Marek Bartl faces Daniel Schwindt in an MMA match at OKTAGON 68. Bartl is favored with odds of -205, while Schwindt is at 155.
Key Factors to Consider
Marek Bartl has shown strong performance in recent matches, but specific details about his and Daniel Schwindt's current form are not available.
There is no available head-to-head data between Marek Bartl and Daniel Schwindt.
No injury reports are available for either fighter.
External factors such as crowd support and environmental conditions could influence the match, but specific details are not provided.
Both fighters are likely highly motivated, given the stakes of an OKTAGON event.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Marek Bartl: -205, Daniel Schwindt: 155
Marek Bartl
β β β ββ 60%
Predicted Outcome
Marek Bartl is predicted to win due to being favored by the odds.
Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA matches.
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Marek Bartl vs. Daniel Schwindt Prediction
Match Analysis: Marek Bartl vs Daniel Schwindt – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-03-08 Time: 5:00 PM UTC Location: Not specified Game Overview Marek Bartl faces Daniel Schwindt in an MMA match at OKTAGON 68. Bartl is favored with odds of -205, while Schwindt is at 155. Key Factors to Consider Marek Bartl has shown strong […]
Reinier de Ridder steps into a high-stakes main event against Brendan Allen at UFC Vancouver after Anthony Hernandez withdrew due to injury. Allen is the replacement and will face Dricus du Plessis, a former double champ, in a matchup with significant title shot ramifications.
Key Factors to Consider
Brendan Allen is coming off a hard-fought decision win over Marvin Vettori, snapping a two-fight skid, and is ranked #11. De Ridder enters the UFC for the first time with a decorated grappling background but no prior Octagon experience. The leap in competition for de Ridder is significant, while Allenβs activity and proven divisional performance are noteworthy[1][2].
No prior head-to-head meeting, but Allen has lost only to top-10 opponents while De Ridderβs record is mostly outside the UFC.
No known injuries for either fighter. The main change is Allen stepping in on short notice after Hernandez withdrew[1][2].
De Ridderβs UFC debut may bring nerves or excitement; Allen is game-tested in the Octagon and under less pressure as the underdog. The change in opponent may have rattled fight prep for de Ridder[1][2].
Allen has a chance to leap into Top 5 with a win and erase the narrative of only losing to top contenders. De Ridder wants to make a statement in his UFC debut and validate his champion pedigree.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
{Brendan Allen: +135, Reinier de Ridder: -155}
Brendan Allen to win
β β β ββ 61%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Brendan Allen 43%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
π₯ Best Value Pick: Brendan Allen at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
This is a classic striker vs. grappler matchup. De Ridderβs grappling is elite, but Allenβs well-rounded game, UFC-level experience, and recent form suggest he can neutralize De Ridderβs best weapon. Allenβs recent wins have shown steady improvement, and he enters with momentumβvaluable against a UFC debutant. De Ridderβs lack of UFC experience and the short-notice adjustment tilt this toward Allen as a live underdog.
This Bantamweight main card bout features undefeated Mackson Lee (9-0) facing off against seasoned Enrique Hecher Sosa (13-1) at Dana White's Contender Series, with both fighters on recent winning streaks.
Key Factors to Consider
Mackson Lee is undefeated with 9 wins, showing strong finishing ability (1 KO, 3 submissions), while Enrique Hecher Sosa holds an impressive 13-1 record with 6 knockouts and 3 submissions. Both fighters are 5-0 in their last five bouts, indicating excellent recent form.
No previous fights between Mackson Lee and Enrique Hecher Sosa have occurred, making this a first-time matchup.
No notable injuries reported for either fighter ahead of this bout.
The fight takes place on a high-profile Dana White's Contender Series event, providing significant motivation for both fighters to perform impressively for potential UFC contracts. Mackson Lee fights out of Brazil, but the contest is on neutral ground.
Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a UFC contract, but Lee's undefeated streak combined with a younger age (26 vs. 30) gives him a slight edge psychologically.
This light heavyweight matchup features undefeated Iwo Baraniewski (5-0) facing the also undefeated Mahamed Aly (4-0). Both fighters show strong potential but come from different backgrounds β Baraniewski with a judo base and high finish rate, Aly with elite Brazilian jiu-jitsu and versatility in striking and grappling. Aly is a slight favorite on the moneyline given his more diverse skillset and slight physical advantages.
