Niko Ceraglia faces Mirco Negrisoli in a Featherweight bout at Cage Warriors 183. Ceraglia is favored with odds of -1100, while Negrisoli is at 600.
Key Factors to Consider
Niko Ceraglia is favored due to his strong odds, suggesting a perceived advantage in performance. However, specific performance metrics are not available.
There is no recorded head-to-head data between Niko Ceraglia and Mirco Negrisoli.
No injury reports are available for either fighter.
The event takes place in Rome, which might favor Italian fighters, but specific external factors are not detailed.
Both fighters are motivated to win, but specific motivational factors are not detailed.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Niko Ceraglia: -1100, Mirco Negrisoli: 600
Niko Ceraglia
★★★★☆ 85%
Predicted Outcome
Niko Ceraglia is predicted to win based on the odds.
Predicted Score: Niko Ceraglia wins by decision or submission.
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Niko Ceraglia vs. Mirco Negrisoli Prediction
Match Analysis: Niko Ceraglia vs Mirco Negrisoli – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-03-08 Time: 4:00 PM UTC Location: PalaPellicone, Rome, Italy Game Overview Niko Ceraglia faces Mirco Negrisoli in a Featherweight bout at Cage Warriors 183. Ceraglia is favored with odds of -1100, while Negrisoli is at 600. Key Factors to Consider Niko Ceraglia is […]
UFC 322 main event title fight between welterweight champion Jack Della Maddalena and challenger Islam Makhachev. Jack is a powerful precision boxer with strong knockout potential if he can keep the fight standing, while Islam is a grappling and top-control specialist with elite endurance and takedown ability.
Key Factors to Consider
Della Maddalena shows high knockout power and striking accuracy, averaging 6.84 significant strikes per minute with 56.6% accuracy. Makhachev uses superior wrestling, averaging 3.20 takedowns per fight with 53.62% accuracy, maintaining pressure and top control throughout.
No prior direct fights between these two, making tactical matchups and styles key. Makhachev has historically dominated opponents through grappling control, while Della Maddalena succeeds by keeping the fight standing and exploiting striking advantage.
No reported injuries on either side leading into this high-profile title bout.
Fight is held at Madison Square Garden, adding hype and pressure but is a neutral venue for both. Both fighters show strong motivation with title on the line and reputation at stake.
Della Maddalena motivated to defend title aggressively with his boxing; Makhachev motivated to reclaim welterweight belt using his grappling dominance and relentless pace.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: 230, away: -285
Islam Makhachev
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
home: 110, away: -150
Islam Makhachev -5.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
over: -135, under: 105
Under 3.5 rounds
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Islam Makhachev -9%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 3.5 44%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Islam Makhachev wins by decision or late-round submission due to superior grappling control and cardio, neutralizing Della Maddalena's striking threat.
Predicted Score: Islam Makhachev wins via unanimous decision or submission in round 4 or 5
UFC 322 main event flyweight title unification bout. Valentina Shevchenko (dominant incumbent flyweight champion) defends against Weili Zhang (former strawweight champion moving up in weight). This is a super fight between two elite combat athletes at different weight classes, with significant stylistic contrasts.
Key Factors to Consider
Shevchenko: 10 title-fight wins since 2018, most recently defeated Manon Fiorot via decision. Established dominant flyweight champion with well-rounded skills. Zhang: Dominant strawweight run with two title reigns and three title defenses, recently defeated Tatiana Suarez via unanimous decision (49-46, 49-46, 49-45) at UFC 312. Both fighters on strong recent form, but Shevchenko has superior championship experience at the target weight class.
No previous matchup history between these fighters. Zhang is moving up in weight class for this title unification, which introduces uncertainty in how her skills translate.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
Zhang moves up from strawweight to flyweight, a significant weight class jump that may affect her physical advantages and cardio efficiency. Shevchenko fights at home weight class with superior title experience at flyweight. MSG provides neutral venue without significant home field advantage.
Both fighters are highly motivated in a title unification super fight. Shevchenko defends legacy as dominant champion. Zhang seeks to become a multi-division champion with an athletic and stylistically dangerous challenge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Shevchenko -135 / Zhang +114
Valentina Shevchenko
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
Shevchenko -5.5 (-165) / Zhang +5.5 (+230)
Zhang +5.5
★★★☆☆ 66%
Over/under
Over 4.5 rounds (-270) / Under 4.5 rounds (+200)
Under 4.5 rounds
★★★★☆ 72%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Valentina Shevchenko 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Valentina Shevchenko at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Valentina Shevchenko wins by decision. The betting market undervalues Shevchenko's experience advantage at flyweight and her elite defensive skills. While Zhang's athleticism and striking pose real threats, Shevchenko's 10 title-fight wins and recent victory over a top contender position her as the more complete fighter at this weight class. The decision outcome (-110 to -140 range across books) offers the best risk-reward, as knockout is less likely given both fighters' technical styles.
Predicted Score: Valentina Shevchenko wins via unanimous or split decision after 3 rounds (or early stoppage favoring Shevchenko in round 2 if Zhang's weight class adjustment significantly impacts her performance).
UFC 322 welterweight main card matchup between Leon Edwards and Carlos Prates. Edwards is transitioning from grappler-heavy opponents to face Prates, a striking-focused knockout artist. This represents a stylistic shift for Edwards and a significant test of his striking defense against a dangerous one-punch KO threat.
Key Factors to Consider
Leon Edwards has faced primarily grappler and wrestler opponents in recent fights, requiring extensive takedown defense preparation. Carlos Prates is characterized as a one-punch knockout artist with exceptional striking power. Edwards expressed excitement about returning to three-round format after fighting primarily five-round bouts, suggesting this sprint-paced structure favors his conditioning and explosive style.
No prior matchup history between these fighters.
No injuries reported for either fighter.
The fight takes place in New York, Edwards' preferred location with home-crowd advantage elements. Edwards expressed desire to return to UK fights in March-April, indicating strong motivation for a dominant victory to secure title-contender status. The three-round format (vs. Edwards' recent five-round pattern) creates a tactical variable favoring faster-paced, high-output fighters.
Edwards is explicitly targeting a knockout finish to establish himself as a legitimate title contender in the welterweight division. Prates seeks to derail Edwards' title trajectory by capitalizing on his striking advantage. Edwards' stated eagerness to 'take out Carlos' and pursue international fights suggests high motivation for decisive victory.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Prates -185 / Edwards +160
Leon Edwards
★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread
Prates -3.5 (-110) / Edwards +3.5 (-120)
Edwards +3.5
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
Over 2.5 (-145) / Under 2.5 (+110)
Under 2.5 Rounds
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Leon Edwards 61%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 9%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Leon Edwards at 61% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Leon Edwards wins by decision or submission in a competitive three-round affair. Despite Prates' knockout power, Edwards' superior grappling range, footwork discipline, and conditioning advantage in sprint-format fights provide edge in controlling fight tempo and accumulating points across all three rounds.
Predicted Score: Edwards 29-28 or 30-27 (Decision Victory)
Malcolm Wellmaker (10-0) enters as an undefeated and experienced UFC competitor whereas Ethyn Ewing (8-2) is making his UFC debut as a late replacement. Wellmaker is a significant favorite reflecting his superior experience and undefeated record.
Key Factors to Consider
Wellmaker has a perfect 10-0 record with recent continuous wins, showing consistency and experience at higher competition levels. Ewing is 8-2 overall but has not fought in the UFC before, making this a step up in competition.
No previous matchups between Wellmaker and Ewing exist, so no direct historical comparison is available.
No injuries reported for either fighter ahead of this matchup, though Ewing’s late scratch replacement status may indicate some preparation disadvantage.
Fight takes place at Madison Square Garden in UFC 322, offering a large stage but no known external conditions affecting performance such as altitude or travel advantage.
Wellmaker looks to preserve his undefeated UFC status, while Ewing is highly motivated to make a strong impression in his UFC debut stepping in late.
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Malcolm Wellmaker -8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 1.5 6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Malcolm Wellmaker to win by moneyline given his undefeated record and UFC experience, with a strong likelihood the fight goes under 1.5 rounds due to Wellmaker's finishing ability and Ewing’s debut pressure.
Predicted Score: Malcolm Wellmaker wins by TKO/Submission in Round 1
Malcolm Wellmaker (10-0) faces Cody Haddon (8-1) at UFC 322 in a bantamweight bout at 135 lbs. Wellmaker is a longer switch stance fighter with strong grappling skills and high strike accuracy, while Haddon is a shorter orthodox striker with higher volume but lower accuracy. Both fighters have solid defense but contrasting fighting styles set the tone for a tactical matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
Wellmaker boasts an undefeated record (10-0) with a recent first-round KO win, showing efficient striking and grappling. Haddon has an 8-1 record with higher striking volume but lower connect rate, favoring stand-up exchanges.
No prior head-to-head meetings. Styles contrast with Wellmaker favoring grappling control and powerful precision strikes, while Haddon relies on volume and speed.
No known recent injuries reported for either fighter, both appear healthy and prepared.
Fight hosted at Madison Square Garden, a neutral venue favoring neither fighter. No notable external distractions or motivation impacts.
Wellmaker motivated to maintain undefeated streak and ascend rankings, Haddon eager to prove himself against an undefeated opponent. Slight edge to Wellmaker for title contention aspirations.
Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York
Game Overview
The lightweight clash between Viacheslav Borshchev and Matheus Camilo at UFC 322 features Camilo as a slight favorite (-162 moneyline) over Borshchev (+136). Camilo enters motivated after a disappointing recent performance where he appeared to underperform, yet he brings solid submission skills against Borshchev who has shown vulnerabilities on the ground. The fight is expected to be competitive with Camilo's grappling edge and youth likely tipping the balance.
