Niko Samsonidse faces Edgar Delgado in a featherweight bout at Oktagon 67. Samsonidse is favored with odds of -310, while Delgado is at 225.
Key Factors to Consider
Niko Samsonidse has shown a mix of wins and losses recently, while Edgar Delgado's performance data is less detailed. Samsonidse's experience might give him an edge.
There is no recorded head-to-head match between Niko Samsonidse and Edgar Delgado, making past performance a key factor.
No recent injury reports are available for either fighter.
The fight takes place in Trinec, Czech Republic, which might not significantly impact either fighter due to the neutral venue.
Both fighters are motivated to win, but Samsonidse's favoritism might add pressure.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Niko Samsonidse: -310, Edgar Delgado: 225
Niko Samsonidse
☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread
Not available
Niko Samsonidse
☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Over_under
Not available
Over
☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Predicted Outcome
Niko Samsonidse is likely to win based on his favoritism and experience.
Predicted Score: Decision or early finish in favor of Niko Samsonidse
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Niko Samsonidse vs. Edgar Delgado Prediction
Match Analysis: Niko Samsonidse vs Edgar Delgado – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-02-22 Time: 5:00 PM UTC Location: Werk Arena, Trinec, Czech Republic Game Overview Niko Samsonidse faces Edgar Delgado in a featherweight bout at Oktagon 67. Samsonidse is favored with odds of -310, while Delgado is at 225. Key Factors to Consider Niko Samsonidse […]
This is a UFC 315 preliminary bantamweight bout between Bekzat Almakhan (11-2, 0-1 UFC) and Brad Katona (14-4, 4-4 UFC). Almakhan enters as a slight favorite with higher upside, while Katona brings UFC experience and consistency. The fight is expected to be competitive, with both fighters having paths to victory.
Key Factors to Consider
Almakhan is an aggressive striker with a strong regional record, looking to rebound from his UFC debut loss. Katona is well-rounded, with solid wrestling and cardio, and a reputation for being difficult to finish. Both have shown resilience and adaptability in their recent bouts.
No prior fights between these two fighters.
No reported injuries for either fighter as of fight week.
Fight is in Canada, which may give Katona a slight crowd advantage. Both are acclimated to the venue and similar conditions.
Almakhan is motivated to secure his first UFC win. Katona is looking to break his pattern of 'consistent to a fault' performances and move up the ranks.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Almakhan: -156, Katona: 136
Almakhan
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Not widely available for MMA, but equivalent implied line: Almakhan -1.5 (~ +175), Katona +1.5 (~ -210)
Almakhan to cover if line exists, but Katona +1.5 is safer
55% (Almakhan cover), 70% (Katona +1.5)
Over/under
Over 2.5: -325, Under 2.5: +250
Over 2.5
★★★★☆ 75%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Bekzat Almakhan 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 -1%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Bekzat Almakhan at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Almakhan is the slight favorite due to his striking power and potential, but Katona's experience and grappling could level the playing field. Expect a competitive fight, with Almakhan likely to win by decision, though Katona could spring an upset with effective grappling.
Predicted Score: Decision win for Bekzat Almakhan (Almakhan 29-28 on scorecards)
The UFC 315 prelim middleweight bout between Marc-André Barriault and Bruno Silva on May 10, 2025, is a key fight for both fighters seeking to break losing streaks. Barriault, a Quebec native, returns to compete in his home province for the first time since 2018, aiming to leverage home advantage after three consecutive losses. Silva, a Brazilian striker with black belt BJJ credentials, enters on a difficult four-fight losing streak and recently took a hiatus due to anxiety issues. This matchup promises an exciting striking battle, complemented by potential grappling exchanges due to Silva's superior ground skills.
Key Factors to Consider
Barriault brings volume striking and pressure, while Silva offers power striking and high-level Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. Both have struggled recently with Barriault at 1-6 in UFC and Silva 4-6 in UFC. Silva’s recent four-fight losing streak and recent mental health break may affect performance. Barriault aims to rally with home support and familiarity at Bell Centre.
This is the first meeting between Marc-André Barriault and Bruno Silva, so no direct head-to-head data exists.
No reported injuries for either fighter prior to the bout.
Fighting in Montreal, Barriault benefits from home crowd support and motivation to win at home after a long absence. Silva may face psychological challenges from recent anxiety crisis and losing streak. The long-awaited UFC return to Montreal adds significance.
Barriault is in must-win territory to revive his UFC career and reignite momentum in front of a home crowd. Silva seeks to overcome recent mental health challenges and prolonged losing skid, aiming to get back on track in the division.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Bruno Silva: 130, Marc-Andre Barriault: -155
Marc-André Barriault
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Bruno Silva +3.5: -150, Marc-Andre Barriault -3.5: 110
Marc-André Barriault -3.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 1.5 rounds: -200, Under 1.5 rounds: 154
Over 1.5 rounds
★★★★☆ 70%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Marc-Andre Barriault 43%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 1.5 8%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Marc-Andre Barriault at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Marc-André Barriault is predicted to narrowly outpoint Bruno Silva via decision. Barriault's pressure and volume striking, combined with home advantage, are expected to neutralize Silva's power and grappling. Silva's BJJ skills could pose a threat if he manages to take the fight to the ground, but Barriault’s durability and cardio should allow him to avoid prolonged submission danger.
