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Samuel Samples vs. Michael Larrimore Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Samuel Samples vs Michael Larrimore – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: OCC Road House & Museum, Clearwater, FL

Game Overview

This BKFC featherweight bout features Samuel Samples (balanced power striker) against Michael Larrimore (quick starter with grappling pedigree). Samples relies on fight-ending power despite lower output, while Larrimore thrives in early knockouts but remains untested in deeper rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Samples: 2 wins (low volume/high power). Larrimore: Undefeated BKFC streak with early KOs[1][2]
  • First meeting between fighters[3][4]
  • No reported injuries[1][2]
  • Larrimore's local Florida advantage[2][5]
  • Both fighters aiming for title contention[1][2]

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Larrimore -245 | Samples +170 Larrimore ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michael Larrimore -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Michael Larrimore at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Larrimore by KO/TKO within 3 rounds

Predicted Score: Larrimore via KO/TKO (Round 2)


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Samuel Samples vs. Michael Larrimore Prediction

Match Analysis: Samuel Samples vs Michael Larrimore – Prediction Match Details Date: May 2, 2025 Time: 11:00 PM UTC Location: OCC Road House & Museum, Clearwater, FL Game Overview This BKFC featherweight bout features Samuel Samples (balanced power striker) against Michael Larrimore (quick starter with grappling pedigree). Samples relies on fight-ending power despite lower output, […]

May 2, 2025 Michael Larrimore MMA/Boxing Samuel Samples

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Bruno Souza vs. Hector Fajardo Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Bruno Souza vs Hector Fajardo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Hard Rock Live in Sacramento

Game Overview

A1 Combat 27 features a highly anticipated bantamweight championship bout between Bruno Souza and Hector Fajardo. Both fighters are known for their skill and tenacity, making this a closely watched event in the MMA community.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bruno Souza is favored due to his strong recent performance, while Hector Fajardo's determination and experience make him a formidable opponent.
  • No prior head-to-head fights between Souza and Fajardo have been documented.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • The event will be held at the Hard Rock Live in Sacramento, which could influence crowd support and energy.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with the championship title at stake.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bruno Souza: -400, Hector Fajardo: 250 Bruno Souza ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bruno Souza -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Based on available data and odds, Bruno Souza is more likely to win due to his favorability in the moneyline odds.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA matches


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Nong-O Hama vs. Kongthoranee Sor Sommai Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Nong-O Hama vs Kongthoranee Sor Sommai – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Lumpinee Stadium, Bangkok

Game Overview

Rematch of February's split-decision bout at ONE Fight Night 28, upgraded to main event status. Nong-O seeks redemption in his second flyweight appearance, while Kongthoranee aims to cement his #3 ranking through aggressive preparation at PK Saenchai.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kongthoranee undefeated (3-0) in ONE with improved cardio, Nong-O transitioning from dominant bantamweight reign to flyweight
  • 1-0 Kongthoranee via disputed split decision
  • No reported injuries; Kongthoranee emphasizes peak physical conditioning
  • Strong home crowd advantage for Nong-O (Thai veteran), Kongthoranee's camp features training with two-sport champion Prajanchai
  • Nong-O vows tactical adjustments and finish attempt; Kongthoranereveals intensified training regimen with nutrition optimization

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kongthoranee -165 / Nong-O +125 Kongthoranee ML ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under O2.5 Rounds -300 / U2.5 Rounds +240 (estimated) Over 2.5 Rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kongthoranee Sor Sommai 40%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Kongthoranee Sor Sommai at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kongthoranee by decision (55-45 advantage) via sustained volume and cardio edge, though Nong-O's veteran savvy creates high-risk for counter finishes

Predicted Score: Kongthoranee by split decision (29-28)


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Saemapetch Fairtex vs. Abdulla Dayakaev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Saemapetch Fairtex vs Abdulla Dayakaev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Lumpinee Stadium, Bangkok, Thailand

Game Overview

High-stakes bantamweight Muay Thai clash between Saemapetch Fairtex (125+ wins, former title challenger) and Russian newcomer Abdulla Dayakaev (6-1 record in ONE Championship). Saemapetch aims to end a two-fight skid, while Dayakaev seeks to establish himself in the division.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Saemapetch has elite experience (125+ career wins, 9 ONE wins) but recent losses to Felipe Lobo and Nico Carrillo. Dayakaev is 6-1 with aggressive, physical style.
  • First meeting between fighters
  • No reported injuries
  • Saemapetch has intense training focus on simulating Dayakaev's aggression and fixing defensive lapses. Event occurs in Thailand (Saemapetch's home country).
  • Saemapetch stated 'my back is against the wall' and 'burned bridges' to win. Dayakaev aims for breakout performance in U.S. primetime debut.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dayakaev -270 / Saemapetch +180 Dayakaev moneyline ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Abdulla Dayakaev 82%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Abdulla Dayakaev at 82% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dayakaev earns decision victory (+180 value on Saemapetch carries risk). Saemapetch's technical edge vs. Dayakaev's physicality makes this closer than odds suggest, but Russian's pressure likely prevails.

Predicted Score: Unavailable (Muay Thai scoring system)


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Joseph White vs. Brady Meister Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Joseph White vs Brady Meister – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: OCC Road House & Museum, Clearwater, FL

Game Overview

Heavyweight bout between Joseph White and Brady Meister at BKFC Fight Night Clearwater. No prior head-to-head data available. Odds heavily favor White (-290) over Meister (+190).

Key Factors to Consider

  • Limited performance data available for both fighters. No wins/losses or KO rates explicitly listed in provided records.
  • No historical matchup data available.
  • No injury reports found in available data.
  • Venue favors experienced fighters; White's extreme moneyline odds suggest perceived dominance.
  • Both fighters likely seeking to establish dominance in BKFC heavyweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline White -290 / Meister +190 White wins ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Joseph White 116%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Joseph White at 116% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 60.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Joseph White by KO/TKO due to heavy betting confidence and odds disparity.

