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Rodrigo Sezinando vs. Daniil Donchenko Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rodrigo Sezinando vs Daniil Donchenko – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, UFC Noche Event

Game Overview

This Welterweight prelims bout at UFC Noche pits Rodrigo Sezinando (8-1) against Daniil Donchenko (11-2), both rising prospects with strong finishes. Donchenko is the betting favorite at -218 with more UFC experience, while Sezinando offers value at +180.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Donchenko has been in 13 professional fights (11-2), showing solid form and finishing ability; Sezinando has fewer bouts (9 with 8-1) but also impressive recent form with a strong grappling base.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups, making this fight unpredictable and reliant on stylistic analysis.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter, both entering fight week healthy and prepared.
  • Fight occurs at a major UFC event in Las Vegas, favoring Donchenko who has previously fought on big cards; Sezinando may have slight jetlag or travel fatigue being Brazilian.
  • High stakes as this is the 'Ultimate Fighter' Season 33 Welterweight final, both fighters highly motivated to secure UFC contract and recognition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Daniil Donchenko: -218, Rodrigo Sezinando: +180 Daniil Donchenko β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Donchenko -1.5 rounds: +120, Sezinando +1.5 rounds: -140 Donchenko -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -166, Under 1.5 rounds: +130 Under 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Daniil Donchenko -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 38%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pick Daniil Donchenko on the moneyline due to UFC experience and finishing ability; expect the fight to go under 1.5 rounds given both fighters' high finishing rates and early aggression.

Predicted Score: Donchenko wins by TKO in round 1


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Rodrigo Sezinando vs. Daniil Donchenko Prediction

Match Analysis: Rodrigo Sezinando vs Daniil Donchenko – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-09-13 Time: 7:00 PM UTC Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, UFC Noche Event Game Overview This Welterweight prelims bout at UFC Noche pits Rodrigo Sezinando (8-1) against Daniil Donchenko (11-2), both rising prospects with strong finishes. Donchenko is the betting favorite at -218 with […]

Daniil Donchenko MMA/Boxing Rodrigo Sezinando September 13, 2025

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Zachary Reese vs. Sedriques Dumas Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Zachary Reese vs Sedriques Dumas – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 8:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, Texas

Game Overview

Middleweight bout between Zachary Reese (9-2) and Sedriques Dumas (10-3) with contrasting styles: Reese is a switch fighter with higher striking output, while Dumas is orthodox with strong strike defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Reese has a higher significant strike rate (4.28/min) and better strike accuracy (54%) compared to Dumas (2.10/min, 45%). Reese also absorbs more strikes (2.99/min) versus Dumas (2.50/min), but Dumas boasts superior strike defense (55% vs 43%).
  • No previous head-to-head fights recorded between Reese and Dumas.
  • No significant injury reports for either fighter before the bout.
  • Fight takes place at a neutral venue; no notable external influences detected. Dumas appears motivated despite financial hardship, which could impact focus.
  • Both fighters motivated to climb rankings; Reese’s recent momentum and style advantage may give him psychological edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -238, away: +195 Zachary Reese β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread home: -230, away: +165 Zachary Reese -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under over: +124, under: -160 Under 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Zachary Reese -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Zachary Reese to win on moneyline and cover the spread with a fight total going under 1.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Zachary Reese wins via TKO in round 2


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Carlos Diego Ferreira vs. Alex Hernandez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Carlos Diego Ferreira vs Alex Hernandez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: San Antonio, Texas

Game Overview

Lightweight bout between Carlos Diego Ferreira and Alexander Hernandez with Ferreira as a slight favorite by odds. Hernandez is fighting at home in San Antonio, which could influence performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ferreira has shown more consistency in his recent performances, with several wins disrupting top contenders and good striking and grappling balance. Hernandez, while talented, has been less consistent and coming off some mixed results.
  • Neither fighter appears to have prior head-to-head matchups, making this fight a fresh contest without direct past data.
  • No significant injury reports have been noted for either fighter prior to the bout.
  • Hernandez fighting in his hometown of San Antonio could provide motivation and fan support, but Ferreira is experienced in handling hostile environments.
  • Hernandez is motivated to defend his home turf and make a statement in front of a home crowd, but Ferreira is motivated by climbing lightweight rankings and redemption after previous setbacks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alex Hernandez: -105, Carlos Diego Ferreira: -115 Carlos Diego Ferreira β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Spread Alex Hernandez +3.5: -195, Carlos Diego Ferreira -3.5: 140 Carlos Diego Ferreira -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%
Over/under Over 2.5: -135, Under 2.5: 105 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alex Hernandez 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 23%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Carlos Diego Ferreira to win by decision

Predicted Score: Carlos Diego Ferreira wins by unanimous decision after three rounds


