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Sullivan Cauley vs. Marcelo Nunes Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Sullivan Cauley vs Marcelo Nunes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-01
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Not Specified

Game Overview

This match between Sullivan Cauley and Marcelo Nunes is part of the PFL tournament, offering an interesting clash of styles. Cauley, known for his aggressive approach, faces Nunes, a skilled Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu practitioner.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sullivan Cauley has a record of 6-1-0, while Marcelo Nunes stands at 11-2-0. Both fighters have solid records, but Nunes' experience might give him an edge.
  • There is no previous head-to-head data available for these fighters.
  • No recent injury reports have been noted for either fighter.
  • Their fighting styles will significantly influence the match. Cauley's aggression against Nunes' grappling skills.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, as this is a crucial match in the PFL tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -170 for Sullivan Cauley, 140 for Marcelo Nunes Sullivan Cauley ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5: 150, Under 1.5: -180 Under 1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sullivan Cauley 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sullivan Cauley at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sullivan Cauley is favored to win given his more aggressive style and favorable moneyline odds.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Sullivan Cauley due to his aggressive fighting style potentially leading to a decision victory.


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Hunter Azure vs. Alvaro Quiroga Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Hunter Azure vs Alvaro Quiroga – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Westworld Scottsdale – Equidome

Game Overview

Hunter Azure and Alvaro Quiroga are set to face off in a highly anticipated MMA match. Hunter Azure, with a record of 11-4-0, is favored due to his experience and skill set. Alvaro Quiroga, a flyweight fighter from Team Altitud, has a record of 6 wins, with a mix of knockout, submission, and decision victories.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hunter Azure's team seems more seasoned given his record. Alvaro Quiroga's team, however, is known for its tough training regimen.
  • There is no reported head-to-head history between the fighters.
  • No recent injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • Venue and crowd support might slightly favor Hunter Azure due to familiarity.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a win, but Hunter Azure may have more pressure as the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -800 vs. +425 Hunter Azure ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Hunter Azure -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Hunter Azure at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hunter Azure is predicted to win given his superior record and odds favoring him.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Hunter Azure


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Reyes Cortez vs. Ricardo Lamas Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Reyes Cortez vs Ricardo Lamas – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Location unspecified (data not available in provided sources)

Game Overview

MMA bout between Reyes Cortez (heavily favored) and veteran Ricardo Lamas (notable wins: Charles Oliveira, Cub Swanson). Analysis focuses on Cortez's implied dominance (-600 ML) versus Lamas' underdog potential (+350 ML).

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cortez: Limited available data, but implied strong favoritism. Lamas: Known for victories against ranked opponents but likely past prime (age and recent record unavailable in sources).
  • No historical matchup confirmed (no head-to-head data found in sources).
  • No injury data available (not mentioned in provided sources).
  • Potential weight management concerns (general MMA factor, no specific data for this match).
  • Cortez likely defending/proving favorite status; Lamas potentially fighting for career relevance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cortez -600 / Lamas +350 Reyes Cortez moneyline ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Reyes Cortez -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Reyes Cortez at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Reyes Cortez by decision or late TKO (high confidence in moneyline, low confidence in finish method).

Predicted Score: Predicted outcome: Reyes Cortez victory (specific round/format unavailable)


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Richard Mahan vs. Patrick Cornett Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Richard Mahan vs Patrick Cornett – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Westworld Scottsdale – Equidome

Game Overview

Welterweight Division bout between Richard Mahan (2-1-0) and Patrick Cornett (2-2-0) in the United Fight League 6 event. Mahan represents Team Scottsdale as the home fighter, while Cornett fights for Team Orange County. The match occurs at a neutral venue despite Team affiliations.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Team Scottsdale and Orange County's recent performances are unspecified, but both fighters enter with similar experience levels in professional MMA.
  • No prior head-to-head record found between Mahan and Cornett.
  • No injury reports disclosed. Cornett's Instagram post ('may be my last fight') suggests potential retirement considerations but no physical limitations.
  • Event occurs at Westworld Scottsdale, which may provide a slight crowd advantage for Mahan as the designated 'home' fighter.
  • Cornett's social media hints at this potentially being his final fight, which could drive an aggressive approach. Mahan seeks to defend home-region credibility.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mahan -450 | Cornett +275 Mahan by decision ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Mahan -3.5 | Cornett +3.5 (estimated) Mahan covers spread via decision ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 Rounds (-150) | Under 1.5 Rounds (+120) (hypothetical based on trends) Over 1.5 Rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Richard Mahan 193%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Richard Mahan at 193% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 70% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Richard Mahan wins by decision (confidence: 70%) due to slight record advantage and home-region support. Cornett's higher risk-taking could lead to a submission upset.

