Match Analysis: Theo Haig vs Cezary Oleksiejczuk – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-03
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Dana White's Contender Series, undisclosed venue
Game Overview
Highly anticipated middleweight clash between rising undefeated grappler prospect Theo Haig and seasoned striker Cezary Oleksiejczuk, known for power striking and KO ability.
Key Factors to Consider
- Theo Haig is undefeated (6-0) with a 5-0 run in recent fights showing strong grappling and submission skills. Oleksiejczuk has 15-3 record with a 4-1 recent form, carrying knockout power in 8 KO wins on his resume.
- No prior head-to-head meetings between the fighters, making styles and form primary analysis factors.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
- The bout takes place on Dana White's Contender Series, motivating both fighters to impress for a UFC contract. Higher pressure on Oleksiejczuk as the more experienced and favored striker.
- Both fighters motivated by UFC contract prospects; Oleksiejczuk has established power striking credentials, while Haig aims to prove his ground game can overcome elite opponents.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: +240, away: -280 | Away – Cezary Oleksiejczuk | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | away_minus_1.5: -110, home_plus_1.5: -110 | Away – Cezary Oleksiejczuk -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | over_1.5: +118, under_1.5: -138 | Under 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cezary Oleksiejczuk -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 17% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cezary Oleksiejczuk to win by decision or late KO with strong stand-up and takedown defense.
Predicted Score: Oleksiejczuk wins by late KO or decision in round 3