Predicted Score: Marc-André Barriault wins by unanimous decision after three rounds
UFC 315 features an early prelim featherweight showdown between Daniel 'Willycat' Santos (Brazil) and JeongYeong 'Korean Tiger' Lee (South Korea). Santos, known for dynamic striking and aggressive offense, steps in on short notice after nearly two years of inactivity due to a series of fight cancellations. Lee, a BJJ black belt, is recognized for his explosive finishes and submission skills, but his last fight saw a first-round TKO loss, raising questions about his striking defense. Both fighters aim to rebound and climb the featherweight rankings.
Key Factors to Consider
Santos has a 12-2 record (6 KOs, 2 subs), with his last win in June 2023. He is aggressive and has three first-round finishes. JeongYeong Lee is 11-2 (4 KOs, 3 subs), with five first-round wins. His last fight was a first-round TKO loss in July 2024.
No previous fights between Santos and Lee.
No recent major injuries reported, but Santos has a history of fight withdrawals. Both have had fight cancellation issues, and Santos hasn't competed since June 2023.
Santos taking the fight on short notice may impact conditioning and preparation. Lee has a full camp and is coming off a recent loss.
High motivation for both fighters. Santos needs a win to regain UFC trust after several withdrawals. Lee seeks a statement win after a recent setback.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Daniel Santos: -102, Jeongyoung Lee: -118
Jeongyoung Lee Moneyline
★★★☆☆ 64%
Spread
Daniel Santos: 3.5 -175, Jeongyoung Lee: -3.5 125
Jeongyoung Lee -3.5
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
Over: 2.5 100, Under: 2.5 -130
Under 2.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 67%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Jeongyoung Lee -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 19%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Expect a competitive, fast-paced featherweight clash. Santos brings unpredictable, aggressive striking but may struggle with ring rust. Lee's grappling and experience in recent fights give him the edge. Given the short notice for Santos and Lee's desperation to rebound, the fight could end early, with Lee's submission or ground control standing out. However, Santos' upside as a finisher cannot be ignored.
Predicted Score: Jeongyoung Lee by Submission (Round 2)
Location: The SSE Arena, Belfast, Northern Ireland
Game Overview
Gemma Auld and Sammy-Jo Luxton are set to face off in a highly anticipated match at PFL Europe 1. Both fighters are looking to make a strong impression in their upcoming bout. The match is significant for both participants, with Luxton aiming to become a prominent figure in the PFL.
Key Factors to Consider
Both fighters have shown strong performances in their previous matches, with Luxton expressing her desire to become one of PFL's stars. Gemma Auld also has a solid record and is looking to assert her dominance.
There is no prior head-to-head data available for these fighters.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
The fight takes place in Belfast, which might provide a home advantage for Gemma Auld, but both fighters are well-prepared.
Luxton is highly motivated to make a strong impression and move towards a strawweight division in the future.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-120 vs -120
Sammy-Jo Luxton
★★★☆☆ 55%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Sammy-Jo Luxton 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Sammy-Jo Luxton at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
This match is closely contested, with both fighters having strong potential. However, Sammy-Jo Luxton's recent focus on becoming a face of the PFL might give her an edge in terms of motivation.
This is a Professional Fighters League (PFL) MENA 1: 2025 Regular Season welterweight bout between Eoin Sheridan, a rising prospect with a professional record of 2-0-0, and Malachi Edwards, whose record and recent form suggest he may be the underdog. The bout is set to be part of an international MMA event with potential regional significance due to the PFL MENA initiative.
Key Factors to Consider
Eoin Sheridan enters undefeated at 2-0-0, showing promise in his early career with finishes in both fights. Malachi Edwards's record is less clear from available sources, but the betting odds and fight context suggest he's less favored. Sheridan's undefeated run and recent momentum are notable.
No previous head-to-head encounters between the two fighters are recorded.
There are no publicly reported injuries for either fighter ahead of this matchup.
Sheridan is fighting as a slight favorite, which could impact expectations and pressure. The card is a high-profile event in the Middle East, potentially adding extra scrutiny. Both fighters likely face travel and adaptation to a new environment in Jeddah.
Sheridan is motivated to continue his unbeaten streak and establish himself in the PFL MENA region. Edwards may be hungry to upset the odds and make a name himself in an international spotlight.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Eoin Sheridan: -182, Malachi Edwards: 142
Eoin Sheridan by decision or late stoppage
★★★☆☆ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Eoin Sheridan -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Eoin Sheridan at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Eoin Sheridan is favored by odds and momentum. His undefeated record and recent performances suggest he is the more likely winner, though MMA is unpredictable, and Edwards cannot be counted out.
