Niko Ceraglia faces Mirco Negrisoli in a Featherweight bout at Cage Warriors 183. Ceraglia is favored with odds of -1100, while Negrisoli is at 600.
Key Factors to Consider
Niko Ceraglia is favored due to his strong odds, suggesting a perceived advantage in performance. However, specific performance metrics are not available.
There is no recorded head-to-head data between Niko Ceraglia and Mirco Negrisoli.
No injury reports are available for either fighter.
The event takes place in Rome, which might favor Italian fighters, but specific external factors are not detailed.
Both fighters are motivated to win, but specific motivational factors are not detailed.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Niko Ceraglia: -1100, Mirco Negrisoli: 600
Niko Ceraglia
★★★★☆ 85%
Predicted Outcome
Niko Ceraglia is predicted to win based on the odds.
Predicted Score: Niko Ceraglia wins by decision or submission.
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Niko Ceraglia vs. Mirco Negrisoli Prediction
Match Analysis: Niko Ceraglia vs Mirco Negrisoli – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-03-08 Time: 4:00 PM UTC Location: PalaPellicone, Rome, Italy Game Overview Niko Ceraglia faces Mirco Negrisoli in a Featherweight bout at Cage Warriors 183. Ceraglia is favored with odds of -1100, while Negrisoli is at 600. Key Factors to Consider Niko Ceraglia is […]
Hamdy Abdelwahab, the heavy favorite, faces Chris Barnett in a UFC matchup. Abdelwahab's recent form and impressive odds suggest a strong contender, while Barnett's underdog status and previous losses highlight potential vulnerabilities.
Key Factors to Consider
Abdelwahab has been performing well, evidenced by his short odds. Barnett recently lost a fight, which might affect his confidence.
No past head-to-head matchups are reported.
No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
The fight is part of a typical UFC event, with no unusual external factors noted.
Both fighters are motivated, but Abdelwahab might have an edge due to his recent success.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-455 Hamdy Abdelwahab, +350 Chris Barnett
Hamdy Abdelwahab
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
-7.5 Hamdy Abdelwahab (-145), 7.5 Chris Barnett (+105)
-7.5 Hamdy Abdelwahab
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 1.5 (-175), Under 1.5 (+135)
Over 1.5
★★★★☆ 72%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Hamdy Abdelwahab -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 1.5 -6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Hamdy Abdelwahab at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Abdelwahab is likely to win, with a potential knockout or decision victory.
Predicted Score: Decision or Knockout win for Abdelwahab
Flyweight bout at UFC 321 featuring Azat Maksum as a sizable betting favorite over Mitch Raposo, who is still seeking his first UFC win after a recent loss by split decision to Su Muadaerji at UFC 314[1]. Maksum’s market-implied win probability is significantly higher, and the under/over set at 2.5 rounds suggests the books expect a decision.
Key Factors to Consider
Maksum shows strong recent form with a dominant betting profile (77.7% implied probability), while Raposo remains unproven in the UFC, having lost his debut in a close split decision[1].
No prior head-to-head history.
No significant injury news reported for either fighter.
Fight takes place in Abu Dhabi, which is neutral territory. No major external factors identified.
Maksum should be motivated to extend his strong debut performance, while Raposo is desperate for a UFC win to avoid potential roster cuts[1].
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Azat Maksum -425, Mitch Raposo +330[1]
Azat Maksum wins
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
Azat Maksum -5.5 -120, Mitch Raposo +5.5 -110
Azat Maksum -5.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 2.5 -180, Under 2.5 +140
Over 2.5
★★★★☆ 80%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Azat Maksum -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 1%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Azat Maksum is expected to win dominantly, most likely by decision, though a late finish is plausible. Raposo’s path to victory is narrow and would require a major upset.
Predicted Score: Azat Maksum by Unanimous Decision (30–27)
This lightweight MMA bout features Jaqueline Amorim, a strong, consistent fighter favored heavily (-425) over Mizuki Inoue (+330), who is returning after a three-year hiatus but won her recent comeback fight by unanimous decision.
Key Factors to Consider
Amorim holds a 15-6 record with a balanced finishing ability (0 KOs, 9 subs, 6 decisions) and has been more active recently. Inoue returned with a win in September after a long layoff. Amorim's submission game and recent form edge the performance factor.
No documented previous head-to-head fights between Amorim and Inoue as per available data.
No publicly reported current injuries for either fighter leading into this bout.
Fight location and other environmental factors do not disproportionately favor either fighter. Inoue's motivational comeback is notable but likely offset by Amorim's activity and form.