Key Factors to Consider
Baraniewski boasts a 100% finish rate in his 5 wins, with a mix of knockouts and submissions, reflecting aggressive fight style and strong finishing ability. Aly has demonstrated both striking power (noted by head-kick KOs) and high-level grappling, showing multiple paths to victory but against less proven opponents overall.
This will be the first contest between Baraniewski and Aly, with no direct head-to-head history to draw on but comparable undefeated records and fighting styles that suggest a competitive but cautious bout.
No significant injury reports have been disclosed for either fighter heading into this fight, indicating both should be at full strength.
The fight takes place in a high-pressure Dana White's Contender Series environment, where a UFC contract is often on the line, likely increasing motivation for both fighters to perform decisively.
Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a UFC contract, but Alyβs experience facing tougher opponents recently may give him an edge in fight IQ and composure under pressure.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Iwo Baraniewski: +170, Mahamed Aly: -200
Mahamed Aly
β β β β β 72%
Spread
Mahamed Aly -1.5: -140, Iwo Baraniewski +1.5: +120
Mahamed Aly -1.5 rounds
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 1.5: +105, Under 1.5: -125
Under 1.5 rounds
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Mahamed Aly -10%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 1.5 8%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Mahamed Aly to win. Spread: Mahamed Aly -1.5 rounds. Over/Under: Under 1.5 rounds.
Predicted Score: Mahamed Aly wins by decision or late round finish
Middleweight MMA bout between In Soo Hwang and Paddy McCorry on Dana White's Contender Series main card.
Key Factors to Consider
Both fighters are making their professional debuts (0-0 records). No professional fight history limits direct performance comparison. Training camps and amateur records indicate McCorry has slightly more wrestling and grappling experience, while Hwang's style is more striking-oriented.
No prior head-to-head bouts between the two fighters; this is their first matchup.
No reported injuries to either fighter as of fight week; both appear fully fit and prepared.
Fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue with no home advantage. Both fighters are competing on Dana White's Contender Series, providing strong motivation for a UFC contract.
High motivation on both sides due to opportunity to secure UFC contract. McCorry's slightly more versatile skill set may provide an edge in securing a finish, increasing confidence.
Bantamweight bout featuring undefeated Cody Chovancek against experienced Raphael Uchegbu in the Contender Series at UFC Apex.
Key Factors to Consider
Uchegbu comes off strong form (4-1 last 5 fights) with 9 finishes in 11 fights, mixing striking and submissions effectively. Chovancek is undefeated (8-0) showing aggressive wrestling and finishing ability but has shown vulnerabilities to reach and striking.
No prior direct matchups between these fighters; styles contrast with Chovancek favoring wrestling aggression and Uchegbu relying on reach, striking volume, and evolving grappling defense.
No explicit injury reports for either fighter, both apparently in full training health.
Fight held at UFC Apex with no apparent external motivators affecting either fighter; both motivated for Contender Series success and potential UFC contracts.
Chovancek highly motivated for finish as he openly aims to impress for UFC promotion; Uchegbu motivated by leveraging experience and technical advantage with more diverse finishing skill set.
Lightweight bout at Dana White's Contender Series Week 6 featuring Thomas Gantt and Adam Livingston, both undefeated with strong KO records and notable grappling and striking attributes.
Key Factors to Consider
Thomas Gantt holds a 4-0 record with 4 KOs, showing strong finishing ability and a winning streak, while Adam Livingston is 3-0 with 2 KOs, boasting a short winning streak and powerful striking.
No previous head-to-head matchup exists; however, statistical predictions favor Livingston slightly for the win (58%) over Gantt (42%).
No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the contest.
Fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue; no travel or acclimation concerns for either fighter who are both US-based.
