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King Green vs. Carlos Diego Ferreira Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: King Green vs Carlos Diego Ferreira - Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: United Center, Chicago, IL

Game Overview

King Green (32-17-1) and Carlos Diego Ferreira (19-6) face off in a lightweight MMA bout at UFC 319. Green is a veteran with strong striking accuracy and defense; Ferreira offers a slightly longer reach and has recently intensified training for this fight.

Key Factors to Consider

  • King Green lands 6.40 significant strikes per min at 52% accuracy, conceding 3.72 strikes per min; Ferreira lands 4.82 strikes per min at 40% accuracy, conceding 3.46 strikes per min. Ferreira’s recent form includes a loss followed by focused training changes.
  • No previous recorded bouts between King Green and Diego Ferreira, making this a fresh matchup.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the fight.
  • Fight takes place at United Center with strong fan interest; Ferreira relocated to Dallas for full-time training, indicating increased preparation.
  • Ferreira has long requested this fight and is motivated to deliver an exciting performance after relocating and improving training; Green seeks a comeback win to improve his veteran record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ferreira -155, Green +130 Carlos Diego Ferreira ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Ferreira -3.5 -110, Green +3.5 -120 Carlos Diego Ferreira -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 1.5 -215, Under 1.5 +165 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Carlos Diego Ferreira -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 67%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 67% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Carlos Diego Ferreira to win. Spread: Carlos Diego Ferreira -3.5. Over/Under: Under 1.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Carlos Diego Ferreira wins by decision or late stoppage

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King Green vs. Carlos Diego Ferreira Prediction

Match Analysis: King Green vs Carlos Diego Ferreira – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-16 Time: 12:00 AM UTC Location: United Center, Chicago, IL Game Overview King Green (32-17-1) and Carlos Diego Ferreira (19-6) face off in a lightweight MMA bout at UFC 319. Green is a veteran with strong striking accuracy and defense; Ferreira offers […]

August 17, 2025 Carlos Diego Ferreira King Green MMA/Boxing

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Edson Barboza vs. Drakkar Klose Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Edson Barboza vs Drakkar Klose – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: United Center, Chicago

Game Overview

Edson Barboza faces Drakkar Klose in a UFC lightweight bout on August 16, 2025. Barboza is a veteran with a career record of 24-12-0 and a reach advantage, while Klose holds a 15-3-1 record and slightly higher significant strikes landed per minute.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barboza is known for his striking volume and accuracy, landing 4.11 significant strikes per minute with a 44% connect rate, but absorbs more strikes (4.65 per minute). Klose lands slightly more strikes per minute (4.33) with a higher accuracy (55%) and better defensive metrics against strikes allowed (3.54 per minute). Recent form favors Barboza’s experience and finishing ability.
  • No previous head-to-head bouts exist between Barboza and Klose, making this a fresh tactical matchup.
  • No recent injuries reported for either fighter, both expected to be in full health for this bout.
  • Barboza fights in Chicago, granting a possible minor home crowd advantage. No other significant external factors noted.
  • Barboza aims to add a win late in his career reinforcing his legacy, while Klose seeks to establish himself amongst top contenders making this a high-motivation contest on both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barboza -135 / Klose +115 Barboza ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Barboza -1.5 rounds (approx. -120) Barboza -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-162) / Under 2.5 (+132) Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Edson Barboza 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 44%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Barboza win; Spread: Barboza by decision (-1.5 rounds); Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Barboza wins by unanimous decision, 3 rounds to 0


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Nursultan Ruziboev vs. Bryan Battle Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Nursultan Ruziboev vs Bryan Battle – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: United Center, Chicago, Illinois

Game Overview

A UFC middleweight matchup at UFC 319 featuring Bryan Battle, a 13-2 rising contender with a strong mix of striking and wrestling, facing Nursultan Ruziboev, a UFC newcomer looking to establish himself with an aggressive style and potential finishing ability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bryan Battle is on a 4-fight winning streak in the UFC with a balanced record of knockouts and submissions, maintaining high striking accuracy and solid wrestling defense. Ruziboev is less established but dangerous with finishing capability, aiming to make a statement.
  • This is their first professional matchup, so no direct history between these two fighters.
  • No recent reported injuries for either fighter, both are expected to compete at full strength.
  • The fight takes place on the UFC 319 prelim card at the United Center in Chicago, providing a large, supportive atmosphere. Bryan Battle’s motivation is high to climb the middleweight ranks; Ruziboev is motivated to secure his UFC status.
  • Bryan Battle aims to continue his winning streak and solidify his position in the division, while Nursultan Ruziboev seeks a breakthrough victory to establish himself in the UFC.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bryan Battle -170, Nursultan Ruziboev +145 Bryan Battle ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -115, Under 2.5 rounds -115 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bryan Battle -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bryan Battle to win by decision

