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Kyle Prepolec vs. Drew Dober Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kyle Prepolec vs Drew Dober – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, BC

Game Overview

The UFC Fight Night bout between Drew Dober and Kyle Prepolec is a lightweight matchup featuring two 36-year-old southpaws with equal wingspan (70"). Dober is the heavy favorite due to his higher striking volume, accuracy, and durability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Drew Dober has a career record of 27-15-0 with a higher strike output (4.36 significant strikes per min) and better defense (51%) compared to Kyle Prepolec's 18-9-0 record, lower strike output (2.87 per min), and 49% defense. Recently, Dober's power and pace have allowed him to consistently pressure opponents effectively.
  • No recorded prior head-to-head fights between Dober and Prepolec.
  • No notable reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • The fight takes place at a major UFC event in Vancouver, providing a neutral site with no significant travel disadvantage. Both fighters are the same age, minimizing age-related effects.
  • Dober, as the betting favorite and more established lightweight contender, is highly motivated to maintain momentum and climb rankings. Prepolec is motivated to upset the odds and elevate his standing but enters as the underdog.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Drew Dober: -440, Kyle Prepolec: +340 Drew Dober ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Drew Dober -3.5: -230, Kyle Prepolec +3.5: +165 Drew Dober -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -188, Under 1.5 rounds: +145 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Drew Dober -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Drew Dober to win via decision

Predicted Score: Drew Dober wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Kyle Prepolec vs. Drew Dober Prediction

Match Analysis: Kyle Prepolec vs Drew Dober – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-10-18 Time: 8:00 PM UTC Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, BC Game Overview The UFC Fight Night bout between Drew Dober and Kyle Prepolec is a lightweight matchup featuring two 36-year-old southpaws with equal wingspan (70"). Dober is the heavy favorite due to his […]

Drew Dober Kyle Prepolec MMA/Boxing October 18, 2025

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Cody Gibson vs. Aori Qileng Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Cody Gibson vs Aori Qileng – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Game Overview

Bantamweight bout between veteran Cody Gibson and dynamic striker Aori Qileng, featuring contrasting fighting styles and recent form dynamics.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cody Gibson has shown consistent durability and grappling control but recent performances indicate slowing pace. Aori Qileng presents a fast-paced striking style with improving offensive output, coming off notable wins.
  • No previous matchups exist between these fighters, making this contest reliant on stylistic analysis and recent form.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout, both appear physically prepared.
  • The fight takes place in Vancouver, favoring Gibson slightly due to his North American experience, but not significantly impacting performance.
  • Gibson aims to maintain relevance in the division facing a rising contender, while Qileng seeks to cement his UFC status with a breakout victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aori Qileng: +150, Cody Gibson: -180 Cody Gibson ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Aori Qileng +3.5: -155, Cody Gibson -3.5: +115 Cody Gibson -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5: -188, Under 2.5: +145 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 59%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cody Gibson -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 42%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 42% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Cody Gibson to win; Spread: Cody Gibson by more than 3.5 points; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Cody Gibson wins by decision (3 rounds)


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Kyle Nelson vs. Matt Frevola Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kyle Nelson vs Matt Frevola – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: TBD

Game Overview

Kyle Nelson and Matt Frevola face off in a UFC lightweight bout anticipated to be competitive with evenly matched odds and a slight edge to Frevola based on recent form and activity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Matt Frevola is slightly favored due to a more active recent fight schedule and a tendency toward decision wins. Kyle Nelson has solid grappling but less recent activity.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups; both fighters bring contrasting styles—Nelson with grappling and Frevola with wrestling and pressure striking.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter entering the bout.
  • Fight is taking place at a neutral venue with standard conditions. No travel or altitude concerns known.
  • Frevola appears motivated to reclaim momentum after a recent mixed record, while Nelson aims to prove himself against a higher-ranked opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kyle Nelson: -110, Matt Frevola: -110 Matt Frevola ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Kyle Nelson: 3.5 -155, Matt Frevola: -3.5 115 Matt Frevola -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over: 2.5 130, Under: 2.5 -166 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Matt Frevola -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Matt Frevola to win by decision

Predicted Score: Matt Frevola wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Azamat Bekoev vs. Yousri Belgaroui Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Azamat Bekoev vs Yousri Belgaroui – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 8:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, BC, Canada

