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Ozzy Diaz vs. Djorden Santos Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ozzy Diaz vs Djorden Santos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-09
  • Time: 11:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

This fight features Ozzy Diaz, a 6'4" middleweight with a background in boxing, against Djorden Santos, a 6'0" Brazilian prospect known for his improved striking and grappling skills. Diaz is coming off a knockout loss and is dropping down to 185 pounds, while Santos is making his UFC debut after an upset win on the Contender Series.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Djorden Santos has shown significant improvement in his striking, with better head movement and counterattacks. Ozzy Diaz relies heavily on his reach and front-foot pressure but lacks strong takedown defense.
  • This is the first meeting between Ozzy Diaz and Djorden Santos.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The weight drop for Ozzy Diaz could be a factor, as it might affect his performance.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Santos looking to make a strong UFC debut and Diaz seeking to bounce back from a recent loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -182 for Djorden Santos, 157 for Ozzy Diaz Djorden Santos ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over_under Over 2.5: 120, Under 2.5: -150 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Djorden Santos is favored to win due to his well-rounded skills and recent improvements.

Predicted Score: Djorden Santos wins by knockout in the first round.


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Ozzy Diaz vs. Djorden Santos Prediction

Match Analysis: Ozzy Diaz vs Djorden Santos – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-03-09 Time: 11:15 PM UTC Location: Not specified Game Overview This fight features Ozzy Diaz, a 6'4" middleweight with a background in boxing, against Djorden Santos, a 6'0" Brazilian prospect known for his improved striking and grappling skills. Diaz is coming off a […]

Djorden Santos March 8, 2025 MMA/Boxing Ozzy Diaz

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Allan Begosso vs. Davaajamts Batsuren Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Allan Begosso vs Davaajamts Batsuren – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-09
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: LFA 208 (Legacy Fighting Alliance)

Game Overview

Allan Begosso (8-3-1, Brazil) faces off against Davaajamts Batsuren (7-6-0, Mongolia) in a bantamweight bout at LFA 208. Begosso is the favorite, while Batsuren comes in as the underdog. This fight features Begosso's well-rounded attack (KO/TKO, submission, and decision wins) against Batsuren's decision-heavy record and limited finishing power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Begosso has a strong record (8-3-1) with finishes in 6 of 8 wins, including KO/TKO and submission victories. Batsuren (7-6-0) has 4 decision wins and 3 submission wins, but no KO/TKO finishes. Begosso's finishing rate and experience in higher-level promotions give him the edge in this matchup.
  • No previous meetings between fighters.
  • No significant injury updates reported.
  • Begosso has more experience in larger promotions, including LFA and DWCS. Batsuren's full fighting style and camp details are less publicly available, which could indicate a preparation gap.
  • Begosso is likely motivated to climb the regional rankings and potentially secure another shot at the UFC. Batsuren may be seeking to upset the heavily favored opponent and make a name for himself in international MMA.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -450, away: 275 Allan Begosso ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Allan Begosso -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Allan Begosso at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Allan Begosso is favored to win due to his higher finishing rate, more well-rounded skill set, and superior experience. Expect him to aggressively pursue a finish, likely by submission or KO/TKO in the early rounds. Batsuren's best path is to survive early pressure and take the fight to the later rounds, where his decision wins suggest he may be comfortable, but this is an uphill battle against Begosso's aggression and finish rate.

Predicted Score: Predicted Method of Victory: Begosso by Submission or KO/TKO (inside 2 rounds)


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Chris Mecate vs. Javier Reyes Rugeles Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Chris Mecate vs Javier Reyes Rugeles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-09
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Kaiser Permanente Arena, Santa Cruz, California

Game Overview

The main event of LFA 208 features a Lightweight bout between Chris Mecate and Javier Reyes Rugeles over 3 rounds with a 155 lbs weight limit. Mecate enters the fight riding a 5-fight win streak, holding a professional record of 10-2, and is viewed as a rising contender aiming for a UFC call-up. Reyes Rugeles, with a solid but less highlighted profile, will challenge Mecate in this crucial match for both fighters' career trajectories.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chris Mecate has demonstrated strong recent form with 5 consecutive wins, including a 2-1 record inside LFA. His aggressive style and finishing ability have been notable, positioning him as a top lightweight prospect. Javier Reyes Rugeles has less documented recent performance but remains a skilled opponent within the division.
  • No documented previous encounters between Chris Mecate and Javier Reyes Rugeles have been found, making this their first official meeting.
  • No current injury reports or fitness issues for either competitor prior to the fight have been noted.
  • The bout is held at a neutral location in California with no home advantage for either fighter. Mecate’s motivation is high given his pursuit of a UFC contract, which could influence performance positively. Broadcast on UFC Fight Pass worldwide increases exposure stakes.
  • Chris Mecate is highly motivated to secure a decisive and dominant victory to attract UFC attention, openly expressing ambitions of calling out UFC CEO Dana White. Reyes Rugeles will be motivated to derail Mecate’s momentum and advance his own standing in the lightweight ranks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chris Mecate: -250, Javier Reyes Rugeles: 170 Chris Mecate win ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Chris Mecate -1.5 rounds: -110, Javier Reyes Rugeles +1.5 rounds: -110 Chris Mecate to win by more than 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100 Under 2.5 rounds (shorter fight expected) ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chris Mecate -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Chris Mecate at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Mecate’s momentum, track record inside LFA, and high motivation for a UFC breakthrough, he is favored to win the fight by a decisive decision or finish.

Predicted Score: Chris Mecate wins via 3-round unanimous decision or late stoppage


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Abdalrahman Alhyasat vs. Taha Bendaoud Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Abdalrahman Alhyasat vs Taha Bendaoud – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-09
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Onyx Arena, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

This featherweight bout is part of the PFL MENA 1: 2025 Regular Season. Abdalrahman Alhyasat of Jordan faces Taha Bendaoud of Morocco in a highly anticipated quarterfinal match in the featherweight tournament. The fight is scheduled for three rounds and is a critical step for both fighters aiming to advance in the 2025 PFL MENA season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alhyasat had a strong 2024 season with notable wins, including over Abdullah Al-Qahtani, the eventual champion, before withdrawing due to injury. He enters this fight fully recovered and confident. Bendaoud, meanwhile, is coming in with determination to upset the favored Alhyasat and make his mark in the tournament.
  • No recorded previous fights between Abdalrahman Alhyasat and Taha Bendaoud, making this their first professional encounter.
  • Alhyasat recovered from a prior injury that forced him out of last season's final; currently reported as fully healthy and ready. No reported injuries for Bendaoud.
  • The fight takes place at Onyx Arena in Jeddah with home region advantage for Alhyasat being from Jordan, regionally closer and possibly with more fan support; the tournament setting heightens the stakes for both fighters.
  • Alhyasat is motivated by redemption and the chance to claim a title he almost secured last season. Bendaoud appears motivated to prove himself against a top contender and advance in the tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -450, away: 275 Home win – Abdalrahman Alhyasat ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread home: -1.5 rounds, away: +1.5 rounds Alhyasat to win by more than one round ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over: 2.5 rounds -110, under: 2.5 rounds -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Abdalrahman Alhyasat -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Abdalrahman Alhyasat at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Abdalrahman Alhyasat is predicted to win the bout based on superior recent performance, recovery status, and betting odds, though Bendaoud’s resilience and motivation could make it competitive.

