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Mads Burnell vs. Robert Watley Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mads Burnell vs Robert Watley – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: PFL 2025 Finals Venue (exact location not specified)

Game Overview

Mads Burnell and Robert Watley face off in the PFL 2025 finals at bantamweight, with Burnell favored owing to his grappling experience and recent form, against Watley's striking-heavy style and momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Burnell demonstrates strong grappling and consistent performance in recent bouts, while Watley relies on striking with some volatility but good finishing ability.
  • No prior recorded professional encounter between Burnell and Watley, making this first matchup a gauge of style contrast.
  • No publicly reported injuries or notable physical setbacks for either fighter approaching the bout.
  • Both fighters motivated by PFL finals stakes and contract incentives; no adverse external conditions identified.
  • Burnell's pursuit of championship and possible UFC advancement offers high motivation. Watley equally driven as an underdog to capture attention with a big upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mads Burnell: -170, Robert Watley: +130 Mads Burnell ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Mads Burnell -1.5 rounds: -165, Robert Watley +1.5 rounds: +135 Mads Burnell -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mads Burnell 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mads Burnell at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mads Burnell to win by decision.

Predicted Score: Burnell wins by unanimous decision (3-0 rounds)


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Mads Burnell vs. Robert Watley Prediction

Match Analysis: Mads Burnell vs Robert Watley – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-16 Time: 1:00 AM UTC Location: PFL 2025 Finals Venue (exact location not specified) Game Overview Mads Burnell and Robert Watley face off in the PFL 2025 finals at bantamweight, with Burnell favored owing to his grappling experience and recent form, against Watley's […]

August 16, 2025 Mads Burnell MMA/Boxing Robert Watley

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Gadzhi Rabadanov vs. Alfie Davis Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Gadzhi Rabadanov vs Alfie Davis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Bojangles Coliseum, Charlotte, North Carolina, United States

Game Overview

Lightweight division main card PFL 2025 Finals matchup between Gadzhi Rabadanov and Alfie Davis, two experienced fighters with contrasting odds favoring Rabadanov as a strong favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gadzhi Rabadanov is in excellent recent form with a dominant fighting style, a strong 19-5-1 record, and consistently successful takedowns and control. Alfie Davis shows resilience but is the underdog with less consistent recent performances.
  • No confirmed prior head-to-head records found, making this essentially a first encounter, increasing unpredictability but favoring the more dominant fighter overall.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full physical capability.
  • Fight takes place in a neutral venue with no home advantage; however, Rabadanov's favored status and betting market confidence may affect psychological momentum.
  • Both fighters motivated highly due to PFL Finals stakes, but Rabadanov's favorite status implies stronger confidence and momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gadzhi Rabadanov: -670, Alfie Davis: 430 Gadzhi Rabadanov ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Gadzhi Rabadanov -1.5: -750, Alfie Davis +1.5: 500 Gadzhi Rabadanov -1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: 110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gadzhi Rabadanov -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Gadzhi Rabadanov at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gadzhi Rabadanov to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Gadzhi Rabadanov wins by TKO in round 2


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Liz Carmouche vs. Jena Bishop Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Liz Carmouche vs Jena Bishop – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: PFL event venue (exact venue not specified)

Game Overview

This Flyweight division PFL matchup features Liz Carmouche versus Jena Bishop, with Carmouche as a strong favorite due to experience and historical form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Liz Carmouche has more fight experience and generally stronger past performances, while Jena Bishop is younger but less proven.
  • No known previous head-to-head between these fighters, making historical matchups non-influential.
  • No recent injury reports for either fighter.
  • Fight occurs under PFL rules, no unusual external conditions reported.
  • Both fighters motivated; Carmouche aiming to maintain dominance at flyweight, Bishop looking for breakout victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Liz Carmouche -370, Jena Bishop +265 Liz Carmouche ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Assumed standard -1.5 rounds for Carmouche Liz Carmouche -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Assumed set around 2.5 rounds Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liz Carmouche -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Liz Carmouche at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liz Carmouche to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Liz Carmouche wins by unanimous decision or late stoppage in round 3


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Marcirley Alves da Silva vs. Justin Wetzell Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Marcirley Alves da Silva vs Justin Wetzell – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: PFL event venue (not specified)

Game Overview

The Bantamweight title fight in the 2025 PFL tournament between Marcirley Alves da Silva and Justin Wetzell features two well-matched fighters with Alves favored on the moneyline.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Marcirley Alves has demonstrated strong recent form with decisive wins in the PFL 2025 season. Justin Wetzell has also performed well but is not the betting favorite.
  • No prior recorded head-to-head bouts between Alves and Wetzell, making this encounter a fresh contest with no direct matchup history.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the fight, indicating both in good health and peaking for the title match.
  • The bout's high stakes (PFL 2025 Bantamweight Tournament Title) could elevate intensity and fighter motivation; the fight is on the main card attracting significant attention.
  • Both fighters highly motivated as this fight determines the tournament champion, with Alves having additional leverage as the betting favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Marcirley Alves da Silva: -225, Justin Wetzell: 172 Marcirley Alves da Silva ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Marcirley Alves da Silva -1.5: -110, Justin Wetzell +1.5: -110 Marcirley Alves da Silva -1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -105, Under 2.5 rounds: -115 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marcirley Alves da Silva 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Marcirley Alves da Silva at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marcirley Alves da Silva to win by decision.