Game Overview

Middleweight bout between Azamat Bekoev (20-3, 2-0 UFC), a highly experienced, well-rounded finisher with a ground-and-pound base, and Yousri Belgaroui (8-3, 0-0 UFC), a lanky, dangerous kickboxer making his UFC debut after notable Contender Series KO.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bekoev is on an eight-fight win streak, finishing both UFC fights by TKO. He averages 7.59 significant strikes per minute (landing 61%), absorbs 4.48, and defends 46% of strikes. Belgaroui lands 4.43 significant strikes per minute (60%), absorbs 2.65, and defends 57%. Bekoev has superior MMA experience and finishing ability (16 finishes evenly split KO/sub). Belgaroui has six KO wins, but has been outgrappled before and has far less MMA experience.
  • First meeting.
  • No reported injuries.
  • Belgaroui is making his UFC debut, which can bring pressure and unpredictability, but he also hasn't fought in over a year. Bekoev fights out of American Top Team and is active.
  • Bekoev is a rising contender, motivated to climb rankings. Belgaroui is looking to make a splash in his UFC debut and prove he belongs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bekoev -310, Belgaroui +250 Bekoev win ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Bekoev -7.5 -135, Belgaroui +7.5 +100 Bekoev -7.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 -210, Under 1.5 +160 Under 1.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Azamat Bekoev 187%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 51%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Azamat Bekoev at 187% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 74.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bekoev is a substantial betting favorite for good reason: superior experience, finishing ability, and well-rounded skills, especially grappling, should dictate the fight. Belgaroui’s striking is dangerous, but his lack of MMA experience and history of being outgrappled are major concerns against a fighter of Bekoev’s caliber. Expect Bekoev to pressure, look for takedowns, and dominate either with ground-and-pound or a submission.

Predicted Score: Bekoev by Submission or TKO, Round 2


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Melissa Croden vs. Tainara Lisboa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Melissa Croden vs Tainara Lisboa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 18, 2025
  • Time: 8:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, BC

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA matchup between Melissa Croden and Tainara Lisboa is set to take place at UFC Fight Night. Both fighters are closely matched, with Croden slightly favored by some bookmakers. The fight is expected to be competitive, with both fighters having recent experience in the UFC.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Recent form shows both fighters have been active in the UFC. Tainara Lisboa has experienced a mix of wins and losses, while Melissa Croden is making her UFC debut.
  • No head-to-head matchups exist between Croden and Lisboa, making this a first-time encounter.
  • There are no reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight taking place in Vancouver may not significantly impact either fighter, as both are likely to be well-prepared.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Croden seeking a win in her UFC debut and Lisboa looking to build on recent performances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melissa Croden: -118, Tainara Lisboa: -102 Melissa Croden ★★★☆☆ 53%
Spread Melissa Croden: -3.5 150, Tainara Lisboa: 3.5 -205 Tainara Lisboa +3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -220, Under: 2.5 170 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melissa Croden -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Melissa Croden at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This matchup is expected to be closely contested, with a high chance of reaching the judges' scorecards.

Predicted Score: This fight is likely to go the distance, with both fighters displaying strong defensive skills.


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Davey Grant vs. Charles Jourdain Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Davey Grant vs Charles Jourdain – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, BC

Game Overview

A high-stakes bantamweight bout between two aggressive, well-rounded strikers: Charles Jourdain (16-8-1, -166 moneyline favorite) looks to extend his momentum after a successful bantamweight debut, while Davey Grant (17-7-0, +140) arrives with a 4-1 run in his last five, including a recent decision win over Da'Mon Blackshear[1][2]. Both fighters have nearly identical reach, but Jourdain is the bigger volume striker with a slight edge in accuracy and defense[1].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jourdain lands 5.43 significant strikes per minute at 48% accuracy, absorbs 4.27, and defends 56% of strikes. Grant lands 5.18/minute at 44%, absorbs 3.74, and defends 55%. Jourdain's recent bantamweight debut was a win, while Grant is 4-1 in his last five, with his only loss in that span to a top-ranked opponent[1][2].
  • No prior matchups.
  • No recent injury news reported for either fighter.
  • Fight takes place in Vancouver, Canada—Jourdain's home country, but not a decisive home-cage advantage. No major external factors reported.
  • Jourdain is looking to establish himself at bantamweight after a promising debut. Grant, at 39, may be fighting to maintain relevance near the end of his career but has shown consistent form and durability.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jourdain -166, Grant +140 Jourdain ★★★☆☆ 63%
Spread Jourdain -3.5 +110, Grant +3.5 -150 Grant +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 -210, Under 2.5 +160 Over 2.5 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Charles Jourdain -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Expect a technical standup battle with Jourdain's superior volume, youth, and recent divisional success giving him a narrow edge, but Grant's toughness, experience, and recent form make him a live underdog. Fight goes the distance at bantamweight pace.

Predicted Score: Charles Jourdain def. Davey Grant via Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)


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Ravena Oliveira vs. Stephanie Luciano Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ravena Oliveira vs Stephanie Luciano – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, BC, Canada

Game Overview

Stephanie Luciano and Ravena Oliveira face off in a Strawweight prelims bout at UFC Vancouver. Luciano is slightly younger, taller, with a longer reach, and coming off more recent competition while Oliveira returns from a two-year layoff due to a knee injury.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Luciano holds a record of 6-2-1 with solid recent form including a close split decision loss and notable win over a prospect. Oliveira is 7-2-1 but has not fought in over two years after a UFC debut loss and a knee injury, raising concern over ring rust.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups between these two fighters.
  • Oliveira suffers from a significant knee injury that sidelined her for two years, raising durability and performance concerns. Luciano has no reported injuries and is active.
  • The fight takes place at Rogers Arena, Vancouver, which is neutral for both fighters. Luciano's recent activities and consistency give her an edge in motivation.
  • Oliveira is highly motivated to rebound from her injury hiatus and secure her first UFC win, but pressure and ring rust may affect performance. Luciano looks to build on momentum and improve her UFC standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ravena Oliveira: +240, Stephanie Luciano: -298 Stephanie Luciano ★★★★☆ 73%
Spread Ravena Oliveira +3.5: -125, Stephanie Luciano -3.5: -105 Stephanie Luciano -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -298, Under 2.5 rounds: +220 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Stephanie Luciano -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 102%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 102% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Stephanie Luciano to win by decision

