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Santos Verdinez vs. Alex Coover Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Santos Verdinez vs Alex Coover – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mystic Lake Casino Hotel, Prior Lake, MN, USA

Game Overview

This heavyweight MMA bout features Santos Verdinez, a strong grappler with notable submission skills, against Alex Coover, a powerful striker known for his knockout ability. Verdinez is favored slightly due to his ground advantage while Coover presents a threat standing up.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Verdinez holds a professional record of 7-2 with a strong recent form and proficiency in grappling. Coover sports a 9-3 record, excels in striking, and has proven resilience, but has vulnerabilities against grapplers.
  • No prior head-to-head meetings found between Verdinez and Coover, making this a fresh tactical matchup focused on contrasting styles.
  • No current injury reports or weigh-in issues have been disclosed for either fighter as of fight day.
  • The fight takes place indoors at Mystic Lake Casino Hotel with no adverse environmental conditions. The bout’s late timing may favor fighters accustomed to prime-time events; both have prior experience in similar venues.
  • Verdinez competes to extend his upward career trajectory, while Coover aims to capitalize on striking to remain a top contender. Both fighters’ motivation is high given the fight’s significance in the LFA promotion.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -177, away: +152 Santos Verdinez ★★★★☆ 73%
Spread home: -110, away: +110 Santos Verdinez -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: +149, under: -170 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santos Verdinez 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline edge to Santos Verdinez due to grappling superiority, expecting a decision or submission win. Spread prediction favors Verdinez to control the fight beyond a one-round margin. Under 1.5 rounds is more likely given both fighters’ strategic approach to avoid early mistakes.

Predicted Score: Verdinez wins by submission or decision in round 2 or later


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Santos Verdinez vs. Alex Coover Prediction

Match Analysis: Santos Verdinez vs Alex Coover – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-09-12 Time: 11:30 PM UTC Location: Mystic Lake Casino Hotel, Prior Lake, MN, USA Game Overview This heavyweight MMA bout features Santos Verdinez, a strong grappler with notable submission skills, against Alex Coover, a powerful striker known for his knockout ability. Verdinez is […]

Alex Coover MMA/Boxing Santos Verdinez September 12, 2025

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Mitchell Mckee vs. Pedro Nobre Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mitchell Mckee vs Pedro Nobre – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Mystic Lake Casino Hotel, Prior Lake, Minnesota

Game Overview

The main event of LFA 217 features undefeated Mitchell McKee (9-0) facing veteran Pedro Nobre (22-8-2) in a catchweight bout. McKee is favored heavily on the moneyline reflecting his dominant undefeated record, while Nobre brings experience but recent inconsistencies.

Key Factors to Consider

  • McKee is unbeaten (9-0) demonstrating consistent winning form and finishing ability, while Nobre has a mixed recent record and some losses against high-level competition.
  • No prior head-to-head encounters found between McKee and Nobre, making this their first meeting.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight at home state of Minnesota for McKee, making crowd and travel factors favorable for him.
  • McKee looking to maintain his undefeated record and ascend in LFA rankings. Nobre aiming to upset a top prospect and re-establish position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mitchell McKee: -3800, Pedro Nobre: +1500 Mitchell McKee ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Mitchell McKee -2.5 rounds: -150, Pedro Nobre +2.5 rounds: +130 Mitchell McKee -2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: +177, Under 2.5 rounds: -205 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mitchell Mckee -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mitchell Mckee at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mitchell McKee to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Mitchell McKee wins by decision or late finish before round 3


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Cristina Brador vs. Mackenzie Stiller Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Cristina Brador vs Mackenzie Stiller – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mystic Lake Showroom, Prior Lake, Minnesota

Game Overview

The matchup between Cristina Brador (3-1) and Mackenzie Stiller (4-1) in the LFA 217 strawweight division features contrasting styles: Brador with striking and wrestling defense and Stiller with strong Brazilian jiu-jitsu submission skills. The three-round bout is expected to see Brador trying to keep the fight standing while Stiller aims to take it to the ground.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brador shows solid stand-up with wins mostly by decision and some submission threat, with a 75% recent win rate. Stiller has a 80% win rate, with 60% of wins by submission, showing ground dominance.
  • No recorded previous encounters between Brador and Stiller. Styles suggest a classic striker vs grappler scenario.
  • No reported injuries on either fighter prior to the bout; both have expressed full confidence and health.
  • Fight held at home soil in Minnesota with a good crowd support likely balanced between the two American fighters; no travel disadvantages apparent.
  • Stiller appears highly motivated to capitalize on her recent submission win for LFA status, while Brador fights to maintain ascending trajectory after her strong recent form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cristina Brador: +145, Mackenzie Stiller: -170 Mackenzie Stiller ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Stiller -1.5 rounds: -120, Brador +1.5 rounds: +100 Mackenzie Stiller -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: +100, Under 2.5 rounds: -120 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mackenzie Stiller -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mackenzie Stiller to win by submission