Key Factors to Consider
Camilo holds a 9-3 record with a submission skillset highlighted by a Kamora win and a strong grappling defense. Borshchev is 8-6-1 overall with a UFC record of 3-5-1, showing inconsistency and struggles to close fights in the UFC.
No previous H2H meetings between the fighters.
No reported injuries to either fighter ahead of the bout.
Late addition to UFC 322 prelims, Camilo replacing a withdrawn opponent recently, indicating good conditioning and readiness despite short notice.
Camilo appears motivated to rebound strongly after a disappointing last fight where he seemed to give up early, while Borshchev has had mixed UFC success, likely under pressure to prove himself.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Camilo -162, Borshchev +136
Camilo
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Camilo -3.5 -105, Borshchev +3.5 -125
Camilo -3.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 2.5 +130, Under 2.5 -166
Under 2.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Matheus Camilo 5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 9%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Matheus Camilo to win by submission
Predicted Score: Camilo wins via 2nd round submission
Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City, NY
Game Overview
Undefeated rising prospect Baisangur Susurkaev (10-0) faces veteran Eric McConico (10-3-1) in a middleweight bout. Susurkaev is heavily favored, known for his high striking volume and strong wrestling-based grappling, coming off a submission win in UFC 319. McConico is a southpaw with solid cardio and seven stoppage wins but slower striking pace and less accuracy.
Key Factors to Consider
Susurkaev maintains an unblemished 10-0 record with 9 finishes and significantly higher striking volume (4.56/min) and accuracy (58%) compared to McConico’s 1.51/min and 36%. Susurkaev averages nearly 3 takedowns per 3 rounds with 85% takedown defense, dominating the wrestling facet.
No previous matchup exists between Susurkaev and McConico.
No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
Fight held at Madison Square Garden, a neutral venue with no known environmental advantage. Susurkaev benefits from a full training camp; McConico is experienced but older at 35.
Susurkaev, at 24 and undefeated, is highly motivated to make a statement in his second UFC fight. McConico, after a recent split decision win, looks to establish himself further but faces a younger, hungrier opponent.
Angela Hill, a veteran with an 18-15 record, faces the younger and less experienced Fatima Kline, who holds an 8-1 record. Kline is the strong favorite with superior recent form, physical advantages, and defensive metrics, making her the expected winner in this strawweight bout.
Key Factors to Consider
Hill shows a higher strike output per minute (5.43) but concedes more (4.92), while Kline’s output is lower (3.94) but she concedes far fewer strikes (2.29). Kline’s 8-1 recent performance contrasts with Hill’s mixed 18-15 overall record and slower average fight time.
No prior head-to-head encounter between Hill and Kline, making styles and recent form critical factors.
No known injuries reported for either fighter ahead of the fight.
The bout takes place at Madison Square Garden, a neutral venue with no documented crowd advantage. Kline's youth and rising trajectory may be supported by stronger promotion and motivation.
Kline, at 25 years old, is motivated to consolidate her ascent in the strawweight division, while Hill, at 40, may find motivation tempered by age and career longevity.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Angela Hill: 390, Fatima Kline: -520
Fatima Kline
★★★★☆ 85%
Spread
Angela Hill +5.5: -115, Fatima Kline -5.5: -115
Fatima Kline -5.5
★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under
Over 2.5: -375, Under 2.5: 270
Under 2.5 rounds
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Fatima Kline -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 159%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 159% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 58.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fatima Kline to win by decision.
Predicted Score: Fatima Kline wins by unanimous decision in 3 rounds
Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York, United States
Game Overview
This is a high-stakes Welterweight main card bout at UFC 322, pitting undefeated striker Michael Morales against dominant grappler Sean Brady. Morales brings explosive power and reach, while Brady is known for relentless grappling and submission prowess. The fight is expected to be a clash of styles, with Morales favored by some analysts to win by early stoppage.
Key Factors to Consider
Michael Morales is undefeated with first-round knockouts over veterans Gilbert Burns and Neil Magny, showcasing elite striking and physical strength. Sean Brady has won three straight, including a submission over former champion Leon Edwards, but has faced more grapplers recently.
No prior H2H matchup exists between Morales and Brady.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
The fight takes place at Madison Square Garden, a high-profile venue, which may increase pressure and motivation for both fighters.
Morales is looking to solidify his status as a top contender, while Brady aims to rebound from recent losses to strong grapplers and prove his versatility.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Michael Morales 112, Sean Brady -133
Michael Morales
★★★★☆ 74%
Spread
Michael Morales 3.5 -170, Sean Brady -3.5 130
Michael Morales 3.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 2.5 -175, Under 2.5 135
Over 2.5
★★★★☆ 72%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Michael Morales 23%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 2%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Michael Morales at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Michael Morales by 2nd Round TKO
Predicted Score: Michael Morales wins by TKO in Round 2