Predicted Score: Marcirley Alves da Silva wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Brady Minner vs. Dylan Diebitz Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Brady Minner vs Dylan Diebitz – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: LFA 214 event, Legacy Fighting Alliance

Game Overview

Brady Minner, recognized for his grappling and ground control, faces Dylan Diebitz, a striker with notable knockout power. The fight's outcome largely depends on who can impose their style—Minner by takedowns and control, Diebitz by maintaining a stand-up battle.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brady Minner has shown strong submission skills and resilience recently but has odds indicating underdog status (+240). Dylan Diebitz is the favorite (-350), reflecting confidence in his striking and fight-ending power.
  • No directly available H2H data suggesting prior meetings; styles contrast sharply: wrestle-heavy Minner versus striker Diebitz.
  • No reported injuries or physical concerns affecting either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Fight location and timing appear neutral with no travel or external distractions reported for either fighter.
  • Both fighters have high motivation to advance in LFA rankings; Minner to prove grappling dominance, Diebitz to validate striking prowess.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brady Minner +240, Dylan Diebitz -350 Dylan Diebitz ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Dylan Diebitz -1.5 at typical -350 odds Dylan Diebitz -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds -275, Under 1.5 rounds +200 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dylan Diebitz to win by knockout

Predicted Score: Dylan Diebitz wins by 1st or 2nd round KO


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David Allakhverdiev vs. John Moore Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: David Allakhverdiev vs John Moore – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: LFA event venue (not specified)

Game Overview

David Allakhverdiev and John Moore face off in an LFA middleweight bout featuring contrasting styles: Allakhverdiev's grappling and experience versus Moore's striking power. Current moneyline odds favor Allakhverdiev slightly (-125) over Moore (+105), indicating a close but slight edge to the home fighter.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Allakhverdiev shows consistent grappling dominance and solid recent form, while Moore possesses knockout power but has been less consistent. Neither fighter has recent injury reports impacting performance.
  • No direct H2H matchups found, making stylistic matchups and recent form critical in analysis.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Fight taking place in LFA with no reported external issues affecting preparation or motivation. Both fighters appear focused and prepared.
  • Allakhverdiev looks motivated to maintain a winning streak and prove grappling superiority; Moore motivated to score a decisive knockout to advance his standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline David Allakhverdiev: -125, John Moore: 105 David Allakhverdiev ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread David Allakhverdiev -1.5 rounds: -110, John Moore +1.5 rounds: -110 David Allakhverdiev -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -105, Under 1.5 rounds: -125 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline David Allakhverdiev 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

David Allakhverdiev to win on the moneyline, fight to go under 1.5 rounds due to likely grappling control and early finish attempts, and Allakhverdiev to cover a -1.5 round spread by winning before the halfway mark of the fight.

Predicted Score: David Allakhverdiev wins via submission or ground-and-pound TKO in round 1


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Max Metzgar vs. Steve Collins Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Max Metzgar vs Steve Collins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Undisclosed

Game Overview

A welterweight MMA bout featuring Max Metzgar, a current favorite with strong recent performances, facing Steve Collins, an underdog with less recent fight activity and lower-ranked status.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Max Metzgar shows consistent recent form with multiple wins in 2025 over credible opponents, suggesting momentum and competitive sharpness. Steve Collins has less available recent fight data indicating possible inactivity or lower level competition.
  • No documented previous head-to-head matches between Max Metzgar and Steve Collins, resulting in no direct comparative data.
  • No publicly reported injuries affecting either fighter ahead of the matchup.
  • No overt external conditions appear to impact this fight; the event occurs on schedule with neutral venue factors.
  • Max Metzgar likely has higher motivation due to better recent results and probable rise in rankings, while Steve Collins might be the challenger with less capitalized momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Max Metzgar -138, Steve Collins +105 Max Metzgar ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Max Metzgar -1.5 (-220), Steve Collins +1.5 (+180) Max Metzgar -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds -450, Under 1.5 rounds +300 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Max Metzgar to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Max Metzgar wins via TKO in Round 2


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Kubanychbek Abdisalam Uulu vs. André Borges Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kubanychbek Abdisalam Uulu vs André Borges – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: LFA 214 (venue not explicitly stated)

