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Mickael Lebout vs. Amin Ayoub Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Mickael Lebout vs Amin Ayoub – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: LDLC Arena, Lyon, France

Game Overview

This is a main card MMA fight at KSW 106, catchweight (159 lbs). Mickael Lebout, a French veteran with a strong wrestling and submission base, faces Amin Ayoub, known for dynamic stand-up and grappling skills. Both fighters have experience in high-profile promotions, with Ayoub coming in as a moderate favorite according to bookmakers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ayoub is a versatile fighter with recent success in stand-up and scrambles. Lebout, while experienced, has shown inconsistency in recent years against higher-paced opponents. Ayoub’s ability to dictate the pace and use a diverse skillset gives him a slight edge.
  • No direct head-to-head history between these fighters in official MMA competition. Each has faced a diversified level of competition in European promotions.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Event in France provides a home-crowd advantage for Lebout, but there is no indication of significant weigh-in issues or external distractions for either athlete.
  • Both fighters are motivated for a high-profile win on a major MMA card. Lebout seeks to re-establish himself, while Ayoub looks to build momentum for future title opportunities.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Amin Ayoub: -260, Mickael Lebout: 175 Amin Ayoub wins High (75%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Amin Ayoub -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Amin Ayoub at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Amin Ayoub is favored to win by decision or late technicality, likely controlling the fight with speed, volume, and versatility. Lebout's best chance is an early takedown leading to a submission, but Ayoub's defensive grappling and cardio are expected to prevail.

Predicted Score: Predicted fight outcome: Amin Ayoub by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 30-27)


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Mike Malott vs. Charlie Radtke Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Mike Malott vs Charlie Radtke – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Bell Centre, Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Game Overview

Mike Malott, known for his early finishing ability and submission skills, faces Charles Radtke, a tactical and resilient fighter coming off a TKO win. The bout is at welterweight and is generating significant interest, with Malott as the favorite due to his recent performances and home-country advantage. Both fighters are coming off wins, with Malott's last being a unanimous decision over Trevin Giles, while Radtke recently scored a TKO over Matthew Semelsberger.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Malott has an 11-2-1 record and has shown strong finishing ability, especially in the early rounds. Radtke stands at 10-4, with a tactical style and good endurance; he can gain momentum if the fight goes past the first two rounds.
  • No previous matchups between Malott and Radtke.
  • No major pre-fight injuries reported for either fighter.
  • Malott fights at home in Canada, which may boost his motivation. Radtke has engaged in pre-fight trash talk, but Malott remains focused.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated: Malott to impress his home crowd and continue his win streak, Radtke to prove himself against a higher-ranked opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline {'Mike Malott': -166, 'Charlie Radtke': 140} Mike Malott to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread {'Mike Malott -3.5': -115, 'Charlie Radtke +3.5': -115} Mike Malott -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under {'Over 1.5': -154, 'Under 1.5': 120} Under 1.5 (fight ends in 1st or 2nd round) ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mike Malott -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mike Malott is favored due to his superior finishing ability and recent momentum. He’s expected to push aggressively in the early rounds, with a strong chance to finish Radtke via TKO in the first or second round. However, Radtke’s resilience and tactical approach could swing the fight if it goes late, but Malott’s home crowd and early aggression are likely decisive factors.

Predicted Score: Predicted Method: Mike Malott by TKO, Round 2


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Navajo Stirling vs. Ivan Erslan Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Navajo Stirling vs Ivan Erslan – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC (Prelims, Light Heavyweight Division)

Game Overview

This is a preliminary light heavyweight bout in the UFC, featuring Navajo Stirling (New Zealand) versus Ivan Erslan (Croatia). Stirling is the betting favorite, with Erslan considered a significant underdog. Both fighters are relatively tall for the division and have a competitive reach, though Stirling holds a slight edge in both height and reach. The fight is scheduled for May 10, 2025, as part of the UFC 315 event.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Navajo Stirling is a strong contender with a more favorable betting line, indicating superior recent performances or better perceived matchup fit. Ivan Erslan, while experienced, is seen as an underdog, likely due to less dominant performances in recent outings or stylistic disadvantages.
  • No prior head-to-head history found. This is the first known meeting between these two fighters.
  • No injury reports are available at this time for either fighter.
  • No major external factors (weather, location disruptions) reported. Standard UFC prelim event conditions apply.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, especially Erslan looking to upset the odds, while Stirling aims to maintain momentum and justify his status as favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Navajo Stirling -325 | Ivan Erslan 260 Navajo Stirling ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Navajo Stirling -3.5 (-190) | Ivan Erslan +3.5 (140) Navajo Stirling covers (wins by 4 or more points/rounds/KO/Submission) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 Rounds (-175) | Under 1.5 Rounds (135) Over 1.5 Rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Navajo Stirling -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Navajo Stirling is favored to win by decision or late stoppage, leveraging his reach and technical striking. However, given the unpredictability of MMA, an Erslan upset via knockout remains a plausible risk.

