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Stephen Thompson vs. Gabriel Bonfim Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Stephen Thompson vs Gabriel Bonfim – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 3:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN

Game Overview

Stephen Thompson, a seasoned welterweight veteran and former title challenger, faces rising prospect Gabriel Bonfim. Thompson brings experience and a resilient fighting style, while Bonfim is an aggressive young contender with momentum but one recent loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Thompson (17-8-1) is coming off two straight losses but historically rebounds well after losing streaks. Bonfim (17-1) is a powerful striker with high output and finishing ability, recently bouncing back after a loss with two wins.
  • No prior matchups between Thompson and Bonfim; styles contrast with Thompson’s karate-based striking and Bonfim’s high-pressure striking.
  • No current injury reports for either fighter; both appear fully healthy for this bout.
  • Fight held at UFC Nashville, neutral site with no apparent advantage; Thompson is the older fighter at 42 versus 27 for Bonfim.
  • Thompson motivated to avoid a third straight loss and extend career legacy, while Bonfim motivated to break into welterweight top 15 with a high-profile win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gabriel Bonfim: -425, Stephen Thompson: +330 Gabriel Bonfim ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Gabriel Bonfim: -3.5 -205, Stephen Thompson: +3.5 +150 Gabriel Bonfim -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -105, Under 2.5 rounds: -125 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gabriel Bonfim -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gabriel Bonfim to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Gabriel Bonfim wins by decision or late round finish in 4th round


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Stephen Thompson vs. Gabriel Bonfim Prediction

Match Analysis: Stephen Thompson vs Gabriel Bonfim – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-07-12 Time: 3:15 AM UTC Location: Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN Game Overview Stephen Thompson, a seasoned welterweight veteran and former title challenger, faces rising prospect Gabriel Bonfim. Thompson brings experience and a resilient fighting style, while Bonfim is an aggressive young contender with […]

Gabriel Bonfim July 13, 2025 MMA/Boxing Stephen Thompson

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Derrick Lewis vs. Tallison Teixeira Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Derrick Lewis vs Tallison Teixeira – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-13
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, Tennessee

Game Overview

The UFC heavyweight main event features veteran Derrick Lewis facing undefeated rising star Tallison Teixeira. Teixeira enters as the clear betting favorite based on youth, reach, and finishing ability, while Lewis is considered past his prime but retains significant knockout power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lewis has 2 wins in his last 6 fights, both by KO/TKO, showing decreased consistency, while Teixeira is undefeated (8-0) with multiple fast finishes, indicating strong form and momentum.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups between Lewis and Teixeira; this will be their first encounter.
  • No reported significant injuries for either fighter leading into this bout.
  • The fight takes place at a home event for Lewis in Nashville, possibly giving him crowd support, but Teixeira's physical advantages may neutralize this.
  • Teixeira motivated to maintain undefeated record and climb heavyweight rankings; Lewis motivated by veteran status and knockout legacy, aiming for a major upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Derrick Lewis: +215, Tallison Teixeira: -265 Tallison Teixeira ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Derrick Lewis -5.5: +225, Tallison Teixeira +5.5: -320 Tallison Teixeira +5.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 1.5: +180, Under 1.5: -238 Under 1.5 Rounds ★★★★☆ 78%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tallison Teixeira -15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tallison Teixeira by KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Teixeira wins by 1st-round KO


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Nate Landwehr vs. Morgan Charriere Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Nate Landwehr vs Morgan Charriere – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-13
  • Time: 2:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Fight Night: Nashville

Game Overview

This UFC featherweight bout features Nate Landwehr, a powerful striker known for his aggressive style and durability, facing Morgan Charrière, a technically sound and strategic fighter favored by bookmakers. Both fighters have exciting, aggressive styles suggesting a high-action fight that could go the distance or end early by finish.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nate Landwehr has shown resilience and durability with several recent wins but struggles against top technical fighters. Morgan Charrière exhibits well-rounded skills, leveraging technical striking and grappling, maintaining a solid recent form with a strong finishing rate.
  • There is no prior head-to-head matchup between Landwehr and Charrière, making this a fresh contest influenced mainly by their contrasting styles and recent performances.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter going into the fight, allowing both to perform at near full capacity.
  • The bout is scheduled at UFC Fight Night in Nashville, with no notable external conditions affecting either fighter's preparation or motivation. Both fighters appear focused and motivated.
  • Both fighters have high motivation to secure a statement win to elevate their rankings. Charrière, as the betting favorite, has pressure to deliver, while Landwehr aims for an upset to revitalize his career momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Charrière -270, Landwehr +220 Morgan Charrière ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Charrière -3.5 (-110), Landwehr +3.5 (-120) Morgan Charrière -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-166), Under 2.5 (130) Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Morgan Charriere 118%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Morgan Charriere at 118% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 53.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Morgan Charrière wins by moneyline