Game Overview

Kubanychbek Abdisalam Uulu, a 31-year-old Kyrgyz fighter with a strong 22-3-0-1 (NC) record and a balanced KO/submission/decision finish distribution, faces 34-year-old Brazilian André Borges, who holds a 15-6-0 professional record with a KO-heavy style and less submission offense. The fight is part of LFA 214 on August 15, 2025, expected to be a dynamic matchup between Uulu's grappling/striking blend and Borges' endurance and tactical approach.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Uulu carries momentum and impressive finishing ability with 12 KOs and 4 submissions in 26 total fights, displaying versatility and aggressiveness. Borges is a durable opponent with 10 KOs, emphasizing striking and stamina but lacking submission wins.
  • No direct previous matches found between Uulu and Borges, so no head-to-head data is available.
  • No recent injury reports for either fighter were found, indicating both are likely at full health.
  • Fight takes place at LFA 214, a reputable regional promotion. No significant travel or altitude effects are noted. Motivation is high on both sides given the stakes.
  • Uulu, at 31, is in prime MMA age with clear motivation to capitalize on his skill set. Borges, at 34, aims to leverage experience and tactical endurance to upset the favorite status of Uulu.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -649 for Uulu, +400 for Borges Kubanychbek Abdisalam Uulu ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread -1.5 rounds Uulu -300, +1.5 rounds Borges +220 Kubanychbek Abdisalam Uulu -1.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -120, Under 2.5 rounds +100 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kubanychbek Abdisalam Uulu to win via moneyline, covering the spread with a decisive finish under the total rounds

Predicted Score: Kubanychbek Abdisalam Uulu wins by TKO in round 2


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Dzhamal Mavliudov vs. Triston Gwaltney Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Dzhamal Mavliudov vs Triston Gwaltney – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Sanford Pentagon, Sioux Falls, South Dakota

Game Overview

Dzhamal Mavliudov and Triston Gwaltney face off in a lightweight MMA bout at LFA 214. Mavliudov is the clear favorite due to his strong ground game and combat sambo background, while Gwaltney presents a striking threat with knockout power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mavliudov shows consistent control on the ground and has been successful in recent fights implementing his grappling skills. Gwaltney leverages striking unpredictability but has less success in prolonged ground exchanges.
  • No recorded previous matchups, making style clashes and adaptations crucial.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter entering this matchup.
  • Fight is held at Sanford Pentagon, a venue known to favor aggressive and well-conditioned fighters. No travel or environmental disadvantages noted for either combatant.
  • Mavliudov is motivated to maintain an undefeated streak and solidify status as a dominant lightweight prospect in LFA. Gwaltney aims to capitalize on his underdog status and knockout potential to raise profile.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dzhamal Mavliudov: -600, Triston Gwaltney: 425 Dzhamal Mavliudov ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Dzhamal Mavliudov -1.5: -115, Triston Gwaltney +1.5: -115 Dzhamal Mavliudov -1.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -115, Under 1.5 rounds: -115 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dzhamal Mavliudov -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dzhamal Mavliudov to win via decision

Predicted Score: Dzhamal Mavliudov wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Sabrinna de Sousa vs. Saray Orozco Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Sabrinna de Sousa vs Saray Orozco – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: PFL World Tournament Finals, Charlotte

Game Overview

The Women’s Flyweight final at the PFL World Tournament Finals features Sabrinna de Sousa (24 years old) against Saray Orozco (34 years old). De Sousa is undefeated (3-0) with a strong finishing rate, mostly by KO/TKO, while Orozco brings more experience but with a record of 8-7. This bout is expected to showcase De Sousa's power and youth against Orozco's experience and durability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • De Sousa is on a winning streak with 3 straight wins, 2 by KO/TKO and 1 submission, showing decisive finishes. Orozco has more fights (15 total) but a mixed recent performance with 7 losses and only 1 KO win recently, relying more on decisions.
  • This appears to be their first recorded matchup with no prior direct fights, so no head-to-head data influences this bout.
  • No current injury reports or issues affecting either fighter leading up to the match.
  • The fight is taking place on a major stage, the PFL World Tournament Finals in Charlotte, which should motivate both fighters equally. No travel or performance-affecting external factors reported.
  • De Sousa fights with the confidence of an undefeated rising star hungry to claim the title, while Orozco motivated by experience and redemption, aiming to leverage her veteran savvy.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline De Sousa -1100, Orozco +575 De Sousa ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread De Sousa -1.5 De Sousa -1.5 ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Under 2.5 rounds -150, Over 2.5 rounds +130 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sabrinna de Sousa -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sabrinna de Sousa at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Sabrinna de Sousa to win. Spread: De Sousa to win by a finish (inside distance). Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Sabrinna de Sousa wins by KO/TKO in Round 2


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