Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 4, 2025

Combined Odds: +664 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $152.73

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +282

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $76.38

Match Analysis: Internacional vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-03
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Internacional Home Stadium

Game Overview

A tight Brasileirão Serie A matchup where Internacional hosts Sao Paulo, both teams closely matched in league standing and recent performance.

Key Factors to Consider

• Internacional has a slight edge with 21 points from 16 games, showing moderate home strength; Sao Paulo has 22 points from 17 games but with a slightly negative goal difference, reflecting some inconsistency.
• Historically balanced but with small recent advantage to Internacional; probabilities show Internacional win around 49%, draw near 24%, Sao Paulo win about 27%.
• No major injury news reported to significantly impact starting lineups for either side.
• Match played at Internacional's home ground provides slight advantage; no extreme weather or travel factors indicated.
• Mid-table positioning for both teams implies moderate motivation to secure points to climb standings; Internacional's home advantage slightly boosts urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Internacional to win on the moneyline with an expectation of a low-scoring tight game.

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-03
• Time: 11:11 PM UTC
• Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Game Overview

The Philadelphia Phillies host the Detroit Tigers in a key MLB matchup as both teams vie to improve their divisional standings. Phillies hold a 62-48 record and have been stronger at home, while Tigers are 65-47 coming off a recent 7-5 win over the Phillies.

Key Factors to Consider

• Phillies are 5-5 over the last 10 games, averaging 5.7 runs scored and 5.2 allowed. Tigers are solid overall at 65-47 and just took a win in their last meeting. Phillies have shown inconsistency lately, but possess a strong bullpen and advantage starting Cristopher Sanchez.
• Tigers won the last meeting 7-5. Historically, Phillies lead with 11 recent head-to-head wins (6 at home), Tigers have 7 wins (4 on road). Both teams average about 3.8 (home) and 3.3 (visitor) runs per game in these matchups.
• No major injuries reported impacting key starters or lineup for either team in this game.
• The game is at Phillies' home park, Citizens Bank Park, favoring home team performance. No adverse weather or unusual travel schedules noted.
• Phillies need a home win before an upcoming road series; Tigers look to continue momentum after recent victory and improve divisional positioning.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Phillies to win straight up and cover the spread, with game total finishing under 8.5 runs.

Predicted Score: Phillies 5 – Tigers 3

Match Analysis: Vitoria vs Palmeiras – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-03
• Time: 10:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio Manoel Barradas (source typical for Vitoria's home matches)

Game Overview

Palmeiras is the strong favorite against Vitoria, currently positioned 3rd in the league with 32 points from 15 matches, whereas Vitoria struggles at 15th with 17 points from 17 matches. Palmeiras has a clear edge in form, quality, and recent head to head, while Vitoria has shown resilience with draws but struggles to win.

Key Factors to Consider

• Palmeiras has won 10 of 15 matches with a +7 goal difference; Vitoria has only 3 wins with a -4 goal difference and more losses. Recent form favors Palmeiras who have beaten Vitoria in most recent meetings decisively.
• Palmeiras has dominated recent H2H with multiple wins including 3-1 and 1-0 victories; Vitoria has no recent wins over Palmeiras in the last several encounters.
• No significant injuries reported for Palmeiras; Vitoria has no major absences noted and fields usual starters.
• Match is at Vitoria’s home ground, but Palmeiras has demonstrated strong away form. No unusual external conditions noted.
• Palmeiras motivated to continue top 3 position and gain points, Vitoria fights to avoid relegation zone but historically struggles to get points versus top teams.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras win on moneyline, Palmeiras -0.5 on spread, Under 2 goals on over/under

Predicted Score: 0-1

Match Analysis: Atletico Mineiro vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-03
• Time: 9:30 PM UTC
• Location: Atletico Mineiro Home Stadium

Game Overview

Atletico Mineiro faces Bragantino-SP in a tightly contested Brazil Campeonato match. Atletico Mineiro, currently 13th with 20 points, hosts Bragantino-SP, who sit 5th with 27 points. Both teams show competitive form, with Atletico slightly struggling for consistency and Bragantino having a better recent record.

Key Factors to Consider

• Atletico Mineiro has a moderate form with 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses in 15 matches. Bragantino is stronger overall with 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses in 17 games, indicating better recent momentum.
• Historically even but leaning marginally in favor of Atletico Mineiro at home, with past matches being closely fought and low-scoring.
• No significant injury news reported for either side, allowing both teams to field near full-strength squads.
• No adverse weather or travel complications expected. Atletico Mineiro has home advantage which often plays a crucial role in Brazilian league matches.
• Bragantino is motivated to maintain their higher table position and capitalize on Atlético’s inconsistency, while Atletico Mineiro seeks to close the gap in the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Atletico Mineiro to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, and the match to finish under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Ceará vs Flamengo – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-03
• Time: 9:30 PM UTC
• Location: Ceará's Home Ground

Game Overview

This Brazil Campeonato match features Ceará hosting Flamengo, two teams with a relatively balanced head-to-head history but with Flamengo showing consistently stronger recent form and marginally better goal production.