Inoue seeks to re-establish her UFC standing after a long absence, while Amorim aims to maintain momentum and capitalize on favored status.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -425, away: 330
Jaqueline Amorim
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
home: -165 (Amorim -7.5), away: 120 (Inoue +7.5)
Jaqueline Amorim -7.5
★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under
over: 105 (2.5 rounds), under: -135 (2.5 rounds)
Under 2.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Jaqueline Amorim -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 13%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jaqueline Amorim to win by submission
Predicted Score: Jaqueline Amorim wins by submission in Round 2
Lightweight MMA bout between James Vick and Ali Al Qaisi, both skilled finishers with recent strong submissions and KO/TKO performances.
Key Factors to Consider
James Vick demonstrates solid recent form with notable KO/TKO and submission wins, including a KO over Joseph Duffy. Ali Al Qaisi also shows effective submission skills with a recent third-round submission win over Jesse Arnett.
No previous direct matchups between James Vick and Ali Al Qaisi are recorded.
No known recent injuries reported for either fighter.
No notable external factors affecting the fight; venue and conditions presumed neutral.
Both fighters appear motivated; Vick aiming to regain momentum in UFC lightweight division, Al Qaisi building a UFC record after recent success in UAE Warriors.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
James Vick: -275, Ali Al Qaisi: +185
James Vick
★★★★☆ 74%
Spread
James Vick -1.5 rounds: -110, Ali Al Qaisi +1.5 rounds: -110
James Vick -1.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100
Over 2.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
James Vick -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: James Vick at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
James Vick to win by moneyline
Predicted Score: James Vick wins by decision or late TKO in round 3
Location: ACA 194 event venue (exact location not specified)
Game Overview
The matchup features Guram Kutateladze (33 years old, 13-5 record) against Victor Hugo Silva (32 years old, 25-6 record) in a competitive ACA 194 bout. Kutateladze is favored for his reach, striking speed, and technical ability while Silva brings a larger fight sample and strong ground game. The fight is expected to be dynamic between striking and grappling exchanges.
Key Factors to Consider
Kutateladze holds a 13-5 record with a strong striking background including 6 KOs and 1 submission win. Silva is more experienced with 25-6 record, 6 KOs and 4 submissions, showing more diversity in finishes.
No prior head-to-head matchup found, making this a fresh contest without psychological or tactical history.
No reported injuries for either fighter, indicating both are in full health for this contest.
Fight taking place at ACA 194 with standard conditions; no significant external or environmental factors influencing fighter performance.
Kutateladze is riding mixed recent form but motivated to consolidate his place at ACA's upper level; Silva aims to leverage experience and finish capability to assert dominance in the division.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Guram Kutateladze: -400, Victor Hugo Silva: 250
Guram Kutateladze
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Guram Kutateladze -1.5 rounds: +140, Victor Hugo Silva +1.5 rounds: -160
Guram Kutateladze -1.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 1.5 rounds: -115, Under 1.5 rounds: -105
Over 1.5 rounds
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Guram Kutateladze -8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Guram Kutateladze at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Guram Kutateladze wins via unanimous decision
Predicted Score: Guram Kutateladze wins by decision after 3 rounds
MMA bout in an unspecified organization between undefeated prospect Imamshafi Aliev and UFC veteran John Allan.
Key Factors to Consider
Aliev is an unproven but heavily backed prospect by oddsmakers with a large price. John Allan is a UFC-proven fighter, though often as an underdog, with recent appearances in Cage Warriors, suggesting regional-level action and inconsistent form[3]. No recent high-level data is available for Aliev, but bookmakers' odds signal perceived dominance.
No prior head-to-head matchup between the two.
No public injury reports for either fighter.
The event location is unspecified. Aliev may have a promotional push or regional backing given the odds. No known late changes to the card or refereeing assignments.
Aliev is a rising prospect, likely motivated to stay unbeaten and build his resume. John Allan, an experienced journeyman, is in the later stages of his career and may be fighting for stability rather than a major breakthrough.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Aliev -2000, Allan +1000
Aliev
★★★★★ 90%
Spread
Aliev -5.5 rounds (estimate, not official line)
Aliev -5.5
★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under
Over 1.5 rounds +110, Under 1.5 -140 (estimate, not official line)
Under 1.5
★★★★☆ 75%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Imamshafi Aliev -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Imamshafi Aliev at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Imamshafi Aliev dominates John Allan due to strong promotional backing and perceived skill differential, with a finish most likely early in the fight.
