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Matteo Martignoni vs. Luca Tarabori Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Matteo Martignoni vs Luca Tarabori – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: PalaPellicone, Lido di Ostia, Rome, Italy

Game Overview

The fight between Matteo Martignoni and Luca Tarabori is set for the Cage Warriors 189 event on May 31, 2025, in Rome at PalaPellicone. This bout is scheduled for the featherweight division (145 lbs) and is part of a card featuring top Italian MMA talents. Martignoni enters as the home favorite with shorter odds, indicating bookmaker confidence in his chances over Tarabori.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Matteo Martignoni has displayed solid performances leading up to this fight, showing technical striking and grappling balance. Luca Tarabori, while skilled, is the underdog, suggesting less consistent recent results or lower betting confidence. Both fighters have demonstrated resilience, but Martignoni's home advantage and form appear superior based on available data.
  • No specific head-to-head data is available for Matteo Martignoni vs. Luca Tarabori, indicating this may be their first professional encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either Matteo Martignoni or Luca Tarabori prior to the fight, suggesting both athletes should compete at full capacity.
  • The event takes place in Rome, Italy, which may benefit Martignoni if he is locally based, providing crowd support and familiarity with the environment. Travel or acclimatization factors for Tarabori could play a minor role.
  • Both fighters are expected to be highly motivated to succeed on a prominent card featuring top Italian MMA fighters. Martignoni’s favored status may add pressure to perform, while Tarabori could be motivated to upset the odds.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Matteo Martignoni: -220, Luca Tarabori: 180 Matteo Martignoni β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Matteo Martignoni: -1.5 rounds, Luca Tarabori: +1.5 rounds Matteo Martignoni to win by more than 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Matteo Martignoni -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Matteo Martignoni at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Matteo Martignoni is predicted to win the match based on current odds and home advantage. His technical skills and form give him the edge over Luca Tarabori in a competitive bout.

Predicted Score: Martignoni wins via decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds


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Alik Lorenz vs. Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Alik Lorenz vs Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-27
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Not Provided

Game Overview

Alik Lorenz faces Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev in a light heavyweight bout at the Dana White's Contender Series 2025. Lorenz is known for his aggressive style and powerful strikes, while Yakhyaev is the current Ares FC champion with a balanced skillset.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Yakhyaev is the more well-rounded fighter, having won via decision, KO/TKO, and submission. Lorenz relies heavily on his power and has a 100% finish rate.
  • No previous head-to-head matchup.
  • No injuries reported.
  • Motivation is high for both fighters looking to secure a UFC contract.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a UFC contract.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Yakhyaev: -900, Lorenz: 600 Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Over/under Over 1.5: 190, Under 1.5: -240 Under 1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev is favored to win due to his technical skills and recent title fights experience.

Predicted Score: Yakhyaev by decision or early stoppage


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Cristian PΓ©rez vs. Manoel Sousa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Cristian PΓ©rez vs Manoel Sousa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-27
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Game Overview

Cristian PΓ©rez, an exceptional grappler relying on ground control and submissions, faces Manoel Sousa, a powerful striker known for his knockout ability. The matchup presents a classic grappler versus striker dynamic, making the fight outcome uncertain but strategically interesting for betting.

Key Factors to Consider

  • PΓ©rez holds a record of 13-1, demonstrating consistent grappling dominance and control. Sousa has an 11-1 record showcasing strong striking and finishing power. Both fighters have shown recent strong form in their respective specialties.
  • No prior head-to-head fights exist between PΓ©rez and Sousa, adding an element of unpredictability.
  • No reported current injuries for either fighter leading into the matchup, indicating both should be at full strength.
  • The bout takes place at Contender Series 2025 Week 3 in Las Vegas, a high-profile environment where both fighters are motivated to impress Dana White and advance their careers.
  • Both fighters appear highly motivated; PΓ©rez aims to demonstrate grappling supremacy to secure UFC opportunities, while Sousa seeks to capitalize on his striking power to claim a highlight finish. Motivation is balanced.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cristian PΓ©rez: +240, Manoel Sousa: -300 Manoel Sousa β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Sousa -1.5: -150, PΓ©rez +1.5: +130 Sousa -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 1.5: -215, Under 1.5: +175 Over 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manoel Sousa -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 -15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Manoel Sousa at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manoel Sousa is favored to win via striking prowess, but Cristian PΓ©rez's grappling threat makes the fight competitive. Given odds and styles, betting on Sousa moneyline offers the highest expected value. Spread favors Sousa to win by decision or finish narrowly. Over 1.5 rounds is favored given fight duration expectations.

