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Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Sergey Spivak Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Sergey Spivak – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 7, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: TBD (UFC 316)

Game Overview

The upcoming UFC heavyweight match between Waldo Cortes-Acosta and Sergey Spivak promises to be an exciting bout. Spivak is favored in the fight, with odds reflecting his skillset and experience. Cortes-Acosta, despite being an underdog, has shown consistency in his recent performances and aims to upset the favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sergey Spivak is considered the favorite due to his strong grappling skills and ability to finish fights with submissions. Waldo Cortes-Acosta, on the other hand, has been active, fighting every five months on average and possesses a strong striking background.
  • There is no reported head-to-head history between the two fighters.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter leading up to this match.
  • The match is part of the UFC 316 event, which might draw attention and increase the stakes for both fighters.
  • Both fighters are motivated to climb the heavyweight rankings, with Spivac looking to solidify his position and Cortes-Acosta seeking an upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -142 (Spivak), +120 (Cortes-Acosta) Spivak ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread -3.5 (Spivak) 110, 3.5 (Cortes-Acosta) -150 Spivak ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.5: +120, Under 2.5: -154 Under ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sergey Spivak -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Spivak is likely to win due to his grappling skills and experience, but Cortes-Acosta's aggressive style could pose a challenge.

Predicted Score: Spivak via decision or submission.


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Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Sergey Spivak Prediction

Match Analysis: Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Sergey Spivak – Prediction Match Details Date: June 7, 2025 Time: 12:00 AM UTC Location: TBD (UFC 316) Game Overview The upcoming UFC heavyweight match between Waldo Cortes-Acosta and Sergey Spivak promises to be an exciting bout. Spivak is favored in the fight, with odds reflecting his skillset and experience. […]

June 8, 2025 MMA/Boxing Sergey Spivak Waldo Cortes-Acosta

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Shara Magomedov vs. Marc-Andre Barriault Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Shara Magomedov vs Marc-Andre Barriault – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi

Game Overview

The UFC middleweight matchup features Shara Magomedov, a dominant 15-1 fighter known for his accuracy and defensive ability, facing off against Marc-Andre Barriault, a durable and high-volume striker with a 17-9 record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Magomedov exhibits higher striking accuracy (62%) and better striking defense (42% strikes absorbed) than Barriault, who lands more total strikes per minute but with lower accuracy (47%) and absorbs more strikes (5.57 per minute). Magomedov's recent loss has motivated him to reassert dominance.
  • No recorded head-to-head bouts; this will be their first meeting.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight held at neutral venue in Abu Dhabi, with no discernible home advantage or external stressors for either fighter.
  • Magomedov seeks to recover from his first professional loss and reestablish himself as a top contender; Barriault aims to capitalize on his durability and experience to upset the favored Magomedov.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Shara Magomedov -625, Marc-Andre Barriault +455 Shara Magomedov ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Shara Magomedov -3.5 (-290), Marc-Andre Barriault +3.5 (205) Shara Magomedov -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 (-188), Under 1.5 (+145) Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Shara Magomedov -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 59%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 59% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Shara Magomedov to win; Spread: Shara Magomedov to win by more than 3.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 1.5 rounds (fight likely to go longer)

Predicted Score: Shara Magomedov wins by decision after three rounds


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Said Nurmagomedov vs. Bryce Mitchell Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Said Nurmagomedov vs Bryce Mitchell – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 26, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi

Game Overview

Bryce Mitchell (17-4-0) moves down to bantamweight for the first time, facing Said Nurmagomedov (18-4-0), who is coming off a decision loss. Mitchell is favored slightly in the betting odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mitchell has been landing significant strikes at a rate of 2.44 per minute and defending 60% of them. Nurmagomedov, meanwhile, lands 3.38 significant strikes per minute and defends 56%.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups.
  • There are no reported significant injuries for either fighter at this time.
  • The fight's location and timing of the event are unlikely to favor one fighter significantly.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Mitchell debuting in a new weight class and Nurmagomedov seeking redemption after a loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bryce Mitchell -140, Said Nurmagomedov 120 Bryce Mitchell ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 -155, Under 2.5 125 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bryce Mitchell 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 53%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 53% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bryce Mitchell is likely to win by decision or a closely contested fight.