Predicted Score: Navajo Stirling by Decision (Unanimous), 30-27 on scorecards.


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Modestas Bukauskas vs. Ion Cutelaba Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Modestas Bukauskas vs Ion Cutelaba – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Event Venue (exact venue not specified)

Game Overview

The UFC 315 prelims feature a Light Heavyweight bout between Modestas Bukauskas and Ion Cutelaba. Both fighters have solid UFC experience with Bukauskas holding a 5-4 UFC record and Cutelaba with an 8-9-1 UFC record. Bukauskas, known for his well-rounded striking and grappling, aims to secure a finish, while Cutelaba brings aggressive style and resilience. The fight is expected to be competitive and likely to be decided by striking exchanges and the ability to implement game plans under pressure.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bukauskas has recovered from a three-fight skid and appears focused with improved strategy and composure, demonstrated in recent interviews. Cutelaba maintains an aggressive approach but has a slightly less consistent record in UFC bouts, indicating volatility in performance.
  • This matchup appears to be their first meeting, with no prior head-to-head record available. Both fighters have comparable UFC experience but differ slightly in fighting style and recent form.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to this bout as of the latest updates.
  • The fight is on UFC prelims, possibly affecting the fighters' motivation to make a strong impression for a potential main card rise. Modestas Bukauskas has publicly expressed motivation to earn a bonus-worthy performance, which may give him an edge.
  • Bukauskas is highly motivated to capitalize on recent progress and move closer to a significant UFC milestone. Cutelaba is known for his fighting spirit but may face pressure to improve his UFC record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Modestas Bukauskas: -108, Ion Cutelaba: -112 Modestas Bukauskas ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Modestas Bukauskas +3.5: -140, Ion Cutelaba -3.5: 100 Modestas Bukauskas +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -154, Under 1.5 rounds: 120 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Modestas Bukauskas -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Modestas Bukauskas is predicted to win, likely by a finish given his stated game plan and recent confidence. The fight may go to a late stoppage or decision if Cutelaba withstands early aggression.

Predicted Score: Bukauskas wins by TKO/KO or decision in Round 2 or 3


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Jessica Andrade vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jessica Andrade vs Jasmine Jasudavicius – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Bell Centre, Montreal, Canada

Game Overview

This UFC 315 preliminary card bout features a women's flyweight clash between former strawweight champion Jessica Andrade and Canadian rising contender Jasmine Jasudavicius. Jasudavicius, riding a strong winning streak, is eager to prove her title credentials by defeating a former champion. Andrade, known for her power and experience across multiple divisions, looks to bounce back and reassert herself near the top of the flyweight rankings. The matchup contrasts Jasudavicius' size, durability, and mat skills against Andrade's knockout power and veteran savvy.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jasudavicius (13-3, 7-2 UFC) enters with momentum, recently showcasing improved finishing ability, especially on the mat. Andrade (26-13, 17-11 UFC), one of the most decorated women in UFC history, is coming off a return to form in 2024 after a challenging 2023, but has historically struggled against larger flyweights.
  • No prior matchups. Andrade's experience and power are offset by her size disadvantage at flyweight. Jasudavicius has faced and beaten several Brazilian opponents recently, building a strong regional reputation within the division.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • The fight takes place in Montreal, Canada, giving Jasudavicius a hometown advantage. Andrade has been a consistent top-10 fighter but is undersized compared to Jasudavicius at flyweight. Personal turmoil for Andrade in recent years may be a consideration, but she has rebounded in her latest bouts.
  • Jasudavicius is highly motivated to leap into title contention with a win over a decorated opponent. Andrade, the former champ, is motivated to reclaim her spot at the top and prove her resilience after recent personal struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jasmine Jasudavicius: -310, Jessica Andrade: +250 Jasmine Jasudavicius High (75%)
Spread Jasmine Jasudavicius: -3.5 (-135), Jessica Andrade: +3.5 (+100) Jasmine Jasudavicius covers (-3.5) Medium-High (65%)
Over/under Over: 2.5 (-145), Under: 2.5 (+114) Under 2.5 Rounds Medium (55%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jasmine Jasudavicius -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jasudavicius wins, likely via late stoppage or submission. Her size, durability, and mat skills are expected to overcome Andrade's power and experience, especially given the Canadian's recent form and Andrade's historical struggles against larger flyweights.

