Match Analysis: Shirzad Qadrian vs Elton Armindo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 7:00 AM UTC
- Location: London, Cage Warriors 196
Game Overview
The bantamweight main card title fight between Shirzad Qadrian and Elton Armindo at Cage Warriors 196 is anticipated to be intense, featuring two well-matched fighters with differing styles. Qadrian enters as the slight favorite based on bookmaker odds, and the bout is scheduled for five rounds.
Key Factors to Consider
- Shirzad Qadrian has shown consistent form with efficient striking and grappling statistics in recent Cage Warriors bouts, often controlling pace and position. Elton Armindo, while less favored, exhibits aggressive striking and resilience, pushing fights into deeper waters.
- No previous head-to-head matchups are recorded between Qadrian and Armindo, making predictive leverage from direct combat data unavailable and increasing reliance on form and style matchups.
- No reported injuries for either fighter going into the bout, indicating both have prepared fully fit without noticeable disadvantages.
- The fight takes place in London, a neutral ground for both fighters with no clear 'home advantage.' Crowd influence should be balanced with potential motivation from fans attending this main event.
- Both fighters are competing for the bantamweight title, which strongly motivates them to perform at peak levels. Qadrian's slight betting favoritism suggests confidence from bettors and possibly better recent performances, which can affect psychological momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Qadrian -190 / Armindo +145 | Shirzad Qadrian | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Qadrian -1.5 rounds -150 | Qadrian by more than 1.5 rounds | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 3.5 rounds -120 / Under 3.5 rounds +100 | Over 3.5 rounds | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Shirzad Qadrian -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Shirzad Qadrian at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Shirzad Qadrian to win on the moneyline
Predicted Score: Shirzad Qadrian wins by decision after 4 rounds