Predicted Score: Mahan via unanimous decision (29-28 across all scorecards)


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Randall Wallace vs. Kyle Stewart Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Randall Wallace vs Kyle Stewart – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Randall Wallace (22-10-1) faces off against Kyle Stewart (15-6) in a middleweight contest at UFL 6. The event is part of a series led by legendary MMA figures like Henry Cejudo and Quinton 'Rampage' Jackson, emphasizing explosive fights and strategic coaching.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Randall Wallace comes from Team Orange County, known for his dangerous finishing skills. Kyle Stewart represents Team Scottsdale, with a notable record in MMA.
  • There is no recorded head-to-head match between these fighters.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • UFL's unique scoring system encourages fighters to finish fights quickly, potentially impacting their strategies. The event will be streamed live on Rumble.
  • Kyle Stewart is competing for the final time in MMA, which may increase his motivation to perform well.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kyle Stewart: 275, Randall Wallace: -450 Randall Wallace Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Randall Wallace -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Randall Wallace at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Randall Wallace is favored to win due to his experience and UFL's emphasis on explosive finishes.

Predicted Score: Randall Wallace wins via TKO in Round 2


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Geno Morelli vs. Austin Wourms Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Geno Morelli vs Austin Wourms – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Westworld Scottsdale – Equidome

Game Overview

Austin Wourms (7-5-0 record) faces undefeated prospect Geno Morelli (4-0-0) in a welterweight bout at UFL 6. The match is part of the Team Scottsdale vs. Team Orange County event, scheduled for 3 rounds[3][4][5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Geno Morelli maintains a flawless professional record (4-0-0), indicating superior consistency and technical prowess compared to Wourms' 7-5-0 record[4][5]. Wourms' recent performance history shows vulnerability (losses in 5 professional bouts), while Morelli has never been defeated in sanctioned competition[3][4].
  • No prior meeting between fighters[1][3][4]
  • No injury reports available
  • UFL 6 represents a team-based event format, potentially adding psychological pressure for both fighters to perform for their respective squads (Team Scottsdale vs. Team Orange County)[3][5].
  • Morelli seeks to preserve his undefeated status and rising prospect status. Wourms aims to rebound from a .500 career record and potential gatekeeper status[4][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Austin Wourms +225 / Geno Morelli -350 Geno Morelli ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Geno Morelli -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Geno Morelli at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Geno Morelli by decision (confidence 75%) – Likely outcome based on technical superiority and undefeated record. Wourms' experience may push fight beyond 1.5 rounds, but Morelli's cleaner record suggests consistent scoring across three rounds[3][4][5].

Predicted Score: Geno Morelli via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)


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Hossein Mollamahdi vs. Saufullakh Khambakhadov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Hossein Mollamahdi vs Saufullakh Khambakhadov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Undisclosed (Karate Combat 54 event per Fight Odds data)

Game Overview

Saufullakh Khambakhadov enters as significant favorite (-400) against underdog Hossein Mollamahdi (+250) in this MMA bout. No head-to-head history found, with insufficient performance data available for detailed stylistic breakdown.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Insufficient historical performance data available for both fighters
  • No previous matchups documented in available records
  • No injury reports available through public sources
  • Potential visibility/promotion considerations for emerging fighters in Karate Combat 54 event
  • High stakes for regional/undercard fighters seeking career advancement

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mollamahdi +250 / Khambakhadov -400 Khambakhadov moneyline High (75-80%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Saufullakh Khambakhadov 150%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Saufullakh Khambakhadov at 150% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 60% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Khambakhadov via decision or late stoppage (given oddsmakers' confidence)

Predicted Score: N/A (MMA decisions lack numerical scoring)


