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Reinier de Ridder vs. Brendan Allen Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Reinier de Ridder vs Brendan Allen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-18
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, Canada

Game Overview

Reinier de Ridder steps into a high-stakes main event against Brendan Allen at UFC Vancouver after Anthony Hernandez withdrew due to injury. Allen is the replacement and will face Dricus du Plessis, a former double champ, in a matchup with significant title shot ramifications.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brendan Allen is coming off a hard-fought decision win over Marvin Vettori, snapping a two-fight skid, and is ranked #11. De Ridder enters the UFC for the first time with a decorated grappling background but no prior Octagon experience. The leap in competition for de Ridder is significant, while Allen’s activity and proven divisional performance are noteworthy[1][2].
  • No prior head-to-head meeting, but Allen has lost only to top-10 opponents while De Ridder’s record is mostly outside the UFC.
  • No known injuries for either fighter. The main change is Allen stepping in on short notice after Hernandez withdrew[1][2].
  • De Ridder’s UFC debut may bring nerves or excitement; Allen is game-tested in the Octagon and under less pressure as the underdog. The change in opponent may have rattled fight prep for de Ridder[1][2].
  • Allen has a chance to leap into Top 5 with a win and erase the narrative of only losing to top contenders. De Ridder wants to make a statement in his UFC debut and validate his champion pedigree.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline {Brendan Allen: +135, Reinier de Ridder: -155} Brendan Allen to win ★★★☆☆ 61%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brendan Allen 43%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Brendan Allen at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This is a classic striker vs. grappler matchup. De Ridder’s grappling is elite, but Allen’s well-rounded game, UFC-level experience, and recent form suggest he can neutralize De Ridder’s best weapon. Allen’s recent wins have shown steady improvement, and he enters with momentum—valuable against a UFC debutant. De Ridder’s lack of UFC experience and the short-notice adjustment tilt this toward Allen as a live underdog.

Predicted Score: Brendan Allen by Decision


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Reinier de Ridder vs. Brendan Allen Prediction

Match Analysis: Reinier de Ridder vs Brendan Allen – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-09-18 Time: 2:00 AM UTC Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, Canada Game Overview Reinier de Ridder steps into a high-stakes main event against Brendan Allen at UFC Vancouver after Anthony Hernandez withdrew due to injury. Allen is the replacement and will face Dricus […]

Brendan Allen MMA/Boxing Reinier de Ridder September 19, 2025

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Mackson Lee vs. Enrique Hecher Sosa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mackson Lee vs Enrique Hecher Sosa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-17
  • Time: 1:55 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

This Bantamweight main card bout features undefeated Mackson Lee (9-0) facing off against seasoned Enrique Hecher Sosa (13-1) at Dana White's Contender Series, with both fighters on recent winning streaks.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mackson Lee is undefeated with 9 wins, showing strong finishing ability (1 KO, 3 submissions), while Enrique Hecher Sosa holds an impressive 13-1 record with 6 knockouts and 3 submissions. Both fighters are 5-0 in their last five bouts, indicating excellent recent form.
  • No previous fights between Mackson Lee and Enrique Hecher Sosa have occurred, making this a first-time matchup.
  • No notable injuries reported for either fighter ahead of this bout.
  • The fight takes place on a high-profile Dana White's Contender Series event, providing significant motivation for both fighters to perform impressively for potential UFC contracts. Mackson Lee fights out of Brazil, but the contest is on neutral ground.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a UFC contract, but Lee's undefeated streak combined with a younger age (26 vs. 30) gives him a slight edge psychologically.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mackson Lee: -140, Enrique Hecher Sosa: 120 Mackson Lee ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Mackson Lee -1.5 rounds: +130, Enrique Hecher Sosa +1.5 rounds: -150 Mackson Lee -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -155, Under 1.5 rounds: +135 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mackson Lee 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Mackson Lee to win; Spread: Mackson Lee -1.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 1.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Mackson Lee wins by submission in Round 2


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Iwo Baraniewski vs. Mahamed Aly Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Iwo Baraniewski vs Mahamed Aly – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-16
  • Time: 1:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Contender Series 2025 Week 6

Game Overview

This light heavyweight matchup features undefeated Iwo Baraniewski (5-0) facing the also undefeated Mahamed Aly (4-0). Both fighters show strong potential but come from different backgrounds — Baraniewski with a judo base and high finish rate, Aly with elite Brazilian jiu-jitsu and versatility in striking and grappling. Aly is a slight favorite on the moneyline given his more diverse skillset and slight physical advantages.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Baraniewski boasts a 100% finish rate in his 5 wins, with a mix of knockouts and submissions, reflecting aggressive fight style and strong finishing ability. Aly has demonstrated both striking power (noted by head-kick KOs) and high-level grappling, showing multiple paths to victory but against less proven opponents overall.
  • This will be the first contest between Baraniewski and Aly, with no direct head-to-head history to draw on but comparable undefeated records and fighting styles that suggest a competitive but cautious bout.
  • No significant injury reports have been disclosed for either fighter heading into this fight, indicating both should be at full strength.
  • The fight takes place in a high-pressure Dana White's Contender Series environment, where a UFC contract is often on the line, likely increasing motivation for both fighters to perform decisively.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a UFC contract, but Aly’s experience facing tougher opponents recently may give him an edge in fight IQ and composure under pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Iwo Baraniewski: +170, Mahamed Aly: -200 Mahamed Aly ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Mahamed Aly -1.5: -140, Iwo Baraniewski +1.5: +120 Mahamed Aly -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5: +105, Under 1.5: -125 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mahamed Aly -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Mahamed Aly to win. Spread: Mahamed Aly -1.5 rounds. Over/Under: Under 1.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Mahamed Aly wins by decision or late round finish


