Match Analysis: Thad Jean vs Logan Storley – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-01
- Time: 10:30 PM UTC
- Location: Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City
Game Overview
The 2025 PFL Welterweight Championship final between undefeated Thad Jean (10-0) and experienced Logan Storley (18-3) will be contested with a $1,000,000 prize at stake. Jean has youth, height, and an undefeated record, while Storley brings extensive MMA and wrestling experience.
Key Factors to Consider
- Thad Jean has an undefeated 10-0 record showing consistent recent performance; Logan Storley, despite starting PFL with a KO loss, is 3-0 in his last three fights and has significant high-level MMA and wrestling pedigree.
- No previous head-to-head matchup found between Jean and Storley, making styles and form analysis critical.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout.
- High stakes ($1 million prize) likely increase motivation. Jean's height and reach advantage may impact fight dynamics significantly.
- Both fighters are highly motivated by the title and large payday; Jean's undefeated status gives him confidence, while Storleyβs comeback narrative adds psychological edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Thad Jean: -240, Logan Storley: +190 | Thad Jean | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Thad Jean -1.5: +150, Logan Storley +1.5: -170 | Thad Jean -1.5 (win by 2 or more rounds) | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 | Under 2.5 rounds (fight finishes in fewer rounds) | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Thad Jean -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Thad Jean at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Thad Jean to win via decision
Predicted Score: Thad Jean wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds