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Piera Rodriguez vs. Ketlen Souza Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Piera Rodriguez vs Ketlen Souza – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Game Overview

The women's strawweight bout features Piera Rodriguez (10-2) versus Ketlen Souza (15-5), both orthodox fighters standing 5'3" and fighting at 115 lbs. Rodriguez has a slight reach disadvantage but superior defense and efficiency in significant strikes. Souza is more aggressive and lands more significant strikes per minute but takes more damage as well.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rodriguez has a 10-2 record with strong defensive metrics, absorbing 2.63 significant strikes per minute and preventing 57% of strikes. Souza, with a 15-5 record, lands 4.92 significant strikes per minute but also takes 4.46, showing a high-risk style.
  • No prior bouts between Rodriguez and Souza, so no direct matchup history.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight is at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue with no clear travel or altitude advantage; both fighters appear equally acclimated.
  • Rodriguez aims to continue her momentum and prove dominance after strong performances. Souza's aggressive style and higher volume striking suggest a motivation to impose pressure and secure a decisive win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Piera Rodriguez -225, Ketlen Souza +185 Piera Rodriguez ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Piera Rodriguez -3.5 (120), Ketlen Souza +3.5 (-165) Piera Rodriguez -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-375), Under 2.5 (270) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Piera Rodriguez -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 166%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 166% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 61.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Piera Rodriguez to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Piera Rodriguez wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds


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Piera Rodriguez vs. Ketlen Souza Prediction

Match Analysis: Piera Rodriguez vs Ketlen Souza – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-02 Time: 12:00 AM UTC Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA Game Overview The women's strawweight bout features Piera Rodriguez (10-2) versus Ketlen Souza (15-5), both orthodox fighters standing 5'3" and fighting at 115 lbs. Rodriguez has a slight reach disadvantage but […]

August 3, 2025 Ketlen Souza MMA/Boxing Piera Rodriguez

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Tatsuro Taira vs. Hyun Sung Park Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Tatsuro Taira vs Hyun Sung Park – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

This Flyweight UFC main event pits Tatsuro Taira, a highly skilled 25-year-old with a 16-1 record, against the undefeated 29-year-old Hyun Sung Park from South Korea, who is stepping in on short notice. Taira has more octagon experience and reach advantage, while Park carries a very high finishing rate and remains undefeated.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Taira has fought at a higher level with recent experience against top-tier fighters like Brandon Royval but comes off a split decision loss. Park is undefeated (10-0) with a 90% finishing rate, showing explosiveness and strong submission skills but less UFC experience.
  • No previous head-to-head encounters. This will be their first matchup.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter; Park is stepping in on short notice but appears healthy.
  • The fight is at UFC Apex, which is neutral ground for both fighters. Park is short-notice replacement, which may affect conditioning or strategy.
  • Park is motivated to capitalize on the sudden opportunity to break into the UFC flyweight spotlight, while Taira seeks to rebound from his last loss to restore his rise to the top ranks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Taira -355, Park +280 Tatsuro Taira ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Taira -5.5 (-195), Park +5.5 (+140) Tatsuro Taira -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 3.5 (-105), Under 3.5 (-125) Under 3.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tatsuro Taira -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Tatsuro Taira to win. Spread: Tatsuro Taira to win by more than 5.5 points (dominant decision or finish). Over/Under: Under 3.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Taira wins by unanimous decision or late stoppage before round 4


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Karol Rosa vs. Nora Cornolle Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Karol Rosa vs Nora Cornolle – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Game Overview