Predicted Score: Bryan Battle wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Gadzhi Rabadanov vs. Alfie Davis Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Gadzhi Rabadanov vs Alfie Davis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Bojangles Coliseum, Charlotte, North Carolina, United States

Game Overview

Lightweight division main card PFL 2025 Finals matchup between Gadzhi Rabadanov and Alfie Davis, two experienced fighters with contrasting odds favoring Rabadanov as a strong favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gadzhi Rabadanov is in excellent recent form with a dominant fighting style, a strong 19-5-1 record, and consistently successful takedowns and control. Alfie Davis shows resilience but is the underdog with less consistent recent performances.
  • No confirmed prior head-to-head records found, making this essentially a first encounter, increasing unpredictability but favoring the more dominant fighter overall.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full physical capability.
  • Fight takes place in a neutral venue with no home advantage; however, Rabadanov's favored status and betting market confidence may affect psychological momentum.
  • Both fighters motivated highly due to PFL Finals stakes, but Rabadanov's favorite status implies stronger confidence and momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gadzhi Rabadanov: -670, Alfie Davis: 430 Gadzhi Rabadanov ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Gadzhi Rabadanov -1.5: -750, Alfie Davis +1.5: 500 Gadzhi Rabadanov -1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: 110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gadzhi Rabadanov -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Gadzhi Rabadanov at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gadzhi Rabadanov to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Gadzhi Rabadanov wins by TKO in round 2


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Liz Carmouche vs. Jena Bishop Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Liz Carmouche vs Jena Bishop – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: PFL event venue (exact venue not specified)

Game Overview

This Flyweight division PFL matchup features Liz Carmouche versus Jena Bishop, with Carmouche as a strong favorite due to experience and historical form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Liz Carmouche has more fight experience and generally stronger past performances, while Jena Bishop is younger but less proven.
  • No known previous head-to-head between these fighters, making historical matchups non-influential.
  • No recent injury reports for either fighter.
  • Fight occurs under PFL rules, no unusual external conditions reported.
  • Both fighters motivated; Carmouche aiming to maintain dominance at flyweight, Bishop looking for breakout victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Liz Carmouche -370, Jena Bishop +265 Liz Carmouche ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Assumed standard -1.5 rounds for Carmouche Liz Carmouche -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Assumed set around 2.5 rounds Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liz Carmouche -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Liz Carmouche at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liz Carmouche to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Liz Carmouche wins by unanimous decision or late stoppage in round 3


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Mads Burnell vs. Robert Watley Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mads Burnell vs Robert Watley – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: PFL 2025 Finals Venue (exact location not specified)

Game Overview

Mads Burnell and Robert Watley face off in the PFL 2025 finals at bantamweight, with Burnell favored owing to his grappling experience and recent form, against Watley's striking-heavy style and momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Burnell demonstrates strong grappling and consistent performance in recent bouts, while Watley relies on striking with some volatility but good finishing ability.
  • No prior recorded professional encounter between Burnell and Watley, making this first matchup a gauge of style contrast.
  • No publicly reported injuries or notable physical setbacks for either fighter approaching the bout.
  • Both fighters motivated by PFL finals stakes and contract incentives; no adverse external conditions identified.
  • Burnell's pursuit of championship and possible UFC advancement offers high motivation. Watley equally driven as an underdog to capture attention with a big upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mads Burnell: -170, Robert Watley: +130 Mads Burnell ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Mads Burnell -1.5 rounds: -165, Robert Watley +1.5 rounds: +135 Mads Burnell -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mads Burnell 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mads Burnell at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mads Burnell to win by decision.

Predicted Score: Burnell wins by unanimous decision (3-0 rounds)


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Marcirley Alves da Silva vs. Justin Wetzell Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Marcirley Alves da Silva vs Justin Wetzell – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: PFL event venue (not specified)

Game Overview

The Bantamweight title fight in the 2025 PFL tournament between Marcirley Alves da Silva and Justin Wetzell features two well-matched fighters with Alves favored on the moneyline.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Marcirley Alves has demonstrated strong recent form with decisive wins in the PFL 2025 season. Justin Wetzell has also performed well but is not the betting favorite.
  • No prior recorded head-to-head bouts between Alves and Wetzell, making this encounter a fresh contest with no direct matchup history.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the fight, indicating both in good health and peaking for the title match.
  • The bout's high stakes (PFL 2025 Bantamweight Tournament Title) could elevate intensity and fighter motivation; the fight is on the main card attracting significant attention.
  • Both fighters highly motivated as this fight determines the tournament champion, with Alves having additional leverage as the betting favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Marcirley Alves da Silva: -225, Justin Wetzell: 172 Marcirley Alves da Silva ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Marcirley Alves da Silva -1.5: -110, Justin Wetzell +1.5: -110 Marcirley Alves da Silva -1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -105, Under 2.5 rounds: -115 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marcirley Alves da Silva 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Marcirley Alves da Silva at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marcirley Alves da Silva to win by decision.

