Match Analysis: Mike Malott vs Charlie Radtke – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-10
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Bell Centre, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
Game Overview
Mike Malott, known for his early finishing ability and submission skills, faces Charles Radtke, a tactical and resilient fighter coming off a TKO win. The bout is at welterweight and is generating significant interest, with Malott as the favorite due to his recent performances and home-country advantage. Both fighters are coming off wins, with Malott's last being a unanimous decision over Trevin Giles, while Radtke recently scored a TKO over Matthew Semelsberger.
Key Factors to Consider
- Malott has an 11-2-1 record and has shown strong finishing ability, especially in the early rounds. Radtke stands at 10-4, with a tactical style and good endurance; he can gain momentum if the fight goes past the first two rounds.
- No previous matchups between Malott and Radtke.
- No major pre-fight injuries reported for either fighter.
- Malott fights at home in Canada, which may boost his motivation. Radtke has engaged in pre-fight trash talk, but Malott remains focused.
- Both fighters are highly motivated: Malott to impress his home crowd and continue his win streak, Radtke to prove himself against a higher-ranked opponent.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | {'Mike Malott': -166, 'Charlie Radtke': 140} | Mike Malott to win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | {'Mike Malott -3.5': -115, 'Charlie Radtke +3.5': -115} | Mike Malott -3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | {'Over 1.5': -154, 'Under 1.5': 120} | Under 1.5 (fight ends in 1st or 2nd round) | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Mike Malott -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 1.5 21% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mike Malott is favored due to his superior finishing ability and recent momentum. He’s expected to push aggressively in the early rounds, with a strong chance to finish Radtke via TKO in the first or second round. However, Radtke’s resilience and tactical approach could swing the fight if it goes late, but Malott’s home crowd and early aggression are likely decisive factors.
Predicted Score: Predicted Method: Mike Malott by TKO, Round 2