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Alessandro Costa vs. Alden Coria Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alessandro Costa vs Alden Coria – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:50 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Fight Night Venue (unspecified)

Game Overview

Alessandro Costa is the strong favorite against Alden Coria based on recent form, odds history, and expert consensus. Costa's power and finishing ability have been demonstrated with early finishes highlighted in betting markets. Coria, while experienced, is positioned as the underdog with less probability of winning.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Costa has maintained strong recent form with consistent winning odds movement indicating betting market confidence, including multiple early KO/TKO and submission finishes in round 1 available as prop odds.
  • No documented direct head-to-head fights between Alessandro Costa and Alden Coria, requiring reliance on form and general skill comparisons.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter that would materially affect performance or betting evaluation.
  • Sharp money movement has favored Alden Coria on some books, indicating value perception, but overall market consensus still heavily favors Costa.
  • Costa's position as a favored rising contender and motivation to establish dominance in UFC likely higher; Coria seeking to prove value as an underdog.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Costa: -410, Coria: +320 Alessandro Costa β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Costa -3.5 (-195), Coria +3.5 (140) Alessandro Costa -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-115), Under 2.5 (-115) Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alessandro Costa -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alessandro Costa to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Alessandro Costa wins by KO/TKO in Round 1


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Alice Pereira vs. Montserrat Rendon Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alice Pereira vs Montserrat Rendon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

Game Overview

UFC women's Bantamweight prelim fight between undefeated rising prospect Alice Pereira (5-0) and experienced contender Montserrat Rendon (6-1). Pereira is debuting in UFC showcasing high finishing rate, while Rendon is a seasoned competitor with one loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alice Pereira holds a perfect 5-0 record with a high KO finish rate (66.7%), showing aggressive striking and finishing ability. Montserrat Rendon is 6-1, more experienced but with a lower finish rate, often going to decision.
  • No prior head-to-head meetings between Pereira and Rendon, making styles and form decisive.
  • No known injuries reported for either fighter, both appear fully fit for the matchup.
  • Fight is at UFC prelims in San Antonio, neutral venue favoring neither. Pereira is making UFC debut which may add motivation.
  • Pereira highly motivated to impress in UFC debut, while Rendon aims to maintain rank and prove superiority over newcomer.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alice Pereira -148, Montserrat Rendon +124 Alice Pereira β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Alice Pereira -3.5 +150, Montserrat Rendon +3.5 -205 Montserrat Rendon +3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 -280, Under 2.5 +210 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alice Pereira -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 120%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 120% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 57.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alice Pereira to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Alice Pereira wins by 2nd round KO


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Arian Sadiković vs. Dawid Jarowienko Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Arian SadikoviΔ‡ vs Dawid Jarowienko – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: OKTAGON MMA event (location Germany)

Game Overview

A welterweight bout between Arian Sadiković and Dawid Jarowienko at OKTAGON 74, featuring two undefeated fighters with similar physical dimensions and a striking-based background.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sadikovic holds a record of 1-0 with a KO/TKO victory; Jarowienko is 2-0 with both wins by KO/TKO. Neither has been taken the distance. Sadikovic has a strong kickboxing background (38-5), indicating superior striking experience.
  • No previous fights between the fighters; this is their first meeting making direct H2H data unavailable.
  • No reported injuries or recent physical issues for either fighter prior to the bout.
  • Fight takes place in Germany, which is neutral for both fighters (SadikoviΔ‡ has Bosnian/German ties, Jarowienko is Polish), suggesting minimal home crowd advantage.
  • Both fighters are undefeated and motivated to build early hype. Sadiković’s recent activity and higher level striking pedigree might give him a slight edge in mental preparation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline +135 Arian SadikoviΔ‡ β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread -115 SadikoviΔ‡ by -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under -110 Under 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 43%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arian Sadiković to win by KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Sadiković wins by TKO in round 2


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Hugo Vach vs. Abdullah Sultani Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Hugo Vach vs Abdullah Sultani – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: ZAG Arena, Hannover, Germany

Game Overview

This lightweight MMA bout features younger, rising contender Hugo Vach (25) facing off against Abdullah Sultani (24). Both fighters are coming off recent wins, with Vach highly favored by sportsbooks due to his strong finishing rate and recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hugo Vach holds a 5-1 record with 3 KOs and 2 decision wins, showing a high finishing ability and consistency. Abdullah Sultani is 4-2 with 2 KOs and 2 decision wins, less consistent and less tested against top competition recently.
  • No recorded previous head-to-head matchups between Hugo Vach and Abdullah Sultani, making this their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the matchup, suggesting both will be at peak conditioning.
  • Fight is held at neutral ZAG Arena, with no significant location advantage for either fighter. Motivation levels appear high on both sides due to career momentum and contract implications.
  • Vach’s recent wins, including a unanimous decision win in May 2025, indicate strong form and drive to continue rising the ranks. Sultani has momentum but less recent high-profile success, possibly making him the underdog motivator.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hugo Vach: -500, Abdullah Sultani: +300 Hugo Vach β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Spread Hugo Vach -1.5 rounds: -150, Abdullah Sultani +1.5 rounds: +110 Hugo Vach -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: +105, Under 2.5 rounds: -125 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Hugo Vach -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Hugo Vach at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hugo Vach to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Hugo Vach wins by unanimous decision in 3 rounds