Predicted Score: Stiller wins by submission in round 2


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Gable Steveson vs. Braden Peterson Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Gable Steveson vs Braden Peterson – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mystic Lake Casino Hotel, Minnesota

Game Overview

Gable Steveson, an Olympic gold medalist and decorated wrestler making his professional MMA debut, faces Braden Peterson, a 37-year-old heavyweight with a 1-0 pro record highlighted by a quick knockout. The bout is highly anticipated due to Steveson's wrestling pedigree and Peterson's experience and power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Steveson has dominant amateur wrestling credentials but no professional MMA fights; Peterson has one quick KO win in MMA but less elite wrestling background.
  • No previous meetings between the fighters; this is their first matchup.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter going into the bout.
  • Fight held in Steveson's home state with strong fan support; Peterson motivated by public backing from MMA legends Daniel Cormier and Chael Sonnen.
  • Steveson highly motivated to launch a successful MMA career; Peterson motivated as underdog with external encouragement.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -2000, away: 1000 Gable Steveson ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread home: -150, away: +130 Gable Steveson -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over_1.5: +252, under_1.5: -310 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gable Steveson -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gable Steveson to win by moneyline, covering the spread, and fight going under 1.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Gable Steveson wins via decision or ground control before round 2


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Cheyanne Bowers vs. Maritza Sanchez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Cheyanne Bowers vs Maritza Sanchez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mystic Lake Casino, Prior Lake, Minnesota

Game Overview

This LFA 217 flyweight bout features Cheyanne Bowers, a strong striker with excellent takedown defense, against Maritza Sanchez, a versatile fighter balanced in striking and grappling. Bowers is favored heavily in moneyline odds due to her recent form and aggressive style, while Sanchez’s well-rounded skill set represents the primary upset threat.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bowers has maintained a superior recent form with a string of aggressive wins dominated by striking and takedown defense, whereas Sanchez remains competitive but less consistent, relying on versatility rather than dominance.
  • There is no documented direct previous matchup between Bowers and Sanchez, placing emphasis on recent individual performances and stylistic comparisons.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting a full-strength contest.
  • The bout takes place at a well-known venue for regional MMA with no adverse logistical issues; both fighters likely have equal acclimatization and preparation.
  • Bowers appears more motivated due to recent winning streak momentum, aiming to solidify a rise in rankings, while Sanchez may face underestimated odds that could fuel an upset attempt.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -400, away: +300 Cheyanne Bowers ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread home: -110, away: +110 Cheyanne Bowers -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: +165, under: -190 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cheyanne Bowers -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cheyanne Bowers to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Cheyanne Bowers wins by decision or stoppage before round 3


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Joey Hart vs. Christian Turner Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Joey Hart vs Christian Turner – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mystic Lake Casino Hotel, Prior Lake, Minnesota

Game Overview

Featherweight bout between Joey Hart and Christian Turner at LFA 217, featuring two fighters with solid records and recent active competition.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Joey Hart holds a 7-3 record with consistent performances; Christian Turner is 8-2 with strong recent form and confidence for a knockout.
  • This is the first recorded matchup between Joey Hart and Christian Turner with no direct previous meetings.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter heading into this bout.
  • Fighting at Mystic Lake Casino Hotel with LFA hosting in Minnesota for the 24th time, likely neutral venue impact; recent media shows Christian Turner is highly motivated for a KO.
  • Christian Turner shows strong psychological motivation, openly confident in securing a knockout; Joey Hart motivated to maintain his winning trajectory on a prominent LFA card.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Joey Hart: -158, Christian Turner: 138 Joey Hart ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Joey Hart -1.5: +150, Christian Turner +1.5: -170 Joey Hart -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -140, Under 1.5 rounds: 120 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Joey Hart -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 32%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Joey Hart to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Joey Hart wins by decision or late stoppage before round 3


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Anthony Guarascio vs. Steven Asplund Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Anthony Guarascio vs Steven Asplund – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-10
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

Heavyweight MMA bout between undefeated Anthony Guarascio (3-0) and highly experienced Steven Asplund (5-1) on Dana White's Contender Series, featuring a contrast in age, reach, and fighting styles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Guarascio is undefeated with a perfect 3-0 record, showing heavy striking power with 2 KO/TKO wins and a submission, while Asplund has more fights (5-1) with a majority of wins by KO/TKO (4), but one loss and less finishing diversity.
  • This is their first recorded head-to-head matchup with no prior encounters.
  • No reported significant injuries for either fighter; Asplund took the fight on short notice but appears healthy and motivated.
  • Fight held at UFC Apex with no travel disadvantage; Asplund’s short-notice call might affect conditioning but boosts his motivation.
  • Asplund expressed high motivation, calling this the opportunity he’s always wanted, which could boost performance; Guarascio seeks to maintain undefeated status and impress on Contender Series.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -175, away: 150 Anthony Guarascio ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Guarascio -1.5: +150, Asplund +1.5: -180 Guarascio -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over 1.5: +177, under 1.5: -205 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Anthony Guarascio 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Anthony Guarascio at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Anthony Guarascio to win by moneyline, with under 1.5 rounds expectable due to Guarascio’s finishing tendency.