Predicted Score: Eoin Sheridan via Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
Paul 'Big News' Hughes (13-2) faces Brazil's Bruno 'Robusto' Miranda (17-5) in the lightweight main event of PFL Europe Belfast. Miranda, a Muay Thai specialist with nine KO/TKOs, recently beat former champ Patricky Pitbull, but has only lost to top contenders in the PFL. Hughes, fighting at home, is a rising star on a solid win streak.
Key Factors to Consider
Hughes is on an impressive run with strong local support and a well-rounded game. Miranda boasts high-level striking and recent momentum, including a high-profile win over Patricky Pitbull.
No previous head-to-head record between Hughes and Miranda.
No significant injuries reported for either fighter ahead of the bout.
Hughes fighting at home provides a notable crowd advantage. Miranda is comfortable in high-pressure situations, having fought top-tier competition.
High for both: Hughes seeks to cement his status in front of his fans; Miranda aims to overcome the home fighter and continue his upward trajectory.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Home: -1300; Away: 625
Hughes (Home) wins
High (75%)
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Paul Hughes 516%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Paul Hughes at 516% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 82.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hughes is favored due to home advantage, momentum, and well-rounded skills. However, Miranda's striking and recent form make him a dangerous underdog capable of an upset, especially if he can keep the fight standing.
Souheil Kaouchen vs Oskar Stachura is a featherweight bout on the KSW 106 card. Both fighters are climbing the ranks, with Kaouchen on a winning streak in French regional promotions and Stachura favored by oddsmakers. The matchup is significant for regional and European featherweight standings, with both athletes seeking momentum and recognition in the KSW organization.
Key Factors to Consider
Souheil Kaouchen is on a six-fight winning streak, with recent victories by TKO and decision in regional French promotions. Stachura, while less publicized in recent local results, is favored in the odds, suggesting market recognition of his skills, possibly based on his broader European experience or fight style.
No previous head-to-head encounters between Kaouchen and Stachura in professional MMA.
No official reports of significant injuries for either fighter leading up to this match.
The fight takes place in Lyon, France, likely favoring Kaouchen with home support. The event is high-profile for KSW, which could add pressure but also motivation for both athletes.
Kaouchen is riding a hot streak and is likely highly motivated to prove himself against a favored opponent. Stachura has the bookmakers' confidence and is likely motivated to validate that status in the KSW featherweight division.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Oskar Stachura: -150, Souheil Kaouchen: 110
Oskar Stachura
★★★☆☆ 62%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Oskar Stachura -7%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Oskar Stachura at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oskar Stachura is favored by oddsmakers, but Souheil Kaouchen's regional momentum and home advantage could make this a competitive bout. Expect a close fight, possibly decided by Stachura's experience and ability to control pace, but do not discount Kaouchen's finishing skills and recent form.
Location: The SSE Arena, Belfast, Northern Ireland
Game Overview
Corey McLaughlin (0-1-0, Northern Ireland) is set to face Nahom 'Blessed' Wedi (professional debut, Eritrea) in a featherweight bout under the PFL Europe banner. Wedi is a decorated amateur fighter making his pro debut, while McLaughlin seeks his first win after a loss in his pro debut.
Key Factors to Consider
McLaughlin: 0-1-0 professional record; Wedi: Pro debut, but highly decorated amateur background.
First official professional meeting.
No public injury reports for either fighter.
Bout is scheduled for Belfast, McLaughlin's home region, which may provide a minor crowd advantage.
McLaughlin is motivated to get his first pro win. Wedi is eager to make a strong debut impression.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Corey McLaughlin: +175, Nahom Wedi: -260
Nahom Wedi
★★★★☆ 75%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Nahom Wedi -10%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Nahom Wedi at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nahom Wedi enters with significant amateur success and is expected to control the fight, especially given the betting odds and his opponent's limited pro experience. However, McLaughlin's home advantage and determination could provide a wildcard factor.
Predicted Score: Nahom Wedi by Submission or Decision, round 2 or 3
Aymard Guih (19-13) faces Mateusz Makarowski (12-7-1) in a lightweight bout at KSW 106. Both fighters are experienced, with Guih holding a slight edge in overall fight volume. The bout is set to take place at 155 lbs.
Key Factors to Consider
Aymard Guih has faced a higher caliber of opponents and is more active in top European promotions. Mateusz Makarowski has a respectable record but has experienced inconsistency in recent bouts.
No prior head-to-head bouts between these fighters have been recorded.
No official injury reports found for either fighter as of the fight announcement.
Guih will have a home advantage in France, which could influence crowd support and judging.
Both fighters are seeking to climb the lightweight ranks in KSW. Guih may be more motivated by the home crowd, while Makarowski will be eager to rebound from previous losses.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Aymard Guih: -300 | Mateusz Makarowski: 200
Aymard Guih
High
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Aymard Guih -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Aymard Guih at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Aymard Guih is favored to win by decision or late stoppage due to his experience, higher activity, and home advantage. Makarowski's best path is an early finish, as he may struggle with Guih's pace in later rounds.
Predicted Score: Aymard Guih by Unanimous Decision or Late TKO