Key Factors to Consider

• Flamengo has better recent form with 3 wins and 1 draw in last 6 matches, scoring 1.33 goals per game, whereas Ceará has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses with just 0.5 goals per match recently. Flamengo also shows higher goal scoring and better away record.
• In 17 matches at Ceará's venue, Flamengo leads with 6 wins vs Ceará's 4 wins, and 7 draws, indicating a slight advantage for Flamengo historically with 41-24 goal aggregate. Matches tend to be competitive and moderately scoring with average goals around 2.4 per game.
• No explicit recent injuries reported for either team; therefore, squads likely near full strength.
• Match timing favors neither team; no notable external disruptions or fatigue issues noted. Flamengo’s better squad depth may provide advantage in endurance.
• Flamengo is positioned higher in the table, thus has strong motivation to secure points away, while Ceará will be motivated to defend home ground but faces tougher challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo to win (moneyline), Flamengo -0.5 handicap, under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: Flamengo 1 – 0 Ceará

Match Analysis: Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-03
• Time: 8:11 PM UTC
• Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle

Game Overview

The Seattle Mariners host the Texas Rangers in an MLB matchup featuring strong pitching matchups and evenly matched offenses. The Rangers come in as slight favorites on the moneyline, but Seattle has a strong home record and a slight edge in overall head-to-head wins.

Key Factors to Consider

• Seattle Mariners hold a 59-53 record and average 4.81 runs per game; Texas Rangers are 58-54 with 4.41 runs per game. Mariners’ starting pitcher Logan Evans has a 4-4 record and 4.92 ERA, whereas Rangers’ Jacob deGrom boasts an excellent 10-3 record and 2.55 ERA.
• Seattle leads historically with 114 wins compared to Texas's 87, including 80 wins at home. However, Texas won the latest matchup 4-3 on August 2.
• No major injury updates impacting starting pitchers or key hitters reported at game time.
• None significant; game is at Seattle's T-Mobile Park, which is neutral to mild pitcher-friendly but tends to favor offense slightly.
• Both teams fight for playoff positioning with close records; Rangers appear more motivated as slight favorites with Jacob deGrom pitching.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Texas Rangers moneyline win

Predicted Score: Texas Rangers 4, Seattle Mariners 2

Match Analysis: San Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-03
• Time: 8:11 PM UTC
• Location: PETCO Park, San Diego, California

Game Overview

The San Diego Padres host the St. Louis Cardinals in a National League matchup. Both teams are mid-tier in the standings, with Padres at 61-50 and Cardinals at 56-56. Padres enter on strong recent form and home advantage, while Cardinals aim to recover after recent setbacks.

Key Factors to Consider

• Padres have won 6 of their last 7 games and average 4.9 runs per game at home while allowing about 3.4 runs. Cardinals have a balanced record, but recent form is weaker. Starting pitchers are Dylan Cease (Padres, 3-10, 4.79 ERA) and Andre Pallante (Cardinals, 6-7, 4.62 ERA).
• Though the Cardinals won their last meeting 8-5, Padres lead the overall series with 52 wins to Cardinals' 61, including 37 home wins. Offensive averages are close with Padres scoring slightly higher at home (4.09 vs. Cardinals 3.98 runs per game).
• No significant injuries reported for either team impacting starters or core lineup.
• Game is at Padres’ home ballpark, PETCO Park, which favors Padres especially defensively in pitching-friendly conditions.
• Padres are motivated to maintain strong position in playoff contention with recent momentum; Cardinals look to bounce back after mixed results and road challenges.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

San Diego Padres moneyline, Padres -1.5 spread, under 8 total runs

Predicted Score: San Diego Padres 5, St. Louis Cardinals 3

Match Analysis: Los Angeles Angels vs Chicago White Sox – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-03
• Time: 8:08 PM UTC
• Location: Angel Stadium of Anaheim

Game Overview

The Los Angeles Angels host the Chicago White Sox in a key MLB matchup where the Angels are the slight favorites at home with both teams looking to cap the series.

Key Factors to Consider

• Angels have a mixed record as favorites (50% wins at -134 line), while the White Sox have struggled as underdogs with about 37% wins. Recent series shows White Sox pitching strong against Angels’ offense.
• In the ongoing series, White Sox pitching has performed well enough to keep the contests competitive. The Angels hold a slight win probability edge overall (around 55%).
• No major injuries reported impacting starting pitchers or key position players for either team.
• Home field advantage for Angels at Angel Stadium, where the team tends to perform better with familiarity and fan support.
• The White Sox aim to complete a three-game sweep, adding motivational edge and possibly influencing aggressive pitching and offense.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Los Angeles Angels moneyline win, Angels -1.5 spread, Under 9.5 runs total

Predicted Score: Angels 4 – White Sox 2