Predicted Score: N/A (BKFC results typically recorded as KO/TKO/DQ/Decision without scorecards)


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Ben Jacobsen vs. Rodney Hinton Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ben Jacobsen vs Rodney Hinton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 02, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: OCC Road House & Museum

Game Overview

Welterweight bout between undefeated fighters Ben Jacobsen and Rodney Hinton, both making their professional bare-knuckle debuts.

Key Factors to Consider

  • No prior professional records available for either fighter (listed as 0-0-0 for both participants).
  • No historical matchup data exists between these fighters.
  • No injury reports available for either competitor.
  • Event occurs in standard BKFC ring environment at a dedicated combat sports venue. Fight scheduled for 5 rounds under standard bare-knuckle rules.
  • Both fighters aim to establish themselves in BKFC's welterweight division through debut performances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jacobsen +140 / Hinton -180 Rodney Hinton moneyline ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rodney Hinton 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Rodney Hinton at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rodney Hinton via decision (confidence tempered by lack of professional records)

Predicted Score: Decision victory (No official scorecards – BKFC uses judges' decision)


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Ali Saldoev vs. Jordan Estupinan Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ali Saldoev vs Jordan Estupinan – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Lumpinee Stadium, Bangkok

Game Overview

Flyweight Muay Thai clash between undefeated Colombian Jordan Estupinan (recent decision win over Freddie Haggerty) and Russian KO artist Ali Saldoev (notable debut KO at ONE 166). Estupinan aims to build momentum; Saldoev seeks redemption after recent loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estupinan: Undefeated record, tactical striking versatility. Saldoev: Explosive power, Fight Club Archangel Michael training.
  • First meeting between the fighters.
  • No reported injuries.
  • Event held at Lumpinee Stadium (neutral venue), U.S. primetime broadcast pressure.
  • Estupinan seeks top-tier ranking path; Saldoev aims to reassert himself as a contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Saldoev +150 | Estupinan -200 Estupinan (favored) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-150) | Under 2.5 rounds (+120) Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jordan Estupinan 55%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jordan Estupinan at 55% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Estupinan by decision (60% confidence) due to superior technical striking and proven composure in high-paced fights.

Predicted Score: Estupinan via unanimous decision (3 rounds)


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Christian Avalos vs. Jose Estrada Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Christian Avalos vs Jose Estrada – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Hard Rock Casino, Sacramento, California

Game Overview

Christian 'Land Shark' Avalos, the reigning A1 Combat Lightweight Champion, is set to defend his title against Jose 'Froggy' Estrada on May 2, 2025. This bout marks a significant challenge for both fighters as they face off in the main event of A1 Combat 27. Given Avalos's strong reputation and title defense, he enters the match as a heavy favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Christian Avalos has a dominant performance record, and his status as the reigning champion suggests a strong skillset. Jose Estrada, although less renowned, may still pose a threat with potential upset strategies.
  • There is no reported prior bout between the two fighters, which means this will be their first encounter.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter leading up to the match.
  • The home crowd might slightly favor Avalos due to his higher profile, but Estrada may have some local support in Sacramento.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated—Avalos to retain his title and Estrada for the title opportunity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -1400 (Avalos), 800 (Estrada) Christian Avalos to win ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Christian Avalos -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Christian Avalos at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Christian Avalos is predicted to win this bout due to his strong title defense record and current form.

Predicted Score: Decision or TKO in favor of Christian Avalos


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Nathan Rivera vs. Alex Castro Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Nathan Rivera vs Alex Castro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: OCC Road House & Museum, Clearwater, FL

Game Overview

Nathan Rivera, with a 4-0 record in BKFC, is set to face Alex Castro, who is transitioning from MMA to BKFC, in a featherweight bout. The stakes are high given Rivera's undefeated BKFC record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rivera has shown consistency in his BKFC career, while Castro's recent transition from MMA to BKFC presents uncertainty in performance.
  • There is no prior head-to-head record between the two fighters.
  • No current information on injuries for either fighter.
  • The transition from MMA to BKFC could impact Castro's adaptability.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, especially Castro seeking to prove himself in a new discipline.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nathan Rivera: -400, Alex Castro: 250 Nathan Rivera to win ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nathan Rivera 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nathan Rivera at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nathan Rivera is the favored winner due to his undefeated BKFC record.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for this sport; a win for Nathan Rivera is predicted.


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Crystal Pittman vs. Claudia Zamora Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Crystal Pittman vs Claudia Zamora – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: OCC Road House & Museum, Clearwater, FL

Game Overview

Bantamweight bout between undefeated Crystal Pittman (3-0) and Claudia Zamora. Pittman trains at Shift MMA alongside BKFC standouts, while Zamora appears motivated after a year-long fight cancellation. Pittman's aggressive style and gym switch to Shift MMA could be pivotal factors.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Pittman: Undefeated (3-0) with wins over quality opposition. Zamora: Limited public fight records available.
  • First meeting between fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Pittman's recent gym switch to Shift MMA (home to BKFC champions) suggests technical improvements. Zamora's year-long fight cancellation adds emotional motivation.
  • Pittman seeks to maintain undefeated status. Zamora aims to capitalize on rescheduled opportunity after 2024 cancellation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Crystal Pittman -165 | Claudia Zamora +125 Crystal Pittman ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Crystal Pittman 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Crystal Pittman at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pittman by decision (higher probability) or late stoppage. Zamora's path to victory requires early aggression to counter Pittman's technical evolution.

Predicted Score: Cannot predict scores in MMA – Pittman favored via judges' decision or late-round stoppage.


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