Predicted Score: Jasmine Jasudavicius defeats Jessica Andrade by submission or TKO in Round 2


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Bekzat Almakhan vs. Brad Katona Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Bekzat Almakhan vs Brad Katona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Bell Centre, Montréal, Québec, Canada

Game Overview

This is a UFC 315 preliminary bantamweight bout between Bekzat Almakhan (11-2, 0-1 UFC) and Brad Katona (14-4, 4-4 UFC). Almakhan enters as a slight favorite with higher upside, while Katona brings UFC experience and consistency. The fight is expected to be competitive, with both fighters having paths to victory.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Almakhan is an aggressive striker with a strong regional record, looking to rebound from his UFC debut loss. Katona is well-rounded, with solid wrestling and cardio, and a reputation for being difficult to finish. Both have shown resilience and adaptability in their recent bouts.
  • No prior fights between these two fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter as of fight week.
  • Fight is in Canada, which may give Katona a slight crowd advantage. Both are acclimated to the venue and similar conditions.
  • Almakhan is motivated to secure his first UFC win. Katona is looking to break his pattern of 'consistent to a fault' performances and move up the ranks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Almakhan: -156, Katona: 136 Almakhan ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Not widely available for MMA, but equivalent implied line: Almakhan -1.5 (~ +175), Katona +1.5 (~ -210) Almakhan to cover if line exists, but Katona +1.5 is safer 55% (Almakhan cover), 70% (Katona +1.5)
Over/under Over 2.5: -325, Under 2.5: +250 Over 2.5 ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bekzat Almakhan 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bekzat Almakhan at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Almakhan is the slight favorite due to his striking power and potential, but Katona's experience and grappling could level the playing field. Expect a competitive fight, with Almakhan likely to win by decision, though Katona could spring an upset with effective grappling.

Predicted Score: Decision win for Bekzat Almakhan (Almakhan 29-28 on scorecards)


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Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Bruno Silva Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Marc-Andre Barriault vs Bruno Silva – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Bell Centre, Montréal, Québec, Canada

Game Overview

The UFC 315 prelim middleweight bout between Marc-André Barriault and Bruno Silva on May 10, 2025, is a key fight for both fighters seeking to break losing streaks. Barriault, a Quebec native, returns to compete in his home province for the first time since 2018, aiming to leverage home advantage after three consecutive losses. Silva, a Brazilian striker with black belt BJJ credentials, enters on a difficult four-fight losing streak and recently took a hiatus due to anxiety issues. This matchup promises an exciting striking battle, complemented by potential grappling exchanges due to Silva's superior ground skills.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barriault brings volume striking and pressure, while Silva offers power striking and high-level Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. Both have struggled recently with Barriault at 1-6 in UFC and Silva 4-6 in UFC. Silva’s recent four-fight losing streak and recent mental health break may affect performance. Barriault aims to rally with home support and familiarity at Bell Centre.
  • This is the first meeting between Marc-André Barriault and Bruno Silva, so no direct head-to-head data exists.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter prior to the bout.
  • Fighting in Montreal, Barriault benefits from home crowd support and motivation to win at home after a long absence. Silva may face psychological challenges from recent anxiety crisis and losing streak. The long-awaited UFC return to Montreal adds significance.
  • Barriault is in must-win territory to revive his UFC career and reignite momentum in front of a home crowd. Silva seeks to overcome recent mental health challenges and prolonged losing skid, aiming to get back on track in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bruno Silva: 130, Marc-Andre Barriault: -155 Marc-André Barriault ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Bruno Silva +3.5: -150, Marc-Andre Barriault -3.5: 110 Marc-André Barriault -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -200, Under 1.5 rounds: 154 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marc-Andre Barriault 43%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Marc-Andre Barriault at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marc-André Barriault is predicted to narrowly outpoint Bruno Silva via decision. Barriault's pressure and volume striking, combined with home advantage, are expected to neutralize Silva's power and grappling. Silva's BJJ skills could pose a threat if he manages to take the fight to the ground, but Barriault’s durability and cardio should allow him to avoid prolonged submission danger.

