Match Analysis: Steve Garcia Jr. vs David Onama – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-02
• Time: 1:45 AM UTC
• Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Game Overview

Featherweight UFC main event between Steve Garcia Jr. and David Onama, both highly ranked contenders with strong win streaks, featuring contrasting styles: Garcia's relentless striking pressure versus Onama's knockout power and grappling.

Key Factors to Consider

• Garcia is on a six-fight winning streak with recent knockouts; Onama is on a four-fight winning streak with noted grappling control over opponents like Giga Chikadze.
• No previous head-to-head meetings; this will be their first matchup.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
• Fight takes place at UFC APEX in Las Vegas, familiar venue for both fighters; no reported disruptions or travel issues.
• Both fighters are motivated to break into higher UFC featherweight ranks, with Garcia looking to continue dominant form and Onama aiming to prove himself against a top contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Steve Garcia Jr. -125, David Onama +105	Steve Garcia Jr.	★★★★☆ 74%
Spread	Steve Garcia Jr. -5.5 (-120), David Onama +5.5 (-110)	Steve Garcia Jr. -5.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds -135, Under 1.5 rounds +105	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Steve Garcia Jr. 4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Steve Garcia Jr. to win by knockout

Predicted Score: Garcia to win by 2nd round TKO

Match Analysis: Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Ante Delija – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-02
• Time: 1:15 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Game Overview

This heavyweight UFC co-main event features Waldo Cortes-Acosta, an established UFC fighter with a 7-2 UFC record, versus Ante Delija, a powerful and rising contender coming off an impressive UFC debut knockout win. Cortes-Acosta is a technical boxer with precise striking but faces a reach disadvantage and a recent loss. Delija is a multi-dimensional fighter, skilled in both striking and grappling, with momentum from back-to-back knockout wins and strong training partners.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cortes-Acosta has a solid UFC pedigree with a 4-1 record in his last five fights, relying on precise striking and power. Delija, new to UFC but experienced from his PFL success, is on an upward trend with consecutive knockout victories and a recent Performance of the Night bonus.
• No prior head-to-head matchups between the fighters.
• No reported injuries affecting either fighter ahead of the bout.
• Fight takes place at the UFC Apex, where both fighters have competed before. Delija's recent transition from PFL to UFC and training alongside champion Tom Aspinall bolster his confidence and readiness.
• Delija is motivated to establish himself as a top heavyweight contender in UFC after a strong debut. Cortes-Acosta aims to rebound from a recent loss and maintain his UFC ranking.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: +110, away: -130	Away	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	home: -165, away: +120	Away -3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over: -140, under: +110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ante Delija 16%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ante Delija to win by knockout or decision

Predicted Score: Ante Delija wins by KO in Round 2

Match Analysis: Jeremiah Wells vs Themba Gorimbo – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-02
• Time: 12:45 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

Jeremiah Wells (12-4-1) faces Themba Gorimbo (14-5-0) at UFC Apex. Wells is a switch fighter with balanced striking and grappling, while Gorimbo is an orthodox striker with a reach advantage and higher striking accuracy. Wells has recent neck injury concerns but aims to return to form. Gorimbo holds the betting favorite status with better striking metrics and slightly superior defense.

Key Factors to Consider

• Wells is 4-2 in the UFC since 2021 but has lost his last two bouts and dealt with injuries in 2025. Gorimbo brings consistent striking volume (3.15 significant strikes/min) and accuracy (61%) versus Wells’ 2.41 strikes/min at 43% accuracy. Wells has a strong wrestling and grappling base but recent injury may limit takedown attempts.
• No prior head-to-head matchups available between Wells and Gorimbo.
• Wells withdrew from two fights in 2025 due to neck injuries but appears to be in good shape now. Gorimbo has no public injury concerns.
• The fight takes place in UFC Apex, Las Vegas, a neutral venue for both. Gorimbo’s height (6’1”) and reach (77”) may allow him to maintain distance effectively.
• Wells is highly motivated to break a two-fight losing skid and prove his health. Gorimbo aims to maintain momentum and prove superiority as the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jeremiah Wells: +120, Themba Gorimbo: -142	Themba Gorimbo	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Jeremiah Wells +3.5: -165, Themba Gorimbo -3.5: +120	Themba Gorimbo -3.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Themba Gorimbo -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Themba Gorimbo; Spread: Gorimbo -3.5; Over/Under: Over 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Themba Gorimbo wins via decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Isaac Dulgarian vs Yadier DelValle – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-01
• Time: 12:15 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV, USA