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In Soo Hwang vs. Paddy Mccorry Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: In Soo Hwang vs Paddy Mccorry – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-17
  • Time: 12:40 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Game Overview

Middleweight MMA bout between In Soo Hwang and Paddy McCorry on Dana White's Contender Series main card.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters are making their professional debuts (0-0 records). No professional fight history limits direct performance comparison. Training camps and amateur records indicate McCorry has slightly more wrestling and grappling experience, while Hwang's style is more striking-oriented.
  • No prior head-to-head bouts between the two fighters; this is their first matchup.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter as of fight week; both appear fully fit and prepared.
  • Fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue with no home advantage. Both fighters are competing on Dana White's Contender Series, providing strong motivation for a UFC contract.
  • High motivation on both sides due to opportunity to secure UFC contract. McCorry's slightly more versatile skill set may provide an edge in securing a finish, increasing confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +155, away: -180 Paddy McCorry ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread +1.5 rounds (Hwang) -120 / -1.5 rounds (McCorry) +100 Paddy McCorry to win by more than 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: -160, under: +140 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Paddy Mccorry -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 68%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 68% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 48.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Paddy McCorry to win via moneyline, fight to finish under 1.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Paddy McCorry wins by TKO in round 1


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Cody Chovancek vs. Raphael Uchegbu Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Cody Chovancek vs Raphael Uchegbu – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-17
  • Time: 12:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, USA

Game Overview

Bantamweight bout featuring undefeated Cody Chovancek against experienced Raphael Uchegbu in the Contender Series at UFC Apex.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Uchegbu comes off strong form (4-1 last 5 fights) with 9 finishes in 11 fights, mixing striking and submissions effectively. Chovancek is undefeated (8-0) showing aggressive wrestling and finishing ability but has shown vulnerabilities to reach and striking.
  • No prior direct matchups between these fighters; styles contrast with Chovancek favoring wrestling aggression and Uchegbu relying on reach, striking volume, and evolving grappling defense.
  • No explicit injury reports for either fighter, both apparently in full training health.
  • Fight held at UFC Apex with no apparent external motivators affecting either fighter; both motivated for Contender Series success and potential UFC contracts.
  • Chovancek highly motivated for finish as he openly aims to impress for UFC promotion; Uchegbu motivated by leveraging experience and technical advantage with more diverse finishing skill set.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cody Chovancek: 155, Raphael Uchegbu: -180 Raphael Uchegbu ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Raphael Uchegbu -1.5: -120, Cody Chovancek +1.5: 100 Raphael Uchegbu -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -135, Under 2.5 rounds: 115 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Raphael Uchegbu -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Raphael Uchegbu to win by decision or late stoppage

Predicted Score: Raphael Uchegbu wins by unanimous decision or TKO round 3/4


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Thomas Gantt vs. Adam Livingston Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Thomas Gantt vs Adam Livingston – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-17
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, USA

Game Overview

Lightweight bout at Dana White's Contender Series Week 6 featuring Thomas Gantt and Adam Livingston, both undefeated with strong KO records and notable grappling and striking attributes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Thomas Gantt holds a 4-0 record with 4 KOs, showing strong finishing ability and a winning streak, while Adam Livingston is 3-0 with 2 KOs, boasting a short winning streak and powerful striking.
  • No previous head-to-head matchup exists; however, statistical predictions favor Livingston slightly for the win (58%) over Gantt (42%).
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the contest.
  • Fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue; no travel or acclimation concerns for either fighter who are both US-based.
  • Both fighters highly motivated to secure a contract or advancement in Dana White's Contender Series; Gantt’s wrestling credentials suggest extra drive to control and dominate.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Thomas Gantt: -176, Adam Livingston: +142 Thomas Gantt ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Thomas Gantt -1.5: -110, Adam Livingston +1.5: -110 Thomas Gantt -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 1.5: -120, Under 1.5: +100 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Thomas Gantt -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Thomas Gantt at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Thomas Gantt to win via ground and pound TKO

Predicted Score: Thomas Gantt wins by TKO round 2


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Diego Lopes vs. Jean Silva Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 12:40 AM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