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Mateusz Strzelczyk vs. Emilio Quissua Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mateusz Strzelczyk vs Emilio Quissua – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Oktagon MMA Event Venue (exact location not specified)

Game Overview

This light heavyweight bout features Mateusz Strzelczyk, a powerful striker with reach advantage, against Emilio Quissua, a grappling specialist who aims to control the fight on the ground. Both fighters have experienced recent struggles with losses but exhibit contrasting styles that make this matchup intriguing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Strzelczyk shows strong recent striking form and power, aiming to keep the fight standing, while Quissua has solid grappling skills but both fighters face pressure from recent losses.
  • No previous head-to-head fights recorded between Strzelczyk and Quissua.
  • No publicly available injury reports for either fighter, indicating both are likely at full health.
  • Strzelczyk has home advantage with crowd support and venue familiarity, possibly providing psychological and morale boost.
  • Both fighters are motivated to halt recent losing streaks; Strzelczyk's home setting may boost motivation slightly higher.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Emilio Quissua: -280, Mateusz Strzelczyk: +185 Mateusz Strzelczyk β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Strzelczyk -1.5 rounds: +210, Quissua +1.5 rounds: -250 Quissua +1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Emilio Quissua 71%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Emilio Quissua at 71% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mateusz Strzelczyk to win by knockout or TKO

Predicted Score: Strzelczyk wins via TKO in round 2


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Edgar Delgado vs. Khalid Taha Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Edgar Delgado vs Khalid Taha – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Hannover, Germany

Game Overview

Oktagon 75 features a bantamweight/lightweight crossover bout between Edgar Delgado Jimenez and Khalid Taha. Delgado, older and heavier, brings striking precision and championship experience from Mexican Lux Fight League. Taha, younger, fighting at home in Germany, has strong grappling and resilience but potentially faces moral pressure. Both fighters have balanced finishing abilities in KO, submission, and decision outcomes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Delgado is a 4-time champion with precise striking and finishing versatility, while Taha has a mixed record with KO, submission, and decision wins, showing endurance and grappling strength.
  • No prior direct matchups noted; comparative stats favor a close contest influenced by home advantage for Taha and slight size/weight advantage for Delgado.
  • No notable injuries reported for either fighter.
  • Taha benefits from home crowd support and possibly biased judging in Germany; Delgado, the guest fighter, may face moral pressure and adverse judging.
  • Home advantage likely boosts Taha's motivation; Delgado's championship pedigree and experience provide strong professional drive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Taha -125, Delgado +105 Khalid Taha β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Taha -3.5 (+150), Delgado +3.5 (-180) Khalid Taha -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-110), Under 2.5 rounds (-110) Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Khalid Taha to win; Spread: Khalid Taha by -3.5 rounds; Over/Under: Fight goes over 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Taha wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Mochamed Machaev vs. Wanderley Junior Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mochamed Machaev vs Wanderley Junior – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: OKTAGON MMA Cage

Game Overview

Mochamed Machaev and Wanderley Junior face off in a featherweight main card bout at OKTAGON MMA. Machaev, a younger, technically versatile grappler from Austria with a strong recent form, meets the experienced Brazilian striker Wanderley Junior, known for his knockout power and aggressive stand-up game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Machaev is currently 15-2 with 5 KOs, 2 submissions, and 6 decision wins; Junior stands at 18-10 with 6 KOs and 6 submissions. Machaev's recent wins show improving grappling dominance, whereas Wanderley Junior relies heavily on striking power but has shown vulnerabilities in grappling exchanges.
  • No previous fight between these two fighters recorded. Thus, no direct matchup data available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of this bout.
  • Fight takes place under OKTAGON MMA promotion, with no travel or major climate issues affecting either fighter; Machaev fights in a familiar European environment.
  • Machaev, ranked #2 featherweight in OKTAGON, has strong motivation to secure a title shot or improve ranking. Junior, a seasoned veteran, likely motivated to assert dominance and reclaim top status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Machaev +130, Junior -150 Mochamed Machaev β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Machaev +1.5 (-180), Junior -1.5 (+150) Mochamed Machaev +1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mochamed Machaev to win on moneyline by decision

Predicted Score: Machaev wins by decision


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