Karol Rosa, a 30-year-old with a record of 18-7-0, faces Nora Cornolle, 35 years old with a 9-2-0 record, in the UFC Apex. Both fighters compete in the bantamweight division with nearly identical reach and stance, making this a close stylistic match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Karol Rosa has a higher output of significant strikes landed per minute (6.22) compared to Cornolle (3.07), but absorbs more strikes per minute (4.84 vs. 1.91). Rosa connects on 55% strike accuracy while Cornolle is nearly as accurate at 54%. Cornolle has a stronger defensive percentage, blocking 62% of opponent strikes compared to Rosa's 49%.
  • No direct head-to-head matchups available, but stylistic metrics indicate Rosa is the aggressor with higher volume striking, while Cornolle relies more on defensive counters.
  • No reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue without home advantage for either fighter. Both fighters are experienced and will likely have full training camps.
  • Karol Rosa aims to maintain momentum and extend a significant winning streak, adding to a larger fight total. Nora Cornolle, the underdog, is motivated to prove herself against a top-ranked opponent and improve her professional record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Karol Rosa: -185, Nora Cornolle: +154 Karol Rosa ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Karol Rosa -3.5: 1.40, Nora Cornolle +3.5: 1.95 Nora Cornolle +3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -560, Under 2.5 rounds: +370 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Karol Rosa 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 206%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 206% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 55.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Karol Rosa to win by decision

Predicted Score: Karol Rosa wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Esteban Ribovics vs. Elves Brenner Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Esteban Ribovics vs Elves Brenner – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Game Overview

Esteban Ribovics (-250 favorite) and Elves Brenner (+205 underdog) face off in a UFC lightweight bout. Ribovics is a precise, high-volume striker with a solid defense, while Brenner is a versatile fighter with strong grappling and finishing ability. Both fighters are 5'10" with Ribovics having slightly shorter reach (69" vs 72") but superior striking volume (8.08 vs 3.99 significant strikes per minute). Ribovics has a 14-2 pro record to Brenner's 16-5, both with 3-2 UFC records. Brenner is coming off two losses and will be highly motivated to avoid a third, while Ribovics looks to rebound after a close split decision loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ribovics is an aggressive striker landing over 8 significant strikes per minute, with strong defense allowing fewer hits (5.92 absorbed per min). Brenner lands fewer strikes (3.99 per min) but with higher accuracy (47%), and has a solid takedown and submission game.
  • No known previous direct matchup.
  • No reported significant injuries for either fighter, both seem to be in peak condition.
  • Fight takes place at UFC Apex, a familiar venue with no travel disadvantage. Brenner’s recent two-fight losing streak adds pressure to perform; Ribovics is experienced with close fights.
  • Brenner faces career risk with a potential third consecutive loss in a very deep lightweight division, possibly increasing desperation to finish. Ribovics wants a definitive win after recent split decision losses, likely leading to aggressive strategy aimed at clear victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Esteban Ribovics: -250, Elves Brenner: +205 Esteban Ribovics ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Esteban Ribovics -3.5: -135, Elves Brenner +3.5: +100 Esteban Ribovics -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -270, Under 1.5 rounds: +200 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Esteban Ribovics -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Esteban Ribovics to win on the moneyline, covering the -3.5 spread, with the fight going over 1.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Esteban Ribovics via decision or late finish in round 2 or 3


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Rodolfo Vieira vs. Tresean Gore Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rodolfo Vieira vs Tresean Gore – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Rodolfo Vieira, a highly skilled Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu specialist and 35-year-old orthodox fighter, faces Tresean Gore, a younger 31-year-old switch fighter known for his striking, in a middleweight UFC bout at UFC Vegas 108.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vieira holds a superior career record (10-3) compared to Gore (6-3) and demonstrates higher striking accuracy (55% vs 46%) and better defensive metrics, allowing fewer significant strikes per minute (4.40 vs 8.16). Gore shows durability but less effective defense.
  • No previous head-to-head matchup between Vieira and Gore, making this their first encounter.
  • No publicly reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both athletes should be at full health.
  • The fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a familiar venue for Vieira with possibly minimal travel disruption; Gore may have less experience fighting at this location but no clear disadvantage.
  • Vieira, at 35, aims to reinforce his UFC standing and capitalize on his grappling dominance before potential age regression, whereas Gore, younger and termed 'Mr. Vicious,' seeks to build momentum ascending the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rodolfo_Vieira: -198, Tresean_Gore: 164 Rodolfo Vieira ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Rodolfo_Vieira_-3.5: -140, Tresean_Gore_+3.5: 100 Rodolfo Vieira -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over_1.5: -145, under_1.5: 114 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rodolfo Vieira -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rodolfo Vieira to win via submission or decision