Game Overview

Isaac Dulgarian (7-1) faces Yadier DelValle (9-0) in a featherweight bout at UFC Vegas 110. Dulgarian is an orthodox fighter known for efficient striking and strong defense, while DelValle is an undefeated southpaw with high-volume striking and solid defense.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dulgarian has a strong 7-1 record, rebounding well from his only loss, with a solid UFC run; DelValle is undefeated 9-0, recently winning decisively in the UFC and showing heavy striking volume.
• No prior head-to-head encounters between Dulgarian and DelValle.
• No reported injuries to either fighter leading into this bout, both appear fully fit.
• Fight at the UFC Apex gives neither fighter home crowd advantage; both weigh in at 145 lbs featherweight class with minimal reach difference (Dulgarian 71", DelValle 69").
• Dulgarian motivated to remain title contender after first career loss, DelValle eager to maintain undefeated record and establish himself in UFC featherweight ranking.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Isaac Dulgarian: -270, Yadier DelValle: +220	Isaac Dulgarian	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Isaac Dulgarian -7.5: -120, Yadier DelValle +7.5: -110	Isaac Dulgarian -7.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5: +110, Under 2.5: -140	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Isaac Dulgarian 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 -6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Isaac Dulgarian at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Isaac Dulgarian wins by decision

Predicted Score: Isaac Dulgarian wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Cody Durden vs Allan Nascimento – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-01
• Time: 11:15 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

The matchup features Allan Nascimento (-300 favorite) vs. Cody Durden (+250 underdog) at UFC Vegas 110. Nascimento, a 34-year-old orthodox fighter with a 21-6 career record, is on a 3-1 recent winning run, showing strong grappling and defensive striking. Durden, also 34, is a southpaw with a 17-8-1 record but has lost 4 of his last 5 fights and generally allows more significant strikes per minute. The bout's dynamics suggest Nascimento has the edge in control and efficiency despite Durden's higher strike volume.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nascimento is 4-1 in his last five fights, displaying solid grappling and striking defense (absorbing 1.96 significant strikes per minute, defending 50%). Durden has a poor recent form at 1-4 and absorbs a higher rate of significant strikes (4.35 per minute).
• This is a first-time matchup with no direct history. Styles favor Nascimento's control and efficiency over Durden's volume punching.
• No known recent injuries reported for either fighter that would significantly impact performance.
• Fight takes place at UFC Apex with no apparent external disadvantages to either fighter; motivation appears equal as both are veterans seeking wins.
• Nascimento is on a positive streak with momentum, likely more motivated to continue his rise. Durden is motivated to rebound from consecutive losses but is fighting under pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: +250, away: -300	Away – Allan Nascimento	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Nascimento -1.5: -160, Durden +1.5: +140	Nascimento -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 73%
Over/under	over 2.5: -118, under 2.5: -102	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Allan Nascimento -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Allan Nascimento to win via decision or late finish.

Predicted Score: Nascimento wins by unanimous decision (3-0 rounds)

Match Analysis: Charlie Radtke vs Daniel Frunza – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-01
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

Charlie Radtke, a versatile 35-year-old fighter with 10 wins in 15 pro bouts, faces 31-year-old striker Daniel Frunza who has 9 wins in 12 bouts. Radtke has shown balanced skills in striking and grappling with a recent KO win, while Frunza, a striker, is coming off a first-round TKO loss in his UFC debut.

Key Factors to Consider

• Radtke exhibits superior recent form with a May 2025 second-round KO over Mike Malott, reflecting both finishing ability and experience in the top promotion. Frunza suffered a decisive first-round TKO in April 2025 making his UFC debut.
• There are no recorded head-to-head matches between Radtke and Frunza, making this fight a fresh test of styles and strategy.
• No significant or reported injuries impacting performance for either fighter ahead of the bout.
• The fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue. Both fighters are competing on prelims with no known external distractions.
• Radtke aims to confirm his status as a rising UFC contender following his recent KO, while Frunza seeks redemption after a tough UFC debut loss, providing him motivation to improve.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Charlie Radtke: -180, Daniel Frunza: +150	Charlie Radtke	★★★★☆ 74%
Spread	Charlie Radtke: -3.5 -115, Daniel Frunza: +3.5 -115	Charlie Radtke -3.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: -130, Under 1.5 rounds: +100	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Charlie Radtke -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Charlie Radtke to win by moneyline given his superior all-around skills, experience, and recent knockout success against a striker who was stopped early in his UFC debut.