Predicted Score: Alhyasat wins by unanimous decision or late-round stoppage, estimated 29-28 or TKO Round 3


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Cory Sandhagen vs. Deiveson Figueiredo Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Cory Sandhagen vs Deiveson Figueiredo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 4:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Des Moines

Game Overview

Cory Sandhagen, known for his dynamic striking and high fight IQ, faces Deiveson Figueiredo, a formidable grappler and former flyweight champion, in a highly anticipated bantamweight bout. Sandhagen's advantages in height, reach, and striking output could play significant roles. However, Figueiredo's grappling skills and takedown attempts might challenge Sandhagen's defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cory Sandhagen has a strong striking background with 5.02 strikes landed per minute, while Deiveson Figueiredo excels in grappling, with more takedown attempts and submission attempts than Sandhagen.
  • There is no prior head-to-head match between them.
  • No reported injuries at this time.
  • The fight is at bantamweight, where Sandhagen is more established, potentially giving him an edge over Figueiredo, who is moving up from flyweight.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Figueiredo looking to prove himself at bantamweight and Sandhagen seeking to solidify his position in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cory Sandhagen: -575, Deiveson Figueiredo: +425 Cory Sandhagen ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Cory Sandhagen: -5.5 (-190), Deiveson Figueiredo: +5.5 (140) Cory Sandhagen ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 4.5: -220, Under 4.5: +170 Over 4.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cory Sandhagen -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 4.5 -20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cory Sandhagen at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cory Sandhagen is predicted to win due to his strong striking and significant advantages in height and reach.

Predicted Score: Cory Sandhagen wins by TKO or decision in the later rounds.


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Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Daniel Rodriguez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Daniel Rodriguez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 3:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena in Des Moines, IA

Game Overview

This welterweight bout at UFC Des Moines pits Santiago Ponzinibbio against Daniel Rodriguez. Both fighters have impressive records, with Ponzinibbio at 31-8-0 and Rodriguez at 18-5-0, making it a closely contested match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ponzinibbio lands 4.80 significant strikes per minute with 41% accuracy, while Rodriguez lands 7.50 strikes per minute with 49% accuracy, giving Rodriguez an edge in striking. Ponzinibbio absorbs 4.61 strikes per minute, defending 61%, whereas Rodriguez takes 5.47 and defends 58%, indicating a slightly better defense for Ponzinibbio.
  • No previous head-to-head matches between these fighters have been reported, making this a first-time encounter.
  • No significant injury reports for either fighter leading up to this match.
  • The crowd might slightly favor Rodriguez due to his recent performances, but Ponzinibbio's experience could counterbalance this.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to win, as this is a crucial match in their careers.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -110 for both fighters Rodriguez ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread -3.5 for Rodriguez and +3.5 for Ponzinibbio Take Ponzinibbio +3.5 due to the potential for a close fight ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -238, Under 2.5 rounds: 180 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Daniel Rodriguez 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Daniel Rodriguez at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This fight is closely matched, but Rodriguez's higher strike rate might give him an edge in a decision victory.

Predicted Score: Decision victory for Daniel Rodriguez


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Reinier de Ridder vs. Bo Nickal Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Reinier de Ridder vs Bo Nickal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 3:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Des Moines

Game Overview

Middleweight co-main event between undefeated prospect Bo Nickal and two-division ONE Championship veteran Reinier de Ridder. De Ridder aims to leverage his elite submission skills (13 career submission wins) against Nickal's elite wrestling pedigree. Both fighters are undefeated in the UFC, with de Ridder coming off two first-round submissions of Gerald Meerschaert and Kevin Holland.

Key Factors to Consider

  • De Ridder: 19-0 record (13 subs), UFC wins via RNC and D'Arce choke. Nickal: 5-0 record (4 subs), UFC wins via D'Arce and kimura.
  • First meeting. Nickal's NCAA D1 wrestling pedigree vs de Ridder's BJJ black belt mastery.
  • No reported injuries. De Ridder mentioned weight management post-fight but not an active concern.
  • Significant fan anticipation around Nickal ('The Great American Hope') counterbalanced by de Ridder's championship experience in major organizations.
  • De Ridder seeks top-5 ranking and title shot path with win. Nickal aims to validate hyped prospect status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nickal -340 / de Ridder +270 Nickal moneyline ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Nickal -3.5 (-190) / de Ridder +3.5 (+140) Nickal covers -3.5 spread ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-105) / Under 2.5 (-125) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bo Nickal 152%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bo Nickal at 152% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 56.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nickal by decision (55%) or de Ridder by submission (45%). High probability of grappling-heavy bout with Nickal's wrestling likely controlling early rounds, but de Ridder's submission threat persists throughout.

