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Uran Satybaldiev vs. Diyar Nurgozhay Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Uran Satybaldiev vs Diyar Nurgozhay – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 7:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Shanghai Indoor Stadium, Xuhui District, Shanghai, China

Game Overview

Light heavyweight MMA bout between Uran Satybaldiev and Diyar Nurgozhay on UFC Fight Night preliminary card. Satybaldiev is a favorite for his striking and takedown defense, while Nurgozhay poses a threat with perfect takedown accuracy and a strong finishing rate.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Satybaldiev comes in with superior recent form, showing consistent control and defense, whereas Nurgozhay has high finishing capability but is less consistent against strong strikers.
  • No prior head-to-head fights available, requiring reliance on stylistic matchup and past performances.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight taking place at a neutral site; both fighters are from Central Asia, minimizing travel disadvantage. Early morning time may slightly favor the more disciplined and conditioned athlete, Satybaldiev.
  • Both fighters are motivated to establish dominance early on UFC Fight Night prelim card, but Satybaldiev's role as a favorite adds pressure and incentive to maintain form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Uran Satybaldiev: -156, Diyar Nurgozhay: +136 Uran Satybaldiev ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread -163 for Uran Satybaldiev -1.5 rounds Uran Satybaldiev -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -115, Under 2.5: -115 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Uran Satybaldiev -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Uran Satybaldiev to win by decision

Predicted Score: Uran Satybaldiev wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Uran Satybaldiev vs. Diyar Nurgozhay Prediction

Match Analysis: Uran Satybaldiev vs Diyar Nurgozhay – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-23 Time: 7:00 AM UTC Location: Shanghai Indoor Stadium, Xuhui District, Shanghai, China Game Overview Light heavyweight MMA bout between Uran Satybaldiev and Diyar Nurgozhay on UFC Fight Night preliminary card. Satybaldiev is a favorite for his striking and takedown defense, while Nurgozhay […]

August 23, 2025 Diyar Nurgozhay MMA/Boxing Uran Satybaldiev

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Lone'er Kavanagh vs. Charles Johnson Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Lone'er Kavanagh vs Charles Johnson – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 9:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Prelims, Flyweight Division (Venue unspecified)

Game Overview

Lone'er Kavanagh and Charles Johnson face off in a UFC prelims Flyweight bout featuring contrasting styles: Kavanagh with precise striking and Johnson with strong submission grappling. Both fighters have solid records and recent form suggests Kavanagh's stand-up edge may outweigh Johnson's ground threats.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kavanagh holds a slight recent form advantage with more dominant striking performances and better odds movement favoring him. Johnson is resilient with multiple submission wins but has shown less consistency in recent UFC bouts.
  • No prior recorded H2H matchups. Styles suggest Kavanagh aims to keep fight standing while Johnson seeks ground opportunities.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Fight takes place during UFC prelims with standard environment and no known disruptions. Both fighters motivated to improve rankings.
  • Kavanagh appears more motivated given recent odds improvements and striking confidence. Johnson will rely on experience but is underdog psychologically.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -205, away: 170 Lone'er Kavanagh ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home: -120, away: 100 Lone'er Kavanagh -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: -395, under: 280 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lone'er Kavanagh -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 128%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 128% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lone'er Kavanagh to win by decision

Predicted Score: Decision win for Lone'er Kavanagh after 3 rounds


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Zhu Rong vs. Austin Hubbard Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Zhu Rong vs Austin Hubbard – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 8:50 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Event – Venue TBA

Game Overview

This UFC lightweight matchup features Zhu Rong, a strong favorite with superior striking power, facing Austin Hubbard, a durable and adaptable striker with solid recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Zhu Rong has shown consistent dominance recently, opening at -350 and closing near -252, reflecting solid market confidence. Rong has KO potential and ability to finish fights early. Hubbard remains credible with toughness and pace management but has not displayed same finishing power.
  • No prior head-to-head exists between Zhu Rong and Austin Hubbard, placing emphasis on current form and styles rather than direct matchup data.
  • No reported injuries or visible physical disadvantages for either fighter leading into this bout.
  • The fight environment is neutral; both fighters are equally motivated with no travel or home advantage. Betting markets show movement favoring Zhu Rong.
  • Zhu Rong looks motivated to solidify his top contender status with a statement win. Hubbard aims to maintain UFC relevance but is a clear underdog, which may affect psychological edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Zhu Rong -252, Austin Hubbard +212 Zhu Rong ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread -1.5 rounds for Zhu Rong -120, +1.5 rounds for Austin Hubbard +100 Zhu Rong -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -245, Under 2.5 rounds +195 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Zhu Rong 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 83%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 83% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Zhu Rong to win via moneyline, fight to go under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Zhu Rong wins by KO/TKO round 2