Predicted Score: Vieira wins by submission or decision after 2-3 rounds


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Kevin Vallejos vs. Danny Silva Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kevin Vallejos vs Danny Silva – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Kevin Vallejos, a 23-year-old featherweight with a 15-1 record, faces Danny Silva, a 28-year-old with a 10-1 record. Vallejos is favored with odds around -425 to -440, while Silva is the underdog at +330. Vallejos is shorter (5'7") but slightly younger, with a good defensive rate, while Silva is taller (5'11") and lands more significant strikes per minute but absorbs more as well.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vallejos has a higher win count and demonstrated a better defensive fight style, absorbing fewer strikes per minute (5.70 vs 7.96). Silva lands more strikes per minute (7.36) but is less defensively sound. Vallejos' recent form shows strong consistency and a higher finishing rate.
  • No known prior matchups between the two fighters, making direct H2H data unavailable.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter going into the bout, both appear fully prepared.
  • Fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a standard environment with no altitude or extreme conditions favoring either fighter.
  • Vallejos enters as a young rising contender aiming to cement his status, likely increasing motivation. Silva, with a slightly older age and fewer fights, is motivated to upset the favorite but may face pressure against the favored Vallejos.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kevin Vallejos -425, Danny Silva +330 Kevin Vallejos ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Kevin Vallejos -3.5 (-225), Danny Silva +3.5 (165) Kevin Vallejos -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-110), Under 2.5 (-120) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kevin Vallejos -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kevin Vallejos to win by decision

Predicted Score: Kevin Vallejos wins by unanimous decision


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Rafael Estevam vs. Felipe Bunes Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rafael Estevam vs Felipe Bunes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Game Overview

Rafael Estevam (13-0) is an undefeated up-and-coming fighter with a strong striking defence and efficient significant strike accuracy, facing veteran Felipe Bunes (14-7) who has more striking volume but less defensive prowess. Estevam's youth, defensive skills, and technical precision make him a strong favorite, while Bunes' experience and aggression represent a threat.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estevam maintains an undefeated record (13-0) showing consistent dominance with a 57% striking accuracy and solid defense, absorbing only 2.94 significant strikes per minute. Bunes, with a 14-7 record, delivers high output at 4.49 significant strikes per minute but absorbs 7.86 strikes, indicating potential defensive vulnerabilities.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups between Rafael Estevam and Felipe Bunes have occurred, making this a fresh competitive encounter.
  • No reported injuries or fitness concerns for either fighter as of the fight date, suggesting both competitors are at full capacity.
  • The fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, an environment where Estevam has performed comfortably in past bouts. No adverse travel or acclimation factors noted.
  • Estevam aims to preserve his undefeated record and solidify his rising contender status, providing high motivation. Bunes seeks to revitalize his career with a win against a top prospect, bringing strong motivation despite being the underdog.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -550, away: 410 Rafael Estevam ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread home: -195, away: 140, line: 3.5 Rafael Estevam -3.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over: -154, under: 120, line: 2.5 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rafael Estevam -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 28%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rafael Estevam to win decisively on the moneyline, covering the -3.5 spread, with a fight likely finishing under 2.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Estevam wins by TKO late in Round 2


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Rinya Nakamura vs. Nathan Fletcher Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rinya Nakamura vs Nathan Fletcher – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-03
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Vegas 108, Las Vegas, NV (Presumed)

