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Sam Kelly vs. Richard Kallos Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Sam Kelly vs Richard Kallos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-15
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BEC Arena, Manchester

Game Overview

Sam Kelly faces Richard Kallos in a bantamweight bout at Cage Warriors 185. Kelly is favored, with odds reflecting his recent performances and experience in the Cage Warriors promotion.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sam Kelly has a mixed record, with recent losses to Alessandro Giordano and Gianluca Scottoli. However, he has shown strong finishing skills with quick wins against Pav Singh Sahota and Jack Eglin. Richard Kallos has less documented experience but is lighter, weighing in at 133.4 lbs compared to Kelly's 135.7 lbs.
  • There is no recorded head-to-head match between Sam Kelly and Richard Kallos, making this their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight takes place in Manchester, which might favor Kelly due to home crowd support. However, Kallos's lighter weight could provide an advantage in terms of agility.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, but Kelly might have more pressure as the favorite and competing in front of a home crowd.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Richard Kallos: 160, Sam Kelly: -210 Sam Kelly β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Predicted Outcome

Sam Kelly is likely to win due to his experience and recent knockout victories.

Predicted Score: Decision or early stoppage in favor of Sam Kelly.


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Rodrigo Sezinando vs. Daniil Donchenko Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Rodrigo Sezinando vs Daniil Donchenko – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, UFC Noche Event

Game Overview

This Welterweight prelims bout at UFC Noche pits Rodrigo Sezinando (8-1) against Daniil Donchenko (11-2), both rising prospects with strong finishes. Donchenko is the betting favorite at -218 with more UFC experience, while Sezinando offers value at +180.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Donchenko has been in 13 professional fights (11-2), showing solid form and finishing ability; Sezinando has fewer bouts (9 with 8-1) but also impressive recent form with a strong grappling base.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups, making this fight unpredictable and reliant on stylistic analysis.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter, both entering fight week healthy and prepared.
  • Fight occurs at a major UFC event in Las Vegas, favoring Donchenko who has previously fought on big cards; Sezinando may have slight jetlag or travel fatigue being Brazilian.
  • High stakes as this is the 'Ultimate Fighter' Season 33 Welterweight final, both fighters highly motivated to secure UFC contract and recognition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Daniil Donchenko: -218, Rodrigo Sezinando: +180 Daniil Donchenko β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Donchenko -1.5 rounds: +120, Sezinando +1.5 rounds: -140 Donchenko -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -166, Under 1.5 rounds: +130 Under 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Daniil Donchenko -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 38%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pick Daniil Donchenko on the moneyline due to UFC experience and finishing ability; expect the fight to go under 1.5 rounds given both fighters' high finishing rates and early aggression.

Predicted Score: Donchenko wins by TKO in round 1


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Arian Sadiković vs. Dawid Jarowienko Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Arian SadikoviΔ‡ vs Dawid Jarowienko – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: OKTAGON MMA event (location Germany)

Game Overview

A welterweight bout between Arian Sadiković and Dawid Jarowienko at OKTAGON 74, featuring two undefeated fighters with similar physical dimensions and a striking-based background.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sadikovic holds a record of 1-0 with a KO/TKO victory; Jarowienko is 2-0 with both wins by KO/TKO. Neither has been taken the distance. Sadikovic has a strong kickboxing background (38-5), indicating superior striking experience.
  • No previous fights between the fighters; this is their first meeting making direct H2H data unavailable.
  • No reported injuries or recent physical issues for either fighter prior to the bout.
  • Fight takes place in Germany, which is neutral for both fighters (SadikoviΔ‡ has Bosnian/German ties, Jarowienko is Polish), suggesting minimal home crowd advantage.
  • Both fighters are undefeated and motivated to build early hype. Sadiković’s recent activity and higher level striking pedigree might give him a slight edge in mental preparation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline +135 Arian SadikoviΔ‡ β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread -115 SadikoviΔ‡ by -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under -110 Under 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 43%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arian Sadiković to win by KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Sadiković wins by TKO in round 2


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Hugo Vach vs. Abdullah Sultani Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Hugo Vach vs Abdullah Sultani – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: ZAG Arena, Hannover, Germany

