Match Analysis: Philip Rowe vs Seok Hyun Ko – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Game Overview
Philip Rowe faces Seok Hyun Ko in a welterweight bout at UFC Vegas 110. Rowe is a tall, long-range striker with knockout power, while Ko is a relentless grappler with strong top control and a dominant debut win over Oban Elliott. The matchup pits striking against wrestling, with Ko favored by the sportsbooks.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ko has shown elite grappling and top control, winning his UFC debut by unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27). Rowe has struggled with pressure and cardio in recent fights, and his career takedown defense is only 56%. Koβs style is well-suited to neutralize Roweβs strengths.
- No prior H2H matchup exists. This is a stylistic clash with no direct history.
- No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
- Ko is entering just his second UFC bout, but his debut performance was dominant. Rowe has faced higher-level competition but has shown vulnerability to grapplers and pressure. The fight takes place in the UFC Apex, a neutral venue.
- Ko is highly motivated to build on his strong debut and establish himself in the division. Rowe is looking to rebound from recent setbacks and prove he can handle elite grappling pressure.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Philip Rowe: 160, Seok Hyun Ko: -192 | Seok Hyun Ko | Not available |
| Spread | Philip Rowe: 3.5 -140, Seok Hyun Ko: -3.5 105 | Seok Hyun Ko -3.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | Over: 2.5 -154, Under: 2.5 120 | Over 2.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Seok Hyun Ko -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seok Hyun Ko wins by decision, controlling the fight with his wrestling and top control, frustrating Roweβs striking and winning rounds on the judgesβ scorecards.
Predicted Score: Seok Hyun Ko wins by unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)