Both fighters highly motivated to secure a contract or advancement in Dana White's Contender Series; Ganttβs wrestling credentials suggest extra drive to control and dominate.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Thomas Gantt: -176, Adam Livingston: +142
Thomas Gantt
β β β ββ 68%
Spread
Thomas Gantt -1.5: -110, Adam Livingston +1.5: -110
Thomas Gantt -1.5
β β β ββ 60%
Over/under
Over 1.5: -120, Under 1.5: +100
Under 1.5 rounds
β β β ββ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Thomas Gantt -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
π₯ Best Value Pick: Thomas Gantt at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Featherweight matchup featuring Diego Lopes, a 30-year-old with a 26-7 record and longer reach, against Jean Silva, a 28-year-old with a 16-2 record and a strong technical striking profile. Silva enters as a UFC favorite riding an undefeated UFC record with recent finishes, while Lopes recently lost a title fight but has shown toughness and durability.
Key Factors to Consider
Silva is undefeated in the UFC and has finished his last five opponents, showing excellent striking and grappling defense. Lopes has a solid overall record, coming off a title fight loss and known for durability but is more vulnerable to counters.
No direct H2H fights recorded between Lopes and Silva.
No major injuries reported for either fighter leading up to the fight.
Fight at home territory Frost Bank Center with no external disruptions reported.
Lopes motivated to rebound after title fight loss; Silva motivated to maintain undefeated UFC streak and extend dominance.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Diego Lopes: +195, Jean Silva: -238
Jean Silva
β β β β β 72%
Spread
Diego Lopes +5.5: +120, Jean Silva -5.5: -165
Jean Silva -5.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
Over 2.5: -166, Under 2.5: +130
Under 2.5 rounds
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Jean Silva -12%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 43%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jean Silva to win by decision
Predicted Score: Jean Silva wins by unanimous decision (rounds 5)
Lightweight bout between Rafa Garcia and Jared Gordon on UFC Fight Night 259 with Gordon as a strong favorite based on striking volume and accuracy versus Garcia's grappling strength.
Key Factors to Consider
Jared Gordon holds a record of 21-7-0 (1 NC) and exhibits higher striking volume (5.67 per minute) and accuracy (55%) than Rafa Garcia's 4.01 strikes per minute and 43% accuracy. Garcia has a better takedown rate (3.21 per 15 minutes) and submission threat with eight submission wins.
No direct previous matchups recorded between Rafa Garcia and Jared Gordon.
No significant injuries reported for either fighter approaching the bout.
Fight scheduled at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, neither fighter has a strong home advantage. The event timing and travel appear neutral.
Both fighters are motivated to climb the lightweight rankings. Gordonβs recent KO win boosts confidence, while Garcia aims to capitalize early rounds with grappling.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Jared Gordon -250, Rafa Garcia +205
Jared Gordon
β β β β β 72%
Spread
Jared Gordon -3.5 100, Rafa Garcia +3.5 -140
Jared Gordon -3.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.5 -330, Under 2.5 +240
Over 2.5 rounds
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Jared Gordon -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 -22%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Jared Gordon at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jared Gordon to win by decision
Predicted Score: Jared Gordon wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds
The bantamweight UFC matchup features veteran Rob Font (22-8) facing the younger, rising star David Martinez (12-1). Font is experienced, employing a precise striking style with solid defense, while Martinez is aggressive with high accuracy and a clean record. Both fighters stand orthodox, with Font having a slight reach advantage and absorbing more strikes per minute.
Key Factors to Consider
Fontβs consistency and octagon experience give him an edge, but Martinez shows elite striking efficiency and durability, demonstrated by his undefeated record and recent TKO finish.
No prior direct matchups between Font and Martinez, making analysis reliant on style and recent form comparisons.
No reported injuries for either fighter; Martinez stepped in on short notice but appears healthy and motivated.
Fight at Frost Bank Center favors Font slightly due to proximity and crowd support, but Martinezβs momentum as a rising star balances this factor.
Font seeks to maintain top contender status at 38 years old; Martinez looks to solidify breakout status and prove himself against a seasoned opponent.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Font: -130, Martinez: +110
Rob Font
β β β ββ 62%
Spread
Font -3.5 165, Martinez +3.5 -230
Rob Font -3.5
β β β ββ 58%
Over/under
Over 2.5 -315, Under 2.5 230
Under 2.5 rounds
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Rob Font 3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 105%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 105% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rob Font to win by decision
Predicted Score: Rob Font wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds