Match Analysis: Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Ante Delija – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-02
- Time: 1:15 AM UTC
- Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Game Overview
This heavyweight UFC co-main event features Waldo Cortes-Acosta, an established UFC fighter with a 7-2 UFC record, versus Ante Delija, a powerful and rising contender coming off an impressive UFC debut knockout win. Cortes-Acosta is a technical boxer with precise striking but faces a reach disadvantage and a recent loss. Delija is a multi-dimensional fighter, skilled in both striking and grappling, with momentum from back-to-back knockout wins and strong training partners.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cortes-Acosta has a solid UFC pedigree with a 4-1 record in his last five fights, relying on precise striking and power. Delija, new to UFC but experienced from his PFL success, is on an upward trend with consecutive knockout victories and a recent Performance of the Night bonus.
- No prior head-to-head matchups between the fighters.
- No reported injuries affecting either fighter ahead of the bout.
- Fight takes place at the UFC Apex, where both fighters have competed before. Delija's recent transition from PFL to UFC and training alongside champion Tom Aspinall bolster his confidence and readiness.
- Delija is motivated to establish himself as a top heavyweight contender in UFC after a strong debut. Cortes-Acosta aims to rebound from a recent loss and maintain his UFC ranking.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: +110, away: -130 | Away | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | home: -165, away: +120 | Away -3.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | over: -140, under: +110 | Under 2.5 rounds | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ante Delija 16% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ante Delija to win by knockout or decision
Predicted Score: Ante Delija wins by KO in Round 2