Predicted Score: Bryce Mitchell wins by decision


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Reinier de Ridder vs. Robert Whittaker Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Reinier de Ridder vs Robert Whittaker – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Game Overview

A middleweight UFC main event featuring Reinier de Ridder, a strong grappler known for his submission and control game, against former UFC Middleweight Champion Robert Whittaker, a versatile striker with solid takedown defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • De Ridder is on a significant rise, showcasing a submission average of 1.36 per fight and high striking accuracy (78.66%), while Whittaker has a more balanced but less finish-focused approach and a lower striking output.
  • This is a first-time matchup with no prior head-to-head fights between the two.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter heading into the bout.
  • The fight is in Abu Dhabi at the Etihad Arena, a neutral venue, with similar travel and acclimation for both fighters.
  • De Ridder aims to vault himself immediately into UFC title contention with a win, while Whittaker looks to reestablish dominance at middleweight after previous losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline reinier_de_ridder: +140, robert_whittaker: -166 Robert Whittaker ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread reinier_de_ridder: -145, robert_whittaker: +105 Robert Whittaker -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over: -125, under: -105 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Robert Whittaker -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Robert Whittaker to win by decision

Predicted Score: Whittaker wins by unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)


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Nikita Krylov vs. Bogdan Guskov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Nikita Krylov vs Bogdan Guskov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Game Overview

Light heavyweight MMA bout between veteran Nikita Krylov and rising contender Bogdan Guskov, featuring contrasting styles and extensive pro experience for Krylov against power and momentum for Guskov.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Krylov holds a 30-10 record with solid striking accuracy (54%) and defense (44%), showing cage composure and experience. Guskov is 17-3 with slightly better striking accuracy (55%) but less defense (43%) and less overall experience.
  • No recorded prior matchups between Krylov and Guskov, making this a fresh contest largely based on recent form and styles.
  • No reported injuries affecting either fighter prior to fight date.
  • Fight held indoors at Etihad Arena amid dry Abu Dhabi heat of ~105°F outside; arena conditions should not affect either fighter adversely. Broadcast on ESPN+ for wide viewer exposure.
  • Krylov aims to maintain veteran status as dominant light heavyweight; Guskov motivated to capitalize on rising momentum and establish himself at elite level.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Krylov -198, Guskov +164 Krylov ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Krylov -3.5 (-165), Guskov +3.5 (120) Krylov -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.5 (+110), Under 1.5 (-140) Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nikita Krylov -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nikita Krylov to win via decision or late finish by using superior experience and composed striking defense to outlast Guskov.

Predicted Score: Krylov wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Da'Mon Blackshear vs. Davey Grant Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Da'Mon Blackshear vs Davey Grant – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi

Game Overview

Da'Mon Blackshear and Davey Grant meet at UFC Abu Dhabi in a bantamweight bout where Blackshear enters as a strong favorite based on recent odds and performance metrics. The fight is expected to be competitive but with a likely finish under 3 rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Blackshear (16-7) has a slight edge in significant strikes landed per minute (4.70) versus Grant (5.25) but lands a higher percentage (46% vs 44%). Grant also has better strike defense (55% deflection vs Blackshear 52%). Both fighters show durability with similar strikes absorbed per minute.
  • No direct historical matchup between the two, making form and style matchup key in analysis.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full capacity physically.
  • Fighting at home-favored venue Abu Dhabi's Etihad Arena may favor Blackshear with crowd support. The pressure to perform as the heavy favorite may affect Blackshear's approach.
  • Blackshear is motivated to justify favorite billing and progress in rankings, while Grant, as underdog, may seek an upset to revitalize career momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Da'Mon Blackshear: -330, Davey Grant: +270 Da'Mon Blackshear ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Not listed explicitly; implied -1.5 rounds favoring Blackshear Blackshear -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5 -130, Under 2.5 +100 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Da'Mon Blackshear -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Da'Mon Blackshear to win by decision

Predicted Score: Da'Mon Blackshear wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Steven Nguyen vs. Mohammad Yahya Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Steven Nguyen vs Mohammad Yahya – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Game Overview

Featherweight UFC bout between surging favorite Steven Nguyen and tough underdog Mohammad Yahya. Bookmakers strongly favor Nguyen, but expected high pace and Yahya's durability could make it a competitive fight.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Steven Nguyen is heavily favored, reflecting strong recent performances and a higher profile in the division. In contrast, Mohammad Yahya faces a steep climb as a clear underdog, though he is known for his toughness and often makes fights competitive.
  • No direct head-to-head data available. This is the first meeting between the two.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • The fight takes place in Abu Dhabi, which can introduce variables like travel, time zone, and environment, but there is no clear home edge for either fighter. Both are accustomed to international bouts.
  • Both fighters are likely highly motivated—Nguyen to solidify his contention status, and Yahya as a significant underdog looking to make a statement.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nguyen -400 / Yahya +300 Steven Nguyen ★★★★☆ 82%
Over/under Over 1.5 -200 / Under 1.5 +160 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Steven Nguyen -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 61% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Steven Nguyen wins by decision after a hard-fought, high-paced contest. Yahya’s durability keeps him in the fight, but Nguyen’s technical edge and volume earn the nod from the judges.