Predicted Score: Manoel Sousa wins via decision or late finish in round 2 or 3


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Damon Wilson vs. MΓ‘rcio Barbosa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Damon Wilson vs MΓ‘rcio Barbosa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-27
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

Featherweight division main card fight between Damon Wilson (9-2) and MΓ‘rcio Barbosa (16-2) on Dana White's Contender Series.

Key Factors to Consider

  • MΓ‘rcio Barbosa holds a more extensive record with 16 wins and 2 losses compared to Damon Wilson's 9 wins and 2 losses. Barbosa has displayed consistent form in recent fights with odds movement favoring him as a clear favorite; Wilson is seen as an underdog but has competitive wins.
  • No direct head-to-head data available; this is their first meeting.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter going into this matchup.
  • The fight is part of a high-stakes Dana White's Contender Series event, increasing motivation especially for Wilson who is the underdog and looking to prove himself for UFC recognition.
  • Wilson likely has increased motivation as the underdog looking to capitalize on this showcase; Barbosa as the seasoned favorite carries pressure to deliver and maintain standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Damon Wilson: +265, MΓ‘rcio Barbosa: -340 MΓ‘rcio Barbosa β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread MΓ‘rcio Barbosa -1.5 rounds: -120, Damon Wilson +1.5 rounds: +100 MΓ‘rcio Barbosa -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: +155, Under 1.5 rounds: -185 Under 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline MΓ‘rcio Barbosa -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -4%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

MΓ‘rcio Barbosa to win via moneyline and cover the spread, with the fight going under 1.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: MΓ‘rcio Barbosa wins by TKO in round 1


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Darion Abbey vs. Donte Johnson Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Darion Abbey vs Donte Johnson – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-27
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

This matchup features Darion Abbey, a 7-4 heavyweight with significant size and reach advantages, against undefeated 5-0 light heavyweight Donte Johnson. Abbey is the older, heavier fighter, while Johnson is younger and undefeated, indicating rising talent and momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Darion Abbey has a solid but mixed record of 7-4, showing vulnerability but experience in heavyweight fights. Donte Johnson is undefeated at 5-0, with strong recent form and momentum.
  • No direct previous matchups between Abbey and Johnson exist, meaning preparation and adaptation on fight night will be crucial.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter, indicating both are in normal training condition.
  • The fight takes place at a high-stakes Dana White Contender Series event, increasing motivation for Johnson, the undefeated prospect, eager to prove himself with a UFC contract.
  • Donte Johnson's undefeated status and younger age create a strong motivation to maintain the streak and advance his career. Abbey, with a more seasoned but less stellar record, is motivated to upset and return to prominence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Darion Abbey: +275, Donte Johnson: -350 Donte Johnson β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Donte Johnson -1.5: -150, Darion Abbey +1.5: +130 Donte Johnson -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: +190, Under 1.5 rounds: -230 Under 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Donte Johnson -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -14%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Donte Johnson at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Donte Johnson via decision

Predicted Score: Donte Johnson wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Trent Miller vs. Ryan Gandra Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Trent Miller vs Ryan Gandra – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-26
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

Middleweight MMA matchup between Trent Miller (8-2) and Ryan Gandra (7-1) on Dana White's Contender Series.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ryan Gandra holds a strong 7-1 record with consistent recent performances; Trent Miller is 8-2, slightly more experienced but with two recent losses affecting momentum.
  • No available direct head-to-head history between the two fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout.
  • Fight taking place on a major platform, Dana White's Contender Series, likely increasing motivation for both fighters to impress for UFC contract opportunities.
  • Both fighters highly motivated; Ryan Gandra has slightly better recent form suggesting a psychological edge, while Trent Miller may be under pressure to rebound from losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ryan Gandra: -370, Trent Miller: +295 Ryan Gandra β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread +125 for Gandra -1.5 rounds Ryan Gandra -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 1.5: +125, Under 1.5: -155 Under 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ryan Gandra -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ryan Gandra moneyline win, spread in favor of Gandra by at least 1.5 rounds, and under 1.5 rounds total.