Predicted Score: Morgan Charrière wins via decision after 3 rounds


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Vitor Petrino vs. Austen Lane Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Vitor Petrino vs Austen Lane – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Nashville, Tennessee, United States

Game Overview

Vitor Petrino, coming off two consecutive losses, faces Austen Lane, who has suffered KO/TKO losses in three of his last four bouts. Despite Petrino's recent form, he remains a heavy favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Petrino's recent losses might affect his confidence, but Lane's vulnerability to KO/TKO could be a significant factor.
  • No previous matchups between the two fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • External factors such as crowd support might favor Petrino due to his higher profile.
  • Petrino is highly motivated to break his losing streak, while Lane seeks to capitalize on Petrino's recent downturn.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -700 for Vitor Petrino, +500 for Austen Lane Vitor Petrino ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread -3.5 for Vitor Petrino, +3.5 for Austen Lane Vitor Petrino ★★★★☆ 82%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds +140, Under 1.5 rounds -180 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitor Petrino -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vitor Petrino wins by TKO/KO in the first round.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA


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Junior Tafa vs. Tuco Tokkos Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Junior Tafa vs Tuco Tokkos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, Tennessee, USA

Game Overview

This matchup features Junior Tafa against Tuco Tokkos in a light heavyweight bout. Both fighters are looking to bounce back from recent losses, and a strong performance could enhance their UFC rankings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Junior Tafa and Tuco Tokkos both recently suffered losses, but Tafa is favored due to his stylistic advantages.
  • There is no head-to-head history between Junior Tafa and Tuco Tokkos.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
  • The weather in Nashville is expected to be pleasant, which should not affect the fighters. The event is part of UFC Fight Night.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to win after recent setbacks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -175 (Junior Tafa), +145 (Tuco Tokkos) Junior Tafa ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread -3.5 (Junior Tafa) -150, +3.5 (Tuco Tokkos) 110 Junior Tafa ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5: 105, Under 1.5: -135 Over 1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Junior Tafa -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 41%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Junior Tafa is likely to leverage his advantages in style and current form to secure a victory.

Predicted Score: Junior Tafa via TKO in Round 2


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Calvin Kattar vs. Steve Garcia Jr. Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Calvin Kattar vs Steve Garcia Jr. – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, Tennessee, USA

Game Overview

Featherweight clash featuring veteran Calvin Kattar against rising contender Steve Garcia Jr. Garcia brings powerful striking and speed, while Kattar is a high-volume, experienced striker with solid cardio but coming off a rough patch.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kattar is on a four-fight losing streak and appears slowed by a recent knee injury, while Garcia is in better recent form and known for fast finishes and clean, powerful strikes.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups between Kattar and Garcia.
  • Kattar has a notable knee injury that seems to have reduced his speed and overall competitiveness recently.
  • Fight is at Bridgestone Arena with favorable weather conditions in Nashville, no anticipated external disruptions.
  • Kattar aims to stop his losing streak and climb back into contention; Garcia looks to break into contender status with a high-profile win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Calvin Kattar: +105, Steve Garcia Jr.: -125 Steve Garcia Jr. ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Calvin Kattar +3.5: -150, Steve Garcia Jr. -3.5: +110 Steve Garcia Jr. -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -160, Under 1.5 rounds: +124 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Steve Garcia Jr. -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Steve Garcia Jr. to win by knockout or technical knockout

Predicted Score: Steve Garcia Jr. wins by KO/TKO in round 1 or early round 2


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Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Valter Walker Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Valter Walker – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 11:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Nashville, Tennessee, United States

Game Overview

Heavyweight MMA bout between Kennedy Nzechukwu (14-5-0) and Valter Walker (13-1-0). Nzechukwu is a proven UFC competitor with experience at the top level, while Walker is a rising prospect with strong recent form and limited losses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nzechukwu is battle-tested in the UFC, with a record of 14-5-0 and a history of competing against top heavyweights. Walker is 13-1-0, but his UFC experience is limited and he faces his toughest test yet. Nzechukwu's size, reach, and experience give him a clear edge in most metrics.
  • No prior head-to-head history. Both fighters are relatively young and still establishing their UFC legacies.
  • No reported injuries affecting either fighter; both expected to be at full strength.
  • Event in Nzechukwu's home country; no significant travel or acclimation issues for either fighter. No major external distractions reported.
  • Nzechukwu is looking to climb into the heavyweight rankings, while Walker is aiming to prove himself at the highest level. Both highly motivated, but Nzechukwu has more to defend in terms of legacy.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nzechukwu -205, Walker +170 Kennedy Nzechukwu ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Nzechukwu -3.5 -125, Walker +3.5 -105 Nzechukwu -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5 -105, Under 2.5 -125 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kennedy Nzechukwu -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kennedy Nzechukwu wins by decision or late stoppage, utilizing his reach and experience advantage over Walker.