Game Overview

Featherweight matchup featuring Diego Lopes, a 30-year-old with a 26-7 record and longer reach, against Jean Silva, a 28-year-old with a 16-2 record and a strong technical striking profile. Silva enters as a UFC favorite riding an undefeated UFC record with recent finishes, while Lopes recently lost a title fight but has shown toughness and durability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Silva is undefeated in the UFC and has finished his last five opponents, showing excellent striking and grappling defense. Lopes has a solid overall record, coming off a title fight loss and known for durability but is more vulnerable to counters.
  • No direct H2H fights recorded between Lopes and Silva.
  • No major injuries reported for either fighter leading up to the fight.
  • Fight at home territory Frost Bank Center with no external disruptions reported.
  • Lopes motivated to rebound after title fight loss; Silva motivated to maintain undefeated UFC streak and extend dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Diego Lopes: +195, Jean Silva: -238 Jean Silva ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Diego Lopes +5.5: +120, Jean Silva -5.5: -165 Jean Silva -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -166, Under 2.5: +130 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jean Silva -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 43%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jean Silva to win by decision

Predicted Score: Jean Silva wins by unanimous decision (rounds 5)


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Rafa Garcia vs. Jared Gordon Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rafa Garcia vs Jared Gordon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 12:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

Game Overview

Lightweight bout between Rafa Garcia and Jared Gordon on UFC Fight Night 259 with Gordon as a strong favorite based on striking volume and accuracy versus Garcia's grappling strength.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jared Gordon holds a record of 21-7-0 (1 NC) and exhibits higher striking volume (5.67 per minute) and accuracy (55%) than Rafa Garcia's 4.01 strikes per minute and 43% accuracy. Garcia has a better takedown rate (3.21 per 15 minutes) and submission threat with eight submission wins.
  • No direct previous matchups recorded between Rafa Garcia and Jared Gordon.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter approaching the bout.
  • Fight scheduled at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, neither fighter has a strong home advantage. The event timing and travel appear neutral.
  • Both fighters are motivated to climb the lightweight rankings. Gordon’s recent KO win boosts confidence, while Garcia aims to capitalize early rounds with grappling.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jared Gordon -250, Rafa Garcia +205 Jared Gordon ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Jared Gordon -3.5 100, Rafa Garcia +3.5 -140 Jared Gordon -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 -330, Under 2.5 +240 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jared Gordon -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jared Gordon at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jared Gordon to win by decision

Predicted Score: Jared Gordon wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Rob Font vs. David Martinez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rob Font vs David Martinez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 12:10 AM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

Game Overview

The bantamweight UFC matchup features veteran Rob Font (22-8) facing the younger, rising star David Martinez (12-1). Font is experienced, employing a precise striking style with solid defense, while Martinez is aggressive with high accuracy and a clean record. Both fighters stand orthodox, with Font having a slight reach advantage and absorbing more strikes per minute.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Font’s consistency and octagon experience give him an edge, but Martinez shows elite striking efficiency and durability, demonstrated by his undefeated record and recent TKO finish.
  • No prior direct matchups between Font and Martinez, making analysis reliant on style and recent form comparisons.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter; Martinez stepped in on short notice but appears healthy and motivated.
  • Fight at Frost Bank Center favors Font slightly due to proximity and crowd support, but Martinez’s momentum as a rising star balances this factor.
  • Font seeks to maintain top contender status at 38 years old; Martinez looks to solidify breakout status and prove himself against a seasoned opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Font: -130, Martinez: +110 Rob Font ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Font -3.5 165, Martinez +3.5 -230 Rob Font -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.5 -315, Under 2.5 230 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rob Font 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 105%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 105% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rob Font to win by decision

Predicted Score: Rob Font wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Kelvin Gastelum vs. Dustin Stoltzfus Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kelvin Gastelum vs Dustin Stoltzfus – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 11:10 PM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

Game Overview

Middleweight MMA bout between Kelvin Gastelum and Dustin Stoltzfus as part of UFC Noche 3. Gastelum is the betting favorite with a strong striking profile and reach disadvantage, while Stoltzfus offers a longer reach and slightly better striking accuracy. Both athletes are same age, with Gastelum seeking to recover from recent losses and Stoltzfus aiming to regain momentum after a defeat.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kelvin Gastelum holds a 20-10 record with a tendency for high-volume striking but has had recent setbacks. Dustin Stoltzfus is 16-7, showing durable defense and decent striking accuracy but lacks consistent finishing power.
  • No recorded previous head-to-head matchups between Gastelum and Stoltzfus, making stylistic analysis and recent form critical.
  • No significant injuries publicly reported affecting either fighter going into the matchup.
  • Fighting at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas, an even venue without clear home advantage. Both fighters are familiar with competing in similar environments.
  • Gastelum motivated to rebound from recent losses and maintain relevance in middleweight rankings. Stoltzfus aims to build momentum after a recent loss, making him a dangerous underdog.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gastelum -250, Stoltzfus +205 Kelvin Gastelum ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Gastelum -3.5 -120, Stoltzfus +3.5 -110 Kelvin Gastelum -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 -215, Under 2.5 +165 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kelvin Gastelum -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 59%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 59% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kelvin Gastelum to win by decision

Predicted Score: Kelvin Gastelum wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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