Match Analysis: Paddy Mccorry vs Shuki Farage – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-31
- Time: 6:30 PM UTC
- Location: PalaPellicone, dei Sandolini, 79, 00122 Lido di Ostia RM, Italy
Game Overview
Paddy McCorry vs Shuki Farage is a 195lbs catchweight bout at Cage Warriors 189 in Rome. McCorry is the heavy favorite, reflecting both his record and perceived skill advantage. Farage is a considerable underdog with odds reflecting a major upset required for him to win. Both fighters made weight, and there are no signs of injury concerns. The event is a high-profile platform for both competitors seeking to advance their careers in European MMA.
Key Factors to Consider
- Paddy McCorry is considered a far superior fighter with extensive experience and a well-rounded game. Shuki Farage is less experienced with limited exposure in major organizations.
- No prior head-to-head history between McCorry and Farage in professional MMA. This is their first encounter.
- No reported injuries for either fighter. Both have officially made weight and are cleared to compete.[5]
- The event is held in Rome, Italy, which may not heavily favor either fighter as both are traveling. There are no reported external disruptions or controversies.
- McCorry aims to continue his rise and impress scouts or bigger promotions. Farage is motivated to prove himself against a highly regarded opponent and could be seen as a no-lose situation for him.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -1800, away: 900 | Paddy McCorry to win | ★★★★★ 96% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Paddy Mccorry -0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Paddy Mccorry at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Paddy McCorry is extremely likely to win. The odds, fighter history, and recent performances all indicate a significant advantage for McCorry. The most probable outcome is a first or second round finish by McCorry, although upsets can never be completely discounted in MMA.
Predicted Score: Paddy McCorry via 1st round submission or TKO