Game Overview

This lightweight MMA bout features younger, rising contender Hugo Vach (25) facing off against Abdullah Sultani (24). Both fighters are coming off recent wins, with Vach highly favored by sportsbooks due to his strong finishing rate and recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hugo Vach holds a 5-1 record with 3 KOs and 2 decision wins, showing a high finishing ability and consistency. Abdullah Sultani is 4-2 with 2 KOs and 2 decision wins, less consistent and less tested against top competition recently.
  • No recorded previous head-to-head matchups between Hugo Vach and Abdullah Sultani, making this their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the matchup, suggesting both will be at peak conditioning.
  • Fight is held at neutral ZAG Arena, with no significant location advantage for either fighter. Motivation levels appear high on both sides due to career momentum and contract implications.
  • Vach’s recent wins, including a unanimous decision win in May 2025, indicate strong form and drive to continue rising the ranks. Sultani has momentum but less recent high-profile success, possibly making him the underdog motivator.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hugo Vach: -500, Abdullah Sultani: +300 Hugo Vach β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Spread Hugo Vach -1.5 rounds: -150, Abdullah Sultani +1.5 rounds: +110 Hugo Vach -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: +105, Under 2.5 rounds: -125 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Hugo Vach -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Hugo Vach at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hugo Vach to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Hugo Vach wins by unanimous decision in 3 rounds


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Mateusz Strzelczyk vs. Emilio Quissua Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Mateusz Strzelczyk vs Emilio Quissua – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Oktagon MMA Event Venue (exact location not specified)

Game Overview

This light heavyweight bout features Mateusz Strzelczyk, a powerful striker with reach advantage, against Emilio Quissua, a grappling specialist who aims to control the fight on the ground. Both fighters have experienced recent struggles with losses but exhibit contrasting styles that make this matchup intriguing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Strzelczyk shows strong recent striking form and power, aiming to keep the fight standing, while Quissua has solid grappling skills but both fighters face pressure from recent losses.
  • No previous head-to-head fights recorded between Strzelczyk and Quissua.
  • No publicly available injury reports for either fighter, indicating both are likely at full health.
  • Strzelczyk has home advantage with crowd support and venue familiarity, possibly providing psychological and morale boost.
  • Both fighters are motivated to halt recent losing streaks; Strzelczyk's home setting may boost motivation slightly higher.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Emilio Quissua: -280, Mateusz Strzelczyk: +185 Mateusz Strzelczyk β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Strzelczyk -1.5 rounds: +210, Quissua +1.5 rounds: -250 Quissua +1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Emilio Quissua 71%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Emilio Quissua at 71% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mateusz Strzelczyk to win by knockout or TKO

Predicted Score: Strzelczyk wins via TKO in round 2


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Edgar Delgado vs. Khalid Taha Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Edgar Delgado vs Khalid Taha – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Hannover, Germany

Game Overview

Oktagon 75 features a bantamweight/lightweight crossover bout between Edgar Delgado Jimenez and Khalid Taha. Delgado, older and heavier, brings striking precision and championship experience from Mexican Lux Fight League. Taha, younger, fighting at home in Germany, has strong grappling and resilience but potentially faces moral pressure. Both fighters have balanced finishing abilities in KO, submission, and decision outcomes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Delgado is a 4-time champion with precise striking and finishing versatility, while Taha has a mixed record with KO, submission, and decision wins, showing endurance and grappling strength.
  • No prior direct matchups noted; comparative stats favor a close contest influenced by home advantage for Taha and slight size/weight advantage for Delgado.
  • No notable injuries reported for either fighter.
  • Taha benefits from home crowd support and possibly biased judging in Germany; Delgado, the guest fighter, may face moral pressure and adverse judging.
  • Home advantage likely boosts Taha's motivation; Delgado's championship pedigree and experience provide strong professional drive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Taha -125, Delgado +105 Khalid Taha β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Taha -3.5 (+150), Delgado +3.5 (-180) Khalid Taha -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-110), Under 2.5 rounds (-110) Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Khalid Taha to win; Spread: Khalid Taha by -3.5 rounds; Over/Under: Fight goes over 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Taha wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Mochamed Machaev vs. Wanderley Junior Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Mochamed Machaev vs Wanderley Junior – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: OKTAGON MMA Cage

Game Overview

Mochamed Machaev and Wanderley Junior face off in a featherweight main card bout at OKTAGON MMA. Machaev, a younger, technically versatile grappler from Austria with a strong recent form, meets the experienced Brazilian striker Wanderley Junior, known for his knockout power and aggressive stand-up game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Machaev is currently 15-2 with 5 KOs, 2 submissions, and 6 decision wins; Junior stands at 18-10 with 6 KOs and 6 submissions. Machaev's recent wins show improving grappling dominance, whereas Wanderley Junior relies heavily on striking power but has shown vulnerabilities in grappling exchanges.
  • No previous fight between these two fighters recorded. Thus, no direct matchup data available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of this bout.
  • Fight takes place under OKTAGON MMA promotion, with no travel or major climate issues affecting either fighter; Machaev fights in a familiar European environment.
  • Machaev, ranked #2 featherweight in OKTAGON, has strong motivation to secure a title shot or improve ranking. Junior, a seasoned veteran, likely motivated to assert dominance and reclaim top status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Machaev +130, Junior -150 Mochamed Machaev β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Machaev +1.5 (-180), Junior -1.5 (+150) Mochamed Machaev +1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mochamed Machaev to win on moneyline by decision