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Michel Pereira vs. Kyle Daukaus Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Michel Pereira vs Kyle Daukaus – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 8:25 AM UTC
  • Location: To Be Announced (UFC Event)

Game Overview

Michel Pereira, an explosive and unpredictable striker, faces Kyle Daukaus, a grappling specialist with strong ground control and submission skills. The matchup is a classic striker versus grappler dynamic with Pereira favored but Daukaus posing a significant submission threat if he can implement his game plan.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Pereira has demonstrated dynamic striking with knockout power and momentum in recent fights. Daukaus has a solid 11-4 record, excels in submissions (9 of 11 wins), and has shown patient wrestling to neutralize aggressive opponents.
  • No previous direct matchups between Pereira and Daukaus, making tactical adaptation key.
  • No reported injuries affecting either fighter going into the bout.
  • Fight takes place in hostile territory favoring Pereira; crowd support may boost his confidence and aggression.
  • Pereira aims to secure a high-profile finish to advance his UFC standing; Daukaus seeks to break through the division by overcoming a favored striker with his grappling approach.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Micah Pereira: -260, Kyle Daukaus: +220 Michel Pereira ★★★★☆ 77%
Spread Michel Pereira -1.5: +150, Kyle Daukaus +1.5: -180 Michel Pereira -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -185, Under 1.5 rounds: +155 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michel Pereira 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 -8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Michel Pereira at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michel Pereira to win via knockout or TKO

Predicted Score: Michel Pereira wins by KO/TKO in Round 2


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Yi Zha vs. Westin Wilson Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Yi Zha vs Westin Wilson – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Fight Night, Shanghai

Game Overview

Yi Zha is an overwhelming favorite due to superior striking and home advantage against Westin Wilson, who is a grappler with recent knockout losses and is significantly older.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Yi Zha has a strong recent form with dominant striking and finishes, evidenced by a record of 25-5, whereas Westin Wilson is 17-9 with vulnerabilities in recent KO stoppages.
  • No direct H2H history available between Yi Zha and Westin Wilson, but stylistic matchup favors Yi Zha’s striking over Wilson’s grappling.
  • No significant injury reports on either fighter; Wilson’s recent KO losses may hint at compromised durability.
  • Yi Zha’s home country advantage in Shanghai, likely boosting motivation and crowd support; Wilson traveling to hostile territory.
  • Yi Zha is motivated to solidify dominance and move up UFC rankings, while Wilson seeks an upset but faces a challenging matchup.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Yi Zha: -1200, Westin Wilson: +700 Yi Zha ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Yi Zha -1.5 rounds -300, Westin Wilson +1.5 rounds +240 Yi Zha -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds +140, Under 1.5 rounds -170 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Yi Zha -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Yi Zha to win by decision

Predicted Score: Yi Zha wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Long Xiao vs. Su Young You Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Long Xiao vs Su Young You – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 7:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Shanghai Indoor Stadium, Xuhui District, China

Game Overview

This Bantamweight UFC Fight Night preliminary card features Long Xiao, a skilled striker and grappler with a 27-8 record aiming to rebound after a recent split decision loss, versus Su Young You, an undefeated UFC talent with a 15-3 record known for her grappling dominance and quick finishes. Su Young is the betting favorite given her flawless UFC debut streak and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Su Young You is on an undefeated UFC streak since November 2024 with multiple first-round finishes, demonstrating superior grappling and agility. Long Xiao, while strong in striking and resilient, comes off a split decision loss in June and has fewer finishes recently.
  • No direct previous fights documented between the two, making this a fresh tactical contest.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter going into the bout, indicating both are at full capacity.
  • Fight taking place in Shanghai Indoor Stadium, favoring Long Xiao geographically but with no notable home advantage impact reported.
  • Long Xiao aims to rebound and restore momentum after his recent loss, while Su Young You looks to extend her undefeated stretch in the UFC, suggesting high motivation on both sides but stronger momentum on You’s side.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Long Xiao: +110, Su Young You: -130 Su Young You ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Su Young You -1.5 rounds: -140, Long Xiao +1.5 rounds: +120 Su Young You -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -300, Under 2.5 rounds: +240 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Su Young You -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 128%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 128% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 53.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Su Young You to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Su Young You wins by submission or decision in 3 rounds


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Shuya Kamikubo vs. Eric Shelton Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Shuya Kamikubo vs Eric Shelton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ventura, California, LFA 215

