Match Analysis: Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-03
- Time: 6:21 PM UTC
- Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois
Game Overview
The Chicago Cubs (64-46) host the Baltimore Orioles (51-60) in a late regular season matchup featuring Cubs' starter Colin Rea (8-5, 4.25 ERA) vs Orioles' Brandon Young (0-5, 6.63 ERA) at Wrigley Field.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Cubs have a significantly better record and have won 7 of Rea's last 10 starts. Orioles have struggled this season with a below .500 record and Young performing poorly with a high ERA.
- The teams have split the first two games of their series with the Cubs favored to win the rubber match based on current form and starting pitching advantage.
- No major injury information available affecting key players or starting pitchers in this matchup.
- Game is at Wrigley Field favoring the Cubs, who have home advantage and better recent performance.
- Cubs are motivated to strengthen their playoff positioning, whereas Orioles are out of contention with less at stake.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Cubs -180, Baltimore Orioles +152 | Chicago Cubs | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+112), Baltimore Orioles +1.5 (-134) | Chicago Cubs -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 (+100), Under 8.5 (-122) | Under 8.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Cubs -0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8.5 9% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chicago Cubs to win outright on the moneyline, cover -1.5 spread, with an under 8.5 total runs scored
Predicted Score: Chicago Cubs 5 – Baltimore Orioles 2