Predicted Score: Stephanie Luciano wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Bruno Silva vs. Hyun Sung Park Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Bruno Silva vs Hyun Sung Park – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, BC

Game Overview

The flyweight bout pits veteran Bruno Silva (14-7-2) against rising contender Hyun Sung Park (10-1). Silva has powerful striking but lower striking defense; Park is younger, with strong grappling and defensive skills.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Silva recently lost a third-round TKO after a strong first-round knockout win; Park recently suffered his first career loss via second-round submission but is generally dominant with a 10-1 record.
  • No previous fights between Silva and Park; styles suggest Park's grappling advantage could negate Silva's striking power.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter; both appear physically prepared.
  • Fight held at UFC Vancouver, neutral venue; Park's youth and technical precision are favored by analysts.
  • Park looks to bounce back strongly from his first loss, likely increasing motivation; Silva aims to reassert himself in the flyweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bruno Silva: 190, Hyun Sung Park: -230 Hyun Sung Park ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Bruno Silva +3.5: -105, Hyun Sung Park -3.5: -125 Hyun Sung Park -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5: -215, Under 1.5: 165 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Hyun Sung Park -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hyun Sung Park to win by decision

Predicted Score: Hyun Sung Park wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Djorden Santos vs. Danny Barlow Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Djorden Santos vs Danny Barlow – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 18, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Rogers Arena in Vancouver, BC

Game Overview

The upcoming UFC matchup between Djorden Santos and Danny Barlow is set to take place in the middleweight division. Both fighters bring unique skills to the table, with Danny Barlow looking to bounce back from a recent loss and Djorden Santos seeking to capitalize on his momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Danny Barlow has a career record of 9-1-0, with a recent first-round TKO loss against Sam Patterson. Djorden Santos holds a 10-2-0 record. Barlow is known for his reach advantage and power, while Santos is aggressive with a higher strike rate.
  • This is the first head-to-head matchup between the two fighters.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • Both fighters will be motivated to perform well, but Barlow might have an edge due to his recent set-back propelling him to make a strong comeback.
  • Barlow is highly motivated after his first professional loss, while Santos aims to upset the favored opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barlow: -290, Santos: +235 Danny Barlow ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Barlow: -3.5 -180, Santos: 3.5 130 Djorden Santos +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 61%
Over/under Over 2.5: +120, Under 2.5: -154 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Danny Barlow -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Danny Barlow to win against Djorden Santos.

Predicted Score: Danny Barlow wins via knockout in Round 1.


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Patrick Ocheme vs. Abdoul Razac Sankara Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Patrick Ocheme vs Abdoul Razac Sankara – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Kigali, Rwanda

Game Overview

Patrick Ocheme vs Abdoul Razac Sankara is a featherweight catchweight bout at PFL Africa 3 after both fighters missed weight and the fight was demoted from the semifinal tournament bracket. Both are emerging MMA prospects, but Sankara has generated notable buzz with a recent first-round KO victory over Shadrick Dju Yemba, showcasing striking flair and knockout power. Ocheme’s recent form is less public, but he is favored by sportsbooks heading into this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sankara is coming off a sensational first-round KO at PFL Africa 2 in August, highlighting his striking pedigree and quick-finishing ability. Ocheme’s recent fights and performances are less documented, but sportsbooks favor him as the more established name. Both fighters have missed weight, which could imply less-than-optimal preparation.
  • No previous head-to-head encounter is recorded. This is their first meeting.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter. Both missing weight could be a red flag for conditioning, potentially impacting stamina and durability.
  • Fight moved to catchweight after both missed weight, reducing competitive stakes. Event is in Kigali, Rwanda; travel and acclimation could factor into performance, though both are African fighters. Both were originally in the semifinal tournament bracket, so pressure and scrutiny are high despite the bout’s demotion.
  • For Sankara, a victory solidifies his status as a rising star after his viral KO. For Ocheme, a win reasserts his claim to the tournament hierarchy. Both have something to prove after the weigh-in mishap, but the bout’s status as a ‘showcase’ rather than a tournament fight may dampen urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Patrick Ocheme -170, Abdoul Razac Sankara +145 Patrick Ocheme ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Patrick Ocheme -3.5 (assuming typical MMA handicap lines) Patrick Ocheme covers ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 1.5 -160 / Under 1.5 +140 Under 1.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Patrick Ocheme -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 49%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 49% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Patrick Ocheme is favored by oddsmakers, but Sankara’s recent explosive performance and finishing ability present a live upset risk. Expect a competitive fight with a likely finish before the final bell.

Predicted Score: Abdoul Razac Sankara defeats Patrick Ocheme by KO/TKO in Round 2


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