Predicted Score: Charlie Radtke wins by TKO in Round 2

Match Analysis: Timothy Cuamba vs Chang Ho Lee – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-01
• Time: 10:15 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

The fight features Timothy Cuamba, known for his explosive striking and KO power with 5 stoppage wins, against Chang Ho Lee, a pressure wrestler with a 5-fight win streak, strong ground control, and excellent cardio. Cuamba excels in striking creativity and countering pressure, while Lee's wrestling aims to control the pace on the ground.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cuamba is 3-2 in his last five, highlighted by powerful KO wins and the ability to finish fights early. Lee has won his last 5 fights consecutively, displaying strong wrestling dominance and pressure, leveraging consistent ground control.
• No known previous head-to-head matches. Styles suggest a striker (Cuamba) versus wrestler (Lee) matchup, with contrasting strengths likely deciding the fight dynamics.
• No recent injuries or weight issues reported for either fighter. Lee’s opponent in a previous fight missed weight, but Lee came in properly for this bout.
• The fight takes place at UFC Apex, a familiar venue for both fighters which likely minimizes environmental factors. Betting odds show some market confidence in both fighters, with slight odds advantage towards Cuamba on the moneyline but Lee favored on the spread.
• Cuamba seeks to extend his UFC success with highlight finishes and validate his striking credentials. Lee aims to maintain his winning streak and solidify his position using his wrestling pressure, with high motivation to control the fight and execute a ground-heavy game plan.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -118, away: -102	Chang Ho Lee	★★★☆☆ 57%
Spread	home: 165, away: -230	Chang Ho Lee +3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over: -200, under: 154	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Chang Ho Lee 7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Chang Ho Lee at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chang Ho Lee to win by decision

Predicted Score: Chang Ho Lee wins by decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Donte Johnson vs Sedriques Dumas – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-01
• Time: 9:50 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

This middleweight UFC prelim fight features Donte Johnson, an aggressive fast starter with a high early KO potential, facing Sedriques Dumas, a measured fighter skilled in range control and clinch tactics focused on winning by decision.

Key Factors to Consider

• Donte Johnson excels in early rounds with a 34% KO rate mostly in the first 3-4 minutes, showing aggressive pressure. Sedriques Dumas has strength in controlling pace with jab, clinch, and wrestling to steal rounds and secure decisions.
• No direct head-to-head fights available; strategies contrast aggressively: Johnson seeks early finishes, while Dumas aims to slow pace into later rounds.
• No reported recent injuries for either fighter, both appear fully healthy and prepared.
• Fight taking place at UFC Apex, a familiar venue; no travel or environmental disadvantages noted for either athlete.
• Johnson appears motivated to prove knockout power on prelims stage, while Dumas aims to demonstrate tactical superiority and grinding control to build decision wins.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Donte Johnson: -355, Sedriques Dumas: 280	Donte Johnson	★★★★☆ 73%
Spread	Donte Johnson -3.5: -320, Sedriques Dumas +3.5: 225	Donte Johnson -3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: 170, Under 1.5 rounds: -220	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Donte Johnson -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Donte Johnson to win by KO/TKO in early rounds

Predicted Score: Donte Johnson wins by KO/TKO in Round 1

Match Analysis: Talita Alencar vs Ariane Carnelossi – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-01
• Time: 8:10 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Talita Alencar and Ariane Carnelossi face off at UFC Vegas 110 in the women’s strawweight division. Alencar is a strong grappler with a solid record (6-1-1), known for high takedown defense and striking accuracy, while Carnelossi (15-3-0) brings more UFC experience and Muay Thai striking prowess but has shown some decline in recent activity and defensive metrics.

Key Factors to Consider

• Alencar demonstrates higher defensive efficiency, absorbing fewer strikes per minute (3.77 vs. 4.74) and better strike deflection (53% to 45%), though Carnelossi has slightly higher significant strike output and finishing ability in the UFC.
• No previous direct matchups between Alencar and Carnelossi.
• No publicly reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout.
• Fight taking place at a familiar UFC Apex venue with no notable travel or environmental concerns affecting either fighter.
• Both fighters are motivated: Alencar to prove her dominance in her UFC tenure, Carnelossi aiming to reestablish momentum after limited activity and some losses to top contenders.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Talita Alencar: -225, Ariane Carnelossi: +185	Talita Alencar	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Talita Alencar -3.5: +100, Ariane Carnelossi +3.5: -135	Talita Alencar -3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -230, Under 2.5 rounds: +175	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Talita Alencar -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Talita Alencar at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Talita Alencar to win on the moneyline by decision or submission, maintaining control with superior defense and grappling.

Predicted Score: Talita Alencar wins by decision after three competitive rounds