Predicted Score: Anthony Guarascio wins by KO/TKO in round 1 or early round 2


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Lerryan Douglas vs. Cam Teague Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Lerryan Douglas vs Cam Teague – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-10
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

Featherweight main card fight between Lerryan Douglas (12-5) and Cam Teague (9-1) at Dana White's Contender Series on September 10, 2025.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lerryan Douglas has a more extensive record (12-5) and fights out of Bloodline Combat Sports with coach Cub Swanson. His wins include 41.7% KO rate and solid striking, though he has recent losses via multiple methods. Cam Teague is younger (9-1) with high KO ratio (60%) and fights out of AMP MMA, showing strong finishing ability. Douglas fights at featherweight; Teague listed as lightweight but contest is featherweight, which might impact conditioning.
  • This is their first meeting. Both enter with strong recent performances; Douglas has more experience but Teague has a higher KO finish ratio.
  • No publicized recent injuries reported for either fighter ahead of this match.
  • Fight is part of Dana White's Contender Series, increasing motivation for both fighters to perform impressively to secure UFC contracts. Fight taking place in a neutral venue at Contender Series taping.
  • Both fighters highly motivated to secure a UFC contract, but Douglas, with prior UFC-aligned coaching and experience, may have slight edge in motivation and composure. Teague's youth and finishing ability suggest hunger to prove himself as an elite prospect.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lerryan_Douglas: -500, Cam_Teague: +375 Lerryan Douglas ★★★★☆ 73%
Spread Douglas -1.5 rounds: -150, Teague +1.5 rounds: +130 Douglas -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: +105, Under 1.5 rounds: -125 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lerryan Douglas -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lerryan Douglas to win by decision

Predicted Score: Lerryan Douglas wins by Decision after 3 rounds


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Shanelle Dyer vs. Carol Foro Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Shanelle Dyer vs Carol Foro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-10
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

A highly anticipated flyweight bout between undefeated British prospect Shanelle Dyer (6-0) and Brazilian contender Carol Foro (8-1) takes place at Dana White's Contender Series. Both fighters bring aggressive finishes with high KO rates and are seeking UFC contracts.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dyer is 6-0 with 4 finishes, including 3 KOs, showing consistent dominance and finishing ability. Foro is 8-1 with 7 finishes, mostly KOs, also demonstrating powerful striking but with slightly more experience.
  • No recorded previous fights between the two fighters, making this a fresh matchup without direct history or matchup data.
  • No reported injuries or physical issues for either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Dyer is motivated by a UFC contract opportunity and fighting at her natural strawweight after leaving PFL, indicating high motivation and optimal weight preparation. Foro competes as a strong competitor from Brazil with a solid team but less reported recent motivation factors.
  • Dyer's strong motivation to prove herself on Dana White's Contender Series and her recent release from PFL for better weight class opportunities suggest higher hunger and drive. Foro's motivation appears standard as a solid contender but no publicized extraordinary factors.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Shanelle Dyer: -150, Carol Foro: 130 Shanelle Dyer ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Shanelle Dyer -1.5 rounds: -120, Carol Foro +1.5 rounds: 100 Shanelle Dyer -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -137, Under 2.5 rounds: 117 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Shanelle Dyer -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Shanelle Dyer to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Shanelle Dyer wins by KO/TKO in Round 2


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Chasen Blair vs. Samuel Sanches Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Chasen Blair vs Samuel Sanches – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-10
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

Welterweight bout between undefeated grappler Chasen Blair and powerful striker Samuel Sanches on Dana White's Contender Series Week 5.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chasen Blair is undefeated with strong grappling and recent submission wins, while Samuel Sanches boasts 6 KOs in 10 wins with lightning-fast striking and improved takedown defense.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups between Blair and Sanches.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter at the time of fight.
  • Fight is part of a high-stakes DWCS event, encouraging aggressive performances to impress UFC matchmakers.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to secure UFC contracts; Blair seeks to showcase grappling dominance, Sanches aims to maintain his knockout streak and aggressive reputation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chasen Blair: +110, Samuel Sanches: -130 Samuel Sanches ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Sanches -1.5 rounds: -120, Blair +1.5 rounds: +100 Samuel Sanches -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -110, Under 1.5 rounds: -110 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Samuel Sanches -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Samuel Sanches to win via early knockout

Predicted Score: Samuel Sanches wins by KO/TKO Round 1 or 2


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