Match Analysis: Quillan Salkilld vs Yanal Ashmoz – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-07
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Prudential Center in Newark, NJ
Game Overview
Quillan Salkilld faces Yanal Ashmoz in a Lightweight bout at UFC 316. Salkilld, a rising star from Australia with a 8-1-0 record, is favored due to his significant strike output and reach advantage. Ashmoz, known as the 'Red Fox,' is a compact powerhouse but may struggle against Salkilld's longer reach and higher strike rate.
Key Factors to Consider
- Quillan Salkilld has a higher volume of significant strikes per minute (5.68) compared to Yanal Ashmoz (2.94). However, Ashmoz is more effective at blocking strikes (55% vs 43%).
- No previous bouts between these fighters.
- No reported injuries.
- The fight is in New Jersey, which may not offer specific advantages for either fighter.
- Both fighters are highly motivated for a win, but Salkilld seems more focused on his championship aspirations.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -550 for Quillan Salkilld, +400 for Yanal Ashmoz | Quillan Salkilld | ★★★★☆ 85% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 -160, Under 2.5 +130 | Over 2.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Quillan Salkilld -99% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 -99% |
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Quillan Salkilld is likely to win due to his superior striking output and reach advantage.
Predicted Score: Quillan Salkilld wins via unanimous decision.