Predicted Score: Machaev wins by decision


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Emir-Can Al vs. LukΓ‘Ε‘ EliΓ‘Ε‘ Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Emir-Can Al vs LukΓ‘Ε‘ EliΓ‘Ε‘ – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Oktagon 75 event venue (unspecified)

Game Overview

This welterweight main card fight at Oktagon 75 features Emir-Can Al (-175 favorite) facing underdog LukΓ‘Ε‘ EliΓ‘Ε‘ (+130) with the fight set to start September 13, 2025, at 16:00 UTC.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Emir-Can Al has shown consistent winning form with superior recent performance metrics and is favored by bookmakers, while EliΓ‘Ε‘ has underdog status but possesses credible striking capabilities.
  • No direct previous head-to-head matchups between Emir-Can Al and LukΓ‘Ε‘ EliΓ‘Ε‘; thus, no historical fight data to gauge their matchup dynamics directly.
  • No recent injury reports or fitness concerns for either fighter, indicating both athletes are likely entering the fight at full health.
  • Fight at a neutral Oktagon event with no clear home advantage; no reported personal issues or distractions affecting either fighter's focus or motivation.
  • Both competitors motivated to establish dominance in the welterweight division; Emir-Can Al looking to maintain top ranking status, LukΓ‘Ε‘ EliΓ‘Ε‘ aiming to secure an upset and rise in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -175, away: +130 Emir-Can Al β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread emir_can_al_-1.5: -115, lukas_elias_+1.5: -105 Emir-Can Al -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under over_2.5_rounds: +150, under_2.5_rounds: -180 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline win for Emir-Can Al given superior form and bookmaker favoritism; spread prediction is Emir-Can Al to win by at least 1 round; over/under 2.5 rounds under expected due to both fighters' high finishing rates suggesting a likely finish before the third round.

Predicted Score: Emir-Can Al wins by TKO/KO in round 2


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Giovanni Fernandez vs. Sam Kelly Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Giovanni Fernandez vs Sam Kelly – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Cage Warriors 193, Newcastle

Game Overview

The bantamweight bout between Giovanni Fernandez and Sam Kelly is a 3-round main card fight part of Cage Warriors 193. Fernandez (6-4) exhibits a varied finish profile with submissions being his strength, while Kelly (3-3) shows a more balanced but less decisive record. Kelly is favored on the moneyline at -230, with Fernandez as the underdog at +160.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fernandez is in solid recent form with 6 wins mainly via submission (40%) and has a higher activity in finishes. Kelly has a more mixed record at 3-3 and has lost 3 of his last 6, showing inconsistency.
  • No recorded previous matchups between Fernandez and Kelly, making this fight a true test of styles without direct prior insight.
  • No current injuries reported for either fighter, indicating both are likely at full capacity.
  • The fight is held in Newcastle under Cage Warriors promotion, with no significant external conditions or travel disadvantages reported for either fighter.
  • Fernandez appears motivated to solidify his standing through impressive finishes, whereas Kelly looks to rebound from recent inconsistent performances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Giovanni Fernandez: +160, Sam Kelly: -230 Sam Kelly β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Kelly -1.5 rounds: -140, Fernandez +1.5 rounds: +120 Sam Kelly -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sam Kelly -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Sam Kelly at -14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sam Kelly to win via decision

Predicted Score: Sam Kelly wins by unanimous decision, 30-27


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Simone Patrizi vs. Chris Bungard Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Simone Patrizi vs Chris Bungard – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Newcastle, England

Game Overview

This lightweight Cage Warriors 193 main card bout features Chris Bungard from Scotland facing Simone Patrizi from Italy. Both fighters bring experience with Bungard having 31 pro fights (21-10-0) dominated by submissions, while Patrizi holds a solid record and similar skill set.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chris Bungard has demonstrated a strong grappling and submission game, with 55% of his wins by submission and an average fight time indicating grinding late rounds. Patrizi's recent form shows resilience but less finishing power. Both fighters are well-prepared for a 3-round fight.
  • No direct previous matchups between Bungard and Patrizi are found, making this a tactical contest of styles and adjustments in real time.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fighting in Newcastle favors Bungard since it is in his home region promoting possible crowd support. Patrizi is traveling internationally, which can impact acclimation but is experienced enough to handle.
  • Both fighters are motivated to secure a signature win on a prominent Cage Warriors card. Bungard seeks to leverage home advantage while Patrizi aims to boost his standing in a major lightweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chris Bungard: -115, Simone Patrizi: -125 Chris Bungard β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Chris Bungard -1.5 rounds: +130, Simone Patrizi +1.5 rounds: -150 Chris Bungard -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Simone Patrizi -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Simone Patrizi at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chris Bungard via decision

Predicted Score: Chris Bungard wins by unanimous decision after three rounds


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