Game Overview

Shuya Kamikubo, fighting at bantamweight, faces Eric Shelton, a flyweight, in a competitive bout. Kamikubo holds a recent winning streak and slight weight advantage, while Shelton benefits from home country support but faces possible pressure. Both fighters have a balanced skill set with comparable KO, submission, and decision rates.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kamikubo has a current winning streak and a slight weight advantage (61 kg vs. 56 kg). Shelton has a short winning streak but is fighting at home with moral advantages and potential judging bias.
  • No recorded direct head-to-head fights available; match based on comparative recent form and style.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter prior to the bout.
  • Shelton fights in home country (USA) which may bring biased judging and moral support; Kamikubo is a guest fighter possibly facing pressure from travel and environment.
  • Kamikubo motivated to extend winning streak and prove himself internationally; Shelton motivated to capitalize on home advantage and break into higher profile rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kamikubo: -155, Shelton: +135 Kamikubo ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -145, Under 2.5 rounds +115 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Eric Shelton -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Shuya Kamikubo to win on the moneyline by decision

Predicted Score: Kamikubo wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Jake Woodley vs. Trent Miller Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jake Woodley vs Trent Miller – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ventura, California, LFA 215

Game Overview

Jake Woodley faces Trent Miller at LFA 215 in Ventura with Woodley opening as a -139 favorite vs. Miller at +102. Both fighters bring solid experience, but recent form and odds favor Woodley slightly.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Woodley has demonstrated steady performance with recent wins, showing resilience and finishing ability. Miller has been inconsistent with fewer notable recent victories.
  • No direct previous bouts have been recorded between Woodley and Miller, making this their first encounter.
  • No current injury reports have been indicated for either fighter leading up to the event.
  • The fight taking place in Ventura, CA, could provide a slight advantage for Woodley due to crowd support and familiarity with local conditions.
  • Woodley is motivated to continue ascending the LFA rankings and securing UFC attention, while Miller is arguably less consistent in motivation and recent output.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -139 / +102 Jake Woodley ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Woodley -1.5 (-110), Miller +1.5 (-110) Woodley -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-105), Under 2.5 rounds (-115) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jake Woodley to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Jake Woodley wins via 3rd round TKO


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Arnold Jimenez vs. Rafael do Nascimento Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Arnold Jimenez vs Rafael do Nascimento – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Legacy Fighting Alliance (LFA) event, Lemoore, California

Game Overview

Arnold Jimenez (12-3) faces Rafael do Nascimento (10-3) in a competitive Legacy Fighting Alliance matchup. Rafael is the betting favorite with strong recent form and more consistent wins, while Jimenez has shown resilience and finishing power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rafael do Nascimento holds a recent edge with steady victories and superior finishing rates. Jimenez has been competitive but with more recent losses against higher-tier opponents.
  • No prior recorded fights between Arnold Jimenez and Rafael do Nascimento, making this their first encounter.
  • No current injury reports on either fighter; both are expected to be at full strength.
  • Fight takes place in Lemoore, California, neutral ground with no discernible home advantage.
  • Both fighters are motivated; Rafael looks to solidify his rising status, while Arnold aims to prove he can compete against top-tier opposition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +185, away: -275 Rafael do Nascimento ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread home: +1.5 (-150), away: -1.5 (+130) Rafael do Nascimento -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rafael do Nascimento -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Rafael do Nascimento at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rafael do Nascimento to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Rafael do Nascimento wins by submission in round 2


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Eduardo Henrique vs. Devon Lozej Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Eduardo Henrique vs Devon Lozej – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Unknown (likely LFA event)

Game Overview

Flyweight bout featuring current champion Eduardo Henrique da Silva against contender Devon Lozej. Henrique is favored on the moneyline with -220 odds, indicating strong bookmaker confidence in his ability to win. Lozej is the underdog at +155 but has a solid recent form in the LFA circuit.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Eduardo Henrique, as the reigning champion, has demonstrated consistent performance and finishing ability in his recent fights. Devon Lozej has shown durability and competitiveness but fewer finishes compared to Henrique.
  • No recorded prior head-to-head matchups between Eduardo Henrique and Devon Lozej.
  • No known injuries reported for either fighter leading into the matchup.
  • Fight scheduled within LFA promotion, which should provide a neutral venue environment. No known external distractions or factors impacting either fighter.
  • Eduardo Henrique motivated to defend his title and maintain champion status. Devon Lozej motivated to capture the belt and prove himself, which could drive an aggressive approach.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Eduardo Henrique: -220, Devon Lozej: +155 Eduardo Henrique ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Eduardo Henrique -1.5 rounds: -120, Devon Lozej +1.5 rounds: +100 Eduardo Henrique -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Eduardo Henrique -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Eduardo Henrique at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Eduardo Henrique to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Eduardo Henrique wins by submission in Round 2


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