Predicted Score: Marc-André Barriault wins by unanimous decision after three rounds


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Jeongyoung Lee vs. Daniel Santos Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jeongyoung Lee vs Daniel Santos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Centre Bell, Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Game Overview

UFC 315 features an early prelim featherweight showdown between Daniel 'Willycat' Santos (Brazil) and JeongYeong 'Korean Tiger' Lee (South Korea). Santos, known for dynamic striking and aggressive offense, steps in on short notice after nearly two years of inactivity due to a series of fight cancellations. Lee, a BJJ black belt, is recognized for his explosive finishes and submission skills, but his last fight saw a first-round TKO loss, raising questions about his striking defense. Both fighters aim to rebound and climb the featherweight rankings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Santos has a 12-2 record (6 KOs, 2 subs), with his last win in June 2023. He is aggressive and has three first-round finishes. JeongYeong Lee is 11-2 (4 KOs, 3 subs), with five first-round wins. His last fight was a first-round TKO loss in July 2024.
  • No previous fights between Santos and Lee.
  • No recent major injuries reported, but Santos has a history of fight withdrawals. Both have had fight cancellation issues, and Santos hasn't competed since June 2023.
  • Santos taking the fight on short notice may impact conditioning and preparation. Lee has a full camp and is coming off a recent loss.
  • High motivation for both fighters. Santos needs a win to regain UFC trust after several withdrawals. Lee seeks a statement win after a recent setback.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Daniel Santos: -102, Jeongyoung Lee: -118 Jeongyoung Lee Moneyline ★★★☆☆ 64%
Spread Daniel Santos: 3.5 -175, Jeongyoung Lee: -3.5 125 Jeongyoung Lee -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over: 2.5 100, Under: 2.5 -130 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 67%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jeongyoung Lee -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Expect a competitive, fast-paced featherweight clash. Santos brings unpredictable, aggressive striking but may struggle with ring rust. Lee's grappling and experience in recent fights give him the edge. Given the short notice for Santos and Lee's desperation to rebound, the fight could end early, with Lee's submission or ground control standing out. However, Santos' upside as a finisher cannot be ignored.

Predicted Score: Jeongyoung Lee by Submission (Round 2)


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Corey McLaughlin vs. Nahom Wedi Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Corey McLaughlin vs Nahom Wedi – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The SSE Arena, Belfast, Northern Ireland

Game Overview

Corey McLaughlin (0-1-0, Northern Ireland) is set to face Nahom 'Blessed' Wedi (professional debut, Eritrea) in a featherweight bout under the PFL Europe banner. Wedi is a decorated amateur fighter making his pro debut, while McLaughlin seeks his first win after a loss in his pro debut.

Key Factors to Consider

  • McLaughlin: 0-1-0 professional record; Wedi: Pro debut, but highly decorated amateur background.
  • First official professional meeting.
  • No public injury reports for either fighter.
  • Bout is scheduled for Belfast, McLaughlin's home region, which may provide a minor crowd advantage.
  • McLaughlin is motivated to get his first pro win. Wedi is eager to make a strong debut impression.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Corey McLaughlin: +175, Nahom Wedi: -260 Nahom Wedi ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nahom Wedi -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nahom Wedi at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nahom Wedi enters with significant amateur success and is expected to control the fight, especially given the betting odds and his opponent's limited pro experience. However, McLaughlin's home advantage and determination could provide a wildcard factor.

Predicted Score: Nahom Wedi by Submission or Decision, round 2 or 3


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Aymard Guih vs. Mateusz Makarowski Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Aymard Guih vs Mateusz Makarowski – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Lyon, France

Game Overview

Aymard Guih (19-13) faces Mateusz Makarowski (12-7-1) in a lightweight bout at KSW 106. Both fighters are experienced, with Guih holding a slight edge in overall fight volume. The bout is set to take place at 155 lbs.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Aymard Guih has faced a higher caliber of opponents and is more active in top European promotions. Mateusz Makarowski has a respectable record but has experienced inconsistency in recent bouts.
  • No prior head-to-head bouts between these fighters have been recorded.
  • No official injury reports found for either fighter as of the fight announcement.
  • Guih will have a home advantage in France, which could influence crowd support and judging.
  • Both fighters are seeking to climb the lightweight ranks in KSW. Guih may be more motivated by the home crowd, while Makarowski will be eager to rebound from previous losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aymard Guih: -300 | Mateusz Makarowski: 200 Aymard Guih High

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aymard Guih -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Aymard Guih at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Aymard Guih is favored to win by decision or late stoppage due to his experience, higher activity, and home advantage. Makarowski's best path is an early finish, as he may struggle with Guih's pace in later rounds.

Predicted Score: Aymard Guih by Unanimous Decision or Late TKO


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