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Pouya Rahmani vs. Slim Trabelsi Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Pouya Rahmani vs Slim Trabelsi – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Dubai (KC54 event)

Game Overview

Heavyweight submission grappling match between Pouya Rahmani (Iran), known for raw power and submission expertise, and undefeated Slim Trabelsi (Morocco), a PFL veteran with heavy-hitting grappling skills. Both fighters bring explosive styles that favor early finishes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Trabelsi remains undefeated per recent records[3][5], while Rahmani's PFL status shows inconsistencies (listed as 'pulled out' of a previous event)[5], though his raw power is emphasized[1][4]. No explicit recent performance metrics available.
  • No prior meeting recorded in provided data.
  • No injury reports found. Rahmani's previous PFL withdrawal[5] merits caution but lacks specifics.
  • Event promotion emphasizes 'giants colliding' narrative[1][4], suggesting high-pressure environment. Weight class dynamics favor power-based strategies.
  • Trabelsi's undefeated streak vs Rahmani's need to reassert dominance after PFL absence[5] creates high stakes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rahmani -500 | Trabelsi +300 Trabelsi (value play at +300) ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Slim Trabelsi 160%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Slim Trabelsi at 160% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 53.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lean Trabelsi via decision/points given undefeated status and durability, though Rahmani's submission threat creates live underdog potential.

Predicted Score: Submission victory unavailable in grappling context – predicted outcome: Trabelsi via judges' decision (hypothetical 3-0 scorecard)


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Asha Roka vs. Lishan Li Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Asha Roka vs Lishan Li – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Dubai, UAE

Game Overview

Women's Strawweight bout in Karate Combat KC 54, featuring Indian MMA fighter Asha Roka against Chinese kickboxing champion Li Lishan. Roka returns to Karate Combat after prior experience in ONE Championship, while Li represents China's striking pedigree in this hybrid karate-MMA ruleset.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Li's documented kickboxing championship background suggests technical striking superiority, while Roka brings MMA experience from ONE Championship (prior to 2020). Recent performance data limited due to Roka's hiatus from major promotions until this return.
  • No prior meeting records found. Li makes her organizational debut, while Roka returns after unspecified layoff.
  • No injury reports available through public sources.
  • Organization's hybrid karate ruleset (punches, knees, and standing submissions) may favor Li's kickboxing base. Event held in neutral territory (Dubai) with no clear home advantage.
  • High stakes for Roka's comeback trail and Li's opportunity to establish credentials in new organization.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Asha Roka -165 | Lishan Li +125 Value on Li Lishan at +125 (implied 44.4% probability vs estimated 50-55% actual chance). Conservative lean toward Li if odds remain above +120. 65% in value prediction, 55% in outcome certainty

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Asha Roka 17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Asha Roka at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Leans toward Li Lishan by decision (confidence: 55-60%) due to technical striking edge in stand-up focused ruleset, though Roka's untested grappling could surprise if she forces clinch situations.

Predicted Score: Li Lishan by split decision (29-28)


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Mohamad Osseili vs. Ali Aliev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Mohamad Osseili vs Ali Aliev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Dubai, UAE

Game Overview

Light Heavyweight bout at Karate Combat 54 between Russia's Ali Aliev and Lebanon's Mohamad Osseili. Event features hybrid karate/MMA rules under Karate Combat's unique pit-based format.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Limited historical performance data available. Aliev's -150 closing odds suggest perceived superiority; Osseili's +110 odds reflect underdog status with home-region advantage (Lebanese fighter in UAE venue)[1][5].
  • No prior meeting between fighters. Both appear evenly matched in weight class, though Aliev's odds suggest bookmakers favor technical striking.
  • No injury reports found via available sources.
  • Event occurs in Dubai's controlled pit environment favoring technical strikers. Osseili's social media posts suggest strong preparation[3].
  • Osseili positioning for regional recognition; Aliev potentially seeking Russian dominance in Karate Combat's expansion.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aliev -110 / Osseili -130 Ali Aliev ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ali Aliev 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ali Aliev at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ali Aliev by decision (confidence: 65%) – Odds discrepancy between sources (-150 vs -110) creates value opportunity if real odds closer to -150 implied probability (60%)

Predicted Score: 3-2 Aliev (under Karate Combat's 5-judge scoring system)


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