional: -104, Draw: 227, Sao Paulo: 325
Internacional
★★★☆☆ 64%
Spread
Internacional -0.5: -104, Sao Paulo +50: -116
Internacional -0.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 2: -111, Under 2: -109
Under 2
★★★☆☆ 63%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Internacional 8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 21%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Internacional to win on the moneyline with an expectation of a low-scoring tight game.
Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Game Overview
The Philadelphia Phillies host the Detroit Tigers in a key MLB matchup as both teams vie to improve their divisional standings. Phillies hold a 62-48 record and have been stronger at home, while Tigers are 65-47 coming off a recent 7-5 win over the Phillies.
Key Factors to Consider
Phillies are 5-5 over the last 10 games, averaging 5.7 runs scored and 5.2 allowed. Tigers are solid overall at 65-47 and just took a win in their last meeting. Phillies have shown inconsistency lately, but possess a strong bullpen and advantage starting Cristopher Sanchez.
Tigers won the last meeting 7-5. Historically, Phillies lead with 11 recent head-to-head wins (6 at home), Tigers have 7 wins (4 on road). Both teams average about 3.8 (home) and 3.3 (visitor) runs per game in these matchups.
No major injuries reported impacting key starters or lineup for either team in this game.
The game is at Phillies' home park, Citizens Bank Park, favoring home team performance. No adverse weather or unusual travel schedules noted.
Phillies need a home win before an upcoming road series; Tigers look to continue momentum after recent victory and improve divisional positioning.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Phillies -196 / Tigers +164
Philadelphia Phillies
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
Phillies -1.5 (108) / Tigers +1.5 (-130)
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5
★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under
Over 8 (-118) / Under 8 (-104)
Under 8
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 18%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Phillies to win straight up and cover the spread, with game total finishing under 8.5 runs.
Location: Estádio Manoel Barradas (source typical for Vitoria's home matches)
Game Overview
Palmeiras is the strong favorite against Vitoria, currently positioned 3rd in the league with 32 points from 15 matches, whereas Vitoria struggles at 15th with 17 points from 17 matches. Palmeiras has a clear edge in form, quality, and recent head to head, while Vitoria has shown resilience with draws but struggles to win.
Key Factors to Consider
Palmeiras has won 10 of 15 matches with a +7 goal difference; Vitoria has only 3 wins with a -4 goal difference and more losses. Recent form favors Palmeiras who have beaten Vitoria in most recent meetings decisively.
Palmeiras has dominated recent H2H with multiple wins including 3-1 and 1-0 victories; Vitoria has no recent wins over Palmeiras in the last several encounters.
No significant injuries reported for Palmeiras; Vitoria has no major absences noted and fields usual starters.
Match is at Vitoria’s home ground, but Palmeiras has demonstrated strong away form. No unusual external conditions noted.
Palmeiras motivated to continue top 3 position and gain points, Vitoria fights to avoid relegation zone but historically struggles to get points versus top teams.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Palmeiras -110, Vitoria 350, Draw 235
Palmeiras
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Palmeiras -0.5 -110, Vitoria +50 -110
Palmeiras -0.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 2 -118, Under 2 -102
Under 2
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Palmeiras -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 7%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Palmeiras win on moneyline, Palmeiras -0.5 on spread, Under 2 goals on over/under
Atletico Mineiro faces Bragantino-SP in a tightly contested Brazil Campeonato match. Atletico Mineiro, currently 13th with 20 points, hosts Bragantino-SP, who sit 5th with 27 points. Both teams show competitive form, with Atletico slightly struggling for consistency and Bragantino having a better recent record.
Key Factors to Consider
Atletico Mineiro has a moderate form with 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses in 15 matches. Bragantino is stronger overall with 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses in 17 games, indicating better recent momentum.
Historically even but leaning marginally in favor of Atletico Mineiro at home, with past matches being closely fought and low-scoring.
No significant injury news reported for either side, allowing both teams to field near full-strength squads.
No adverse weather or travel complications expected. Atletico Mineiro has home advantage which often plays a crucial role in Brazilian league matches.
Bragantino is motivated to maintain their higher table position and capitalize on Atlético’s inconsistency, while Atletico Mineiro seeks to close the gap in the standings.
This Brazil Campeonato match features Ceará hosting Flamengo, two teams with a relatively balanced head-to-head history but with Flamengo showing consistently stronger recent form and marginally better goal production.
Key Factors to Consider
Flamengo has better recent form with 3 wins and 1 draw in last 6 matches, scoring 1.33 goals per game, whereas Ceará has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses with just 0.5 goals per match recently. Flamengo also shows higher goal scoring and better away record.
In 17 matches at Ceará's venue, Flamengo leads with 6 wins vs Ceará's 4 wins, and 7 draws, indicating a slight advantage for Flamengo historically with 41-24 goal aggregate. Matches tend to be competitive and moderately scoring with average goals around 2.4 per game.
No explicit recent injuries reported for either team; therefore, squads likely near full strength.
Match timing favors neither team; no notable external disruptions or fatigue issues noted. Flamengo’s better squad depth may provide advantage in endurance.
Flamengo is positioned higher in the table, thus has strong motivation to secure points away, while Ceará will be motivated to defend home ground but faces tougher challenge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Ceara: 3.2, Flamengo: 1.95, Draw: 2.3
Flamengo
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
Ceara +50: 1.85, Flamengo -0.5: 1.98
Flamengo -0.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 2: 1.89, Under 2: 1.93
Under 2 Goals
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Flamengo 11%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 16%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Flamengo to win (moneyline), Flamengo -0.5 handicap, under 2.5 goals
The San Diego Padres host the St. Louis Cardinals in a National League matchup. Both teams are mid-tier in the standings, with Padres at 61-50 and Cardinals at 56-56. Padres enter on strong recent form and home advantage, while Cardinals aim to recover after recent setbacks.
Key Factors to Consider
Padres have won 6 of their last 7 games and average 4.9 runs per game at home while allowing about 3.4 runs. Cardinals have a balanced record, but recent form is weaker. Starting pitchers are Dylan Cease (Padres, 3-10, 4.79 ERA) and Andre Pallante (Cardinals, 6-7, 4.62 ERA).
Though the Cardinals won their last meeting 8-5, Padres lead the overall series with 52 wins to Cardinals' 61, including 37 home wins. Offensive averages are close with Padres scoring slightly higher at home (4.09 vs. Cardinals 3.98 runs per game).
No significant injuries reported for either team impacting starters or core lineup.
Game is at Padres’ home ballpark, PETCO Park, which favors Padres especially defensively in pitching-friendly conditions.
Padres are motivated to maintain strong position in playoff contention with recent momentum; Cardinals look to bounce back after mixed results and road challenges.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
San Diego Padres -188, St. Louis Cardinals +158
San Diego Padres
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Padres -1.5 +106, Cardinals +1.5 -128
San Diego Padres -1.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 8 -115, Under 8 -105
Under 8
★★★☆☆ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Diego Padres -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 13%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego Padres moneyline, Padres -1.5 spread, under 8 total runs
Predicted Score: San Diego Padres 5, St. Louis Cardinals 3