Predicted Score: Aliev by 1st or 2nd round TKO/KO or Submission
Middleweight main event featuring Reinier de Ridder, a physically imposing southpaw with elite grappling, against Brendan Allen, a younger, durable orthodox striker with solid submissions and reach disadvantage.
Key Factors to Consider
de Ridder holds a strong recent form with a notable 5-round split decision win over Robert Whittaker in July. Allen has a solid record but fewer recent marquee wins.
No prior head-to-head bouts reported. Styles contrast with de Ridder's grappling and Allen's striking-submission hybrid game.
No public injury reports for either fighter; both appear healthy entering the fight.
Fight taking place in a standard UFC event environment with no significant external factors disadvantaging either fighter; de Ridder slightly older at 35 vs 29 but with better championship experience.
de Ridder motivated by defending his rising middleweight status; Allen aiming to cement a top contender position but viewed as underdog.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
de Ridder: -198, Allen: +164
Reinier de Ridder
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
de Ridder -9.5 (-120), Allen +9.5 (-110)
Reinier de Ridder -9.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 3.5 (+105), Under 3.5 (-135)
Under 3.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Reinier de Ridder -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 3.5 1%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Reinier de Ridder to win by decision
Predicted Score: de Ridder wins via unanimous decision after 5 rounds
Kevin Holland and Mike Malott face off in a fairly balanced matchup with even moneyline odds, reflecting a nearly 50-50 chance of victory between the two fighters. The bout is expected to be competitive with a striking vs grappling contrast.
Key Factors to Consider
Kevin Holland has shown inconsistent recent form with solid striking but some vulnerabilities in grappling defense, while Mike Malott has performed well in recent fights, notably strong in submissions and consistent pressure.
No previous recorded matchups between Holland and Malott, so no direct H2H data to influence the prediction.
No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, both are expected to be at full health.
Fight scheduled in Vancouver which may slightly favor Holland due to closer regional fan support and environment familiarity.
Holland is looking to rebound after mixed results to remain relevant in UFC rankings; Malott aims to solidify his place with a signature win, possibly adding extra pressure and focus to his performance.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Kevin Holland: -110, Mike Malott: -110
Mike Malott
★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread
Kevin Holland +3.5: -155, Mike Malott -3.5: 115
Mike Malott -3.5
★★★☆☆ 54%
Over/under
Over 2.5 rounds: 140, Under 2.5 rounds: -180
Over 2.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 52%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Mike Malott 11%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 27%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline win for Mike Malott
Predicted Score: Mike Malott wins by decision after 3 rounds
Vancouver native Aiemann Zahabi, a rising force in the UFC bantamweight division, faces former interim title challenger Marlon 'Chito' Vera. Zahabi is on a six-fight win streak, showing significant improvement in striking defense and cardio. Vera is a durable, high-level action fighter known for his durability, volume, and dangerous submissions, but he is returning off a tough title-fight loss and possible physical toll. The odds reflect Zahabi as the favorite, but Vera's experience and finishing ability make this a compelling stylistic matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
Zahabi is 6-0 in his last six—impressive for a 37-year-old; Vera is 3-3 in his last six, with losses coming against the division's elite. Zahabi lands more significant strikes per minute (4.42 to Vera's 4.27) and defends better (69% defense to Vera's 50%). Vera absorbs more strikes (5.37/minute to Zahabi's 4.13/minute), suggesting a defensively sound Zahabi could win exchanges[1].
No prior H2H. Vera's edge is in big-fight experience; Zahabi's rising momentum and technical improvements are the counterpoint.
No public injury reports for either fighter. Vera's long career and recent grueling bouts introduce some uncertainty.
Zahabi fights in his home country, likely drawing crowd support. Vera has fought on big stages, so pressure is familiar.
Zahabi seeks to prove he's an elite contender and finally break into the top 10; Vera needs to rebound impressively to stay relevant in the title picture.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Zahabi -122, Vera +102
Aiemann Zahabi
★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread
Zahabi +3.5 -230, Vera -3.5 +165
Aiemann Zahabi +3.5
★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under
Over 2.5 rounds -375, Under 2.5 +270
Under 2.5 rounds
★★☆☆☆ 45%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Aiemann Zahabi 6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 155%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 155% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 57.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Aiemann Zahabi, riding momentum and with a defensive edge, wins a competitive, high-paced striking battle. Vera's durability and finishing threat keep it close, but Zahabi's technical growth, cardio, and home crowd advantage are likely decisive.
Predicted Score: Aiemann Zahabi def. Marlon Vera by Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