Predicted Score: No score prediction (MMA). Most likely outcome: Nickal by 3rd-round ground-and-pound TKO (30% probability) or de Ridder by 2nd-round submission (25% probability).


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Cameron Smotherman vs. Serhiy Sidey Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Cameron Smotherman vs Serhiy Sidey – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 2:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, Iowa

Game Overview

Cameron Smotherman faces Serhiy Sidey in a UFC Bantamweight match. Smotherman enters with a record of 12-4, while Sidey has a record of 11-2. This fight features contrasting styles, with Smotherman focusing on significant strikes and Sidey having a notable submission threat.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Smotherman has a higher strike volume, averaging 6.25 significant strikes per minute, compared to Sidey's 4.87. However, Sidey excels in submission attempts, averaging 1.4 every 15 minutes.
  • This is their first match-up.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
  • The fight's location at Wells Fargo Arena may have minimal impact as both fighters are accustomed to various environments.
  • Both fighters will be highly motivated, given the stakes in the UFC Bantamweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cameron Smotherman: +114, Serhiy Sidey: -135 Serhiy Sidey ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Cameron Smotherman: +3.5 -175, Serhiy Sidey: -3.5 125 Serhiy Sidey ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -188, Under: 2.5 145 Under ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Serhiy Sidey -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Serhiy Sidey is likely to win due to his strong submission game and slight edge in UFC performance so far.

Predicted Score: Decision victory for Serhiy Sidey


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Jeremy Stephens vs. Mason Jones Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jeremy Stephens vs Mason Jones – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 2:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, Iowa

Game Overview

Jeremy Stephens returns to the UFC to face Mason Jones in a lightweight bout at UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs Figueiredo. Stephens has a competitive track record in MMA and additional experience in boxing and bare-knuckle fighting, while Jones is favored due to his recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jeremy Stephens has had varied success across MMA, boxing, and bare-knuckle fighting. Mason Jones is entering with strong momentum.
  • This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
  • No specific injury reports for either fighter are mentioned.
  • The event takes place in Des Moines, which might favor Stephens due to potential crowd support.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Stephens seeking a strong comeback in the UFC and Jones looking to maintain his winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Stephens: +425, Jones: -575 Mason Jones ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Stephens: 3.5 +180, Jones: -3.5 -250 Mason Jones to win by decision or finish ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 2.5: +105, Under 2.5: -135 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mason Jones -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mason Jones is predicted to win due to his strong current form and favorable odds.

Predicted Score: Mason Jones by TKO/KO in the second round


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Yana Santos vs. Miesha Tate Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Yana Santos vs Miesha Tate – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 1:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, Iowa

Game Overview

Women's Bantamweight Bout between seasoned veteran Miesha Tate (20-9) and Yana Santos (15-8, 1NC). Tate returns with wrestling-focused experience, while Santos brings striking versatility.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tate holds notable wins over elite competition but is 1-2 in her last three bouts. Santos shows consistency with a 3-2 UFC record, including recent technical decision wins.
  • First meeting between fighters.
  • No reported injuries pre-fight.
  • Event streams live on ESPN+, with potential judging scrutiny due to Iowa's limited UFC event history.
  • Tate seeks redemption after recent losses; Santos aims to climb rankings with high-profile win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tate -142 / Santos +120 Miesha Tate ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Tate -3.5 (+150) / Santos +3.5 (-205) Santos +3.5 covers ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-395) / Under 2.5 (+280) Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Miesha Tate -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Miesha Tate by decision (confidence based on grappling control and cage experience)

Predicted Score: Decision victory (3-round bout)


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