Predicted Score: Steven Nguyen by unanimous decision (29-28 x3)


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Carlos Leal vs. Muslim Salikhov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Carlos Leal vs Muslim Salikhov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Game Overview

Carlos Leal and Muslim Salikhov meet in a welterweight MMA bout at UFC Abu Dhabi with contrasting styles and statistics. Leal is the heavy favorite with faster strike output, while Salikhov's defense and striking accuracy remain notable.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leal has a higher significant strike rate (9.65/min) and accuracy (50%) but takes more incoming strikes (7.73/min). Salikhov lands fewer strikes (3.38/min) but defends better, absorbing only 2.90 significant strikes/min and blocking 62%.
  • No direct head-to-head history between Leal and Salikhov available for this matchup, making form and style matchup critical.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Fight takes place in Abu Dhabi, neutral ground likely minimizing travel fatigue impacts. Both fighters compete professionally to advance welterweight rankings.
  • Leal is favored heavily and likely motivated to justify his status, while Salikhov as underdog aims to capitalize on defensive strengths and upset potential.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Carlos Leal -500 / Muslim Salikhov +375 Carlos Leal ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Not explicitly provided; implied -1.5 rounds for Leal Carlos Leal by more than 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds -145 / Under 1.5 rounds +115 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Carlos Leal -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Carlos Leal to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Carlos Leal wins by TKO in round 2


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Martin Buday vs. Marcus Buchecha Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Martin Buday vs Marcus Buchecha – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Undisclosed UFC venue

Game Overview

This UFC heavyweight matchup features Martin Buday, a rising striker with strong KO power and improving grappling, facing Marcus Buchecha, a decorated BJJ world champion transitioning to MMA with heavy submission skills and solid wrestling base.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Buday has shown finishing ability primarily via strikes but has mixed results against elite grapplers. Buchecha has undefeated momentum in MMA with several submission wins, showcasing his ground dominance and improving striking.
  • No previous MMA head-to-head encounters between Buday and Buchecha, making this a stylistic clash between striking power and grappling control.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the fight, both full health and training camps intact.
  • Fight location and timing neutral with no discernible home advantage. Both fighters motivated to cement UFC status in the heavyweight division.
  • Buchecha highly motivated to prove his transition from elite BJJ to MMA is legitimate at a high level. Buday motivated by knockout power and to establish striking dominance in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Marcus Buchecha: -300, Martin Buday: +250 Marcus Buchecha ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Marcus Buchecha -1.5 rounds: -150, Martin Buday +1.5 rounds: +130 Marcus Buchecha -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -122, Under 1.5 rounds: -108 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marcus Buchecha -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marcus Buchecha to win by submission

Predicted Score: Marcus Buchecha wins by submission in Round 2


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Ibo Aslan vs. Billy Elekana Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ibo Aslan vs Billy Elekana – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi

Game Overview

This UFC light heavyweight bout features Ibo Aslan, a Turkish knockout artist with high striking volume and solid defense, facing Billy Elekana, a precise striker and grappler from the USA. Aslan enters as the clear favorite with heavier volume and better defense, while Elekana is the underdog relying on precision and grappling.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ibo Aslan delivers 7.84 significant strikes per minute at 50% accuracy and defends 63% of incoming strikes. Billy Elekana connects fewer strikes (2.34 per minute) but with higher accuracy (71%) and defends only 33% of strikes against him.
  • No direct H2H matchups recorded between Aslan and Elekana, making other factors more critical in prediction.
  • No recent injury news reported for either fighter up to July 24, 2025.
  • Fight takes place at UFC Abu Dhabi, neutral ground. Both fighters appear equally acclimated with no major external influences reported.
  • Aslan seeks to rebound from his first UFC defeat to reassert dominance; Elekana aims to capitalize on underdog status with grappling skills and precision striking.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ibo Aslan -258, Billy Elekana +218 Ibo Aslan ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds -115, Under 1.5 rounds -115 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ibo Aslan 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ibo Aslan wins by moneyline given striking volume, defensive edge, and favoritism in betting markets.

Predicted Score: Ibo Aslan wins via TKO/KO in Round 1 or early Round 2


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