Match Analysis: Sabrinna de Sousa vs Saray Orozco – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-15
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: PFL World Tournament Finals, Charlotte
Game Overview
The Women’s Flyweight final at the PFL World Tournament Finals features Sabrinna de Sousa (24 years old) against Saray Orozco (34 years old). De Sousa is undefeated (3-0) with a strong finishing rate, mostly by KO/TKO, while Orozco brings more experience but with a record of 8-7. This bout is expected to showcase De Sousa's power and youth against Orozco's experience and durability.
Key Factors to Consider
- De Sousa is on a winning streak with 3 straight wins, 2 by KO/TKO and 1 submission, showing decisive finishes. Orozco has more fights (15 total) but a mixed recent performance with 7 losses and only 1 KO win recently, relying more on decisions.
- This appears to be their first recorded matchup with no prior direct fights, so no head-to-head data influences this bout.
- No current injury reports or issues affecting either fighter leading up to the match.
- The fight is taking place on a major stage, the PFL World Tournament Finals in Charlotte, which should motivate both fighters equally. No travel or performance-affecting external factors reported.
- De Sousa fights with the confidence of an undefeated rising star hungry to claim the title, while Orozco motivated by experience and redemption, aiming to leverage her veteran savvy.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | De Sousa -1100, Orozco +575 | De Sousa | ★★★★☆ 85% |
Spread | De Sousa -1.5 | De Sousa -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 80% |
Over/under | Under 2.5 rounds -150, Over 2.5 rounds +130 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Sabrinna de Sousa -11% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Sabrinna de Sousa at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Sabrinna de Sousa to win. Spread: De Sousa to win by a finish (inside distance). Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds.
Predicted Score: Sabrinna de Sousa wins by KO/TKO in Round 2