Predicted Score: Ryan Gandra wins via decision or late stoppage in round 2


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Levi Rigters vs. Ben Sosoli Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Levi Rigters vs Ben Sosoli – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Levi Rigters is known for his striking prowess and reach, which could give him an edge against Ben Sosoli. Sosoli's strategy might involve closing the gap to neutralize Rigters' height advantage, potentially leading to a competitive bout.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rigters has superior striking technique, while Sosoli might rely on resilience and takedown attempts.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Neither fighter seems to have significant external factors influencing their performance.
  • Both fighters are likely highly motivated for this bout.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Levi Rigters is favored to win given his technical advantage.

Predicted Score: Levi Rigters by decision (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)


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Rade Opacic vs. Ionut Iancu Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Rade Opacic vs Ionut Iancu – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Unknown Venue

Game Overview

Rade Opacic faces Ionut Iancu in a high-intensity clash featuring Opacic's striking power against Iancu's grappling versatility. The fight is expected to be a battle between stand-up and ground control tactics.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Opacic has demonstrated strong striking and resilience with solid past performances against top kickboxers. Iancu exhibits a versatile style with effective grappling, making him formidable on the ground.
  • No previous documented head-to-head records available, but stylistic contrast favors Opacic in striking and Iancu on the mat.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • No significant external factors or disruptions noted; fight preparation appears standard.
  • Both fighters have high motivation: Opacic to assert dominance with striking, Iancu to prove his grappling can neutralize striking specialists.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rade Opacic: -145, Ionut Iancu: +125, Draw: +2500 Rade Opacic β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Opacic -1.5 rounds: +110, Iancu +1.5 rounds: -130 Opacic -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -115, Under 2.5 rounds: -105 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Rade Opacic to win; Spread: Opacic by -1.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds (fight likely to end before third round).

Predicted Score: Rade Opacic wins by TKO in round 2


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Alin Nechita vs. Naim Hebbar Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Alin Nechita vs Naim Hebbar – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Chico

Game Overview

Alin Nechita faces Naim Hebbar in a Glory Kickboxing MMA bout. Nechita enters as a strong favorite across bookmakers, reflected in significantly shorter moneyline odds. Both fighters have shown competitive recent form, but Nechita's technical striking and recent performances give him the edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nechita has demonstrated consistent striking accuracy and pace control in his last three fights, securing unanimous decisions and a KO. Hebbar has shown resilience but lacked finishing power and has two decision losses in his prior four fights.
  • No recorded head-to-head matchups between Nechita and Hebbar, making current form and stylistic matchup crucial.
  • No recent or reported injuries from either fighter, both expected to be at full health.
  • The fight location in Chico is neutral territory with no significant crowd advantage. Both fighters have arrived well in advance and completed usual weight-cut protocols.
  • Nechita is motivated by a chance to advance his standings in Glory and contend for a title shot. Hebbar aims to upset the favorite and revive his career momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -400 (Nechita), +275 (Hebbar) Alin Nechita β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread -1.5 rounds -140 (Nechita), +1.5 rounds +110 (Hebbar) Alin Nechita -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -120, Under 2.5 rounds +100 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alin Nechita to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Nechita wins by unanimous decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds


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Mike Kena vs. Errol Koning Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Mike Kena vs Errol Koning – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Unknown (Glory Kickboxing event venue not specified)

Game Overview

Mike Kena enters as a strong favorite over Errol Koning in this Glory Kickboxing MMA bout, with significant advantages in recent form and consistency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mike Kena has demonstrated superior recent performance with a higher finishing rate and fewer vulnerabilities against strikers compared to Koning, who has shown inconsistency in his recent fights.
  • No recorded prior head-to-head meetings, making this their first competitive encounter and a test of current form and styles.
  • No reported significant injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • The bout is part of a high-profile Glory Kickboxing event, which tends to elevate fighter motivation due to exposure and ranking implications.
  • Mike Kena appears highly motivated to maintain his status as a top contender, while Errol Koning is motivated to upset a favorite and gain significant ranking momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mike Kena -500, Errol Koning +300 Mike Kena β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Mike Kena -1.5 rounds (-140), Errol Koning +1.5 rounds (+120) Mike Kena -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mike Kena to win by stoppage within 3 rounds

Predicted Score: Mike Kena wins by TKO at round 2


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