Predicted Score: Nzechukwu by TKO or decision, Round 3 (if prop available: Over 2.5 rounds)


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Mitch Ramirez vs. Mike Davis Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mitch Ramirez vs Mike Davis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 10:45 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Fight Night (Location TBD)

Game Overview

Lightweight matchup between underdog Mitch Ramirez (8-2) and favorite Mike Davis (11-3). Davis is a heavy favorite across sportsbooks, reflecting both his experience and recent strong form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mike Davis has a more proven UFC record and has shown stronger performances against higher-level competition, including notable finishes and decisions. Mitch Ramirez has less experience at the UFC level and is coming off a respectable fighting record in regional promotions.
  • No direct head-to-head history; this is their first meeting.
  • No publicly reported injuries for either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Davis is physically bigger (taller and slightly longer reach), which could be a significant advantage in striking exchanges[1]. The fight is part of UFC Fight Night undercard, with standard preparation and environment.
  • Davis is looking to cement his spot in the lightweight rankings, while Ramirez is aiming to prove himself at the UFC level and establish his name.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mike Davis: -1000, Mitch Ramirez: +700 Mike Davis wins ★★★★★ 90%
Over/under Over 2.5: +135, Under 2.5: -165 Under 2.5 Rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mike Davis -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mike Davis at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mike Davis is strongly favored to win given his superior experience, striking skills, and physical advantages. Despite Ramirez's toughness, the odds reflect an expected mismatch.

Predicted Score: Mike Davis by KO/TKO in Round 2


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Jake Matthews vs. Chidi Njokuani Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jake Matthews vs Chidi Njokuani – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Nashville, Tennessee, United States

Game Overview

Jake Matthews and Chidi Njokuani face off in a welterweight UFC Fight Night bout, both fighters bringing solid records and orthodoxy stances with slight physical advantages favoring Njokuani in height and reach.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jake Matthews holds a 21-7 record showing steady performance and resilience, while Chidi Njokuani has a 25-10 record reflecting more experience but also more losses; recent form slightly favors Matthews with consistent wins.
  • No direct recent head-to-head matchups available, making stylistic analysis key; Matthews is known for his grappling and pressure fighting, while Njokuani offers reach and striking superiority.
  • No reported injuries or recent setbacks for either fighter, indicating peak physical condition for the matchup.
  • Venue in Nashville might favor Matthews slightly as he has fought more often in U.S. and familiar environments; no travel or sanctioning issues detected.
  • Matthews fighting with motivation to establish himself as a top contender and bounce back strongly; Njokuani seeks to leverage his experience and reach to maintain UFC relevancy.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chidi Njokuani: -155, Jake Matthews: 130 Jake Matthews ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Chidi Njokuani: -3.5 130, Jake Matthews: 3.5 -180 Jake Matthews +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under Over 1.5: -315, Under 1.5: 230 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jake Matthews 31%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 91%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 91% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jake Matthews to win on the moneyline by decision, leveraging his grappling and endurance to neutralize Njokuani's reach and striking advantage while capitalizing on steady recent form.

Predicted Score: Jake Matthews wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Chris Curtis vs. Max Griffin Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Chris Curtis vs Max Griffin – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira (venue not specified)

Game Overview

Chris Curtis faces Max Griffin in a welterweight UFC Fight Night bout. Curtis enters as the favorite based on strong recent performances and more fights at this level, while Griffin is a durable and experienced veteran with a solid striking base. This fight is expected to be competitive and could hinge on Curtis's pressure and grappling versus Griffin's counter-striking and endurance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chris Curtis holds a 31-12-0 record with consistent wins in recent UFC outings, showing good finishing ability and pressure fighting. Max Griffin has a 20-11-0 record, with mixed results but known for durability and toughness. Curtis's activity and form edge Griffin's inconsistent recent performances.
  • No direct previous matchup between Chris Curtis and Max Griffin found, so no direct H2H data to influence the prediction.
  • No current injury reports on either fighter ahead of the bout, both are expected to be at full health.
  • Fight scheduled in a typical UFC Fight Night setting with no unusual external factors reported such as travel issues or weight cut problems.
  • Curtis is motivated to solidify his position in the welterweight division after recent wins, while Griffin looks to rebound and stay relevant in the UFC lineup, adding moderate motivation for both.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Curtis -325, Griffin +260 Chris Curtis ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Curtis -3.5 (-110), Griffin +3.5 (-120) Chris Curtis -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-280), Under 2.5 (+210) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chris Curtis -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 117%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 117% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 55.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chris Curtis to win by decision

Predicted Score: Chris Curtis wins by unanimous decision


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