Game Overview

The bantamweight bout at UFC Vegas 108 features Rinya Nakamura, a rising Japanese fighter with a strong recent record and UFC experience (9-1 overall, 3-1 UFC), against Nathan Fletcher, a solid but less dominant competitor (9-2 overall, 1-1 UFC). Nakamura is favored heavily due to superior technical grappling, consistent recent form, and better UFC performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nakamura has shown steady improvement in UFC competition, with 3 wins and only 1 loss, demonstrating strong grappling skills and finishing ability. Fletcher holds a respectable 9-2 but has struggled in UFC bouts, with a 1-1 UFC record.
  • No prior head-to-head meeting between Nakamura and Fletcher exists, so predictions rely on comparative skill analysis and recent performance.
  • No publicly known injuries impacting either fighter leading up to the bout.
  • Fight taking place on prelims card in a major UFC event; both fighters motivated but Nakamura appears more focused on climbing UFC rankings.
  • Nakamura is highly motivated to secure a decisive win to boost his UFC standing and career trajectory. Fletcher aims to rebound after mixed UFC results but is an underdog here.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rinya Nakamura: -425, Nathan Fletcher: 330 Rinya Nakamura ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Rinya Nakamura -3.5 (-165), Nathan Fletcher +3.5 (120) Rinya Nakamura -3.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-220), Under 2.5 (170) Under 2.5 Rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rinya Nakamura -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 76%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 76% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 44.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rinya Nakamura to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Rinya Nakamura wins by decision or stoppage before round 3


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Mateusz Rebecki vs. Chris Duncan Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mateusz Rebecki vs Chris Duncan – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

A highly competitive lightweight UFC bout between Mateusz Rebecki (20-2) and Chris Duncan (13-2), both 32 years old with contrasting fighting styles (southpaw vs orthodox) and physical attributes (Rebecki shorter with 66" reach vs Duncan taller with 71" wingspan). Rebecki is the favorite based on deeper significant striking output and accuracy, but Duncan presents a challenge with size and striking defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rebecki shows superior striking volume and accuracy (4.7 significant strikes per min at 48% accuracy) compared to Duncan (4.2 strikes per min at 45%). Rebecki absorbs more strikes but also boasts better defense, preventing 54% of opponent strikes versus Duncan's 47%.
  • No direct previous matchups recorded between Rebecki and Duncan, making tactical matchups and style analysis crucial.
  • No current reported injuries for either fighter, both appear in full health and primed for this contest.
  • Fight takes place at UFC Apex with no significant travel or altitude concerns. The 155 lbs weight class is natural for both fighters.
  • Both fighters are experienced veterans seeking to improve their UFC standings; Rebecki slightly favored to maintain momentum while Duncan motivated to upset a top contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rebecki -205, Duncan +170 Mateusz Rebecki ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Rebecki -3.5 (-135), Duncan +3.5 (100) Mateusz Rebecki -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 (-175), Under 1.5 (135) Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mateusz Rebecki 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 41%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mateusz Rebecki to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Mateusz Rebecki wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds


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Nick Klein vs. Andrey Pulyaev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Nick Klein vs Andrey Pulyaev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Middleweight bout between Nick Klein, a 29-year-old American fighter known for his grappling and striking accuracy, and Andrey Pulyaev, a 27-year-old Russian southpaw grappler with strong wrestling and endurance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Klein has a 6-2-0 record with strong striking accuracy (60%) and grappling control, while Pulyaev holds a 9-3-0 record with slightly higher striking volume but lower accuracy (58%) and better endurance.
  • No previous direct matchups; contrasting styles suggest a strike-versus-grappling chess match.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Fight takes place in Las Vegas at UFC Apex, offering slight home advantage to Klein in terms of logistics and fan support.
  • Klein looking to rebound from recent setback and establish himself, while Pulyaev aims to maintain momentum with pressure fighting style and endurance edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Pulyaev: -155, Klein: 130 Pulyaev ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Pulyaev -3.5: 100, Klein +3.5: -135 Pulyaev -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 1.5: -220, Under 1.5: 170 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Andrey Pulyaev -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 67%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 67% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Andrey Pulyaev to win by decision (moneyline), cover -3.5 spread, and fight to go under 1.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Pulyaev wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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