Predicted Score: Marcirley Alves da Silva wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Brady Minner vs. Dylan Diebitz Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Brady Minner vs Dylan Diebitz – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: LFA 214 event, Legacy Fighting Alliance

Game Overview

Brady Minner, recognized for his grappling and ground control, faces Dylan Diebitz, a striker with notable knockout power. The fight's outcome largely depends on who can impose their style—Minner by takedowns and control, Diebitz by maintaining a stand-up battle.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brady Minner has shown strong submission skills and resilience recently but has odds indicating underdog status (+240). Dylan Diebitz is the favorite (-350), reflecting confidence in his striking and fight-ending power.
  • No directly available H2H data suggesting prior meetings; styles contrast sharply: wrestle-heavy Minner versus striker Diebitz.
  • No reported injuries or physical concerns affecting either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Fight location and timing appear neutral with no travel or external distractions reported for either fighter.
  • Both fighters have high motivation to advance in LFA rankings; Minner to prove grappling dominance, Diebitz to validate striking prowess.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brady Minner +240, Dylan Diebitz -350 Dylan Diebitz ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Dylan Diebitz -1.5 at typical -350 odds Dylan Diebitz -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds -275, Under 1.5 rounds +200 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dylan Diebitz to win by knockout

Predicted Score: Dylan Diebitz wins by 1st or 2nd round KO


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David Allakhverdiev vs. John Moore Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: David Allakhverdiev vs John Moore – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: LFA event venue (not specified)

Game Overview

David Allakhverdiev and John Moore face off in an LFA middleweight bout featuring contrasting styles: Allakhverdiev's grappling and experience versus Moore's striking power. Current moneyline odds favor Allakhverdiev slightly (-125) over Moore (+105), indicating a close but slight edge to the home fighter.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Allakhverdiev shows consistent grappling dominance and solid recent form, while Moore possesses knockout power but has been less consistent. Neither fighter has recent injury reports impacting performance.
  • No direct H2H matchups found, making stylistic matchups and recent form critical in analysis.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Fight taking place in LFA with no reported external issues affecting preparation or motivation. Both fighters appear focused and prepared.
  • Allakhverdiev looks motivated to maintain a winning streak and prove grappling superiority; Moore motivated to score a decisive knockout to advance his standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline David Allakhverdiev: -125, John Moore: 105 David Allakhverdiev ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread David Allakhverdiev -1.5 rounds: -110, John Moore +1.5 rounds: -110 David Allakhverdiev -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -105, Under 1.5 rounds: -125 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline David Allakhverdiev 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

David Allakhverdiev to win on the moneyline, fight to go under 1.5 rounds due to likely grappling control and early finish attempts, and Allakhverdiev to cover a -1.5 round spread by winning before the halfway mark of the fight.

Predicted Score: David Allakhverdiev wins via submission or ground-and-pound TKO in round 1


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Max Metzgar vs. Steve Collins Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Max Metzgar vs Steve Collins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Undisclosed

Game Overview

A welterweight MMA bout featuring Max Metzgar, a current favorite with strong recent performances, facing Steve Collins, an underdog with less recent fight activity and lower-ranked status.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Max Metzgar shows consistent recent form with multiple wins in 2025 over credible opponents, suggesting momentum and competitive sharpness. Steve Collins has less available recent fight data indicating possible inactivity or lower level competition.
  • No documented previous head-to-head matches between Max Metzgar and Steve Collins, resulting in no direct comparative data.
  • No publicly reported injuries affecting either fighter ahead of the matchup.
  • No overt external conditions appear to impact this fight; the event occurs on schedule with neutral venue factors.
  • Max Metzgar likely has higher motivation due to better recent results and probable rise in rankings, while Steve Collins might be the challenger with less capitalized momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Max Metzgar -138, Steve Collins +105 Max Metzgar ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Max Metzgar -1.5 (-220), Steve Collins +1.5 (+180) Max Metzgar -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds -450, Under 1.5 rounds +300 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Max Metzgar to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Max Metzgar wins via TKO in Round 2


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